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My Stock Value Strategy Starts Now (2 Viewers)

I'm completely baffled that anyone who has done some homework on HEB is pumping more money into it.there's a reason there are no FDA approved drugs for CFS (no one knows what causes it or if it even exists) and it's about the 100th thing HEB has tried to get approval for.also the head of this company is a complete quack who has been extremely shady in the past.good luck, but a miracle is more likely what is going to be needed.
You are wrong on most every point here, but not sure I am going to be able to nor would want to convince you. This is a high risk adventure. I have stated that many times.1. CFS does exist, but you are correct they are not exactly sure what causes it. You do realize that the FDA has already given HEB permission to use Ampligen on clinical cases of people that have CFS?2. Actually Dr. Carter might be somewhat right that this thing helps a lot of things. It looks like the perfect Adjuvant, based on Japanese tests so this could be the secret ingredient regarding all vaccines going forward. But despite Carter making claims that it helps in a lot of cases, they have not went after FDA approval for CFS.3. The head of the company is an extremely smart scientist. Not sure what you mean by a quack and about being shady in the past. No one in this company (not even Carter) has sold ANY of their shares of stock the last 5 years. This includes this year when this thing popped above $4.50. No sales. If this team thought they had syrup water, wouldn't someone sell there? Just for giggles, look at the insider trading for the Street.com. Lots and lots of sales and no adds.4. I could go on and on why I think Carter and his team have something, but will just leave with these points:- The guy they brought on this week (Dickie) quit his normal job to take a low base salary and the ability to buy lots of shares at $2.81. He is a known Mergers and Acquisition guy.- The FDA has not asked for any additional information regarding Ampligen's application. Does this sound like this would be the case if a quack submitted this and it had absolutely NO CHANCE at approval? - Drugs that get this deep inside the system are granted approval eventually 80% of the time. With successful trials and no toxology issues, doesn't this seem like it has a decent chance for approval. Nothing else treats CFS, and this one has data from a lot of studies that says it helps. Most of this data was presented way before now and has not been questioned.- There is SIGNIFICANT short action on this. Based on my calculations, if this does get approved it is a recoiled spring waiting to unload. Short covering could push this past $15 on approval.So for me, this is really a risk/reward thing. Many people feel like you based on the Street.com articles. If you believe those guys are legit in their analysis then clearly stay away. If approved, this thing is worth at least $12. If Japan uses Ampligen as an adjuvant for H1N1 and they get FDA approval, this company will be bought out as it represents the future of ALL Vaccines. If somehow the FDA says get lost (no approval and never come back) and Japan also says the same (despite tests showing Ampligen boosts effectiveness 100X allowing them to cut their vaccines a lot), then yes we have something maybe worth 25 cents. Again make sure everyone understands. This is not a slam dunk approval. Moderated has pointed to some possible problems and their can be others. I am a gambler at heart and this feels like one of those high risk/high reward scenarios I love. If I knew positively this would be approved, this thing would not be selling for $2.00 right now. Good luck to all here.
I agree 100% with Dodds. This is a straight up gamble for me. I like the high upside potential. All things said, I peg the approval chances at about 67%. If this thing goes to zero (which it won't), I can afford to lose all of my money - life will go on unchanged. If it hits, I can buy a new car and pay cash for it. This market sucks - the crooks run it - I'm a little fish in a huge pond with no idea who is pulling the strings and why. Life does not give you many opportunities like this. Count me in.
 
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Mose said:
PRGN is kinda boring so far today.
I think it's going to be boring until early August. There will likely be no news until earnings (August 7th or so), but I would expect this stock to be in play strong the week before that. I am just excited about PRGN, because I think fair value is about $5.00. So if you are patient, you should get this.
 
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HEB short interest is over 10million shares. Can you say naked short selling? This is DNDN all over again. Looks like some of the shorts are getting squeamish though as HEB is moving north.

 
Added 5,000 PRGN at 3.64....very pleased to get this price. I will now wait until below 3.60 to add shares (should they become available)

 
Added 5,000 CNB at 0.67 earlier to cost average down on my 10,000 shares. I am probably doomed in this bank, but just looking for an ounce of good news to get out of this thing.

 
you selling any HEB today, David, or holding it all for the homerun?
I think I am holding it unless we get close to $3.00 or so. There is a TON of short interest. I saw this coming a mile away. We are at $2.31 now and this could also be a leak of news.
 
I'm assuming HEB action is based off the Russell news.
Was there an update?HEB is on the prelimary addition list as of the 19th.

Final membership in the Russell 3000 isnt out until the 29th apparently.

http://www.russell.com/indexes/membership/...on_changes.aspx
i am very new to this, but would a russell 3000 fund be able to buy HEB prior to it being official? I would think they have to have some liberty there.
I believe some do and some don't.
 
