Non-PPR Re-Draft; Picks 1.06 - 1.10 (1 Viewer)

[Goooals]

It's that time of the year.  Enough of the easy analysis with all of those PPR leagues (lol).  Let's make it a little tougher by moving up Henry and dropping Kamara in those Non-PPR Redraft leagues.  Especially at the back end of the 1st round and who is available in round 2.

I'm assuming CMC, SB and EE will be taken 1-3.

In this format, 4 & 5 could be DC and DH (either order).  After this, it's gets very complicated and very subjective.

1.6. Kamara

1.7. Jacobs

1.8. Chubb

At 1.9, I probably take Thomas knowing I still get a decent RB coming back

1.10 - Helaire

2.01 - Mixon

2.02 - Adams

2.03 - Hill

2.04 - Sanders

There are many variations, but just wanted to get a starting points. 

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

I’d say Jacobs is in consideration for top 6 in non-PPR. Certainly ahead of Kamara. Maybe Mixon as well. 

 

[Deamon]

It's that time of the year.  Enough of the easy analysis with all of those PPR leagues (lol).  Let's make it a little tougher by moving up Henry and dropping Kamara in those Non-PPR Redraft leagues.  Especially at the back end of the 1st round and who is available in round 2.

I'm assuming CMC, SB and EE will be taken 1-3.

In this format, 4 & 5 could be DC and DH (either order).  After this, it's gets very complicated and very subjective.

1.6. Kamara

1.7. Jacobs

1.8. Chubb

At 1.9, I probably take Thomas knowing I still get a decent RB coming back

1.10 - Helaire

2.01 - Mixon

2.02 - Adams

2.03 - Hill

2.04 - Sanders

There are many variations, but just wanted to get a starting points. 

This might be how you rank them, but no way how a draft would fall.  I don't see Adams/Hill falling out of round 1 in any format.

Of course it's all up for debate but I think you have Chubb way too high.  Also you're assuming a 10 man league and very few people play in leagues that small.

 

[DZ2300]

I am facing almost this exact dilemma in my non-ppr 12 team keeper league. Kamara and Henry are kept and I have the 1.4. Assuming cmc, Barkley and zeke go 1-3, I’m looking to choose between cook, CEH, Jacobs and mixon. I’m viewing it as a toss up and the decision is who do I want and who would I regret not taking since each has drawbacks. Strength of schedule, off field (cook contract issue), particpation on offense (3rd down role), offensive line and coaching history.

I’ve been spending way too much time debating with myself on the pick, but I’m leaning towards trying to trade back 2-3 spots and move up in the 2nd round or I’m going CEH, Cook, Mixon then Jacobs. Maybe I’m buying the hype, but there is a legit reason for the hype.

If cooks contract issue gets resolved between now and my draft, he may move up. Schefter is talking like that may not happen.

 

[IndyCasey]

This is how the first round went in my 10-team non-ppr draft this past weekend.  Someone always takes a qb in the first round and this year was no different. Take it for what it's worth....

1 - Christian McCaffrey(Car - RB)

2 - Saquon Barkley(NYG - RB)

3 - Ezekiel Elliott(Dal - RB)

4 - Derrick Henry(Ten - RB)

5 - Alvin Kamara(NO - RB)

6 - Dalvin Cook(Min - RB)

7 - Clyde Edwards-Helaire(KC - RB)

8 - Patrick Mahomes(KC - QB)

9 - Joe Mixon(Cin - RB)

10 - Michael Thomas(NO - WR)

 

[Goooals]

This might be how you rank them, but no way how a draft would fall.  I don't see Adams/Hill falling out of round 1 in any format.

Of course it's all up for debate but I think you have Chubb way too high.  Also you're assuming a 10 man league and very few people play in leagues that small.

I may have Chubb too high, but no way Adams and Hill get drafted at the end of Round 1 in a 10-team Non-PPR draft.  A 12-Team is a different story.  IndyCasey seems to have a fairly realistic look at what should happen in a 10-team draft. 

