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Mmmmm, this crow tastes delicious. (1 Viewer)

This would be the year for Jordan Howard and CMC would thrive as a bellcow.  Man I was pretty proud of landing those two guys...not so proud now.

 
I don't know what happened.....but I expected the JAX D to be at least a top 3 unit.  There were guys taking the JAX D in the 9th or 10th round.  Insane. 

Instead, they have been shredded.   In one of my leagues, they are 16th.

 
I though Nick Chubb was going to be the top rookie RB and a big part of the Browns offense right away, but luckily I eventually smartened up and dropped him last Wednesday.

 
i remember over the summer thinking a trade of mccoy for golladay was just giving mccoy away for free....

this was before the domestic violence allegations

 
Fournette, 'nuff said

well, he looked great in pre-season, they added more offensive line talent, it just seemed like a no brainer.. just brutal, at least when I took DJ last year I could cut him after a season ending injury...

 
I don't know what happened.....but I expected the JAX D to be at least a top 3 unit.  There were guys taking the JAX D in the 9th or 10th round.  Insane. 

Instead, they have been shredded.   In one of my leagues, they are 16th.
Wrong topic, I realize,  but i was involved in several debates about the folly of taking a D/ST before the late rounds.  Just so many variables year to year From personnel to scheduling to injuries. Plus opportunity cost - what was there in the 8-9-10 rounds for roster depth that’s sacrificed by taking a D that early. 

 
Wrong topic, I realize,  but i was involved in several debates about the folly of taking a D/ST before the late rounds.  Just so many variables year to year From personnel to scheduling to injuries. Plus opportunity cost - what was there in the 8-9-10 rounds for roster depth that’s sacrificed by taking a D that early. 
They never learn ...

 
I'm losing a lot of weight this year compared to previous years due to lack of crow as I definitely have gotten far more right than wrong. However, it doesn't mean I haven't gotten anything wrong.

Mariota was going to be a top 10, possibly top 5 QB this year. Along with Corey Davis being a WR1

That's about it. I've had a lot of hits this year. I'll enjoy it while I can. 
?

Wanted as much of Marquise Goodwin as I could get. Thankfully I didn't get as much as wanted at the time.

In my main league, Fitz was the only one I wanted in the third round and I was ready to reach for him. Thankfully someone reached higher than I did. 

Had Hogan as a keeper from last year - thought he was going to kill it. Got super drunk and didn't draft a legal line-up so had to trade him at the end of the draft for Landry and an additional spot. I was super bummed at the time. 

Holding on to Henry for another year just waiting for it to all come together. And waiting. And waiting...

Thought Maholmes was gonna be JAG. 

In the subscriber contest, I had CMC and Gurley all lined up until the last day. Then I convinced myself since it wasn't full PPR I would go straight bellcows and swapped them for Fournette, Howard and Royce Freeman. Also had Kelce and Reed but decided I wanted diversity and have 5 bums now. 

 
Gronk in the second hasn't totally busted, but it was the wrong call. 

Jets backfield. I figured it would sort itself out. It hasn't to date.  

 
My lineup decisions every freakin week.  I’ve got a solid team and always seem to pick the wrong guys to start.  

I was wrong on Taylor as well.  I thought (and was hoping) he’d keep Mayfield off the field all year.  Also thought Crowell would be a locked in RB2 and that Cam Meredith would thrive as a WR2 in NO.

.
Same.   I’d be 6-1 in best ball. Instead I might get to 3-4 tonight. 

 
As of this point in the season my continued skepticism of Luck seems unfounded, though I still have my doubts. We shall see how the balance of the season shakes out. 

 
2018 David Johnson would revert back to 2016 David Johnson after a whole year of rest. The new coaching staff would lean on him heavily with a limited but veteran presence in Sam Bradford behind center and not a lot of receiving options outside of an aging Fitz.
This. ANY other first-rounder would have been a better choice for me (except Bell, but he was gone when I picked at 3). Hell, I should have drafted Hunt again, who I loved last year on my squad as a third-rounder.

I blame Sig for saying on the team preview that they would throw to DJ 100 times this year. I believed him.

 
As of this point in the season my continued skepticism of Luck seems unfounded, though I still have my doubts. We shall see how the balance of the season shakes out. 
Hey!  That's a nice admission, well said. 

