Agreed. But that's what it feels like to me too.Also total speculation and not based on any data analysis. Someone with more time can dig into that...
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Agreed. But that's what it feels like to me too.Also total speculation and not based on any data analysis. Someone with more time can dig into that...
I led my FF league in total scoring points the 2 of the last 3 seasons and lost my league. Winning states will always be the key. I am just glad we have California. If Cally ever flipped Dems would be doomed.Thunderlips said:D's have won the popular vote for the Presidency all but once in the past 8 cycles. Looks like the R's got them right where they want them!
It would be the same with TX for the R's.....and that looks like it will go purple before Cali.I led my FF league in total scoring points the 2 of the last 3 seasons and lost my league. Winning states will always be the key. I am just glad we have California. If Cally ever flipped Dems would be doomed.
There's a lot to this post, but I do think it gets glossed over that the biggest weakness for Dem's are the 45+ year olds who appear to fondly remember Reagan and the Republican team/policies in general from that time. For a large portion of the population (anyone born before 1970-75), those years were formidable and not easily forgotten. Why that got transferred to Trump, I don't understand; but I do think it is sort of natural to yearn for that time period and very hard to convince people otherwise.I think the lack of running on and in embracing popular liberal and/or progressive platform items such as $15 an hour or Medicare for All or legalizing Marijuana is the larger problem when it comes to getting elected to begin with. I think that the fact that country doesn't have many problems with simple solutions that fit well into political rhetoric messaging is the biggest problem for democrats staying in office.
I'm not sure which - getting elected for the first time or staying in office - is the bigger problem right now.
But I really think the democrats biggest problem is that the democrats skipped a generation of national leaders. That there just aren't enough young rising star democrats poised to take the reigns in the near future. Some of this is the fault of the existing leadership sticking around forever blocking paths, some of this is the result of this nations infatuation with Reagan and that brand of conservatism, some of this is because a bunch fell to the corrupting power of power, and I'm sure some of this is for reasons I'll never know. Maybe these types of individuals will start coming out of local and state government woodwork to lead sort of a revolution, but until then the democrats are going to be stuck with "old school" thinking (even Bernie is "old school" liberal) that will have trouble resonating.
ETA- And considering the defeats at local and state levels the last decade or so I doubt there are many Mayor Pete's to expect to emerge anytime soon.
In my league, the total points champion gets a payout and an auto spot in the playoffs.I led my FF league in total scoring points the 2 of the last 3 seasons and lost my league. Winning states will always be the key. I am just glad we have California. If Cally ever flipped Dems would be doomed.
It will for sure with the influx of people from California and Illinois. Ironic as they leave higher taxes to no state income tax. That eventually will change also. The pandemic will really change congressional districts also. People leaving the cities to their second houses in red areas, they will be purple in the next election.It would be the same with TX for the R's.....and that looks like it will go purple before Cali.
What do you think is their biggest weakness, and what demographic dislikes Dems the most?Voted mostly disagree but I can certainly see the appeal to those on the left looking for their echo chamber.
Thanks, I missed that.What do you think is their biggest weakness, and what demographic dislikes Dems the most?Voted mostly disagree but I can certainly see the appeal to those on the left looking for their echo chamber.
ETA somebody else already asked...I need to read further to see if you responded.
ETA you didn’t. Any thoughts?
I think that's a good take. Do you think though, that that is something the Republican Party (particularly the more religious camps of it) are guilty of as well? To me, Trumps Presidency was the first period of Republican history in a long time in which they didn't seem to place "morality' as a tentpole to determine a candidates(and by extentsion policy) fiber.Thanks, I missed that.
When I responded to Joe's question I was referring to mostly disagreeing with the column and a lot of assumptions he snuck in (racism, etc). As I was reading it I think I disagreed with almost every single sentence.
I think the Dems biggest weakness is the general over emphasis on things like character and morals at the cost of emphasizing a specific policy solution to a particular problem. Placing value on character or striving for morality in itself aren't bad things, but shouldn't be the driver for policy. This results in a disconnect in any dialogue or compromise. It's a pattern that seem to repeat on almost every topic of contention. We want A, and if you don't agree, you don't simply want B, but you're a bad person because A isn't simply better policy, it's morally superior. It's not the only weakness imo, but I think it's a much bigger weakness than "how do we increase support from working class whites".
