Sharkpool league yesterday:
Gave: 2.3 and 4.5
Got: Zay Flowers and 2026 4th
One of those trades I felt I had to accept, but did not really want to so much as felt like I had to.
Yeah that was me. I sort of felt the same way from my end in terms of feeling I needed to move back into this draft and shuffle just a lil bit. I felt like I was overpaying but I'm somewhat bullish on Flowers. I actually really love him and he will have some blow up games but I don't like his floor in that offense. That said, my target, Tuten, really needs to hit to make this one for me.
I'll let you into some of my stupid rationale.
To get others up to speed I have ETN/Bigsby and RB is my weakest spot. Tuten made all the sense in the world plus I'm aware his ADP is higher but the guy I believed in was Mason Taylor. I had b2b picks and always knew Burden was one of them, was stalling on picking Taylor because of another league but when it came time for me to pick him I started having second thoughts on passing Tuten. The guy that makes sense/need or the guy I believe in? So I picked Burden, was about to draft Taylor, but then decided to throw one last offer out trying to move back to 2.5 just so I'd not have to actually pass on drafting Tuten. Which is again is kind of a stupid mental hurdle I was struggling to get over. So threw out offer to move back to 2.5, which I thought would be accepted tbh, and ran a quick errand with idea to come back and draft most likely Taylor even though passing Tuten was still gnawing at me. Then saw your offer and took it. Just kind of stupid thought process and I spent really hours during the week on idea I'd have that exact call at 2.3, Tuten or Taylor, and then end up with Flowers.
As for Zay I already got him on two other teams. Hard guy to know when to use and agree the offense does him no favors. But while I think Taylor is going to be really good I know Zay is very talented and situations can change and at worst he's solid so had to put aside what I think vs what I know and take it.
I mean... it's hard to say this was a bad trade for you. Yeah I like Taylor a lot as well, I knew you were most likely taking Burden first. You told everyone you were going to make a pick with that first one of the back to back and on my board Burden was slam dunk end of a top tier. I feel like right between your two picks was a fairly large cliff. I'm desperate for another RB and Tuten is the last one I think has a real solid chance to take over the lion's share of a backfield and that worst case he will be relevant in a PPR sense. Plus like I said I have some small reservations on Flowers.
Other note is that I had an offer sitting in my box of 2.04 for my Flowers straight but needed to see if I could make that deal with you, managed to get the 4.03 back (not 4.05 as in your OP but big whoop). But I also had a strong feeling that you were going to take Tuten if you stayed put and that was basically the last guy I would move into the round for. And Flowers was probably the only asset I had to do it. So if I hadn't made that offer (and I almost didn't) you probably take Tuten and then I decline the 2.04 offer.
Adding my perspective as I am in the same league, I had the 2.1 pick, and
@barackdhouse also offered me Flowers for 2.01.
I looked at rankings and thought to myself "I have to accept this, right?" but then I looked at Flowers' stats from last year and, while he's an obviously talented receiver, and I had a good impression of him as a young WR who seemed to make plays and was Lamar's go to WR, his stats were a little spikey... it reinforced my concerns about the run-first offense that he's in.
And of course there's something fun about drafting your own rookies with awesome and unlimited ceilings!
So instead, I traded the 2.01 for the 2.06 and 2.09.
My team has been Win Now since the league started 4 years ago, and now it is in desperate need of an injection of youth, so I thought I'd take 2 rookie swings in the 2nd round instead of just 1.
Also a factor was that I was really targeting Golden at the 2.01, but he went at the 1.12 (
@NE_REVIVAL grrr.... ) so while I could've taken Skattebo or Burden at 2.01, I liked the tier that included Tuten at RB, Bech/Morris/Williams/Higgins/Noel at WR. and Taylor at TE.
So I traded back and ended up taking Bech at 2.06 and Taylor at 2.09.
A bit of a long, look at me post, but it IS a completed Dynasty Trade and it might shed some more light on perceived value of Flowers fwiw.