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My Stock Value Strategy Starts Now (2 Viewers)

Added another 1200 shares of FEED at $2.35

FEED - AgFeed Industries, Inc. (AgFeed) is engaged in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, distribution and sale of pre-mix fodder blended feed and feed additives primarily for use in China's domestic pork husbandry market.

I love this Chinese companies business model a ton and I plan on continually adding to my position through the year. Essentially they make hog feed. Once this segment became very profitable for them, they started buying hogfarms (and obviously converting those farms to use their own feed). People were skeptical that they knew anything about managing hogfarms and pushed this stock way lower. Their quarterly report showed both industry segments were immensely profitable and the stock exploded (Stock is up 48% year to date).

But I think this thing is just starting to get wheels and here is my logic:

- Institutions only own 14% of this company. All it takes is a few more mutual funds wanting a large stake here and this stock pops big.

- They have $137M in assets against just $18M in liabilities yet their market cap number is just $91M.

- They have cash around $50 million and will likely use that to acquire even more hogfarms which in turn has them selling more feed as well.

- Many other China hogfarms are struggling in this economy. I believe provisions are in the China stimulus to assist some of these troubled companies too. And with Agfeed looking to acquire more hogfarms, many competitors are switching to agfeed for their food to put themselves in play for acquisition.

I picked this stock in the FBG stock contest when it was trading at 1.62. All that's happened since then is that they have shown they can run both sides of this integrated company. I fully expect this stock to be over $4.00 by year's end.

 
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sold 400 GPRE @ 3.10

After starting March 17th with just over $2100, I have bought/sold three securities for a total profit of about $670...30% increase isn't bad. I'm still new at trading, so I'm a little gun shy but I was hoping for some input with the action I took with GPRE.

Purchased 400 @ $1.64. I am following the Simple Moving Average, Bollinger Bands, and Relative Strength Index as the indicators for my stock research. Yesterday, GPRE pushed over the upper BB and passed 80 on the RSI. I missed the day's high ($3.10) yesterday, so I set a limit sell order at opening of 3.10 and hit it.

Am I overthinking this trade? Should I have held for awhile and ignored the indicators?

 
Lord of Football said:
Added 1,000 FAS 6.72
Gonna help ya out if I can. Since I am usually wrong, I think you are in a world of #### with FAS.
I bought in at the end of the last rally and I'm still stuck in at $7.20.If I had free money right now, I'd jump on FAZ tomorrow and unload on Friday. It seems like Friday's have been "down" days. It's almost like the traders want to call it a week and book all of their profits and then start new on Monday.
 
Lord of Football said:
Added 1,000 FAS 6.72
Gonna help ya out if I can. Since I am usually wrong, I think you are in a world of #### with FAS.
I bought in at the end of the last rally and I'm still stuck in at $7.20.If I had free money right now, I'd jump on FAZ tomorrow and unload on Friday. It seems like Friday's have been "down" days. It's almost like the traders want to call it a week and book all of their profits and then start new on Monday.
The 2 are simply red/black on a roulette wheel. Place bet at 3:59 pm. Wait overnight to see if your bet hits. Sell at open.
 
Lord of Football said:
Added 1,000 FAS 6.72
Gonna help ya out if I can. Since I am usually wrong, I think you are in a world of #### with FAS.
I bought in at the end of the last rally and I'm still stuck in at $7.20.If I had free money right now, I'd jump on FAZ tomorrow and unload on Friday. It seems like Friday's have been "down" days. It's almost like the traders want to call it a week and book all of their profits and then start new on Monday.
I agree with buying faz late today this time, but I've went back and looked at the last 4 fridays and fas was the winner 3 of the last 4 fridays. Just fyi
 
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decided not to get too greedy and sold the last 5,000 DXO at 3.13. Very happy with this
I was wondering about that but didn't want to say anything. You made a decent profit why hold out for an additional $250?So DXO should hit $4 by Monday.
Exactly. The second I sell stuff goes through the roof. It's uncanny how many HUGE gains I have just missed out this year. And to add insult to injury here, I am seconds from taking a position against oil (SCO) do it's a given DXO will skyrocket
 
added another 10,000 FREE at 1.18. I was inches from selling all of it at 1.30 today (just missed before heading lower). So now I have more...lol. Life story here.