In prgn here @ 3.65
Sold it all for 3.65. Watching level 2. Its all buys and as soon as the 3.65s get bought more get added instantly. Last time I saw this they were diluting
so, you bought the stock and sold it same day at the same price? :goodposting:were you not aware of the dilution?
No. I figured it out afterwards. Maybe just oitsmarting myself as the selloff at 2.65 is done and its finally moving up
 
Still learning the ropes here. Can someone in easy layman’s terms explain to me the pros and cons of my long holdings having a recent surge in short interests? AGEN, CTIC, HEB are all being massively shorted, to the extreme. Please explain to me if this is a good or bad thing, and what I can expect. I have faith in all 3 companies, but just want to know if these are now more easily manipulated (ie.e. Dendreon)

Cell Therapeutics, Inc. - Common Stock

Settlement Date Short Interest Percent Change Average Daily Share Volume Days to Cover

06/15/2009 18,010,492 18.64 41,532,541 1.00

05/29/2009 15,181,343 13.43 18,038,036 1.00

05/15/2009 13,384,280 139.21 60,965,579 1.00

04/30/2009 5,595,167 (17.91) 16,307,030 1.00

04/15/2009 6,815,512 63.45 18,471,107 1.00

03/31/2009 4,169,725 1840.56 35,107,007 1.00

03/13/2009 214,872 (43.90) 2,377,493 1.00

Antigenics Inc. - Common Stock

Settlement Date Short Interest Percent Change Average Daily Share Volume Days to Cover

06/15/2009 6,159,160 642.96 14,878,887 1.00

05/29/2009 829,008 (3.43) 1,203,659 1.00

05/15/2009 858,497 (12.36) 325,391 2.64

Couldn’t locate chart for HEB

 
In prgn here @ 3.65
Sold it all for 3.65. Watching level 2. Its all buys and as soon as the 3.65s get bought more get added instantly. Last time I saw this they were diluting
so, you bought the stock and sold it same day at the same price? :goodposting:were you not aware of the dilution?
No. I figured it out afterwards. Maybe just oitsmarting myself as the selloff at 2.65 is done and its finally moving up
Zooms past $3.85I dont really see anymore downside to PRGN. If you are expecting to buy it below $3.50 in the next few weeks good luck.
 
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Some more conspiracy stuff here...

The HEB Move could be just to make an even stronger downward push from a higher price point:

- The normal HEB bashers at Yahoo aren't posting at all. It's as if they want the price to surge up a bit naturally without the MMs manipulation.

- Look at the DNDN chart and you will see these kinds of moves and then massive short attack to really scare people.

- Through the manipulation of the few days prior, there was MASSIVE resistance below $2.00 range. I think MMs worked hard yesterday just to hold it at $2 all day. Remove the pressure and this is what we have.

I am holding here. This is a shot at a big big score and I am willing to roll the dice here. But I won't be shocked at all to see this go to 2.35+ at close and then add another 10-15 cents in the after-hours/pre-Market only to be CRUSHED hard in the morning. The MMs goal will be to drop this all the way back to $2.00 (which is where they were able to hold it before today). But letting it ride up first and then doing this, scares the hell out of a lot of people and allows this shorting strategy to gain a lot more traction.

So for some of you, selling now may afford you a great opportunity to buy back a lot lower tomorrow. Then again it might get approved tonight afterhours.

 
Zooms past $3.85I dont really see anymore downside to PRGN. If you are expecting to buy it below $3.50 in the next few weeks good luck.
I see it trading between 3.65 and 3.90 for another week and then all of a sudden just start adding 5-10 cents a day as we get closer to earnings. EVERYONE following this thing knows earnings are going to be huge. There is not going to be any more dilution. They have cash. Their balance sheet will be awesome. This is a $5.00 stock right around earnings. PATIENCE. Ask yourself when can you make money this fast. 25+ percent in 35-40 days.
 
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Zooms past $3.85I dont really see anymore downside to PRGN. If you are expecting to buy it below $3.50 in the next few weeks good luck.
I see it trading between 3.65 and 3.90 for another week and then all of a sudden just start adding 5-10 cents a day as we get closer to earnings. EVERYONE following this thing knows earnings are going to be huge. There is not going to be any more dilution. They have cash. Their balance sheet will be awesome. This is a $5.00 stock right around earnings. PATIENCE. Ask yourself when can you make money this fast. 25+ percent in 35-40 days.
What is the reason it is trading at this level?
 
