OFFICIAL 1st pick (12 team redraft) thread, Picking 1st? (2 Viewers)

[ImTheScientist]

I was lucky enough to get the first pick in my league. Obviously Im taking LT but what strategy do you feel works best with the first pick? Who are you targeting?

My initial thought is go WR/WR at 2/3 turn.

OFFICIAL 1st pick (12 team redraft) thread, Picking 1st? Let this be the forum where we can discuss our strategy

 

[tex]

Not even any thought at all to taking ADP or maybe SJax?

 

[benbadman]

I was lucky enough to get the first pick in my league. Obviously Im taking LT but what strategy do you feel works best with the first pick? Who are you targeting?

My initial thought is go WR/WR at 2/3 turn.

http://footballguys.com/08smith_draftslot_1.phpDraft Slot 1 article.

I assume you're a subscriber

 

[ImTheScientist]

I was lucky enough to get the first pick in my league. Obviously Im taking LT but what strategy do you feel works best with the first pick? Who are you targeting?

My initial thought is go WR/WR at 2/3 turn.

http://footballguys.com/08smith_draftslot_1.phpDraft Slot 1 article.

I assume you're a subscriber

I am and I find that article not very helpful. The mock draft is ridiculous.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Not even any thought at all to taking ADP or maybe SJax?

I gave ADP a thought but thats about it. I dont know how you could pass up LT. Anyways....Im more concerned with the 3rd-7th rounds of the draft.

 

[benbadman]

Not even any thought at all to taking ADP or maybe SJax?

I gave ADP a thought but thats about it. I dont know how you could pass up LT. Anyways....Im more concerned with the 3rd-7th rounds of the draft.

\Run a few mock drafts in the DD, notice which cluster of players are available around your picks, decide who to target. Have contigency plans also, depending whether a good value at RB/WR/QB is there and 'messes' up your original plan.For example, in one league i'm preparing for, with a draft order that snakes randomly every 2 rounds, I have 3-4 players at each draft slot I'm targetting. Whereas I plan to build WR/WR at one spot in the draft, if for some reason Drew Brees falls to me in a good spot where I might take him, I'll actually wait 2 picks because the guy after me has Peyton already so I'll get him on the snake back. Also, if there's been a big run on WR2 types, I might pass on a WR in one area of the draft and grab an elite TE.As far as your players that you are targetting for QBBC, DTBC, or sleepers-- just look at some mock drafts figure out what range of rounds they generally go in (6-8? 9-12? fliers at the end of the draft?) and work from there. Let's say you really like Matt Schaub as a breakout QB, and have passed him over a few times in rd 11, rd 12, rd 13 because you kept thinking he'd fall more, you have to pull the trigger eventually--lest you end up with a Brodie Croyle as your actaul QB2/3--gasp!

 

[gianmarco]

Scoring, league size, and other owner's influence this a lot. I've found that the late 2nd/3rd/4th rounds have been all over the place in lots of drafts I've been seeing. Much more than in recent years, at least it seems. Essentially, you just need to go BPA as I don't think there is a set strategy to have in place right now. Things have also changed from recent years in that Gates is going later and there are 2 other TEs going in the same vicinity and that there are 2-3 more QBs going earlier than in most years. There is also some tremendous value at WR being found in the late 4th/early 5th with guys like Holt and Burress slipping that far.

 

[fanaticskinsfan]

I was lucky enough to get the first pick in my league. Obviously Im taking LT but what strategy do you feel works best with the first pick? Who are you targeting? My initial thought is go WR/WR at 2/3 turn.

Just fyi, last year I had the #1 pick overall too. I went LT, then at the 2/3 turn I took TO&Wayne. Then at the 4/5 turn I took Ahman Green & Braylon Edwards. Now we all know how Ahman Green turned out. Looking back I could have had ADP, MBIII or Lynch.I don't know if you can find another B. Edwards at the 4/5 turn, but if you can I definitely would go LT, wr/wr at the 2/3 turn. Well let me preface that and say if you are in a PPR. If no ppr, I would look for the best rb/wr combo at the 2/3 turn.I hope this helps.

 

[ImTheScientist]

I was lucky enough to get the first pick in my league. Obviously Im taking LT but what strategy do you feel works best with the first pick? Who are you targeting? My initial thought is go WR/WR at 2/3 turn.