But I think you were right to be skeptical. And I think he'll come down a bit from QB#3,

But your criticism that he was doing it on volume alone was off the mark yesterday. How many throws did he have? 23?  And 30 fantasy points?  1.something a throw is GOOD.

 
I had to have this guy. He's going to have a big year and noone sees it coming.

I'm the smartest guy in the room. All four of my draft rooms. Yep, landed him in all 4 leagues, and was pretty damn proud of myself.

His name?

Peyton freaking Barber 

?

 
I bought into the  "Amari Cooper will be the centerpiece of the offense"  and Tim Brown pegging him for 120 catches in this system talk.
Yep,  have him in most everything including L. Fitz although the Fitz was mine all the way.  Bradford as QB, loves to dink & dunk & accurate as hell ==Fitz as a WR 1.

crow is not too bad at a crowded table with a bunch here eating it.   

 
I faded Fournette since college based on injuries not talent. Went against gut feeling  thinking that this would be his one healthy year in several redrafts...

 
I've probably been the most accurate that I've ever been, but that doesn't mean that I always got my players or didn't end up with a player I wasn't high on. That said, here are the ones that went wrong:

1) Jags defense. I loaded up on them in probably 25 of my 40 teams. They were ok early on and it cost me the chance to get the Bears who I liked even before the trade or other teams that were still available.  

2) Fournette. I promised myself to avoid him because of the headaches related to him being injured last year, but then I saw that the Jags were planning to use him more in the passing game this year. Then I saw him catch a few balls in the third pre-season game and I thought he would have a monster season. I ended up drafting him in 4 of my last 7 drafts.

3) Goodwin - I loved what I saw at the end of last year and in pre-season.  First he got hurt, Then Jimmy G got hurt. Then I dumped him only to see him put up about 29 in his first game back. Grr.

This perfect storm cost of all three cost me several close losses in one league. Luckily, I'm somehow 17-4 in the other three leagues with Fournette where I got at least 2 of them.

Reminder to future self: Never again on Fournette. 

 
Royce Freeman = Snake Eyes.
Jury’s still out - he’s a talented dude who’s not getting enough opportunity. It’s a long season. We’ll see how that shakes out, but you don’t need to eat crow yet. He’s been Flex-worthy most of the year. 

 
Jury’s still out - he’s a talented dude who’s not getting enough opportunity. It’s a long season. We’ll see how that shakes out, but you don’t need to eat crow yet. He’s been Flex-worthy most of the year. 
Well, I left out a somewhat important piece of info.  First, a little background.

A younger relative invited me to a PPR (2) keeper league to fill a vacancy the night before the draft.  The team I inherited had 0 RBs worth keeping and not much else, so I chose to start clean.  The genius previous owner also traded away his 1st round pick for 3 additional picks.  Luckily, Kareem Hunt fell to me at 12 (R2.2) and one of the picks from the trade was 14 (R2.4).

All of the stud RBs were gone from being kept or drafted, so...  I rolled the dice on Freeman.  Of course, my relative blurts out about it being a huge reach in the chat.  I said nothing, because it was.

I was able to get Kerryon Johnson (took him early, too) and grabbed Conner off the WW before week 1.  He also drafted Hilton, who was on my roster and I could’ve kept him.  I just was iffy on Luck and have never liked Hilton.  Tyreek Hill was his big keeper, so I grabbed Mahomes to counter Hill when we match up and also to double dip with Hunt.

Anyway, it’s still possible to recover from gaffes like this.  Kerryon’s breakout was right on time as he filled in for Conner on his bye.

So the fam had a big lead going into the SNF CIN/KC matchup last night.  Him with Hill & Green and me with Mahomes & Hunt.  Took the lead by 1.4 before both teams took their starters out.  Hooper (WW pickup) is putting the exclamation point on a big W tonight (second highest total of the week) and I didn’t even need Freeman (benched for weeks)!  Back into 2nd at 4-3 (two divisions of 5).

Oh, Amari Cooper was my first WR taken.

:lmao:

 
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Gronk and Fournette. Easily. Here's my post about Gronk. I blame Bloom! lol

"mid to late 2nd: Get Gronk. I would take him over Michael Thomas, AJ Green, Davante Adams, and RBs like McKinnon/CMC/Freeman. I think he can replicate the 1200 yard/12+ TDs we saw a few years ago (albeit, when he was healthier). I like the schedule, I like the Patriots, he should be in for a career year in targets. And I like Gronk."

