IMO, Burns is gonna make it. He's #1 on tour in strokes-gained putting by a pretty wide margin. If he plays well in the next month I think he's a pretty good bet.
Harman isn't built for Bethpage at all and is a no-brainer cut, IMO. Gotterup obviously had a great 2 weeks but the Black is no links course.
I know Spieth has generally played pretty well in the cup (and his strokes gained stats are actually better than I thought) but I dont think they bring him. I know there will be pressure from within the team to take him, but he just hasn't been quite good enough.
If those first 10 are indeed in (and I think they probably are)I think its Keegan and Burns. I'm still holding out irrational hope that Tiger is gonna come in last minute and take over as captain. I know its not gonna happen, but it would be so damn epic.
As usual, its gonna come down to strategy and making putts. The back half of the Euro team is better than it has been, so we can't F around and give up points with bad pairings.