 
Year to date Profit = $22,727

Today's Realized gains/Losses

Sold 5,000 DXO at 3.10 ; Profit = $2,238

Sold 5,000 DXO at 3.13 ; Profit = $2,388

Holding these positions:

30,000 FREE at 1.18 - Selling at 1.30 (missed by 1 penny today before falling back)

3,000 PRGN @ 3.37 - Selling at 3.70

6,300 FEED @ 2.34 - Selling at 2.75 (really not interested in selling here and might just keep adding)

500 MS @ 23.55 - Selling at 23.75 (I expected a pop at close or aftermarket and did not get it)

 
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i want to buy somje stock, where should I setup an account at? What do you use? Are you happy?
MB Trading IMHO is the best for experience traders because of the low transaction fees.Scottrade is good for beginners.
 
Added 1,000 FAS 6.72
Gonna help ya out if I can. Since I am usually wrong, I think you are in a world of #### with FAS.
I bought in at the end of the last rally and I'm still stuck in at $7.20.If I had free money right now, I'd jump on FAZ tomorrow and unload on Friday. It seems like Friday's have been "down" days. It's almost like the traders want to call it a week and book all of their profits and then start new on Monday.
The 2 are simply red/black on a roulette wheel. Place bet at 3:59 pm. Wait overnight to see if your bet hits. Sell at open.
I think you're correct here, I missed this one. Have a stop loss set at 6.00, probably will hit today. I've got to stay away from these things.
 
Staying away is the hard thing. Playing these things is like picking up quarters off of a railroad track. You can get some good gains if you time them right but they can also bring a world of hurt. To stretch the analogy further, eventually you are going to get reamed with both.It is hard to justify playing things that have such a woeful performance over time.So why is the temptation so strong. It is like the sirens of mythology!

Added 1,000 FAS 6.72
Gonna help ya out if I can. Since I am usually wrong, I think you are in a world of #### with FAS.
I bought in at the end of the last rally and I'm still stuck in at $7.20.If I had free money right now, I'd jump on FAZ tomorrow and unload on Friday. It seems like Friday's have been "down" days. It's almost like the traders want to call it a week and book all of their profits and then start new on Monday.
The 2 are simply red/black on a roulette wheel. Place bet at 3:59 pm. Wait overnight to see if your bet hits. Sell at open.
I think you're correct here, I missed this one. Have a stop loss set at 6.00, probably will hit today. I've got to stay away from these things.
 
Well done DD.Hope to have my account open and ready by Monday...
Temper your expectations for your account a bit, if you haven't already. Dodds has put at risk between 150K and 200K at times, if I recall.
Yea. I've been following from the beginning. Learned a lot and hope not to make some of the same mistakes. Looked like he had about 100k in at the beginning and making transactions of about 10k. My goal is 3 to 5 percent average per transaction. Of course I will be limited to 3 trades per 5 days which is fine. Hopefully it will limit my mistakes. Besides this thread I've been following another site and may try advice from both places and see how it turns out. Good luck to all!
 
Quick advise:

For people starting out with small amounts (10K or less), finding a good, but cheap online broker is key. You'll want a discount broker most likey. I've heard pretty good things about MB Trading. I use TradeKing myself, and have had no real problems. I've talked with them once and had no problem resolving the issue quickly. MB and TradeKing both let you trade at approx $5 per transaction. That's about as cheap as it gets, and both of these have a good rep.

Also consider averaging in as a easy beginner strat. Say you Wells Fargo is down today and you think its a good time to buy:

Buy 100 $15

Plan to buy 100 if it goes to $14.25, and 100 more if it goes to $13.50.

