Yea that is prolly a good way to look at it, I also think to myself - - - if you're underdog, you start high upside guy, if you are favored, start safer play.
However, Zack Moss, to me is favored much more over Tim Patrick in my mind. Moss's usage has been increasing and I think he is emerging as preferred back and this would be his game script.
Javonte split is not as favorable yet and I think Corey is a bit unreliable atm.