Name these receivers... (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

Just a little fun as we're all caught up in the hype of free agency:

Consider the following players and their 2007 totals:

Receiver A: 134 targets, 94 receptions (70.2% conversion rate), 1,147 yards, 6 TDs
Receiver B: 129 targets, 66 receptions (51.2% conversion rate), 970 yards, 4 TDs
Receiver C: 127 targets, 82 receptions (64.6% conversion rate), 1,129 yards, 2 TDs
Receiver D: 127 targets, 79 receptions (62.2% conversion rate), 943 yards, 6 TDs
Receiver E: 127 targets, 70 receptions (55.1% conversion rate), 948 yards, 5 TDsBased strictly on what you see above, who would you say is the best receiver? Who would you think is most likely to improve in 2008, and regress?



ANSWERS in INVISO TEXT BELOW

mytagid = Math.floor( Math.random() * 100 );document.write("

Bobby Engram (5'10", 192 pounds, 35 years old, under contract to remain in Seattle)
Chris Chambers (5'11", 210 pounds, 29 years old, under contract to remain in San Diego)
Jerricho Cotchery (6'0", 207 pounds, 25 years old, under contract to remain in New York)
Shaun McDonald (5'10", 183 pounds, 26 years old, under contract to remain in Detroit)
Bernard Berrian (6'1", 185 pounds, 27 years old, will be the Vikings projected WR1 in 2008)*** SPOILER ALERT! Click this link to display the potential spoiler text in this box. ***");document.close();

 

[Max Power]

I guessed C & E correct.

If I had 50 guesses, I wouldn't have gotten D though.

 

[Jason Wood]

I guessed C & E correct.If I had 50 guesses, I wouldn't have gotten D though.

Makes you think about perception versus reality; both in fantasy terms and NFL terms.

 

[Mainevent]

I believe I know who C is, recognize the numbers, he should regress further, although he is talented, and #'s depends if QB returns.

A had the best #'s this past year, and maybe D is most likely to improve.

ETA: Guess I was wrong on C, but still very dependent on QB situation. Although shouldn't regress too far. I'll stick with my other opinions.

 

[Jason Wood]

I think comparisons like this can be very helpful once the frenzied part of the fantasy season gets underway and people get caught up in the hype of certain "sleepers."

 

[rzrback77]

Looking just at the stats, I say....

WR A had the best year last year and

WR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

 

[Jason Wood]

Looking just at the stats, I say....WR A had the best year last year andWR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

I would agree with the former, but not the latter. Receiver C's conversion rate was so high; there's very little chance he can maintain that rate. If he's going to improve it will have to be through more targets or by doing a better job getting open downfield.

 

[gianmarco]

Looking just at the stats, I say....WR A had the best year last year andWR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

I would agree with the former, but not the latter. Receiver C's conversion rate was so high; there's very little chance he can maintain that rate. If he's going to improve it will have to be through more targets or by doing a better job getting open downfield.

'I disagree. Only 2 TDs with that amount of yardage gained is very much skewed on the low end of the bell curve. I agree that his conversion rate has little room to improve, but the TDs have a SIGNIFICANT amount to improve. Knowing who he is, his targets, receptions, and yardage totals have been consistent the last 2 years. If those TDs improve to more average #'s given the yardage totals, that would give a big boost to that value. This is where Chase would come in handy. I wonder how many WR's have had similar yardage totals (say, >1100) and scored that few TDs.

 

[Jason Wood]

Looking just at the stats, I say....WR A had the best year last year andWR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

I would agree with the former, but not the latter. Receiver C's conversion rate was so high; there's very little chance he can maintain that rate. If he's going to improve it will have to be through more targets or by doing a better job getting open downfield.

'I disagree. Only 2 TDs with that amount of yardage gained is very much skewed on the low end of the bell curve. I agree that his conversion rate has little room to improve, but the TDs have a SIGNIFICANT amount to improve. Knowing who he is, his targets, receptions, and yardage totals have been consistent the last 2 years. If those TDs improve to more average #'s given the yardage totals, that would give a big boost to that value. This is where Chase would come in handy. I wonder how many WR's have had similar yardage totals (say, >1100) and scored that few TDs.