By avg. down you can manage some of the risk even with you small amount of investment. Of course if it goes up, and not further down, you just sell and take your profit. Theoretically, if you avg. down twice as in this example, and then say you were able to sell it all at $15, you'd make $0.75 on all 300 shares (avg. cost of $14.25), and your fees would only be $20 for 4 transactions. A profit of $205 for selling at the same price you originally bought.

Worse case scenario is that the market goes down and down and you compound your losses. This will eventually happen, so don't start thinking you can't lose cause this could work 10 times in a row, but then 1 really bad bear market could nearly swipe all the profits from the first 10 successes. There's no free lunch when playing the stock market. You'll need to be able to take a few blows to the stomach from time to time.

 
... snipI have a Scottrade account and I'm happy. I think the minimum you have to have in it is $500 and trades are $7.
Another vote for Scottrade here. I was deciding between TD Ameritrade, Scwab and Scott. There is no "close your account" fee at Scott, so if you are on the fence and it may not work out, it is no risk whereas other places may charge a fee to close. LAfan68
 
i want to buy somje stock, where should I setup an account at? What do you use? Are you happy?
MB Trading IMHO is the best for experience traders because of the low transaction fees.Scottrade is good for beginners.
anyone else?
I just opened up a Sogotrade account the other day. I'm very new to this as well and starting small. As I learn the ropes I may switch, but this is a good start for me. Their trades are $3 and they give you 100 free trades for 30 days after signing up. PM me if you would like a referral. (Not sure if it gets you anything though).
 
Well done DD.Hope to have my account open and ready by Monday...
Temper your expectations for your account a bit, if you haven't already. Dodds has put at risk between 150K and 200K at times, if I recall.
It's definitely been a hard fight, but kind of fun in a sick and twisted way
I have been captivated by this thread, DD and some of you others have the nads and knowledge to really go for the big gains. Reading every post has been eye opening, the lack of sarcasm indicates the general seriousness of all posters. When DD has to get earnest with FF I'm going to miss his teaching. :goodposting:
 
Talk about funny. I have 30,000 shares of FREE so every single penny this thing moves, I am up or down $300. The fact I was willing to dump a huge position at 1.30 yesterday and it got to $1.29 plus I put in the sell order only to watch it come all the way back to $1.18 or so was maddening. I feel confident in this company through the next reporting cycle though. They are doing the right things with their older ships.

The only thing that is starting to worry me a bit is the BDI continues to sink because of the Iron Ore negotiations (or lack of negotiations) with China. Once this gets settled though prices should skyrocket with too few ships to make all the shipments especially with Stimulus plans getting started. FREE is a fun company, because they simply have among the oldest ships out there. But that has allowed them to carve out a niche which has been nicely profitable. I think in this economy they are poised to be a big part of this rebound. I am just sad I did not get into this stock when it was trading for about $0.70

 
For some reason, FAS is running hard. I don't see much good news, and there is certainly more bad economic news. I don't see the run being supported long.

Over the last 15 days, this has bounced between $5 and $7 five times.

If the run holds, I will either sell outright or set a conservative stop near the end of the day. Remember that FAS/FAZ have the tendency to accelerate the last 30 minutes when they have shown a clear trend.

 
Talk about funny. I have 30,000 shares of FREE so every single penny this thing moves, I am up or down $300. The fact I was willing to dump a huge position at 1.30 yesterday and it got to $1.29 plus I put in the sell order only to watch it come all the way back to $1.18 or so was maddening. I feel confident in this company through the next reporting cycle though. They are doing the right things with their older ships. The only thing that is starting to worry me a bit is the BDI continues to sink because of the Iron Ore negotiations (or lack of negotiations) with China. Once this gets settled though prices should skyrocket with too few ships to make all the shipments especially with Stimulus plans getting started. FREE is a fun company, because they simply have among the oldest ships out there. But that has allowed them to carve out a niche which has been nicely profitable. I think in this economy they are poised to be a big part of this rebound. I am just sad I did not get into this stock when it was trading for about $0.70
In for 2,000 shares @ 1.21. Edit: Make that 2,000 shares, the other half of my order didn't fill.
 
