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At an elementary school? Will Hillary be serving pizza there?Going to a Vote with Beto rally tomorrow. And then voting, I guess.
At an elementary school? Will Hillary be serving pizza there?Going to a Vote with Beto rally tomorrow. And then voting, I guess.
1) You live in the Austin area.Posted this also in the Election thread:
Wow! Republicans are ####ed! In line now for early voting in Texas. I’ve voted at this same polling place on Election Day for Presidential elections and the line was less than half as long. I’ve got about a football field of line between me and the booth. Amazing. Turnout may be much, much higher than expected on the Left.
Granted, a disprotionate population may be coiled and want to vote TODAY, but still. This is unexpected. It’s after 2pm, so this isn’t even the lunch crew. This may be an hour wait.
So is this just what Republicans do now? Go to rallies and cheer for the imprisonment of political opponents? What crime has Beto O'Route supposedly committed such that he should be jailed? I saw this about Liz Warren too and was a bit baffled because I don't think that lying about your ancestry, or whatever egregious sin she committed, is actually a crime.
Like that matters anymore.I don't think he's particularly eloquent or engaging either.
He probably threw away some junk mail at some point that was addressed to someone else but mistakenly delivered to him. That's punishable by up to five years in federal prison. (Seriously.)So is this just what Republicans do now? Go to rallies and cheer for the imprisonment of political opponents? What crime has Beto O'Route supposedly committed such that he should be jailed?
Pretty much.So is this just what Republicans do now? Go to rallies and cheer for the imprisonment of political opponents?
I would hope the Feds look into that, like, now.
Well, take some comfort that, if he loses - Beto 2020!I wish this guy had a shot, but Texas is gonna Texas.
I bet he removed mattress tagsHe probably threw away some junk mail at some point that was addressed to someone else but mistakenly delivered to him. That's punishable by up to five years in federal prison. (Seriously.)
The Reuters–Ipsos–University of Virginia Center for Politics poll released on Wednesday found that 47 percent of voters said they favored O'Rourke, while 45 percent said they favored Cruz.
This is my take as well.Well, take some comfort that, if he loses - Beto 2020!
If that happens, I just hope that he doesn't pull a Gore and not carry his home state.This is my take as well.
Wish it were, but alas:a week out and Beto has his first lead in any poll as far as I know. One poll doesn't mean much, but it's an optics thing to enthuse voters.
The survey, which was composed among a population of 992 adults, had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. It was conducted between Sept. 6 and Sept. 14.
No really can't. Some random guy on the innerwebs heard from his wife who heard from an unknown source some statistics on voters being up based on age group. Not really Nate Silver quality claimMy wife told me that she heard a statistic that voters under 30yo are up ~600%, while voters 60yo+ are up ~95%.
Cannot really extrapolate anything from this yet, but certainly seems promising.
Relative to what?My wife told me that she heard a statistic that voters under 30yo are up ~600%, while voters 60yo+ are up ~95%.
Compared to 2014. Young turnout is up over 500% while African-American and Latino turnout has roghly doubled: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/midterms-2018-election-early-voting-texas-georgia-beto-orourke-ted-cruz-trump-a8609916.htmlRelative to what?
So this is a comparison of early voting turnout in comparable mid-terms? That's pretty apples to apples, I hope these numbers are accurate and hold true through Tuesday.Compared to 2014. Young turnout is up over 500% while African-American and Latino turnout has roghly doubled: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/midterms-2018-election-early-voting-texas-georgia-beto-orourke-ted-cruz-trump-a8609916.html
Georgia has seen a big surge as well, with 19-28 year old turnout up 476%, African American turnout up 165%, and Hispanic turnout up 571%.
Ipsos is great for an online poll system but I'd like to see a live cell phone/land line poll to see what kind of difference there is.a week out and Beto has his first lead in any poll as far as I know. One poll doesn't mean much, but it's an optics thing to enthuse voters.
he's very charismaticI heard him on Hardball last night for the first time (I know I know I’m late to the ballgame) and I was impressed. He certainly excited the crowd.
The fact that this is their first of the race means it's hard to glean too much from it, since we can't track movement since the last poll. Also, looked them up in 538's pollster ratings and either they are the "University of Texas" online poll (grade of B-) or they're not in there at all.Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz leads challenger U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, by 3.6 percentage points among likely voters in a new University of Texas at Tyler poll released Wednesday.