Just fyi, last year I had the #1 pick overall too. I went LT, then at the 2/3 turn I took TO&Wayne. Then at the 4/5 turn I took Ahman Green & Braylon Edwards. Now we all know how Ahman Green turned out. Looking back I could have had ADP, MBIII or Lynch.I don't know if you can find another B. Edwards at the 4/5 turn, but if you can I definitely would go LT, wr/wr at the 2/3 turn. Well let me preface that and say if you are in a PPR. If no ppr, I would look for the best rb/wr combo at the 2/3 turn.I hope this helps.

Thanks! I was hoping to hear from people with past experience. I have played FF for 16 years now and this is the first year I have had the #1 pick.

 

[BigRed]

God bless auction drafts. None of this is an issue.

But I have done a few mocks at ffcalc and concluced that, depending who's left, taking another RB and a top WR is the way to go. ie no, do not take Romo if he's there.

 

[Anonymous Internet User]

God bless auction drafts. None of this is an issue. But I have done a few mocks at ffcalc and concluced that, depending who's left, taking another RB and a top WR is the way to go. ie no, do not take Romo if he's there.

why not?how about this hypothetical:LTRomoColstonMcFaddenRudiColesAnthony GonzalezCooley

 

[Andy Dufresne]

Every time I've taken a QB in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.

Every.

 

[raidersfan]

I had the #1 last year, ppr league, and I went Fitz/Portis at the turn. I was close to grabbing Roy Williams instead of Portis, and obviously I'm glad I didn't as Portis helped me when my league last year. However this year, you should be able to lock up 2 great WRs at the turn, where as the RBs seem to really tail off and you can get value in the 4th/5th. If two WRs in your top tier (top 10 say) are available, I'd take them.

But I'm also the type to wait on a QB. This year I like Delhomme, Girrard, or Bulger in the later rounds.

 

[Spike]

Every time I've taken a QB in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.

Every.

Well of course you would regret it. You'd have 3 QBs after your first 3 picks!

 

[Andy Dufresne]

Every time I've taken a QB in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.

Every.

Well of course you would regret it. You'd have 3 QBs after your first 3 picks!

Trade bait, baby!To be more specific, any time I've taken A qb somewhere in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.

 

[Mystery Achiever]

Every time I've taken a QB in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.

Every.

Well of course you would regret it. You'd have 3 QBs after your first 3 picks!

i took one in the 3rd round once and fourth round once and regretted both.

 

[Mr. Soup Nazi]

Every time I've taken a QB in the first three rounds, I've regretted it.Every.

I took Palmer at 3.01 in a 10 team last year and won the league.Of course that had more to do with getting Peterson, Witten & LB Willis in the later rounds than it did with drafting Palmer.

 

[Dodge]

I'm keeping ADP over SJax this year in a non-PPR one man keeper league.

 

[BigRed]

I had the #1 last year, ppr league, and I went Fitz/Portis at the turn. I was close to grabbing Roy Williams instead of Portis, and obviously I'm glad I didn't as Portis helped me when my league last year. However this year, you should be able to lock up 2 great WRs at the turn, where as the RBs seem to really tail off and you can get value in the 4th/5th. If two WRs in your top tier (top 10 say) are available, I'd take them. But I'm also the type to wait on a QB. This year I like Delhomme, Girrard, or Bulger in the later rounds.

That's what I thought last year when I let guys like Brady slide ("too pricey") so I could get a great deal. I got Bulger. That friggin you-can-wait-on-a-QB-late BS is just that. I don't think I'll get Brady this year either, but I'm determined to get one of the top 4/5 at worst.I still say LT and then best RB w/the next pick, then (probably) best WR. I might even be tempted to nab another RB at 3.01.

 

[mistersmith]

So what's the consensus if Peyton Manning drops to you on the turn? I'm in a league where everyone goes rb heavy with a few wrs sprinkled in. Brady won't drop but Manning might, with his knee surgery, etc. I've never drafted a qb this early ever but I don't know if I can turn down Manning at that price.

I've been thinking of taking Manning/Housh (or Steve Smith) on the 2/3 turn.

 

[ImTheScientist]

 

[bonesman]

Not even any thought at all to taking ADP or maybe SJax?