I'm now more interested in what happens in Round 2.  Do you come back with a high end WR like Adams, Hill, Hopkins, J. Jones or load up on the next tier of RB's such as Jacobs, Sanders, A. Jones or Ekeler?   

 

[Deamon]

I am facing almost this exact dilemma in my non-ppr 12 team keeper league. Kamara and Henry are kept and I have the 1.4. Assuming cmc, Barkley and zeke go 1-3, I’m looking to choose between cook, CEH, Jacobs and mixon. I’m viewing it as a toss up and the decision is who do I want and who would I regret not taking since each has drawbacks. Strength of schedule, off field (cook contract issue), particpation on offense (3rd down role), offensive line and coaching history.

I’ve been spending way too much time debating with myself on the pick, but I’m leaning towards trying to trade back 2-3 spots and move up in the 2nd round or I’m going CEH, Cook, Mixon then Jacobs. Maybe I’m buying the hype, but there is a legit reason for the hype.

If cooks contract issue gets resolved between now and my draft, he may move up. Schefter is talking like that may not happen.

Cook isn't getting his contract resolved.  But I think no contract helps him (team may run him into the ground, he is playing for a new contract).

Cook or Jacobs is the obvious call here for me.

 

[Deamon]

I may have Chubb too high, but no way Adams and Hill get drafted at the end of Round 1 in a 10-team Non-PPR draft.  A 12-Team is a different story.  IndyCasey seems to have a fairly realistic look at what should happen in a 10-team draft. 

I'm now more interested in what happens in Round 2.  Do you come back with a high end WR like Adams, Hill, Hopkins, J. Jones or load up on the next tier of RB's such as Jacobs, Sanders, A. Jones or Ekeler?   

Why do you say no way?  Adams I think for sure does.

CEH
Barkley
Zeke
Henry
Kamara
Thomas
Cook
CEH
Adams
Jacobs

Round 2
Hill (gives pick 11 and 12 one of each)
Mixon (gives pick 11 and 12 one of each)
Chubb
Julio
Sanders

Drop off at this point.  But if you're in picks 6-10 then you will get two of the 15 players I've listed and you don't think twice about it.
 

 

[MAC_32]

This might be how you rank them, but no way how a draft would fall.  I don't see Adams/Hill falling out of round 1 in any format.

Of course it's all up for debate but I think you have Chubb way too high.  Also you're assuming a 10 man league and very few people play in leagues that small.

I have the same 3 as he does in nonppr, Kamara-Jacobs-Chubb. Did some prelim math but haven't fleshed out an order yet. I see a rather clear tier dividing them and the next group. 

 

[Goooals]

Here is the other mistake I see owners make in early rounds in all drafts. It plays out in a Non-PPR when someone feels like they needs a certain position over another and they are leaving BPA on the table.

Say you are drafting at the back end(ish) of round 1 (non-ppr) and you take a RB.  Now comes round 2 and you really wanted to start RB/RB. Obviously, if a top tier(ish) is still available, maybe you go that route.  But many times I see owners reaching for A. Jones, Ekeler, etc over these top WR's just to secure this 2nd RB.

IMO, this is leaving the early round drafters with a huge advantage with securing a top WR in a addition to their top RB.  Not to mention that they are up with their 3rd pick. 

So........

Is the 2nd round pick for the back end drafters more of defense strategy to take the advantage away from the top picks?  Or does this just play itself out with games, injuries, etc and it really doesn't matter although on paper it looks like a steal. 

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

1.7. Jacobs

this is my guy at 5 non-PPR. Easy call, IMO. 

 

[ponchsox]

Here is the other mistake I see owners make in early rounds in all drafts. It plays out in a Non-PPR when someone feels like they needs a certain position over another and they are leaving BPA on the table.