According to the poll, which is the first one released by the university, 47 percent of the 905 likely voters surveyed online and on the phone said they would vote for Cruz, while 43.4 percent said they would vote for O’Rourke; 5.7 percent said they were “not sure,” and 3.9 percent chose “other.”
Anyone who thinks Robert has a chance is kidding themselves.OK, here's an actual recent poll, as opposed to one conducted in September:
https://www.texastribune.org/2018/10/31/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-poll-uttyler-texas/
The fact that this is their first of the race means it's hard to glean too much from it, since we can't track movement since the last poll. Also, looked them up in 538's pollster ratings and either they are the "University of Texas" online poll (grade of B-) or they're not in there at all.
Anyway, my takeaway is that Beto is still behind so get out there and canvass your a## off.
"Don't vote for the guy who attended an elite prep school, came from a wealthy family, has parents who ran a crooked business, has billionaire inlaws, and breaks promises on campaign funding!!"
- He attended Woodberry Forest, one of the most elite prep schools in the nation, located in Virginia not the barrio
- His father was a judge
- His mother ran a crooked business (that had to settle with the IRS over fraud charges
- His father in law is a billionaire investor that tried to demolish the barrio and displace thousands of poor Mexicans so he could put up loft condos and a Whole Foods in downtown El Paso
- He spent $18 million on a consulting firm after saying he would not use consultants
- H has taken in $70 million, most of which has come from OUT OF STATE donors and via ActBlue/ShareBlue (the left wing version of Bannon/Breitbart), talk about election meddling
And, on the other hand, you have Ted Cruz. Barf.Anyone who thinks Robert has a chance is kidding themselves.
I can understand why college educated white males would jump on his bandwagon, just comparing his charisma to the rest of the party.
But he has zero chance of winning in TX.
Just a reminder:
- His name is actually Robert O'Rourke, and he is of Irish ancestry
- He attended Woodberry Forest, one of the most elite prep schools in the nation, located in Virginia not the barrio
- His father was a judge
- His mother ran a crooked business (that had to settle with the IRS over fraud charges "The shop accepted more than $630,000 in cash payments from an unidentified customer and altered records so daily transactions were not reported to the IRS, according to a plea agreement between the company and the government. )
- His father in law is a billionaire investor that tried to demolish the barrio and displace thousands of poor Mexicans so he could put up loft condos and a Whole Foods in downtown El Paso
- He rides a skateboard in a Whataburger parking lot to show he is hip
- He culturally appropriated the name Beto so that low info people would think he is Mexican
- He spent $18 million on a consulting firm after saying he would not use consultants
- H has taken in $70 million, most of which has come from OUT OF STATE donors and via ActBlue/ShareBlue (the left wing version of Bannon/Breitbart), talk about election meddling
- Texas is still a conservative state regardless of how many liberals move from their failed home states to Austin and The Woodlands for a better life
I do have to give him credit for figuring out a way to pocket tens of millions of dollars in an election he never had a chance of winning. Good family genes I suppose.
Ted Cruz has relations with bacon before eating.And, on the other hand, you have Ted Cruz. Barf.
Remind me, do you consider that a good thing or a bad thing?H has taken in $70 million, most of which has come from OUT OF STATE donors and via ActBlue/ShareBlue (the left wing version of Bannon/Breitbart), talk about election meddling
I was told there’d be no math.Dinsy Ejotuz said:Reminder that a small percentage increase on a REALLY BIG number can swamp a really big percentage increase on a VERY SMALL number, i.e.:
1000 * 95% = +950
100 * 500% = +500
I thought everyone already knew the Democrats are the party of the elites.Roy L Fewks said:Um, yeah. When you appoint a rich prep-school elitist as the leader of your party, you lose the ability to play that card against your opponent. WOMP WOMP.
Yeah, that's why I never get banned.Curious to see if you get banned for editing someone's quote let I did. You have done it multiple times without punishment. I guess you just have to be on the right "side" as the moderators.
Confirmed.Yeah, that's why I never get banned.Curious to see if you get banned for editing someone's quote let I did. You have done it multiple times without punishment. I guess you just have to be on the right "side" as the moderators.