I gave ADP a thought but thats about it. I dont know how you could pass up LT. Anyways....Im more concerned with the 3rd-7th rounds of the draft.

I wish LaDanian played in the preseason so we can get a look at him. I have some concerns about the knee. I think if anything happened to Chester Taylor between now and the time of my draft I might go w/ ADP.As for rounds 3-7 it'll be best player available for me. 3 years ago I had the first pick and got LT and then Tiki and Holt at the turn. So we'll see who falls. I think the mock on the draft slot study isn't very realistic either... but I certainly wouldn't mind having that team.

 

[ImTheScientist]

 

[bigmiiiiike]

I totally agree that you go with BPA, but if I draw the 1 slot, I "hope" BPA allows me to go with WR/WR there, as I see so much RB talent still available in most drafts at the 4/5 turn. Two out of McFadden, Stewart, Edge, and Graham are almost always there in the drafts I've seen. Of course, if Portis falls to the 2/3 turn, or Manning, I think you pretty much have to take them. But in general, I'm not in love with the WRs available at the 4/5 turn. I think a QB there is a reach, as the Brees/Romo/Palmer group is gone. TE is an option, but I'd rather grab Stewart and Edge here, and then Cooley/Clark/Heap at the 6/7 turn, then grab Edge/Gates here and Mendenhall or someone like him at the 6/7 turn.

So, definitely be flexible at this spot, but I'm hoping that flexibility would lend itself for me to go RB, WR, WR, RB, RB, TE, QB.

 

[mistersmith]

I totally agree that you go with BPA, but if I draw the 1 slot, I "hope" BPA allows me to go with WR/WR there, as I see so much RB talent still available in most drafts at the 4/5 turn. Two out of McFadden, Stewart, Edge, and Graham are almost always there in the drafts I've seen. Of course, if Portis falls to the 2/3 turn, or Manning, I think you pretty much have to take them. But in general, I'm not in love with the WRs available at the 4/5 turn. I think a QB there is a reach, as the Brees/Romo/Palmer group is gone. TE is an option, but I'd rather grab Stewart and Edge here, and then Cooley/Clark/Heap at the 6/7 turn, then grab Edge/Gates here and Mendenhall or someone like him at the 6/7 turn. So, definitely be flexible at this spot, but I'm hoping that flexibility would lend itself for me to go RB, WR, WR, RB, RB, TE, QB.

I'm actually shooting for this strategy now as well. My league is extremely RB heavy since our rosters start 2 wrs, 2 rbs, 1 flex (wr/rb) instead of the standard 3 wrs/2 rbs. but i think i'll take a chance and scoop up value in the 4/5 turn at rb while everyone else is solidifying their wr position. currently looking at the second tier of wrs because i don't think TO or wayne will fall to me. Instead I'm looking at guys like Braylon Edwards, Fitz, Housh, Steve Smith, and Colston.Still debating which wr to pick though, it's all personal preference from there.

 

[AtomicDogg97]

What RB's tend to be available in the late 4th early 5th? Are there backs there that you can depend on as starters?

 

[mistersmith]

What RB's tend to be available in the late 4th early 5th? Are there backs there that you can depend on as starters?

I know I will be taking a gamble since my league is so running back heavy. According to antsports, the guys at the end of the 4th, start of the 5th round will be guys like Julius Jones, Edge, Rudi, McFadden, Jonathan Stewart, Matt Forte, Fred Taylor. I personally might take a chance on a rookie like McFadden/Forte/Stewart and pair him up with Fred Taylor. Or you could go Deangelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. I might go McFadden/Forte/Stewart, hope that one of them blows up and use a flex wr in the meantime.

 

[The Goose is Loose]

I got the first pick in my PPR 12 team redraft.

Taking LT first but am wavering on who to target at 2.12 and 3.01. Recently, our league has been very WR heavy in the 2nd round. Meaning, many teams are waiting until the 3rd or 4th rounds to grab their RB2.

So I can probably get good value on a RB (MJD, McGahee, maybe R. Grant) or settle for a WR like Colston, Plax, Holt. Manning may also fall to 2.12.

Probably will stick to BPA and go with RB/WR or QB/WR (only if Manning is there). Only way I would potentially go WR/WR is if two of the top 7 WR's are there but I just don't see that happening.

 

[Banger]

Not even any thought at all to taking ADP or maybe SJax?

