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My Stock Value Strategy Starts Now (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter David Dodds
- Start date
I love how you work that "as Dodds, Walkmen said" in there, as if those two discovered something revolutionary about investing and need to get credit for it. That gave me a good laugh.
siffoin
Footballguy
Why would you make a comment with the sole intention of being a ####?This is Dodds thread. He can say whatever the #### he wants.Walkman has added a lot too.Seems they were just trying to answer questions. Not be all high and mighty.Mystery Achiever said:I love how you work that "as Dodds, Walkmen said" in there, as if those two discovered something revolutionary about investing and need to get credit for it. That gave me a good laugh.
Drifter
Footballguy
That's the Beej way. He also won't be back to respond. That, too, is the Beej wayWhy would you make a comment with the sole intention of being a ####?This is Dodds thread. He can say whatever the #### he wants.Walkman has added a lot too.Seems they were just trying to answer questions. Not be all high and mighty.Mystery Achiever said:I love how you work that "as Dodds, Walkmen said" in there, as if those two discovered something revolutionary about investing and need to get credit for it. That gave me a good laugh.
David Dodds
Administrator
I am back to 100% cash here.
I sold 4,000 FEED at 4.60 - Profit = 900 - 18 = 882
I sold 5,000 PRGN at 4.74 - Profit = 490 - 18 = 472
Screwed up big time on FUQI by selling yesterday.
I sold 4,000 FEED at 4.60 - Profit = 900 - 18 = 882
I sold 5,000 PRGN at 4.74 - Profit = 490 - 18 = 472
Screwed up big time on FUQI by selling yesterday.
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The Ref
Footballguy
I hope not... otherwise you got screwed.....
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David Dodds
Administrator
yes got 4.60. Numbers on the brain here...I corrected my postI hope not... otherwise you got screwed.....
David Dodds
Administrator
The VIX Index: Buy When High, Go When Low
This is an older article, but it's relevence is timely here:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/35391-the-...igh-go-when-low
The VIX is the implied volatility on the S&P 500 index options for the next 30 days. The VIX is most often used to gauge market sentiment (fear and greed).
At times when investors are worried that the stock market will go down or are trying to prevent further losses, people will buy puts. When demand for puts outpaces supply, prices of puts go up. When prices of options go up, implied volatility goes up. This in turn is reflected as an increase in the VIX index.
In contrast, when market participants do not fear the market heading downward, people will refrain from buying puts. Less demand, lower prices, lower VIX index.
At times when everyone is bearish, high VIX index, these make good times to buy stocks. The reasoning being that if everyone is bearish, there is no one else to sell. No sellers, no more downward pressure on stocks. A visual picture of the inverse relationship between the VIX and price shows this concept well: VIX Index.
Likewise, when everyone is bullish, the VIX index is low; these times are excellent points to exit long stock positions. Logically, if everyone is bullish, then there is no one else to buy. With no buyers, there is no more upward pressure on stocks.
In summary, the VIX is a great contrary indicator. When the VIX is high, it's time to buy, when the VIX is low, it's time to go.
This is an older article, but it's relevence is timely here:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/35391-the-...igh-go-when-low
The VIX is the implied volatility on the S&P 500 index options for the next 30 days. The VIX is most often used to gauge market sentiment (fear and greed).
At times when investors are worried that the stock market will go down or are trying to prevent further losses, people will buy puts. When demand for puts outpaces supply, prices of puts go up. When prices of options go up, implied volatility goes up. This in turn is reflected as an increase in the VIX index.
In contrast, when market participants do not fear the market heading downward, people will refrain from buying puts. Less demand, lower prices, lower VIX index.
At times when everyone is bearish, high VIX index, these make good times to buy stocks. The reasoning being that if everyone is bearish, there is no one else to sell. No sellers, no more downward pressure on stocks. A visual picture of the inverse relationship between the VIX and price shows this concept well: VIX Index.
Likewise, when everyone is bullish, the VIX index is low; these times are excellent points to exit long stock positions. Logically, if everyone is bullish, then there is no one else to buy. With no buyers, there is no more upward pressure on stocks.
In summary, the VIX is a great contrary indicator. When the VIX is high, it's time to buy, when the VIX is low, it's time to go.
David Dodds
Administrator
VIX just crossed over and is now below 20. The market may still go a tad bit higher, but a correction is looming. I am going to wait for this to happen before getting my money back in the market. I may play counter to the market with something like EEV for the short-term while I wait.
