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Oddsmaker week 8 (1 Viewer)

Ministry of Pain

Footballguy
Houston at Tennessee (-3) (42)

Betting on two bad football teams is never good. Houston has won 2 out of their last 3 and look better. I like Carr over Young at this point in their careers.

Houston 24…Tennessee 17

Jax at Philly (-7) (42.5)

Philly has looked good even in defeat. All 3 of thosegames were games they should have won. It can be argued they should be 7-0. Just a handful of plays can decide the season for teams. Jax got rolled by Houston last week. Either take Philly or pass the game.

Philly 30…Jax 20

Atlanta at Cincinnati (-3.5) (44)

The Falcons can run the ball and do it very well. They got rocked on defense last week. I expect this to be a high scoring affair. I also see the Falcons exploiting the Bengals rush defense as Carolina could not do it.

Atlanta 28…Cincinnati 24

Tampa Bay at NY Giants (-9) (40.5)

I know 9 points is a lot but the Bucs are going to get rolled on the road. 2 impressive wins and they were at home…they will not make it 3 in a row. Look at the line…they are begging you to take the Bucs.

NY Giants 34…Tampa Bay 14

San Fran at Chicago (-16) (42)

So now the line is fully caught up with the Bears…make it ridiculous so people will stop betting on them as much. SF has a decent offense and I think they might keep it closer than some think.

Chicago 20…San Fran 16

Arizona at Green Bay (-4) (44.5)

Leinart was busy showing baby pictures of Cody this week…he’s not ready to play. He’s thinking of other things. The colder it gets in GB the more I like them, pay attention to the weather report.

Green Bay 20…Arizona 13

Seattle at Kansas City (-6) (38.5)

The Chiefs will roll in this game. The Seahawks are without their starting RB and QB, forget it.

KC 27…Seattle 14

Baltimore at NO (-2) (37)

I pass the game for the most part. Go Saints!!!

NO 17…Baltimore 14

St Louis at San Diego (-9.5) (45.5)

No way the Chargers cover this line. IN fact with a bye week and time to think about that awful loss they sustained against Seattle 2 weeks ago, I expect the Rams to be very focused on this game. It’s my upset of the week.

St Louis 24…San Diego 21

Pittsburgh (-9) at Oakland (38.5)

Big Ben, Batch, doesn’t matter…the Steelers defense will outscore the Raiders by themselves.

Pitt 30…Oakland 10

NY Jets at Cleveland (-1.5) (38)

The Browns are just plain awful. Why are they favored against a team that can actually move the ball. Jets win.

NY Jets 21…Cleveland 17

Indy at Denver (-2.5) (39.5)

How often is Indy an underdog…lot of respect form the bookies for the Denver defense. It’s pretty good but Champ Bailey can’t play both CB positions can he? Can Lynch play the run, play the deep ball, and cover Clark and Utect underneath at the same time? I see so many mismatches for Indy and they looked razor sharp in the 2nd half last week.

Now the bad news is the game is being played outside and it snowed a lot this week in Denver…may be beautiful by kickoff but you never know. Still I am tempted to take Indy and the points.

Indy 24…Denver 17

Dallas at Carolina (-5.5) (41)

Stay away from this game.

Carolina 20…Dallas 17

New England (-2) at Minnesota (38.5)

Vikes are good but they’re not quite as good as it looked on Sunday. I look for them to have a letdown after winning on the road last week. NE is playing solid right now, look for them to pull this out on MNF.

New England 20…Minnesota 17

My top3 plays for the week will be

KC -6

St Louis +9.5

Indy +2.5

Have a great weekend everyone, good luck, and remember to always protect your unit.

 
11-9-1 on the year, a nice 3-0 effort last weekend, looking to keep things rolling....

UNDER NO 37

PITT -9

NE -2

 
Bears -16

The Bears don't give up much of anything at home, and I think Sunday will be more of the same.

Chicago will look to get its ground game established, and Rex Grossman to rebound from the horrible game at Arizona a few weeks back on Monday night. Bears roll, 30-6

 
NE (-5.5) over Buffalo

DEN (-4.5) over Cleveland

SD (-5.5) over KC

2-1 last week (Denver and New England covering, San Diego not). 12-9 overall. This week I go with:

San Francisco +16

Denver -2.5

New England -2

 
I am 10-7-1 after missing last week. I like a few this week and will continue to stay away from over/under lines.......

Indianapolis +2.5 over Denver. I have always liked Denver at home but not this week.

New England -2 over Minnesota. Minnesota has too many injury issues at WR and I think NE will click this week.

Green Bay -4 over Arizona. Green Bay has killed me this year and I would like this line better if it was only 2 but I still like Favre to cover this.

Good luck all!!!! :banned:

 
YTD: 11-9-1

Kansas City -6. The way Seattle has been playing this year, I'm not sure they win this game even with Hasselbeck and Alexander.

