Listen kid, you just looked at $24,108.65 in payouts in the past 8-9 months. I'm done playing with you.Have you paid off your credit cards with that bankroll yet?
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Listen kid, you just looked at $24,108.65 in payouts in the past 8-9 months. I'm done playing with you.Have you paid off your credit cards with that bankroll yet?
Either way, I'm sorry for coming at you so harshly earlier today. I'm trying to do something nice / interesting for everybody here and you were really the tamest of the bunch.I didn't look at anything
Damn! I definitely regret not taking the runline now. Would have been nice to snag an extra $45.24.So I'm considering taking the run line in situations where the lines have been juiced at -170 or more. For instance, this Astros - Athletics game the line is:
Astros -200 (100 / 50)
Astros -1.5 (100 / 95.23)
I'm just a little complacent about a potential -150 swing for an extra $45.24. All it takes is one game landing on a one-run margin to neutralize the profits of 3 runline successes.
System PlaysEminence said:System Plays
YTD: 4-9 (-$580.22)
Today: 3-2
First winning day for our system, hit a sexy moneyline of Twins +145. Helped keep the juice away.
Based on our system tomorrow's plays are as follows:
Orioles O10, -105 (going to try and fish for a better line)
Twins ML +170
Astros ML (line pending)
No, at least he's shown consistency in being a Giants fan, the rest are just losers who use the internet to bully people.Peyton Marino said:Act like uve gamb00led before budday
Limp Ditka said:$730 is like what, 3 weeks of Walgreens pay? Can you pick up an extra shift?
Don Quixote said:National Gambling Problem Hotline: 1-800-522-4700
Wow, what a bunch of noobs who can't be bothered to read the thread. I already posted where I've made $24,108.65 in gambling withdraws and re-quoted in this post for your interests. Funny how you guys can add insults but not actually read, hahaha.http://i68.tinypic.com/4kfk1z.jpg
http://i66.tinypic.com/ve7pch.jpg
http://i65.tinypic.com/2hpu23b.jpg
http://i66.tinypic.com/20ssy2a.jpg
https://cdn.pbrd.co/images/mj5701s4.png
https://cdn.pbrd.co/images/mHyFarrs.jpg
https://cdn.pbrd.co/images/mKdh3tij.jpg
https://cdn.pbrd.co/images/merHVCqV.jpg
GTFO NOOB
System PlaysSystem Plays
YTD: 5-11 (-$730.22) 31.25%
Today: 1-2
Orioles over is absolutely crushing us along with fading the Giants ML. Those two trends account for $600 of the $730 lost so far (82% of all losses), sick.
Based on our system tomorrow's plays are as follows:
Pirates -120
Orioles / Rays O10.5, -105
Houston Astros -170 (This might end up being runline, I don't want to risk a bad beat though)
Twins +100
No, the key to baseball is betting it BEFORE any trends or statistical analysis can be applied to this season. Like in April, maybe into early May.I don't even understand how the #### this is possible. Is the trick to betting on baseball to just wait for a months worth of trends and then just against the them?
I would have been better off actually making plays than just being lazy and betting a system.
Seriously, what the ####? I hate this sport.
I like the Nats tomorrow.Based on our system, tomorrow's losing plays are:
Pirates -130
Rays / Orioles O11, -110
Nationals ML, -105
Astros ML, -135
System PlaysBased on our system, tomorrow's losing plays are:
Pirates -130
Rays / Orioles O11, -110
Nationals ML, -105
Astros ML, -135
Twins +133 Game 1
Twins, +135 Game 2
System Plays:System Plays
YTD: 8-18, 30% (-$1,130.25)
Today: 3-3
Twins hit on a +135 so no juice there.