I gave ADP a thought but thats about it. I dont know how you could pass up LT. Anyways....Im more concerned with the 3rd-7th rounds of the draft.

I wish LaDanian played in the preseason so we can get a look at him. I have some concerns about the knee. I think if anything happened to Chester Taylor between now and the time of my draft I might go w/ ADP.As for rounds 3-7 it'll be best player available for me. 3 years ago I had the first pick and got LT and then Tiki and Holt at the turn. So we'll see who falls. I think the mock on the draft slot study isn't very realistic either... but I certainly wouldn't mind having that team.

Don't worry about the knee. Reports out of camp are that he looks as good as ever.

 

[pablito]

I have the 1 slot next week and here's how I'd like to see the first 13 rounds pan out:

LT

Housh

Colston

Lendale

TJones

Cotchery

Crayton

2 QBBC picks

2 TEBC picks

2 DTBC picks

Cotch's ADP is falling with the BF addition, but Coles would make an adequate substitute. I've mocked this thing bunches of ways and something close to the above seems like the best bet. Depending how things fall, I could even envision going RB4/WR5 at the 8/9 turn before the committee picks, or some mashup of them and the committees.

FWIW, the only QB I've ever drafted in the first three was peyton in the second in his record setting season (04?). That won me the league, but I've never done it since.

 

[davearm]

My plan:

1.01: Tomlinson

2.12: Really hoping for Chad Johnson or Fitz, with Housh/Colston/Smith next up.

3.01 and 4.12: I'm hoping to package these picks to land in the middle of the 3rd, and again middle of the 4th. I've got both Parker and TJones higher than most, but they're terrible value at 3.01. So ideally something like:

3.08: Willie Parker

4.05: Carson Palmer

5.01: Winslow. I'm a sucker for topend TEs, and I think Winslow is going to be a monster this year.

6.12 and 7.01: 2 WRs from the Chambers/Ward/Coles/Cotchery/Driver class.

Now I've got top-5ish, impact talents at all four spots, and solid #2 guys at RB and WR.

For the next 5 rounds I'm hoping to add high-upside RBs (FJones, CJohnson, LWashington, Rice, Slayton, Mendenhall), a WR4 (Burleson, Crayton @9.01?), and a backup QB. Maybe a high-upside WR5, if I can snag a Javon Walker/Branch/BJohnson at the 10/11 turn.

Then onto D, K, and a couple flyer picks (Lorenzo Booker and Ward are targets) in rounds 13-16.

 

[Moe Green]

1.01 is obviously a great position to have, but for some reason I'm dreading the 2-5 slot this year. I think there are legitimate concerns with ADP, Westbrook, SJAX, and Addai, who all seem to be going at those draft positions.

 

[TheFanatic]

God bless auction drafts. None of this is an issue. But I have done a few mocks at ffcalc and concluced that, depending who's left, taking another RB and a top WR is the way to go. ie no, do not take Romo if he's there.

I have the 1.1 in a startup dynasty in a couple of weeks. LT or ADP at 1 and then RB/WR at 2 and 3 is probably the way I go. Unless of course there is some unbelievable value at RB/RB then I might start off that way. No QB till the 5th or 6th round at a minimum.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:

We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST

1.01 LT

2.12 Chad Johnson

3.01 Plaxico Burress

4.12 Boldin

5.01 Lendale White

6.12 Chester Taylor

7.01 D-Will

8.12 Chris Johnson

9.01 Eli Manning

10.12 Owen Daniels

11.01 Tony Scheffler

12.12 Dallas D

13.01 Aaron Rodgers

14.12 Nate Kaeding

15.01 Devin Hester

16.01 Tim Hightower

 

[DoubleG]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:

We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST

1.01 LT

2.12 Chad Johnson

3.01 Plaxico Burress

4.12 Boldin

5.01 Lendale White

6.12 Chester Taylor

7.01 D-Will

8.12 Chris Johnson

9.01 Eli Manning

10.12 Owen Daniels

11.01 Tony Scheffler

12.12 Dallas D

13.01 Aaron Rodgers

14.12 Nate Kaeding

15.01 Devin Hester

16.01 Tim Hightower

You handcuff stealing *******! Actually, though, I've found that many times, when you steal a person's handcuff and try to make them overpay for it, they just get more obstinate. I do like the White/CJ combo you've got though. And Hester is a nice flier at WR - especially if you get his special team TD's (one league I play in you get the TD, but not the yards - even if he's one of your WRs).