What is the reason it is trading at this level?
The Shipping Sector peaks every year around late May/early June. This is when BDI hits it top and then the Shippers stock price retreat a bit. Everything then is based on earnings. PRGN retreated because they diluted their 27 million shares with an additional 20 million shares. That is very significant. This was a $6+ stock and climbing before that. But what people need to realize about dilution is that it's not a dollar for a dollar. This company then has the money that comes with these sales. And that money will pay down debt to make PRGN look even more attractive to people. But until earnings there is no real news here so the stock is going to be in a stagnant holding pattern. Most people will sell instead of holding a stock that never moves and that's what we are seeing now.Very soon, we will see a statement that says the last 10M shares were fully diluted and at what price.At earnings we will see if they opted to buy any of their own stock at these reduced levels (They have authority to buy up to $20M worth. I am hopeful that they were able to do some of this while also paying down their debt. They possibly could earn another $6-10M on a big pop after earnings if they bought the full $20M). I don't see any possible news coming down that could topple this stock. It's floor is at worst $3.50-3.60 range right now. It's ceiling with a great earnings report could be $5.50-$6.00. As we get closer to earnings, more people will have this on their radar.
 
Zooms past $3.85I dont really see anymore downside to PRGN. If you are expecting to buy it below $3.50 in the next few weeks good luck.
I see it trading between 3.65 and 3.90 for another week and then all of a sudden just start adding 5-10 cents a day as we get closer to earnings. EVERYONE following this thing knows earnings are going to be huge. There is not going to be any more dilution. They have cash. Their balance sheet will be awesome. This is a $5.00 stock right around earnings. PATIENCE. Ask yourself when can you make money this fast. 25+ percent in 35-40 days.
Im at 5,000 shares. I plan to get crazy (for me) and get up to 20,000 by the 3rd week of July. Im gonna buy at any dip. Hopefully holding a total average price of around $3.60-$3.90.20-25k gain in a month will be nice.
 
Finally getting around to updating this....I like how this portfolio is coming together here after exiting with a thud out of CENX.

Year to Date Profit = $136,633

Last Trades Realized Gains/Losses:

Sold 5,000 CENX @ 5.85 - Loss = -2712

Sold 5,000 CENX @ 6.04 - Loss = -1762

Sold 2,000 FEED @ 5.89 - Profit = +708

Sold 1,000 SVA @ 3.85 - Profit = +48



Holding:

9,000 HEB @ 2.13 - This is starting to feel very nice. Holding strong at a 2.41 close.

400 CHK @ 22.77 - I am stubborn on this. I like natural gas going forward

1,000 UNG @ 14.08 - Targeting 16.00 here. Seems safe as a hold. Below 13.75 and I will add shares.

10,000 CNB @ 0.745 - This is a longshot play hoping for the bank to be taken over.

2,200 FEED @ 5.54 - Will sell close to 5.90

3,000 COIN @ 1.24 - I like what these guys are doing, but this might be a dog

8,000 PRGN @ 3.61 - This feels extremely safe. I will be adding to this position.

 
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I'm sitting in all cash w my trading account.

Transferred my IRA into a trading account and bought UNG at 14.05 yesterday.

However, it is only a cash account. Does anyone here trade their IRA in a margin account or know if its possible?

 
Nice run on FAS at the end of day. Just missed the $9 trigger. I will not keep the trigger at $9. I will likely put a stop limit around $8.60. I think this will correct a bit tomorrow after three up days and my short term sentiment is down. But I missed a few huge run-ups when I sold thinking this same thing.

Anyone else out there on FAS?

 
so how many people still have HEB? (shares and price please)

I have 9,000 @ 2.13 (I am kind of disappointed I did not manuever better when this thing crashed to $1.75, but it's hard because you start to suspect someone knows bad news.

 
I'm sitting in all cash w my trading account.Transferred my IRA into a trading account and bought UNG at 14.05 yesterday. However, it is only a cash account. Does anyone here trade their IRA in a margin account or know if its possible?
I don't believe you are legally allowed to trade on margin in a retirement account. I had to open mine in my regular brokerage account.
 
so how many people still have HEB? (shares and price please)I have 9,000 @ 2.13 (I am kind of disappointed I did not manuever better when this thing crashed to $1.75, but it's hard because you start to suspect someone knows bad news.
325 at 2.68. All free shares.Would've added at least 1000 at 1.50 had I been sitting here when that crash occurred. Will strongly consider at least doubling my position if it drops below 2.00 on a stop loss run tomorrow and I'm sitting in front of the computer during those milliseconds.
 
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so how many people still have HEB? (shares and price please)I have 9,000 @ 2.13 (I am kind of disappointed I did not manuever better when this thing crashed to $1.75, but it's hard because you start to suspect someone knows bad news.
300 @ 1.42...Freebies(already sold some freebies around 2.50)
 

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