LOL...last time I checked Chase isn't the only one around here capable of querying our databases.It's only happened three times in league history:*** Keyshawn Johnson (2001) -- 106 receptions for 1266 yards and 1 TD [baffling!]*** Art Monk (1985) -- 91 receptions for 1226 yards and 2 TDs*** Player C

 

[gianmarco]

Looking just at the stats, I say....WR A had the best year last year andWR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

I would agree with the former, but not the latter. Receiver C's conversion rate was so high; there's very little chance he can maintain that rate. If he's going to improve it will have to be through more targets or by doing a better job getting open downfield.

'I disagree. Only 2 TDs with that amount of yardage gained is very much skewed on the low end of the bell curve. I agree that his conversion rate has little room to improve, but the TDs have a SIGNIFICANT amount to improve. Knowing who he is, his targets, receptions, and yardage totals have been consistent the last 2 years. If those TDs improve to more average #'s given the yardage totals, that would give a big boost to that value. This is where Chase would come in handy. I wonder how many WR's have had similar yardage totals (say, >1100) and scored that few TDs.

LOL...last time I checked Chase isn't the only one around here capable of querying our databases.It's only happened three times in league history:*** Keyshawn Johnson (2001) -- 106 receptions for 1266 yards and 1 TD [baffling!]*** Art Monk (1985) -- 91 receptions for 1226 yards and 2 TDs*** Player C

Hehe, Chase just seems to do it the most and shows up at the most opportune times Anyway, I think the above is a great reason why Player C has a fair amount of room to improve. If I had to pick between a player with consistently higher yardage with low TDs (like Player C) or a player with lower yardage but higher TD totals (Reggie Williams) as to who was more likely to repeat/improveon those #'s, I would take the former easily. The TDs should/will come for the former player, whereas the TD totals could easily fall off on the 2nd player and increasing yardage #'s are more difficult to do, I think.I really think if Cotchery had scored even in the range of 7-8 TDs (not a stretch by any means), he would probably be ranked considerably higher on draft sheets in 2008 than where he will go now. A guy coming off an 82/1100/8 campaign would draw much more attention than what he's getting and those 2 TDs are a big part of it. Couple that with the fact he put up very similar #'s the year before, and he'd be a pretty hot commodity I think.p.s.--After seeing who player A was, I'm amazed at how good his #'s ended up being. I know he really came on in the middle of the season, but wow.

 

[trader jake]

Receiver B: 129 targets, 66 receptions (51.2% conversion rate), 970 yards, 4 TDs

At first I felt WR B was a nice candidate to improve that conversion rate...then I read the name and realized "he is what he is". WR B is consistently poor in this category an unlikely to improve much imo.

 

[Donnybrook]

Receiver E: 127 targets, 70 receptions (55.1% conversion rate)

Receiver F: 81 targets, 40 receptions (49.4% conversion rate)

Receiver G: 32 targets, 17 receptions (53.1% conversion rate)

Receiver H: 38 targets, 20 receptions (52.6% conversion rate)

Receiver I: 17 targets, 6 receptions (35.3% conversion rate)

How does QB accuracy coorelate with conversion rate? If you haven’t guessed already, WR E thru I all played for the Chicago Bears in 2007. I actually thought Berrian would have one the lower conversion rates on the team since he plays the deepest.

QBs throwing low percentage long passes might explain the conversion rate of players like Santana Moss and Lee Evans.

 

[Mainevent]

Looking just at the stats, I say....WR A had the best year last year andWR C is the most likely to improve candidate (with a high % catch and low TD)

I would agree with the former, but not the latter. Receiver C's conversion rate was so high; there's very little chance he can maintain that rate. If he's going to improve it will have to be through more targets or by doing a better job getting open downfield.

'I disagree. Only 2 TDs with that amount of yardage gained is very much skewed on the low end of the bell curve. I agree that his conversion rate has little room to improve, but the TDs have a SIGNIFICANT amount to improve. Knowing who he is, his targets, receptions, and yardage totals have been consistent the last 2 years. If those TDs improve to more average #'s given the yardage totals, that would give a big boost to that value. This is where Chase would come in handy. I wonder how many WR's have had similar yardage totals (say, >1100) and scored that few TDs.

LOL...last time I checked Chase isn't the only one around here capable of querying our databases.It's only happened three times in league history:*** Keyshawn Johnson (2001) -- 106 receptions for 1266 yards and 1 TD [baffling!]*** Art Monk (1985) -- 91 receptions for 1226 yards and 2 TDs*** Player C

So only twice in history before this season. Almost was done by two WR's this year. WR C, and Donald Driver (82/1048/2), also he caught 82 of 122 passes. for a catch percentage of 67.2%. That's who I thought C was.