Say you are drafting at the back end(ish) of round 1 (non-ppr) and you take a RB.  Now comes round 2 and you really wanted to start RB/RB. Obviously, if a top tier(ish) is still available, maybe you go that route.  But many times I see owners reaching for A. Jones, Ekeler, etc over these top WR's just to secure this 2nd RB.

IMO, this is leaving the early round drafters with a huge advantage with securing a top WR in a addition to their top RB.  Not to mention that they are up with their 3rd pick. 

So........

Is the 2nd round pick for the back end drafters more of defense strategy to take the advantage away from the top picks?  Or does this just play itself out with games, injuries, etc and it really doesn't matter although on paper it looks like a steal. 

I don't draft worrying about other teams. I drafted 11th in a standard league last night and went Mixon/Drake (cuffed both) WR value was INSANE in rounds 4-7. I ended up with Golladay, Evans, DJ Moore, and Woods as my WR while people were drafting backups at RB. The RB panic is real this year.

 

[-jb-]

While you always have to let the draft come to you, I do like taking two different positions from the back of the draft. There’s a lot of time until your next pick and who knows what could happen?  If there’s a massive run at WR, you’ll have a nice RB fall, and vice versa. If you went RBRB, then a massive WR run takes place, you’re not in as good of a position. 

 

[Judge Smails]

While you always have to let the draft come to you, I do like taking two different positions from the back of the draft. There’s a lot of time until your next pick and who knows what could happen?  If there’s a massive run at WR, you’ll have a nice RB fall, and vice versa. If you went RBRB, then a massive WR run takes place, you’re not in as good of a position. 

I wouldn't fear any WR run.  This year is unlike most I've seen.  After you get by Thomas and maybe Adams there are 2 pretty massive tiers that can go until round 7 or 8.  No problem this year getting 3 good receivers.

 

[-jb-]

I wouldn't fear any WR run.  This year is unlike most I've seen.  After you get by Thomas and maybe Adams there are 2 pretty massive tiers that can go until round 7 or 8.  No problem this year getting 3 good receivers.

Don’t disagree, Judge (sup btw).  What about a RB run?

 

[Judge Smails]

Don’t disagree, Judge (sup btw).  What about a RB run?

How you doin, JB? Weird times but doing well here.  Hope you are the same. Weird no HIMSS for the first time since 1992 and haven't traveled since our President's Club trip first week in March.  In our league I'm sure we'll get a massive RB run.  Even with our outliers 10 or 11 of the first 12 picks are guaranteed to be RBs.  Thomas will go, likely Mahomes.  Jackson will go in the top 15.  So 12 RBs in the top 15.  Then Adams/Hill get taken and then everyone will still be searching for a serviceable starting RB.  So another run starts and by the time it gets back to the my 9th pick in the 3rd round RBs will be really thin, while tons of WRs and QBs will be on the board.  (12 teamer, no TE mandatory).  What's different this year is in addition to fewer serviceable RBs there are fewer consensus stud WRs.  No hype on Beckham, Julio is getting older, Green Bay has no buzz so Adams doesn't seem as certain and many WR2s have stepped up to where there isn't a big difference between the #1's on their team.  Tampa Bay, Rams, Cowboys - teams like that have a lot of options so the WR tiers are massive.  I hate the idea of a Jacobs/Sanders start but I think my team construction ends up best going that route.  Going to play with it though.  Mocking now.  Be well GB

 

[Goooals]

Bumping this from last week to see what we have learned.

In Non-PPR,  Cook is injury prone, Kamara is holding out and now has had an epidural shot. Henry would be my pick at 1.04. 

Does CEH move ahead of Cook and Kamara now?  Heard a rumor LF could sign with KC.  Risky if your are picking before he signs anywhere where there is not a clearcut #1.

Cook is probably still my 1.05

Where do go at 1.06? 

 

[Goooals]

At this point, I think it's a toss up between any of the names. No one know what will happen for sure.  As long as your are not sliding A. Jones, Drake, Mixon into the mix, take the one you like the most and run with it.