A timely article on this today:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34573992
A timely article on this today:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/34573992
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parasaurolophus
Footballguy
Is he the one that taught us that there is a top and there is a bottom and sometimes it hits one or the other and you can tell when it hit one of the two at some point in time afterward?I am so grateful for that knowledge earlier in this thread. Changed my life.That's the Beej way. He also won't be back to respond. That, too, is the Beej wayWhy would you make a comment with the sole intention of being a ####?This is Dodds thread. He can say whatever the #### he wants.Walkman has added a lot too.Seems they were just trying to answer questions. Not be all high and mighty.Mystery Achiever said:I love how you work that "as Dodds, Walkmen said" in there, as if those two discovered something revolutionary about investing and need to get credit for it. That gave me a good laugh.
optionmaven
Footballguy
I thought another one of his famous quotes was "the markets going to go up or down" and "we'll know in a few days". Classic stuff there.Is he the one that taught us that there is a top and there is a bottom and sometimes it hits one or the other and you can tell when it hit one of the two at some point in time afterward?I am so grateful for that knowledge earlier in this thread. Changed my life.That's the Beej way. He also won't be back to respond. That, too, is the Beej wayWhy would you make a comment with the sole intention of being a ####?This is Dodds thread. He can say whatever the #### he wants.Walkman has added a lot too.Seems they were just trying to answer questions. Not be all high and mighty.Mystery Achiever said:
dotman
Footballguy
Anyone else holding PAL?.....I wasn't watching the market today and I see it closed at 2.96....why the run up? I think I'm going to sell of some to take profits, but don't know if I want out completely. Thoughts?
Also wondering about FCG.....I hopped in at 16.06, took some profits at 17.05, and it seems to be holding firm over $18 now...I'm not really sure how much higher I see it going, but most people here would know better than I would
Also wondering about FCG.....I hopped in at 16.06, took some profits at 17.05, and it seems to be holding firm over $18 now...I'm not really sure how much higher I see it going, but most people here would know better than I would
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george
Footballguy
PAL- Price of Palladium went up $27 today pulling PAL up with it. I went ahead and sold my PAL to free up some cash. I bought some KERX which was way DOWN today, although it's been down for several days and may have been a mistake.
optionmaven
Footballguy
I'm holding a thousand shares purchased @ 2.79 recently. I'm hoping for 3.15 before I sell it. I might just hold it for a longer term investment though.....undecided.
The Ref
Footballguy
Unless something sends the market down I think PAL is a winner. Could it hit 2.50 before it runs higher? Sure. Unless the market as a whole start to drop off I'm going to sit on $25K (combined) worth of FEED and PAL for 2010. Both could see a double in my eyes if the market holds IMHO.
David Dodds
Administrator
I dabbled and bought 2,000 SBLK at 2.80 and 3,000 KERX at 2.48.
Sheriff Bart
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
"El-Erian says many of the bulls don't appreciate just how much the government props still under the economy are masking its weakness". I agree with this as fact and I'm fine with someone making this case. But coming from someone who manages as much money in Bonds as can be found in the world, it's a little biased for him to make these type of "the bulls don't appreciate" statements without also talking about how "the bears don't appreciate" the amount of inflationary pressures the government is putting on the dollar as it props up the economy.I'll take a 10% loss over the next 4 weeks before I put a chunk of money in some 4% bonds over the next 30 years.Sheriff Bart said:
Mose
Footballguy
might be good news for PAL.
Palladium and Platinum Could Triple on New ETF Approval
Just before the Christmas holiday the SEC gave base metals investors a nice present in the form of approval of a platinum and palladium ETF. To be sure, this news was not unexpected, but it put a significant bid in the PGM market.
As a comparison, we looked at gold’s reaction to the listing of the SPDR Gold ETF. In November 2004, GLD began trading on the NYSE; gold was trading at $450 an ounce.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Palladium-an...ml?x=0&.v=1
Palladium and Platinum Could Triple on New ETF Approval
Just before the Christmas holiday the SEC gave base metals investors a nice present in the form of approval of a platinum and palladium ETF. To be sure, this news was not unexpected, but it put a significant bid in the PGM market.
As a comparison, we looked at gold’s reaction to the listing of the SPDR Gold ETF. In November 2004, GLD began trading on the NYSE; gold was trading at $450 an ounce.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Palladium-an...ml?x=0&.v=1
Mose
Footballguy
hopefully none of you own any NM shipping stock. One of their dry bulk boats got hijacked yesterday.
