I do these kind of trades almost every year, did several like this last year. And when those late firsts are your own pick, which usually means your team did well, it's really dawned on me that it's sometimes a lot easier actually improving good teams that don't have immediate glaring needs so you can put off immediate dividend paying assets for higher valued long term assets simply for having patience. In many ways not unlike real world financial management.Those are best kind of trades. Long run you’ll gain tons of value trading super late current 1sts for undecided future 1sts
2.9 seems low and I'm surprised he could not draw more of a return back but right now I'd not give a first for him right now in any of my FFPC leagues. I always view FFPC this time of year in terms of I'm not only giving up the pick but also essentially my 14th man and right now I don't have a league I'd give up 1.12 and my 14th man. For me to pay for Pettis right now it would need to be something closer to 2.9 then 1.9.Pettis is worth more than the 1.09 IMO, much less the 2.09.
12 Team Dynasty PPR league
Shady McCoy
for
Kenny Golladay
Wtf?
McCoy is a 2nd round startup pick. That’s a big boon to short term championship odds - and that’s what we play for. I think it’s pretty wild to significantly hinder your championship chances for Kenny Golladay.
Edit: 2nd round redraft pick, not startup.
Turns out Shady for Golladay was a great trade after all. I wonder how many of you actually go back and look at what was said about a trade and find out that a lot of them that everyone thought was so bad ends up actually being in favor of the other guy in less than 1 year.I think we can all agree that Shady for Golladay is a terrible return on Shady, regardless of what type of production he yet yields.
And it's especially so when you look at the FBG staff rankings of McCoy, as he's ranked higher than every non-Barkley rookie RB by half of the staff whom have submitted rankings. Seriously, ranking McCoy as equivalent to the the 1.02 in this year's rookie class should result in auto-removal from providing content on a for-pay fantasy football site. You're legitimately taking Shady of Guice, Penny, Chubb, Jones, Michel, and even Johnson or Freeman? Well then you're terrible at fantasy football.
/rant
Surprised more people weren't on the dump shady while you can bandwagon... I would have been.Turns out Shady for Golladay was a great trade after all. I wonder how many of you actually go back and look at what was said about a trade and find out that a lot of them that everyone thought was so bad ends up actually being in favor of the other guy in less than 1 year.
I still stand by that post. I never said I wouldn’t have made the deal, just that it was a poor return on Shady’s perceived value. McCoy was terribly misvalued/ranked at that time (too high), so much so that he should’ve yielded a better return than Galloday.Turns out Shady for Golladay was a great trade after all. I wonder how many of you actually go back and look at what was said about a trade and find out that a lot of them that everyone thought was so bad ends up actually being in favor of the other guy in less than 1 year.
Turns out Shady for Golladay was a great trade after all. I wonder how many of you actually go back and look at what was said about a trade and find out that a lot of them that everyone thought was so bad ends up actually being in favor of the other guy in less than 1 year.
I think people are way way way underrating the likelihood that Shady is done. I brought this up in the Shady thread but when you look at these career workhorses that had a big drop in their YPC late in their career (and the age 29 season was the most common) they were almost always straight up done, right then.
Tomlinson, Shaun Alexander, Edge, Faulk, etc. They all saw big drops in YPC in their age 29 seasons but still put up solid volume fantasy stats so retained value into their age 30 season, but pretty much all of them were already done. Only Edge put together one more RB2 fantasy season and that was a bit of an outlier as he managed to eek it out with an even worse 3.3ypc the next year.
When you look at guys that kept going into their 30's like Gore and Curtis Martin they pretty much cruised right through their age 29 season with no signs of slowing down. Gore had one of the most efficient seasons of his career at age 29 and Martin was well above his career YPC.
Bottom line is at this age when a guy shows any signs of slowing down it seems like it's usually a big giant red flag waving in our faces and telling us that the big cliff where he will become totally usless is right around the next bend, if not already here. It's far from scientific, but Shady right now just feels a LOT like those guys coming off their age 29 seasons.
Not enoughCurious if you guys feel this was enough to get Tyreek:
10 Team Full PPR Dynasty, 2 QB
Team A: DJ Moore, Damien Williams, 2019 Rookie Pick 1.05
Team B: Tyreek Hill
Not remotelyCurious if you guys feel this was enough to get Tyreek:
10 Team Full PPR Dynasty, 2 QB
Team A: DJ Moore, Damien Williams, 2019 Rookie Pick 1.05
Team B: Tyreek Hill
Did you mistakenly delete a line?Curious if you guys feel this was enough to get Tyreek:
10 Team Full PPR Dynasty, 2 QB
Team A: DJ Moore, Damien Williams, 2019 Rookie Pick 1.05
Team B: Tyreek Hill
Really? Not in that league, but remember, its a 10 team league as opposed to a 12 or 14 team league. So I think that reduces Hill's value a little bit.Not enough
I only play in 12 team leagues so this is just a theory for me and nothing based on experience but I would think just the opposite. I would just think in a 10 team league the better teams are better then in a typical 12-14 man league so it makes studs even more important. And the smaller league makes depth less important as it's usually easier to find which makes 3 for 1 type trades even less desirable when you are giving up far and away the best piece.Really? Not in that league, but remember, its a 10 team league as opposed to a 12 or 14 team league. So I think that reduces Hill's value a little bit.
