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NCAA Basketball Thread - 2022-3 Season (3 Viewers)

Ugly first half in the WVU/MD game, but anyone who expected different with these two teams hasn't watched them all year. Bama/Gonzaga, this ain't. Both teams look nervous to me, which is weird given that they have so many upperclassmen.

Furman making a run against UVA.
 
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
 
shuke said:
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
Click to expand...
Must be dumb luck on my part, because analyzing the KenPom charts screamed Furman was an upset to me.
 
hagmania said:
shuke said:
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
Click to expand...
Must be dumb luck on my part, because analyzing the KenPom charts screamed Furman was an upset to me.
Click to expand...
Please share your wisdom.
 
shuke said:
hagmania said:
shuke said:
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
Click to expand...
Must be dumb luck on my part, because analyzing the KenPom charts screamed Furman was an upset to me.
Click to expand...
Please share your wisdom.
Click to expand...
It also led me to pick Arkansas as the better "-ansas" team so I dunno if you want anything to do with my wisdom. :eek:
 
shuke said:
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
Click to expand...

Yup, only thing saving me in quarters so far were two picks I made because the one I wanted, per Kenpom, was taken a pick before.
 
hagmania said:
shuke said:
Scoresman said:
Overseeded teams according to kenpom efficiency metrics:

Virginia a 4, should have been a 9, but they play Furman, a 13 who should be a 16.
Missouri a 7, should have been a 13. They play Utah St. who is a 10, but should have been a 5. :moneybag:
Miami a 5, should be a 10, but they play Drake, a 12 who should be a 16.
Indiana a 4, should be an 8.

There are a few others, but those are the largest gaps in seed vs efficiency.

Also, annual reminder that momentum entering the tournament doesn't mean as much as most people think.
Click to expand...

I took a more analytical approach this year. Kenpom is 0-3 so far. :mellow:
Click to expand...
Must be dumb luck on my part, because analyzing the KenPom charts screamed Furman was an upset to me.
Click to expand...

Sort of, according to kenpom, Virginia should have been a 9 seed. But it also said Furman should have been a 16, not a 13. So not necesarily an upset prediction in that regard. The fact that Virginia plays such a slow game means less scoring plays though , which creates more variance for an upset to happen.

Where Kenpom crapped the bed so far was Utah St./Missouri. Utah St. was ranked as a 5, Missouri a 13.
 
I only watched the last 10 minutes but man Arizona looked terrible. It wasn't even like they were missing open looks or Princeton was on fire. Arizona couldn't get an open shot at all, they were just passing around listlessly and any drive was away from the basket. Couldn't even create a halfway decent look, just terrible offense and good defense.
 
Scoresman said:
Where Kenpom crapped the bed so far was Utah St./Missouri. Utah St. was ranked as a 5, Missouri a 13.
Click to expand...
Kenpom is just an indicator of how teams have done this year, not a predictor of each matchup. Although I do think they have a pay service for that.
 
Predictable quick exit by the Illini. Matthew Mayer was atrocious and shouldn't have even made the trip. Coleman Hawkins ought to stay and develop more either at Illinois or another college. He's not close to an NBA caliber talent. Shannon gave the Illini as much as anyone could have expected this year.

Should be a long off-season. We will see who (if anyone) transfers. Quitter Skyy Clark (predictably) entered the portal. Next year might be year they need to let the young guys run and less dependent on transfers
 
Somebody on Twitter said they had to go to some “waiting room” for it on the YouTube website so I don’t know why I got it.
 
This is why I never gamble on sports except for NCAA tourney. Going to lose every over under bet so far today, the latest in horrifying fashion with Iowa/Auburn scoring 100 points in the last 10 minutes. Unreal.
 
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