Although, I did have some nice calls! I'll eat my crow and toot my own horn too

"deep WRs huh... ranked too. Phillip Dorsett, Deon Cain, Dante Pettis, Taywan Taylor, Brandon Marshall, Jordan Lasley, Kendall Wright (Vikings), Tyler Boyd (John Ross seems to be doing well in camp, so maybe not this because of a lack of targets)

other post.

"QB: Cam, Big Ben, Rivers, Tyrod RB: Melvin Gordon (like Fournette as well, lean Gordon in PPR), Drake, McKinnon if he falls (only in PPR), Lewis, Tevin Coleman, Carson, Aaron Jones, Corey Clement WR: Gordon, Arob, Juju, Sanders, Crowder, Mike Williams, Doctson TE: Gronk, Howard, Walker, Cook, Goedert"

 
Relying on Collins, R Freeman, and P Barber (after passing on my gut and  Kamara for the safer and higher rated pick of David Johnson).

I too avoided Thielen and Mixon.

Lately it’s been mitigated by Michel and Lindsay.

Doug Baldwin would be better than JuJu due to Brown and Bell.  Boyd Amd Ridley have helped with that mess.

 
This. ANY other first-rounder would have been a better choice for me (except Bell, but he was gone when I picked at 3). Hell, I should have drafted Hunt again, who I loved last year on my squad as a third-rounder.

I blame Sig for saying on the team preview that they would throw to DJ 100 times this year. I believed him.
Yeah we sort of laughed at the draft of the guy behind me who took Hunt and Thielen and relied on Mahomes at QB

And of course he is 7-0 and destroying everyone.

 
Russell Wilson would replicate his season from last year. Worse o-line and offensive coordinator should have told me otherwise.

 
-X- said:
Well, I left out a somewhat important piece of info.  First, a little background.

A younger relative invited me to a PPR (2) keeper league to fill a vacancy the night before the draft.  The team I inherited had 0 RBs worth keeping and not much else, so I chose to start clean.  The genius previous owner also traded away his 1st round pick for 3 additional picks.  Luckily, Kareem Hunt fell to me at 12 (R2.2) and one of the picks from the trade was 14 (R2.4).

All of the stud RBs were gone from being kept or drafted, so...  I rolled the dice on Freeman.  Of course, my relative blurts out about it being a huge reach in the chat.  I said nothing, because it was.

I was able to get Kerryon Johnson (took him early, too) and grabbed Conner off the WW before week 1.  He also drafted Hilton, who was on my roster and I could’ve kept him.  I just was iffy on Luck and have never liked Hilton.  Tyreek Hill was his big keeper, so I grabbed Mahomes to counter Hill when we match up and also to double dip with Hunt.

Anyway, it’s still possible to recover from gaffes like this.  Kerryon’s breakout was right on time as he filled in for Conner on his bye.

So the fam had a big lead going into the SNF CIN/KC matchup last night.  Him with Hill & Green and me with Mahomes & Hunt.  Took the lead by 1.4 before both teams took their starters out.  Hooper (WW pickup) is putting the exclamation point on a big W tonight (second highest total of the week) and I didn’t even need Freeman (benched for weeks)!  Back into 2nd at 4-3 (two divisions of 5).

Oh, Amari Cooper was my first WR taken.

:lmao:
Sometimes better lucky than good I guess! Haha!

 
My worst heavy investment was McCoy in the 5th round.  I thought Shady had one more season of slop time in him.  The O-Line killed any hope of that early.  

Next worst investment was David Johnson.  He is killing two otherwise "good" teams.  The biggest issue with Johnson is that you HAVE to play him....

 
Russell Wilson would replicate his season from last year. Worse o-line and offensive coordinator should have told me otherwise.
I took him too, but didn't expect replicating his season...just had waited on a QB.  backing up him up with Rivers was one of the smarter things I did.  Though, in taking Rivers, I passed on Mahomes.

 
Hot Sauce Guy said:
Wrong topic, I realize,  but i was involved in several debates about the folly of taking a D/ST before the late rounds.  Just so many variables year to year From personnel to scheduling to injuries. Plus opportunity cost - what was there in the 8-9-10 rounds for roster depth that’s sacrificed by taking a D that early. 
In my main anyway, it was mostly guys that have been dropped, or should be dropped themselves: Watkins, Doctson, Stills, Penny, Jordy, Crowder, Doyle, Thompson, all taken in the next ~20 picks after JAX (plus several other D's and a few K's and backup QBs).