Surprised AJ is bringing in 1.06. Brieda is basically a throw in.10-team PPR. Not involved.
Matt Breida, 1.06
for
AJ Green
I'd say the opposite. Having studs as opposed to depth (which is easier to come by) in a 10 team league is way more important than in a 12 or 14 team league.Really? Not in that league, but remember, its a 10 team league as opposed to a 12 or 14 team league. So I think that reduces Hill's value a little bit.
or I could have just replied, "this".I only play in 12 team leagues so this is just a theory for me and nothing based on experience but I would think just the opposite. I would just think in a 10 team league the better teams are better then in a typical 12-14 man league so it makes studs even more important. And the smaller league makes depth less important as it's usually easier to find which makes 3 for 1 type trades even less desirable when you are giving up far and away the best piece.
Agreed. 10 team leagues are all about studs. Lot's more in the player pool available.I only play in 12 team leagues so this is just a theory for me and nothing based on experience but I would think just the opposite. I would just think in a 10 team league the better teams are better then in a typical 12-14 man league so it makes studs even more important. And the smaller league makes depth less important as it's usually easier to find which makes 3 for 1 type trades even less desirable when you are giving up far and away the best piece.
I would happily accept Landry and Nuk for those offers. Landry is tied to a rising Baker and Nuk is a top 5 dynasty asset IMO. DJ is perhaps dynasty’s greatest question mark right now.Not involved in either of these but both in separate FFPC leagues
2020 1st and 2nd
for
Jarvis Landry
picks could literally be anywhere but it was by the 1.01 this year, has a decent team, likely not playoff caliber though so 1.01 - 1.08
Nuk
for
David Johnson and Thielen
Love the first one, Mariotas never gonna be anything special. 2nd one seems fine, don't really think there anything to regret getting rid of with either Lockett or MVS, and extra 1sts are always great.just made a pair of trades in my league:
Received: Goff, 2.9, 2020 2nd
Gave: 1.5, Mariota
Mariota was my QB1. we have zero points for turnovers, 6 points passing td. QBs are pretty valuable, especially a top 6 or 8 one.
Received: 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd (finished 2nd in 2018, expected playoff team)
Gave: Lockett, MVS, McGuire, Warren III, 2.9, 3.8
Frees up roster room for 2019 draft for me and pushes some picks to 2020
Probably sold Elliott a little short, but nothing too lopsided.Not involved
Cap: $250
Full IDP
Starting Lineup: QB/RB/RB/W/W/T/Superflex/K/punter/DL/DL/LB/LB/DB/DB/flex
Elliott ($40) & 2019 3rd round pick for Guice ($10), Carson ($8), and 2019 pick 1.06
thanks.Love the first one, Mariotas never gonna be anything special. 2nd one seems fine, don't really think there anything to regret getting rid of with either Lockett or MVS, and extra 1sts are always great.
thanks.
My thoughts on the 2nd one were I already own 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.7, 1.8, 2.2. so I had a lot of room to make. Little regret if they pan out because I think I got good compensation, and I made room for 4 rookies.
Jesus. Rebuild?yeah orphan team. did a lot of selling and flipping. finished 5th though, largely thanks to barkely. I am not in a complete rebuild. Just need a stud wr. if any of godwin, sutton, Miller, Gallup, Washington pan out I'll be in good shape. Corey Davis is a flop. I might sell him nextJesus. Rebuild?
wow. that's cheap for Chubb IMO. And I'm a big fan of Godwin.16 team ppr.
Godwin and the 1.08 traded for Chubb.
I could not hit accept fast enough to cash out on Landry for that price.Not involved in either of these but both in separate FFPC leagues
2020 1st and 2nd
for
Jarvis Landry
picks could literally be anywhere but it was by the 1.01 this year, has a decent team, likely not playoff caliber though so 1.01 - 1.08
Nuk
for
David Johnson and Thielen
I recently dealt Herndon for 2.3 and Edelman so feel like I got back more then what you paid and given your team needs I think it's a good trade for you.skinfanjon said:FFPC
Sent: 2.04, 2020 3rd
Got: Chris Herndon
It's TE premium and only other TEs on my roster are Goedert and Ben Watson. I thought about waiting until he got suspended but this seemed like a good price. Still have the 1.08 and 1.10 and whole slew of mid round dart throws.