Tomorrows plays:
Pirates +105
Orioles / Rays O10.5, -115
Astros -110
Twins +115
Nationals -130
Revisit Rockies/Reds O/U tomorrow when Homer Bailey pitches for the Reds. What's the highest O/U ever?System Plays:
YTD: 10-21 (32.26%), -$1,272.43
Yesterday: 2-3
Based on the system, today's plays are:
Orioles / Brewers O10.5, -110
Nationals ML, -182
Rockies ML, -156
Rockies / Reds O12, -110
System PlaysSystem Plays:
YTD: 10-21 (32.26%), -$1,272.43
Yesterday: 2-3
Based on the system, today's plays are:
Orioles / Brewers O10.5, -110
Nationals ML, -182
Rockies ML, -156
Rockies / Reds O12, -110
Lol, right? I can't believe they're going to do it to the poor guy. They're gonna drag him through the mud as he collects that big contract.Revisit Rockies/Reds O/U tomorrow when Homer Bailey pitches for the Reds. What's the highest O/U ever?
System Plays:Eminence said:System Plays
YTD: 12-23 (34.3%), -$1,353.39
Today: 2-2
Based on our system, tomorrow's plays are as follows:
Tigers ML, -220
Orioles / Brewers O10, -110
Astros ML, -145
Rockies ML, -155
Rockies / Reds O13, EVEN
System Plays:System Plays:
Yesterday: 2-3
YTD: 14 - 26 (35%) -$1,538.98
Today's plays:
Tigers ML, -183
Orioles / Brewers O10, -120
Astros ML, -130
Rockies ML, -150
Rockies / Reds O11, -115
YTD
Yesterday: 2-4You're awful at this.*
*#### your disclaimer
Two-week results:Yesterday: 2-4
Today: 5-0
Marlins ML, -110
Rockies ML, -175
Rockies / White Sox O11, -110
Nationals ML, -280
Astros ML, -103
YTD: 23-33 (41%, -$1,487.03)
Tomorrow's plays:
Astros ML, -110
Nationals ML, -205
Rockies ML, -145
Rockies / White Sox O11, -105
Yesterday:Two-week results:
YTD 27-38-0 (41%) -$1,620.17
Giants Fade 4-7 -$394.12
Twins Road 2-6 -$320.00
Nationals 3 5-4 -$13.46
Orioles Over 3-8 -$537.28
Astros 8-4 $179.67
Coors Over 1-6 -$509.09
Rockies Home 4-3 -$25.88
Yesterday:
Padres -101
Cubs / Orioles OX, -110
Nationals, -112
Today:
Cubs / Orioles O10, -105
Nationals -162
Padres +125
System YTD: 36-42 (46.15%), -$1,209.20Eminence said:16th
Cubs / Orioles OX
Padres ML
17th
Nationals ML
Orioles / Rangers O
Astros ML
Rockies ML
Rockies / Padres O
Indians ML
Appreciate the insight here, slick.I haven't seen this thread yet, so my comments might be a little late:
There are some teams that I bet on/against on consecutive days, although not every day. But it's not because that team is necessarily doing well/poorly, it's because my numbers have them overvalued/undervalued by the bookmakers. But those teams change as the books adjust.
I don't think blind-betting teams every day is a recipe for success. There might be things like SportsInsights' Summer Coors Over System that work for awhile, but any loophole can be closed.
Other general advice is always, always, always find a book that has nickel lines for baseball. Those nickels add up. My other piece is that the lifespan of an MLB line is roughly about 28 hours. BOL/Sportsbetting originate MLB sides around 3 PM eastern the day before a game, they get picked up by the other offshores shortly thereafter (who either add juice or shade towards public or sharp action) and then the sportsbooks add them that evening. They then shift and move around during that time.
IMO, there are exactly two points during that lifespan where it makes the most sense to bet: 1) right when they come out or 2) right when lineups are released. Preferably both. I'm usually pretty good on 1, and I get to 2 when I can.
To wit, here's what I bet for Tuesday, followed by the price where it currently sits:
ATL +131 (now +111)
DET +112 (now +101)
SD +166 (now +142)
LAA -120 (now -114)
Three moved in my direction, one against. But overall I got my money in quite a bit better than I would have if I'd waited. This is the first year I've really put in some decent effort to playing sides, and I'm up a modest amount for the year. But I'm a really big proponent of doing the boring, small stuff like line-shopping, clearing bonuses, etc. etc.
Lotta good options besides 5D: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/best-sportsbooks/baseball-lines/Appreciate the insight here, slick.