Is it OK if we flesh this out a little? I’m not sure how Democrats can fix this. A lot of my motivation for my preferred public policy involves morality. Are you saying I need to take that out of the equation entirely or that I should just express myself differently?I think the Dems biggest weakness is the general over emphasis on things like character and morals at the cost of emphasizing a specific policy solution to a particular problem. Placing value on character or striving for morality in itself aren't bad things, but shouldn't be the driver for policy. This results in a disconnect in any dialogue or compromise. It's a pattern that seem to repeat on almost every topic of contention. We want A, and if you don't agree, you don't simply want B, but you're a bad person because A isn't simply better policy, it's morally superior. It's not the only weakness imo, but I think it's a much bigger weakness than "how do we increase support from working class whites".
Absolutely. But in general I think there's a misperception of the other side of the coin. There's a lot of people who support Trump despite his mean tweets (character flaws) and not because of them.I think that's a good take. Do you think though, that that is something the Republican Party (particularly the more religious camps of it) are guilty of as well? To me, Trumps Presidency was the first period of Republican history in a long time in which they didn't seem to place "morality' as a tentpole to determine a candidates(and by extentsion policy) fiber.
It doesn't resonate because they have been saying the same thing for decades and things haven't changed.Thought this was interesting by David Leonhardt.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/07/briefing/democratic-party-covid-georgia.html
Do you agree with Leonhardt?
Not at all. But I think both sides could extend their values to the other side in order to discuss solutions. Sometimes this isn't possible but imo many times this would be useful to get us to the table for constructive dialogue. "I want to do what's right and I know you do too" is going to at least be a better starting point imo.Is it OK if we flesh this out a little? I’m not sure how Democrats can fix this. A lot of my motivation for my preferred public policy involves morality. Are you saying I need to take that out of the equation entirely or that I should just express myself differently?
Unfortunately I guess I still need to be convinced that Trump supporters “want to do what’s right.” I agree it would be nice if we could have discussions like you’re proposing.Not at all. But I think both sides could extend their values to the other side in order to discuss solutions. Sometimes this isn't possible but imo many times this would be useful to get us to the table for constructive dialogue. "I want to do what's right and I know you do too" is going to at least be a better starting point imo.
Yes but the perception is that it's so tightly wrapped in the morality that opposition is not simply disagreement but hyperbolic evil.ETA: I guess I’m most confused by the part where you say we should be emphasizing specific policy solutions for particular problems. Don’t Democrats already do that?
That's understandable. There's many on the right that need to be convinced the left doesn't "hate America."Unfortunately I guess I still need to be convinced that Trump supporters “want to do what’s right.” I agree it would be nice if we could have discussions like you’re proposing.
Yes to both you and @fatguyinalittlecoat. It's been my experience as you guys are suggesting, a real conversation and discussion is helpful for things like this.That's understandable. There's many on the right that need to be convinced the left doesn't "hate America."
The problem for me is that I find that the conversations are often only "real" in a very superficial way. It's pretty much impossible for the two sides to articulate how we really feel without being insulting to each other. Both sides are constantly holding our tongues for the sake of comity (and so we don't get banned). But by doing so we're diminishing understanding.Yes to both you and @fatguyinalittlecoat. It's been my experience as you guys are suggesting, a real conversation and discussion is helpful for things like this.
Understood. Probably better not to have it then if it's not possible without insulting the other side or getting banned. I was thinking more in real life these are good ideas. And these do take some work sometimes to not be insulting. But I've found them doable between most folks.The problem for me is that I find that the conversations are often only "real" in a very superficial way. It's pretty much impossible for the two sides to articulate how we really feel without being insulting to each other. Both sides are constantly holding our tongues for the sake of comity (and so we don't get banned). But by doing so we're diminishing understanding.
Thanks, but this website is the only place in my life in which I regularly encounter Trump supporters.I was thinking more in real life these are good ideas. And these do take some work sometimes to not be insulting.
That's too bad. But in that case, I guess just don't do it if you can't do it without being insulting or getting banned.Thanks, but this website is the only place in my life in which I regularly encounter Trump supporters.
Do you think this was the situation between the two camps pre-Trump.........Conservatives or Republicans(the people I am generalizing as the overwhelming majority of current Trump supporters)pre-June 2015?fatguyinalittlecoat said:The problem for me is that I find that the conversations are often only "real" in a very superficial way. It's pretty much impossible for the two sides to articulate how we really feel without being insulting to each other. Both sides are constantly holding our tongues for the sake of comity (and so we don't get banned). But by doing so we're diminishing understanding.
No. Although at least on this board, the current Trump supporters are not the same people as the Conservatives from the pre-Trump era.Do you think this was the situation between the two camps pre-Trump.........Conservatives or Republicans(the people I am generalizing as the overwhelming majority of current Trump supporters)pre-June 2015?
