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NFL Capping Challenge 2016!!! (1 Viewer)

Have ARI, MIN, MIA, JETS and NE this week. First 3 look good so far. Hopefully NE covers but not sure. Was leaning Den. Was going to take SD but the +9.5 was not enough. If it was +10.5, might have taken that instead of NE.

 
Lol now Jets are covering but in this pool ARI is -4.5. I thought the -4.5 was a bit much but I still liked ARI. The refs kept Steelers in the game from what I read but I still think ARI covers. Vick might be hurt.

 
Got 3 so far with NE left. Not sure what happened in the Arizona game. Maybe Landry helped but ARI played poorly and probably bad calls. Have another pool where I picked SD +10.5 instead of NE. Something about SNF, makes me think Colts have a good chance to cover.

 
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Still 3 points behind the lead dog. Thought I was in for a 5 - 0 day until Denver and Arizona decided not to cover.

eta: make that 4 points now that NE isn't going to cover.

 
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I am still at 60%. Had ARI and NE. A lot of people were on NE but I knew if Luck played well they could keep the game close. I didn't really like the other games too much which is why I stuck with NE. Idk if you can say it was a bad beat that Colts backdoored at the very end. It seems like strong offensive teams going against non-elite defensives score quite a bit at the end of games down more than one TD because they are going all out and have four downs.

The CAR side looks like the right side at the end but they were down 23-14 in the 4th and Seattle did not score rest of way. A lot of you were on CAR. I was leaning CAR at the beginning but then seeing that Seattle needed the game more and that Olsen is the only true reliable target, it could be tough if Seattle shuts him down. Also maybe CAR a bit overrated.

Also CIN I felt was a bad spot for them on the road having won a OT comeback game and having a bye and facing PIT. Then you have EJ Manuel but sometimes a new guy goes in and does well. Though I think you guys just went with the top team. I was leaning CIN.

It was looking bad for SD early on but they managed to tie it 17-17 at start of 3rd which gave them a good chance to cover at that point.

I didn't really get a good read on HOU but I thought Jags had a decent chance to win. I thought Hou was the side because of the skill players.

 
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yeah i ####ed up last week. Was literally trashed friday to monday visiting friends colleges and just threw some picks in. Happy i went atlas 2-3. Only 3 points from 1st I'm straight

 
I have Jags, Colts, Rams, Jets and Dallas. I decided to change from Arizona to Jags. It would suck if the Jags cover which I think they will and then Cardinals get backdoored on MNF.

 
I ####ed up by not getting picks in.

for tracking my own stupidness, I'd probably have gone with these 5

HOU +4.5
NYJ +9.5
ATL -4.5
TB +3.5
PHI +3.5

 
fantasycurse42 said:
Fantasysports1 said:
I have Jags, Colts, Rams, Jets and Dallas. I decided to change from Arizona to Jags. It would suck if the Jags cover which I think they will and then Cardinals get backdoored on MNF.
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That would suck.
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Good thing I picked Jags, looks like a winner but still early. Man do I need that 4 or 5 week. It is tough for Aaron because he was a contender but getting 0 is going to be difficult to overcome.

 
Fantasysports1 said:
fantasycurse42 said:
Fantasysports1 said:
I have Jags, Colts, Rams, Jets and Dallas. I decided to change from Arizona to Jags. It would suck if the Jags cover which I think they will and then Cardinals get backdoored on MNF.
Click to expand...
That would suck.
Click to expand...
Good thing I picked Jags, looks like a winner but still early. Man do I need that 4 or 5 week. It is tough for Aaron because he was a contender but getting 0 is going to be difficult to overcome.
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Might have jinxed yourself speaking to soon

 
I thought Colts would be able to keep scoring on NO and cover -4.5 but the early mistakes gave them no chance to cover. It is tough picking 5 every week as you can say I should have taken Miami or Arizona instead.

Tough to get all 5, it seems like something always happens. I guess if I get at least the Jets, Rams and Jags I can't complain. Though it sucks because Colts had no chance from basically the start.

 
3 out of 5 again. Didn't really consider Dolphins because I thought Houston had a decent chance with Foster and Hopkins. Also what are the real Dolphins? They are for real it looks after a 2nd strong game.

Dallas should have covered +5.5 but too many turnovers. Dallas lost points and gave Giants points. Also how did Harris get a punt return and Beasley doesn't even catch the return for a final chance to tie the game.