I've learned that the system by itself is doomed to fail. There are times where I look at matchups and know some of these are terrible plays but it's part of the system so it gets loaded up.
Betting on the Nationals Big 3, Rockies at Home, and the Astros in general has been a "winning system" if you ever chose to be so lazy and just phone it in like that.
The Orioles Over was the worst idea so far since there's less correlation with a combined over than with a team winning. Coors still has credence because of the stadium but is still a losing bet YTD.
As far as my personal stuff I've been having success with, I've been doing a lot of F5 betting. It's a lot more enjoyable not sweating out 3 hour games only to win or lose based on some relief pitcher I've never heard of.
Unfortunately for me, that doesn't give me much wiggle room to line-shop like you've suggested in this post here based on when the lines are released.
I need to load up at 5Dimes they do that reduced juice nonsense and since I've barely used the book I've got no cuts. I just hate the interface and do most of my gambling where I double-down until I reach a number worth withdrawing. If I was doing stable one-unit bets, the extra nickel would be way worth it.
I gamble everyday and the trick for me is getting in as much action as possible without having to Live bet. For me, familiarity with my sportsbook is a premium.
I like the philosophy of chasing but I don't think I'm saavy enough to determine anything about a matchup without reading a writeup from MLB.com as a crutch. I have been focusing on only betting games where there is a reasonable sample size for each pitcher with some success. I mostly ignore line movement. If it's around -150 and the angle makes sense, I take it.
But yeah, I definitely appreciate your insight as you're lightyears ahead of me in MLB betting and I missed talking to you in general.
System YTD: 40 - 43 (48%), -$1,012.68Eminence said:Based on our system, tomorrow's plays are as follows:
Rangers / Orioles O10.5, -120
Astros ML, -195
Rockies ML, -150
Rockies / Padres O11.5, -105
Indians ML, -130
If a system gives you plays that are bad, you shouldn't play it. The linesmakers know a lot of runs get scored in Coors. If they know that, and are accounting for that, there's no advantage there. And to be profitable, you have to not be just as good as the bookmaker, you have to be a good degree better, because you're paying the vig.Appreciate the insight here, slick.
I've learned that the system by itself is doomed to fail. There are times where I look at matchups and know some of these are terrible plays but it's part of the system so it gets loaded up.
Betting on the Nationals Big 3, Rockies at Home, and the Astros in general has been a "winning system" if you ever chose to be so lazy and just phone it in like that.
The Orioles Over was the worst idea so far since there's less correlation with a combined over than with a team winning. Coors still has credence because of the stadium but is still a losing bet YTD.
As far as my personal stuff I've been having success with, I've been doing a lot of F5 betting. It's a lot more enjoyable not sweating out 3 hour games only to win or lose based on some relief pitcher I've never heard of.
Unfortunately for me, that doesn't give me much wiggle room to line-shop like you've suggested in this post here based on when the lines are released.
I need to load up at 5Dimes they do that reduced juice nonsense and since I've barely used the book I've got no cuts. I just hate the interface and do most of my gambling where I double-down until I reach a number worth withdrawing. If I was doing stable one-unit bets, the extra nickel would be way worth it.
I gamble everyday and the trick for me is getting in as much action as possible without having to Live bet. For me, familiarity with my sportsbook is a premium.
I like the philosophy of chasing but I don't think I'm saavy enough to determine anything about a matchup without reading a writeup from MLB.com as a crutch. I have been focusing on only betting games where there is a reasonable sample size for each pitcher with some success. I mostly ignore line movement. If it's around -150 and the angle makes sense, I take it.
But yeah, I definitely appreciate your insight as you're lightyears ahead of me in MLB betting and I missed talking to you in general.
Today:System YTD: 40 - 43 (48%), -$1,012.68
Since Allstar Break: 13 - 5 (72%), +$607.48
Today: 4 - 1
The comeback is real.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-H-pahXl33SEBhC-pR4-YGQQPzxeyUguoW8NIo0zwZw
CLV and $3 will get you a cup of coffee.My numbers say avoid the Rockies tomorroww, fwiw.