 

[ImTheScientist]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:

We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST

1.01 LT

2.12 Chad Johnson

3.01 Plaxico Burress

4.12 Boldin

5.01 Lendale White

6.12 Chester Taylor

7.01 D-Will

8.12 Chris Johnson

9.01 Eli Manning

10.12 Owen Daniels

11.01 Tony Scheffler

12.12 Dallas D

13.01 Aaron Rodgers

14.12 Nate Kaeding

15.01 Devin Hester

16.01 Tim Hightower

You handcuff stealing *******! Actually, though, I've found that many times, when you steal a person's handcuff and try to make them overpay for it, they just get more obstinate. I do like the White/CJ combo you've got though. And Hester is a nice flier at WR - especially if you get his special team TD's (one league I play in you get the TD, but not the yards - even if he's one of your WRs).

I really tried to pick for value in this draft regardless of need and loved how things turned out. This was the first year I TRULY can say I did that. Im not one to steal handcuffs but Chester Taylor is the one player in the draft that if an injury was to occur to the starter he could win you your league. I was hoping he would fall to the 6-7 turn and he did. While people were busy choosing mid tier RB's I snatched up WR talent. When they all then hurried to snatch up WR's I picked up RB's. I have never drafted from the #1 position and usually draft from around 8-12 for some unlucky reason. WOW.....does picking #1 make life easy.

 

[AtomicDogg97]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Are you comfortable with Lendale White as a RB2?I am picking #2 in my league and one reason I am a little hesistant to go RB-WR-WR with my first three picks is the possibility of ending up with a crappy second running back.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Are you comfortable with Lendale White as a RB2?I am picking #2 in my league and one reason I am a little hesistant to go RB-WR-WR with my first three picks is the possibility of ending up with a crappy second running back.

Im comfortable with him as my RB#2. I don't think there is that much difference between White, Jacobs, Bush, and Turner. I would have had to use pick 3.01 on all of those players except for White. He can be had 24 picks later at 5.01 and you don't lose much. Regardless of Chris Johnson, Lendale White will see all the goal line carries and probably get 250-300 carries this year. The Titans are going to run the ball A LOT this year because that is their strength and Vince Young is not that great of a passer at this point in his career. In 2007 they ran the ball 438 times. I would look for a lot of the same. Even if Lendale only gets 250 carries that should be enough to move him into the Top 20 RB's. There is a lot of value at the RB position in the mid rounds 5-8 in this years draft while most the WR talent is gone after round 4.

 

[The Goose is Loose]

I've been doing a bunch of mocks from the #1 slot and it seems that the top 23 players off the boards are typically:

QB's: Brady, Manning

RB's: LT, Westy, ADP, SJax, Gore, Addai, MBIII, Portis, Bush, LJ, Lynch, MJD, Grant

WR's: Moss, Wayne, TO, Fitz, Braylon, AJ, Housh, Colston

So at 2.12 and 3.01 the best options available are:

RB's - McGahee, JLewis, BJacobs

WR - Chad, Holt, Plax

I don't know about you I don't get too excited about any of these guys in a PPR league. I would probably feel differently about McGahee and Chad if they were healthy but they're not.

I find myself taking Chad and Holt at the 2/3 turn but I don't know if that's the best strategy.

Anyone else faced with a similar scenario?

 

[Bruno Tataglia]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Seems a bit early for Chad. What other WRs were available? Calvin Johnson?

 

[GDogg]

I had a 12 team, .5 PPR, QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, TE, Flex (WR/RB/TE), K, Def, 14 man roster draft on Saturday. It's a keeper league, but you get docked a draft pick in the round that your keeper was selected in the year before. However, no player drafted in the first 3 rounds can be kept. We also get 1 pt/25 yards PR/KR + 6 pts KR/PR TD's. So, this draft is similar, though obviously not exact, to a redraft.

I went RB-WR-WR from the #1 slot.