"The Panamanian-flagged Navios Apollon bulk carrier, owned by a Greek company with 19 crew members on board, was hijacked in the Gulf of Aden off Somalia's coast on December 28. "
"The Panamanian-flagged Navios Apollon bulk carrier, owned by a Greek company with 19 crew members on board, was hijacked in the Gulf of Aden off Somalia's coast on December 28. "
optionmaven
Footballguy
AAARRRRRGH MATEEEE!!!I'll see if i can find the article again, i think it was at investopedia, but it wasn't too positive on this sector as a whole. Used to be a must have for your portfolio and now, besides quick in and out trades, i wouldn't want to touch them. Probably means its a good time to buy.......lol.
optionmaven
Footballguy
Reported on cnbc yesterday that 2010 is going to be the year of the ETF. I thought i heard that over 700 new etf's are going through the process of going live. There will be an etf for everything in our near future. My question, who would this benefit? Does it stand to reason that stocks like CME and ICE will be rewarded?
optionmaven
Footballguy
I'm sure some of them will be. I wonder how much interest there is going to be for the luggnutt etf i'm going to start up. Should be huge.Any of these new ETF's leveraged?
parasaurolophus
Footballguy
Anybody know anything about ANX?
It is at .39 in premarket which is basically up 100% from yesterday's open.
It is at .39 in premarket which is basically up 100% from yesterday's open.
The Ref
Footballguy
Check out DOOD. It's a quintuple leveraged Aluminum, Palladium, Dry Bulk, China Ag, Wheat Penny ETF.Any of these new ETF's leveraged?
The Ref
Footballguy
One of the largest holders of Gold is the US is the GLD ETF. I can't impagine that a Plt or Pal would be as well traded as a Gld ETF, but the fact of the matter is this will create demand as the ETF fills a vault with said material.
Only fitting that news comes out since I sold half my PAL yesterday. Was looking to rebuy in under $3.
Sand
Footballguy
Ridiculous article. Correlation does not equal causation. Nor does any real parallel between gold and Pt/Pd exist - they are fairly weakly correlated as far as what drives demand. To suggest such a thing is silly. Pt and Pd are industrial metals. Gold is a currency substitute.
David Dodds
Administrator
I added 4,000 KERX at 2.39 here.
David Dodds
Administrator
I laughed.The Ref said:
Drifter
Footballguy
Biotech? This seems a bit of a departure for you.
Boulder Toads
Footballguy
Watching and waiting on this low-volume action on PRGN lately ... what levels are you guys looking to jump back in, or add to current positions?
I'm not much of a chartist, but am contemplating ~4.50 as a point to add some more. Anyone with thoughts on how / if the current trend might be impacted by a return to normal volume after the holidays?
I'm not much of a chartist, but am contemplating ~4.50 as a point to add some more. Anyone with thoughts on how / if the current trend might be impacted by a return to normal volume after the holidays?
parasaurolophus
Footballguy
this thing hit a high of .50 today just like that article said.Mystery Achiever said:
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
It is a really interesting concept. I'd like to read more on it.
optionmaven
Footballguy
I was feeling saucy this morning and bought 1k shares @.40. I usually don't buy blindly but i did here. It was nice to come home now and see it up 6-7 cents. No stop loss or sell trigger set. Figure I'll just lose 4 hundo or hit a homerun.
David Dodds
Administrator
added 5,000 more KERX at 2.35...Feeling like I am chasing a falling knife here, but I can't stay away.
David Dodds
Administrator
It's on my radar if it can get below $4.60
parasaurolophus
Footballguy
David Dodds
Administrator
and I continue to chase here....I added another 5,000 KERX at 2.32....I just can't believe this price at all. Hopefully some news isn't forcing this panic.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
David Dodds
Administrator
Yes I was already buying when that came out. KERX jumped up to 2.42 in the afterhours market. Hopefully it can hold that in the morning for me.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
Well, from that analysis, it seems like you got in at the right time, David. KERX seems to have a very nicely defined pattern; at least since June, the tops have been clearly signaled with topping tails.
eta chart
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KERX&...id=p52561214867
eta chart
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KERX&...id=p52561214867
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optionmaven
Footballguy
Does anyone have an extra 74K laying around? I wouldn't mind taking possession of my four January 185 calls on apple. For the life of me, I am having a hard time hitting the sell button even though i have surpassed my target of 210. Hate leaving money on the table and if it hits 220, it would be an extra 4k.
I remember my 2nd or 3rd trade this yr too. I bought an 80 call on apple in march sometime. I REALLY SHOULD HAVE EXCERCISED THAT OPTION.
I remember my 2nd or 3rd trade this yr too. I bought an 80 call on apple in march sometime. I REALLY SHOULD HAVE EXCERCISED THAT OPTION.
David Dodds
Administrator
and out of KERX at 2.44. It might go higher, but I like the 1 day flip. Profit = $1,130 less $30 = $1,100.
Just holding 2,000 shares of SBLK at 2.80 right now
Just holding 2,000 shares of SBLK at 2.80 right now
