Utley. I know I know, Braun and A-Rod are the consensus guys. But I think that anyone who has the chance but doesn't take Utley this year is going to regret it by the end of the season.He was coming off hip surgery last year and still kept his power numbers, went 23-23 in steals, greatly increased his walk rate along the way, and is supposedly in the best shape of his life going into this year. And his position is even weaker than A-Rod's. I'd rather take Utley and get Sandoval, Zimmerman, etc, a few rounds later rather than go with A-Rod and Brandon Phillips.
I disagree with you about position. 3b is much weaker than 2b imo. And Arod came back with even less time after a hip surgery than Utley. Arod was pretty nice down the stretch and could run more this year.Arod has the potential for 40/20......Utley doesn't imo. Arod plus a Phillips, Cano, Hill, Beckham would cost less than Utley and Zimm or Sandoval. I'd take Arod over Braun. They'll put up similar stats but the 3b vs OF position decides it for me.
It's one of those 'probably can't go wrong no matter who you go with' things...I just think Utley is lined up for a monster year. I disagree on his potential being 40/20. He's been a low 30's HR hitter to this point, and he was perfect on all 23 SB attempts last year. So he's not too far off, and I think he'll be a better BA hitter than A-Rod. Utley will also score a few more, while A-Rod will drive in a few more.The other thing not being taken into account is that while Phillips/Cano/Hill/Beckham would cost less than Zim or Sandoval, they're also not as likely to hit .330 like Pablo nor go 30-110-.290 like Zim. Just looking at the top 10 at each spot, I don't see a whole lot of sure things at 2B whereas 3B has a lot of depth (depending on position eligibility) and even more upside. I could be wrong, it's just how I see it.I'd also be a bit leery of assuming A-Rod is out of the woods on this Canadian doctor thing. If he's been using HGH since the steroid story bust and is worried about future testing, it may be tougher for him to stay healthy. Not that that alone would make my choice, but all things being equal you'd always rather have the guy that doesn't have rumors and innuendo attached to him.