The only hit looks like Cooper Kupp.  JAX has been a bust but the opportunity cost wasn't high.

Just an N=1 observation.

 
I can go WR WR in drafts where I have a later pick and stock up on value RB2s with upside like Derrick Henry, Alex Collins, Royce Freeman, Peyton Barber and find 2 reliable starting RBs. 

 
In my main anyway, it was mostly guys that have been dropped, or should be dropped themselves: Watkins, Doctson, Stills, Penny, Jordy, Crowder, Doyle, Thompson, all taken in the next ~20 picks after JAX (plus several other D's and a few K's and backup QBs).

The only hit looks like Cooper Kupp.  JAX has been a bust but the opportunity cost wasn't high.

Just an N=1 observation.
World’s smallest sample size: 1 league. 

;)

In my D/ST league hits in the 8-9-10 included Burton, AP, Rivers, Matt Ryan, Mahommes, Shepherd, Cohen, Deion Lewis, Goff, Jared Cook, Eric Ebron, Robbie Anderson, Calvin Ridley, Will Fuller and a couple others who still may or may not have value. 

 
Elite qb's are incredibly valuable, so I should draft Wilson fairly early. And because I have Wilson, I don't need to gamble on lottery tickets like Mahomes as I'm better off using the space for other positions. 
Welp, at least I feel a little better not being the only one!

But now I have the GOAT Trubisky so it's all good.

 
Brees - He finished as the #10 QB last year and looked to have a weakened fastball. Decline seemed imminent and I thought he was overvalued. Didn't hurt me much as I went Rodgers and Ben/Rivers+Mahommes in my leagues.

Fournette - I didn't land him on any teams but bid high for him in auction and barely missed out. Thought he was a surefire RB1.

Hogan - Missed the boat here.

Goodwin - Early injury then losing Jimmy G killed him. I wouldn't be afraid to draft him again next year if there isn't San Fran WR upgrades and Jimmy G comes back 100%.

Graham - Thought he was part of the Big 4 TE's. He was the #1 TE from weeks 3-14 last year. Thoughts Rodgers would be an improvement over Wilson. Graham aged. Decent player just not what I expected.

San Diego defense - Thought there was potential to be the breakout defense this year with a strong secondary and 2 elite DE's. Pre-season injuries to key defenders ruined them. 

 
I took him too, but didn't expect replicating his season...just had waited on a QB.  backing up him up with Rivers was one of the smarter things I did.  Though, in taking Rivers, I passed on Mahomes.
I’ve been saved by Rivers as well. Mahomes has been incredible, but I can’t fault anyone who had Rivers ahead of him prior to the season.

 
Thought Patrick Mahomes was "a year away" and would turn the ball over a decent amount in his first full year starting.

Liked a few veteran receivers to have decent value: Kenny Stills, Ted Ginn Jr, and Randall Cobb.  Maybe even Terrell Pryor.

 
Was incredibly high on Kenyan Drake being a PPR stud.

Was very confident Alex Collins would be a every week solid RB 2

Those two are simply not working out and both are on my dynasty team which has now lost 5 straight weeks after starting 2-0.

On my redraft team we have hit on every pick except Alex Collins in the 5th round.

But man.......Drake was so damn good last season. Still has a shot to turn it around, especially with all the WR injuries in Miami. But IMO an underused talent by Gase. 

 
1. Drake; big miss.  I thought he was going to emerge this year.  He certainly has the talent.  At least last year he looked like he did.

2. Fournette and Cook.  I have them as a tandem on a couple of FBG teams where I had a back end draft position.  Thankfully, I have Yeldon and Murray on both teams, but man, have I learned a lesson about injury risk this year.  Never again with my top draft picks.

3. Avoiding Melvin Gordon for 1) excessive offensive options in SD and 2) injury risk (although the latter may be prescient).

4. Most far spread for me was that Ajayi would get injured and that Clement would take over the backfield and be very good.  He was 9th/10th round pick all over for me this year.  Got the first piece right, but it has not worked out as I'd hoped.

5. David Johnson.  Hope that changes.  I thought he'd have a great year.  Did not correctly assess the talent around him (Sam Bradford - I KNEW he would suck, actually) and the coaching staff problems in terms playbook and game plan.

6. Thinking Diggs would be a better fit for Cousins than he was for Keenum and therefore be the WR1 in Minn.  Ugh.

 

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