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For some reason, FAS is running hard. I don't see much good news, and there is certainly more bad economic news. I don't see the run being supported long.Over the last 15 days, this has bounced between $5 and $7 five times.If the run holds, I will either sell outright or set a conservative stop near the end of the day. Remember that FAS/FAZ have the tendency to accelerate the last 30 minutes when they have shown a clear trend.
Out half my FAS @ 7.09 for a 18% gainI sold that with 4 minutes to go. Then tried to sell my other half when it bounced up to 7.20 at closing, but didn't get it clicked in on time.I am OK with holding FAS at 6.01, but I fully expect downward action next week.Hope the other FAS/FAZ traders cashed in as well.
 
my MS executed at 24.00. Happy to win with this as I bought it yesterday because I was certain it would go up near the closing bell or in after market. when that did not happen, i almost sold for a loss then it rallied late

 
Today I established a position in RIMM - Research in Motion (maker of the blackberry) at a cost of $38.72 per share. I think anything under $40 is a real bargain. There's a lot of chatter in the tech world about coming mergers and acquisitions and RIMM is prominent in those discussions. Even without a near-term acquisition, I think current prices are very attractive.
:lmao:
 
Today I established a position in RIMM - Research in Motion (maker of the blackberry) at a cost of $38.72 per share. I think anything under $40 is a real bargain. There's a lot of chatter in the tech world about coming mergers and acquisitions and RIMM is prominent in those discussions. Even without a near-term acquisition, I think current prices are very attractive.
:D
Holy crap. Nice job. :thumbup:
 
Year to date Profit = $22,940

Today's Realized gains/Losses

Sold 500 MS @ 24.00 ; Profit 225 - 12 = $213

Holding these positions (unrealized gains):

30,000 FREE at 1.18 (currently at 1.24; +1,800)

3,000 PRGN @ 3.37 (currently at 3.50; +390)

6,300 FEED @ 2.34 (current at 2.53; +1,197)

 
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Any thoughts on why SBLK spiked over 10% right before the bell?
I think institutions are starting to add the Dry Shippers to their mutual funds as the market starts to rebound. SBLK has the huge vessels so this also could be an indicator that China is about to agree to Iron Ore prices too.
 
This could be an interesting week for the oil ETFs. UCO is due to rollover on the 6th business day of the month (April 8th) and will roll 20% of their contracts a day. Last time they did this, USO manager essentially manipulated this exchange (and screwed a lot of us holding oil contracts, because we bought into the higher contracts at a high price and then watched it deteriorate badly). Adding insult to injury here, UCO will be buying the July contracts (same ones that DXO has, but will need to rollover in the next month).

I am still trying to grasp what all this will mean, but I think DXO in the very short term could pop if people manipulate July oil higher and then after the contracts are bought there could be massive selling off (making SCO and DTO) the play. Inventories are worse today than they were when oil was at $35/barrel. But saying oil will drop when their is some broud market enthusiasm as well as a lot of tension in the world right now is a risky situation.

I am going to watch this very very carefully. I may just sit on the sidelines though and look for the HUGE move downward to lock into cheaper oil nce again. Just thought people should know that their could be some manipulations going on in this week. It's probably a great opportunity to day-trade daily in and out.

 
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Well finally got my account and my checking account verified.

I go to xfer funds electronically and it says it will process the next business day. Really! Wtf! Is this the stoneage?

 
How are you guys deciding to get into faz or fas? Are you waiting for the market to open and see which way its moving and hopping on the train? Or deciding based on after hours trading? Or what?
It's alive. Buying gold? :rolleyes:
Sorry man. That's not me.
Oops my bad.I kinda miss that guy. But I enjoy a good laugh.
Them's fighting words.
Got milk? :boxing: I do appologise to KGB mistaking him for BGP. I get dislexia some times (this ins't the 1st time I have confused the 2).
 
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