STL +9.5. See MOP's comments.

Indy +2.5. When was the last time Indy was an underdog ? I'll take my chances with Indy and I don't trust Plummer in a big game.

 
Another 2-1 last week, 11-7 overall.

Week 8:

Kansas City -6 I underestimated Arrowhead's effect last week - I won't make that mistake twice. Add in the fact that Seneca Wallace and Maurice Morris figure prominently and giving up less than double digits in this looks too good to be true. And let's not forget that the Seahawks are also making changes on the defensive side as well (Boulware) - never a great sign this far into the season.

New York Jets +1.5 Wait a minute, the Jets are getting points? Are there that many delusional Browns fans that gamble? Much like the Denver line last week, this one is horribly askew. The Jets should win outright.

Minnesota -2 The Vikings are extremely tough against the run, and I'm not sure the Patriots can win this one solely by the pass. Close game, but the Vikes should cover.

 
Last week: 1-2 (and only because of that !%#% 62 yard FG)

YTD: 10-7-1

Not a lot of good options but I'll go with

St Louis +9

-> Line is way too big -- Rams have gone from overrated to underrated real fast

Indy-Denver UNDER 39.5

-> Should be a low-scoring game due to solid Denver D and Denver running game trying to grind out the clock

GB-Ariz OVER 44.5

-> Don't trust either defense right now. If Arizona were at home, that would be another story.

Injuries in the Indy secondary concern me. I'll switch to:

Atlanta +3.5

 
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2-0-1 last week, improving every week so I feel a 3-0 coming on:

4-8 for the season, this weeks picks:

St Louis +9.5

Pittsburg -9

N.Y. Jets +1.5

 
OK, here we go...

GB -4

TB +9

PHI -7

I'm adding NYJ +1.5 to the mix. All 4 will win.

 
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Week 1: 0-3

Week 2: 1-2

Week 3: 2-1

Week 4: 1-2

Week 5: 2-1

Week 6: 1-2

Week 7: 2-1

Overall: 9-12 :X

Week 8 picks:

Tampa Bay at NY Giants (-9)

Jax at Philly (-7)

Indy (+2.5) at Denver

 
SF +16

Huh? I completely agree with MOP, this spread is about a TD too high. SF's offense actually moves the ball a little bit.

Chicago 27

SF - 17

Bucs +9

Could the GMEN be overlooking the Bucs here?

NYG - 24

Bucs - 17

NE/Minn Under 38.5

Two good defenses in a Monday night showdown.

NE 17

Minn - 14

Good Luck to all this weekend. :banned:

 
Change in pick.

Last week: 1-2 (and only because of that !%#% 62 yard FG)

YTD: 10-7-1

Not a lot of good options but I'll go with

St Louis +9

-> Line is way too big -- Rams have gone from overrated to underrated real fast

Indy-Denver UNDER 39.5

-> Should be a low-scoring game due to solid Denver D and Denver running game trying to grind out the clock

GB-Ariz OVER 44.5

-> Don't trust either defense right now. If Arizona were at home, that would be another story.

Injuries in the Indy secondary concern me. I'll switch to:

Atlanta +3.5
 
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Have a great weekend everyone, good luck, and remember to always protect your unit.
Thanks MoP. Unit protected. St. Louis +9.5 over San Diego Kansas City -6 over Seattle New England/Minnesota UNDER 38.5 1-11. Week Four: DNP 0-3; Week Five: DNP 0-3; Week Six: Might as well have DNPed 0-3 :bag: ; Week Seven: 1-2 :thumbdown:
 
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18-2-1 for the season.

Indy - Manning continues to show his regular season dominance.

T.B. - Upset of the week (TB might win this game). Giants bounce.

Arizona - GB wins by a field goal or less.

 
I am 10-7-1 after missing last week. I like a few this week and will continue to stay away from over/under lines.......

Indianapolis +2.5 over Denver. I have always liked Denver at home but not this week.

New England -2 over Minnesota. Minnesota has too many injury issues at WR and I think NE will click this week.

Green Bay -4 over Arizona. Green Bay has killed me this year and I would like this line better if it was only 2 but I still like Favre to cover this.

Good luck all!!!! :banned:
So far 2-0 heading into tonight..........
 
I am 10-7-1 after missing last week. I like a few this week and will continue to stay away from over/under lines.......

Indianapolis +2.5 over Denver. I have always liked Denver at home but not this week.

New England -2 over Minnesota. Minnesota has too many injury issues at WR and I think NE will click this week.

Green Bay -4 over Arizona. Green Bay has killed me this year and I would like this line better if it was only 2 but I still like Favre to cover this.

Good luck all!!!! :banned:
So far 2-0 heading into tonight..........
Make it a solid 3-0 for the week and 13-7-1 for the year! :banned:
 

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