 

[Christo]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:

We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST

1.01 LT

2.12 Chad Johnson

3.01 Plaxico Burress

4.12 Boldin

5.01 Lendale White

6.12 Chester Taylor

7.01 D-Will

8.12 Chris Johnson

9.01 Eli Manning

10.12 Owen Daniels

11.01 Tony Scheffler

12.12 Dallas D

13.01 Aaron Rodgers

14.12 Nate Kaeding

15.01 Devin Hester

16.01 Tim Hightower

Are you comfortable with Lendale White as a RB2?I am picking #2 in my league and one reason I am a little hesistant to go RB-WR-WR with my first three picks is the possibility of ending up with a crappy second running back.

I don't look at it that way. Rather, I ask myself if I feel comfortable enough having White as my fifth starter. Having LT2 is such a luxury you can afford to be weak at RB2 if you make the right choices at WR.

 

[Itchy Amos]

Here is my general thought process, feel free to comment (sorry for the length).

I draft in a couple of weeks (12 team, 0 ppr, 3RR (1-12, 12-1, 12-1, 12-1, 1-12), so I am starting to pay close attention to ADP and have flushed out my strategy as follows:

First let me say that I am a big fan of using median PPG scoring from the previous season to start my new seasons rankings. For those of you that dont know, going with the median ppg scoring gives you pretty solid insight into what you can expect from a given player from week to week. In head to head leagues it is a great thing to find the most consistant performers out of a given group. (For instance, this analysis shows that week in-week out Houshmanzadeh is superior - in terms of consistency - to Chad Johnson in head to head leagues).

With this information in hand, along with the latest ADP information, I am going to draft around the following ideas:

1. My QBs will be David Garrard & Jake Delhomme - Garrard's median ppg was 20.6. This put him seventh (behind Brady/27.8, Delhomme/26.2, Romo/24.4, Brees/24, Roeth/21.5, Manning/21.2). I have never faired well when I have taken a quarterback too early. The big 4 (Brady, Manning, Romo & Brees) will all be gone by the time I draft in the 3rd round. Big Ben may last until the 4/5 turn, but I could see Pittsburgh going back to a more run-oriented attack with Mendenhall & Parker. Garrard should be able to improve upon his performance from last year with another year of experience and perhaps some upgrades to the WR corp.

Delhomme will be a great second QB with the upside to be better than Garrard once Smith comes back. The Panthers may return to a run-oriented attack, but a better balanced offense should lead to longer drives and more scoring opportunities. His ppg value is not very reliable since he only played 3 games last year and is coming off of major surgery

Garrard is going at pick 8.07 and Delhomme is going at pick 9.11. I plan on picking them at 7.01 & 9.01, respectively.

2. My second RB will be Ernest Graham. More often than not, he scored 16.8 ppg (This was second only to Ronnie Brown/17.0 and a hair above Tomlinson/16.6). Warrick Dunn may relieve him on 3rd down situations, but Graham offers the Bucs a tremendous amount of flexibility and unpredictability with his recieving ability.

Graham is going at pick 4.12 so I am hoping that he makes it to that spot.

3. I think am taking Winslow Jr/8.9 ppg. (If Witten/10.0 ppg is gone) at the 4/5 turn. Witten and Winslow are going at 4.07 & 5.05, respectively. I am not taking Gates because he will cost too much and there is no guarantee what he will do when he is healthy. I wouldnt take Gonzalez or Cooley at this spot. If I knew that I could get Cooley at the 6/7 turn, I would wait and grab him instead, but he is the last of the TEs that are dependably good. Cooley is currently going at 7.04 and he will probably be gone in my league.

It may be of interest to some that I was planning on taking Scheffler as my starting TE, but I looked at the games where he started to be more involved and his median ppg was a paltry 4.6 ppg

4. I dont like the potential value of anyone that will be available at the 10/11 turn (that will in turn be drafted prior to my next picks). I plan on taking a quality Defense at the 10/11 turn. You should be looking at somewhere around DEF#4.

Tentatively, I think that my draft will look something like this:

1. Peterson

2. Housh

3. Marshall

4. Graham

5. Winslow Jr.

6. Taylor

7. Garrard

8. Mason (dont like this pick)

9. Delhomme

10. NYG Def

11. Scheffler

12-17 - look for any value.