 
Fantasysports1 said:
fantasycurse42 said:
Fantasysports1 said:
I have Jags, Colts, Rams, Jets and Dallas. I decided to change from Arizona to Jags. It would suck if the Jags cover which I think they will and then Cardinals get backdoored on MNF.
Click to expand...
That would suck.
Click to expand...
Good thing I picked Jags, looks like a winner but still early. Man do I need that 4 or 5 week. It is tough for Aaron because he was a contender but getting 0 is going to be difficult to overcome.
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Aaron is kind of a fart face though, so its' cool

 
Eminence said:
I was down 4 points last week. I went 2-3 this week and now I'm only 3 points behind the leader. Weird week.
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I am at the top, didn't expect that. Though like four other people are at 60%. I think I am not going to back the Colts anymore until I see consistency from that team.

 
fantasycurse42 said:
Fantasysports1 said:
Eminence said:
I was down 4 points last week. I went 2-3 this week and now I'm only 3 points behind the leader. Weird week.
Click to expand...
I am at the top, didn't expect that. Though like four other people are at 60%. I think I am not going to back the Colts anymore until I see consistency from that team.
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What do you think is wrong with them? Rooster issues or execution?
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Defense is very beatable, Luck is not playing well, etc. Dolphins are a good team to back now unless the market fully readjusts. They are blowing teams out, don't even need Lamar Miller in 2nd half.

 
here's my question:

looks like this week, there were 3 teams that didn't get any picks in by the Sunday deadline. the rules say that if you don't get any picks in, you get a score equal to whatever the lowest total was that week. Right now, that looks like a 1. But, if one of the 3 teams that didn't submit a pick yet makes a pick on Monday night and gets it wrong, then they get a 0. So, do the other two teams then get stuck with a 0 as well?

That kind of sucks.

 
In mega-tie for first despite sucking donkey balls the last few weeks. Neato.

I vote Aaron gets nothing and likes it. (jk gb, you can have your 1 point)

 
I chose:

Arizona

Jets

Ravens

Dallas

Carolina

I was considering other teams including Detroit and Denver. Thought Detroit was in a good spot but KC might play well. Carolina is 6.5 point favorites at home but could be backdoored but feel this is the right side. Denver could be beat by Rodgers.

 
2-2 so far with Carolina left.

Thought Jets would be able to defend against OAK and score more but people said it was a bad spot for them. OAK seems to be able to play up with their offense.

I thought Ravens would cover and they almost did but Ravens did not run the ball much. I think the Denver game was a better choice but Rodgers can win @ Denver so I did not choose Den.

 
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Wtf? I set my picks on Wednesday. I somebody screwing with me? Or am I screwing with myself? Jesus, is that you?

 
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Looks like I will be just one pick under 60% for the year. The last few weeks I haven't put much time into research which probably contributed to me having back to back 2 weeks. To maintain a good percentage you definitely need to put in the time to at least have a solid understanding of the games so you can pick the sides with the best chance. I am only a few back so I still have a decent chance but need to put best forth.

 
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Fantasysports1 said:
Looks like I will be just one pick under 60% for the year. The last few weeks I haven't put much time into research which probably contributed to me having back to back 2 weeks. To maintain a good percentage you definitely need to put in the time to at least have a solid understanding of the games so you can pick the sides with the best chance. I am only a few back so I still have a decent chance but need to put best forth.
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I make my picks in less than five minutes.

 
I spend several hours handicapping each game, sifting through stats, comparing the actual line to my line. Seem to be working, since I'm in first place so far.

 
Nero said:
I spend several hours handicapping each game, sifting through stats, comparing the actual line to my line. Seem to be working, since I'm in first place so far.
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I always wondered what the winning % is for the lines that move. The lines that we get to pick from are drastically different than what the sportsbooks are offering by kickoff at Noon.

 
The lines are slate, it is harder to pick against lines late in the week because the lines have been beat up throughout the week. I don't really go deep into analytics, I go a lot by how good I think the teams are and how they match up. If I had the data at hand like secondary ran, defensive line rank, etc and watched more film on teams I am considering, probably could do better. Some teams I don't watch much of, if barely at all.

 
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5-0, right now. I might have a shot at this if I would have actually submitted my picks last week. Whatever, I'll just pick 100% from here on out.

 
It looks like a few of you only made 4 picks this week. That doesn't make sense.

Got HOU, KC correct and ARI incorrect. Have NE and Browns left. Hard to get 5-0, seems like I can't get the break.

 
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