No. Although at least on this board, the current Trump supporters are not the same people as the Conservatives from the pre-Trump era.
Agreed. And not only is the messaging poor, but the way it is often said is poor as well. I shifted from being conservative to being more liberal in the mid to late 00's and eventually settled in the middle as an independent, in part because I was so turned off by the attitude of the average liberal, which far too often comes as condescending, Their tone far too often is "I am right and you are wrong, and if you are not in lock step with what I believe, you are wrong, stupid and/or racist." You are never going to win people over to your side by acting all high and mighty, and I think that has been their problem for years. A lady I worked with years ago was always as nice and kind as could be, but at some point, she turned into a mean, abrasive person who was arguing with anyone and anybody, including her mother, on Facebook any time anyone said anything that she didn't align with her new far left views. It was like she became a different person. And that certainly happens on the other side of the aisle as well, but that is for another thread.Even without a comparison they are terrible at messaging. You can pick literally dozens of different times...the most recent being "defund the police"....that's terrible messaging regardless of what the GOP is doing. It's brutal and been brutal for a long time.
I tend to see this differently. I'll preface this by saying that when I refer to "liberals" and "conservatives", I'm really referring to "prominent liberals/conservatives with a national voice" such as elected representatives, talk-show hosts, etc., and NOT random dudes on Facebook.Yes but the perception is that it's so tightly wrapped in the morality that opposition is not simply disagreement but hyperbolic evil.
If you disagree with my gun control proposition then you clearly want children massacred in schools. If you disagree with my Covid restrictions then you wanna kill grandma. Etc.
This is pretty much why I've never been a part of either party. "You're either with me or against me" isn't something I'm interested in because the world doesn't work that way and success is certainly not built that way. I've been watching this transformation of people I know and everyone seems to be sprinting away from the middle and fleaing to a "team". I started a thread here about these kinds of things and it seems like it's a psychological thing. Good news is, it seems easy to identify and fix. The bad news is, people have to want to fix it and that's not how we're naturally wired. Google "Robbers Cave Experiment" for an example of what I'm talking about. Yes it's done in kids, but it's pretty clear that many adults also fall prey to it.Agreed. And not only is the messaging poor, but the way it is often said is poor as well. I shifted from being conservative to being more liberal in the mid to late 00's and eventually settled in the middle as an independent, in part because I was so turned off by the attitude of the average liberal, which far too often comes as condescending, Their tone far too often is "I am right and you are wrong, and if you are not in lock step with what I believe, you are wrong, stupid and/or racist." You are never going to win people over to your side by acting all high and mighty, and I think that has been their problem for years. A lady I worked with years ago was always as nice and kind as could be, but at some point, she turned into a mean, abrasive person who was arguing with anyone and anybody, including her mother, on Facebook any time anyone said anything that she didn't align with her new far left views. It was like she became a different person. And that certainly happens on the other side of the aisle as well, but that is for another thread.
"Where There's a Will" Act 1 on This American Life has a good recent history (starting in the 70s) of this approach and how it was aggressively reintroduced to our American politics. Worth the listen IMO.I tend to see this differently. I'll preface this by saying that when I refer to "liberals" and "conservatives", I'm really referring to "prominent liberals/conservatives with a national voice" such as elected representatives, talk-show hosts, etc., and NOT random dudes on Facebook.
In any case, I see it less as liberals making the claim of "if you disagree with my gun control proposal then you must want children massacred" and more of Rush Limbaugh types making that claim, "liberals think just because we want to own guns that means we want to murder children". This also applies in reverse.
One of the single biggest issues we have had over the past few decades is politicians and talking heads mischaracterizing the arguments of the other side in order to argue against a strawman. Obviously, that's been replaced as "biggest issue" by the much more recent issue that certain people can repeat the same lies over and over such that their supporters take them as fact, but the mischaracterization is still is significant barrier to understanding and conversation.
Neither is the other party.Everyone in here talking about messaging is correct. The party that brought us tax cuts for the rich, is anti-union, resists minimum wage increases and everything else they stand for are hardly the advocates for the working class they pretend to be but sure let's just keep touting that narrative for them.
Thought you didn't like that word for politicians?Well..Considering the party's former leader, President Obama, called them out on it and had major Democrats like Omar discredit his statements, yeah, there seems to be a very strong push for this in the Democratic party.
I've ranted and raved over "Democratic Messaging" for years. It is unbelievably bad. When you can be continually hijacked by the current GOP and it's nonsense, it should give you pause.
ETA: I voted mostly agree because I understand there are both senders and receivers of messages and responsibility in communication relies on both being willing participants to some extent.