If I feel like I can get Cooley, then I will probably go:

1. Tomlinson

2. Housh

3. Marshall

4. Graham

5. Bowe/Cotchery

6. Cooley

7. Garrard

8. RB3/Mason

9. Delhomme

10. Def

11. Scheffler

I really feel that team #2 is better than the first one even though it is thin at RB. If I went with #2, I would try to load up with upside RBs in the later rounds. Right now Ricky Williams is going at 8.10, but I expect him to rise dramatically in the next couple of weeks. I prefer taking Peterson #1, I like the flexibility of not feeling like I need to pick up Taylor at the 6/7 turn.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Seems a bit early for Chad. What other WRs were available? Calvin Johnson?

6,4,4,9,3 are the finishes that Chad Johnson has had in fantasy the last 5 years. I don't think that is at all to early to take him. Not to mention there is NO WAY he lasts till 4.12. Housh, Holt, S.Smith, S. Holmes, Welker, Marshall, Boldin, Williams, Calvin Johnson were left at that point. To talk Calvin at 2.12 you have to be

 

[kingmalaki]

Good points in this thread fellas. So how would your strategies change if you were only required to start one RB in a league where WR's and TE's get .5 PPR (other spot is a flex spot)?

 

[ImTheScientist]

Good points in this thread fellas. So how would your strategies change if you were only required to start one RB in a league where WR's and TE's get .5 PPR (other spot is a flex spot)?

I would draft LT and call it good. Take WR's at 2/3 and TE/QB at 4/5

 

[GDogg]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Seems a bit early for Chad. What other WRs were available? Calvin Johnson?

6,4,4,9,3 are the finishes that Chad Johnson has had in fantasy the last 5 years. I don't think that is at all to early to take him. Not to mention there is NO WAY he lasts till 4.12. Housh, Holt, S.Smith, S. Holmes, Welker, Marshall, Boldin, Williams, Calvin Johnson were left at that point. To talk Calvin at 2.12 you have to be

Yup, I took Chad Johnson at 2.12 as well.

 

[kingmalaki]

Just had my draft today...12 team, performance scoring..and it went as follows:We start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D/ST1.01 LT2.12 Chad Johnson3.01 Plaxico Burress4.12 Boldin5.01 Lendale White6.12 Chester Taylor7.01 D-Will8.12 Chris Johnson9.01 Eli Manning10.12 Owen Daniels11.01 Tony Scheffler12.12 Dallas D13.01 Aaron Rodgers14.12 Nate Kaeding15.01 Devin Hester16.01 Tim Hightower

Seems a bit early for Chad. What other WRs were available? Calvin Johnson?

6,4,4,9,3 are the finishes that Chad Johnson has had in fantasy the last 5 years. I don't think that is at all to early to take him. Not to mention there is NO WAY he lasts till 4.12. Housh, Holt, S.Smith, S. Holmes, Welker, Marshall, Boldin, Williams, Calvin Johnson were left at that point. To talk Calvin at 2.12 you have to be

Yup, I took Chad Johnson at 2.12 as well.

In the mocks I keep running, the only WR's left at the 2/3 turn are usually Chad, TJ, Holt, Burress and of course Steve Smith.

 

[Itchy Amos]

Good points in this thread fellas. So how would your strategies change if you were only required to start one RB in a league where WR's and TE's get .5 PPR (other spot is a flex spot)?

I would draft LT and call it good. Take WR's at 2/3 and TE/QB at 4/5

I generally agree with this except I would wait until later to take a QB. At 4/5 you are probably looking at Roethlisberger. There is very little difference between him and Hasselbeck (current ADP=6.12) Garrard (ADP=8.07) or even Cutler, McNabb etc, etc. Say you lose two points per week from the drop from Roethlisberger to Garrard/Hasselbeck, you would probably pick up more than that by improving your starting flex position (or WR3 - depending how many you start) at the 4/5 turn. You would have to run the numbers to see how it comes out under each scenario. I also think that it is easier to pick up quality wide recievers late in the draft. If you get lucky, you will probably be able to trade the WR3 that you picked up at the 4/5 turn and improve your team.As in any draft, it just comes down to identifying value in the later rounds of the draft so that you can draft other positions first.

 

[bonesman]

In the mocks I keep running, the only WR's left at the 2/3 turn are usually Chad, TJ, Holt, Burress and of course Steve Smith.

That seems pretty common... I've been seeing 10 WRs go before the 2/3 turn... though there have been RBs falling that I'd rather have than those guys too.