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http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/12592.html
McCain reopens the national security gap
By DAVID PAUL KUHN | 8/17/08 5:22 PM EST
July's NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll found that three in four Americans believe McCain can "handle" the role of commander in chief, while only 19 percent said he "cannot," compared to a 50 percent to 42 percent split for Obama.
Less than two years after Democrats finally bridged the decades-long gap between the parties on national security issues, Republicans have opened it right back up — a shift likely tied to the party's new standard-bearer John McCain and the perception of improvements in Iraq.
The reemergence of the national security gap comes amid the first headline-grabbing world conflict of the 2008 campaign — the Russian invasion of Georgia that highlights the potential for a dramatic military event to upend the political landscape, and likely aid McCain.
July's NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll found that three in four Americans believe McCain can "handle" the role of commander in chief, while only 19 percent said he "cannot," compared to a 50 percent to 42 percent split for Obama.
When asked which party is more capable of "dealing with the war on terrorism," 40 percent of respondents to the latest NBC/WSJ poll said Republican while 29 percent said Democrat. The parties had been effectively tied as recently as January of this year, and the 11-percentage-point gap is the largest since 2004, the last year these numbers shifted so dramatically and, not coincidentally, the last presidential election year.
When violence between Russia and Georgia escalated to war earlier this month, McCain’s first statement demanded that "Russia should immediately and unconditionally cease its military operations and withdraw all forces from sovereign Georgian territory."
Obama’s first statement, by contrast, delicately avoided the question of responsibility. "Now is the time for Georgia and Russia to show restraint, and to avoid an escalation to full-scale war," he said. Later that day, Obama blamed Russia for the invasion. By Saturday, the Democrat had moved still closer to McCain's position: "Russia has escalated the crisis in Georgia through its clear and continued violation of Georgia's sovereignty and territorial integrity."
To Zbigniew Brzezinski, former President Jimmy Carter's national security adviser, the moment had echoes of the 1980 race between Carter and Ronald Reagan.
Carter, the sitting president, played defense on national security issues throughout the race, as he was dogged the Iran hostage crisis, conservative criticism that he was too conciliatory on issues such as renegotiating America’s lease on the Panama Canal, and rhetoric like that in a 1977 speech in which he famously spoke of "an inordinate fear of communism."
"Reagan was able to polarize the situation verbally and to some extent McCain is doing just that vis-a-vis Obama," Brzezinski said.
Brzezinski added, "I thought that the first comments" by Obama "were perhaps too general and didn't perhaps address sharply enough the moral and strategic dimensions of the problem." Obama's later statements, he said, struck the right tone.
"In the meantime, McCain was able to leap into the timing gap," Brzezinski continued. "Timing in all these things, timing, tone and ability to crystallize the issue sharply, is what is important."
Over the past week, McCain has has offered a Reaganesque tone, declaring that "we are all Georgians" and that "it's very clear that Russian ambitions are to restore the old Russian Empire."
I wonder if people still think McCain is not running a strong campaign.
McCain reopens the national security gap
By DAVID PAUL KUHN | 8/17/08 5:22 PM EST
July's NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll found that three in four Americans believe McCain can "handle" the role of commander in chief, while only 19 percent said he "cannot," compared to a 50 percent to 42 percent split for Obama.
Less than two years after Democrats finally bridged the decades-long gap between the parties on national security issues, Republicans have opened it right back up — a shift likely tied to the party's new standard-bearer John McCain and the perception of improvements in Iraq.
The reemergence of the national security gap comes amid the first headline-grabbing world conflict of the 2008 campaign — the Russian invasion of Georgia that highlights the potential for a dramatic military event to upend the political landscape, and likely aid McCain.
July's NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll found that three in four Americans believe McCain can "handle" the role of commander in chief, while only 19 percent said he "cannot," compared to a 50 percent to 42 percent split for Obama.
When asked which party is more capable of "dealing with the war on terrorism," 40 percent of respondents to the latest NBC/WSJ poll said Republican while 29 percent said Democrat. The parties had been effectively tied as recently as January of this year, and the 11-percentage-point gap is the largest since 2004, the last year these numbers shifted so dramatically and, not coincidentally, the last presidential election year.
When violence between Russia and Georgia escalated to war earlier this month, McCain’s first statement demanded that "Russia should immediately and unconditionally cease its military operations and withdraw all forces from sovereign Georgian territory."
Obama’s first statement, by contrast, delicately avoided the question of responsibility. "Now is the time for Georgia and Russia to show restraint, and to avoid an escalation to full-scale war," he said. Later that day, Obama blamed Russia for the invasion. By Saturday, the Democrat had moved still closer to McCain's position: "Russia has escalated the crisis in Georgia through its clear and continued violation of Georgia's sovereignty and territorial integrity."
To Zbigniew Brzezinski, former President Jimmy Carter's national security adviser, the moment had echoes of the 1980 race between Carter and Ronald Reagan.
Carter, the sitting president, played defense on national security issues throughout the race, as he was dogged the Iran hostage crisis, conservative criticism that he was too conciliatory on issues such as renegotiating America’s lease on the Panama Canal, and rhetoric like that in a 1977 speech in which he famously spoke of "an inordinate fear of communism."
"Reagan was able to polarize the situation verbally and to some extent McCain is doing just that vis-a-vis Obama," Brzezinski said.
Brzezinski added, "I thought that the first comments" by Obama "were perhaps too general and didn't perhaps address sharply enough the moral and strategic dimensions of the problem." Obama's later statements, he said, struck the right tone.
"In the meantime, McCain was able to leap into the timing gap," Brzezinski continued. "Timing in all these things, timing, tone and ability to crystallize the issue sharply, is what is important."
Over the past week, McCain has has offered a Reaganesque tone, declaring that "we are all Georgians" and that "it's very clear that Russian ambitions are to restore the old Russian Empire."
I wonder if people still think McCain is not running a strong campaign.