Value aside (where I would prefer the Kittle side in TE premium by somewhat decent margin), I am always nervous to make trades for players in the NFL playoffs when I get nothing out of them, and a 2019 effective season ending injury could occur. Especially RB/WRs.Not involved and this trade went down Saturday, not a case of dealing Michel after his big game.
FFPC
Team A gave: Sony Michel and Calvin Ridley
Team B gave: Kittle
Man, this is the second deal I've seen on here where AJ has gone for nothing. Are people really that down on him? At those package prices, just deal him for a first plus. I don't get it.12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL
Team A gave up
Peterson, Adrian WAS RB;
Green, A.J. CIN WR;
McKenzie, Isaiah BUF WR
Team B gave up
Anderson, Robby NYJ WR;
Callaway, Antonio CLE WR
Williams, Darrel KCC RB;
That's not even the 'right' D.Williams...12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL
Team A gave up
Peterson, Adrian WAS RB;
Green, A.J. CIN WR;
McKenzie, Isaiah BUF WR
Team B gave up
Anderson, Robby NYJ WR;
Callaway, Antonio CLE WR
Williams, Darrel KCC RB;
This is a very good point I don't think enough people take into account. I posted a trade earlier where I acquired Edelman and that was a factor in my mind, I had thought of waiting until NE was done but if the value is right I don't want to miss it.Value aside (where I would prefer the Kittle side in TE premium by somewhat decent margin), I am always nervous to make trades for players in the NFL playoffs when I get nothing out of them, and a 2019 effective season ending injury could occur. Especially RB/WRs.
Cooks/Chubb side by a large margin.12 Team PPR 1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/2Flex (RB,WR,TE) Bonus for TE's and running QB's
Gave: Amari Cooper & Lamar Jackson
Got: Brandon Cooks & Nick Chubb
It was difficult to part with L Jackson; he upgraded to Chubb from A Jones to get me. But admittedly, he is a Dallas fan and hates Clev; but he needs reliable QB after losing Alex Smith (he still has Wentz / I have Brees & Mayfield still). I lost semi's playoff (9-4 season). He finished outside playoffs 5-8 after 4-0 start.
Michel and Ridley is good value for Kittle.Not involved and this trade went down Saturday, not a case of dealing Michel after his big game.
FFPC
Team A gave: Sony Michel and Calvin Ridley
Team B gave: Kittle
It's not bad compensation, I just prefer Kittle.Michel and Ridley is good value for Kittle.
JuJu has been going late in the 1st round of some recent start-ups I've seen so not far off, but probably could've gotten a pick or another young prospect to even it out. Hard to argue with a 22 year old WR with 2400 yds and 14 TDs in his first two years though..5 PPR
Kamara just got traded for Juju straight up.
Former Kamara owner has a major rebuild coming so guessing he wanted youth at WR.
Has Juju actually ascended to this now?
I wouldn't call Callaway and Anderson nothing. Green will be 31 while Callaway and Anderson will be 22 and 26. I'd say each of those guys is worth a mid-2nd which equates to a late first which is about Green's value at this age. If he pulls a Fitzgerald and puts up fringe WR1 numbers for the next 5 years and those young guys fizzle, it'll look like a bad trade. If AJ continues to get injured every other year while just one of those guys lives up to their potential, it'll look like a good trade.Man, this is the second deal I've seen on here where AJ has gone for nothing. Are people really that down on him? At those package prices, just deal him for a first plus. I don't get it.
I guess I'm more bearish on Anderson & Callaway. Both those guys IMO are solid WR2 upside. AJ as you said has upside of 3 more years of WR1, plus name value if he puts in a great 2019.I wouldn't call Callaway and Anderson nothing. Green will be 31 while Callaway and Anderson will be 22 and 26. I'd say each of those guys is worth a mid-2nd which equates to a late first which is about Green's value at this age. If he pulls a Fitzgerald and puts up fringe WR1 numbers for the next 5 years and those young guys fizzle, it'll look like a bad trade. If AJ continues to get injured every other year while just one of those guys lives up to their potential, it'll look like a good trade.
Interesting trade but I'll take the picks and Edwards.12 Team PPR
Team A gets David Johnson, pick 2.12, 3.12, 4.12, 5.3
Team B gets Gus Edwards, 1.2, 1.8, 2.1
I was the one trading for those guys in that deal, and admittedly I fully expected that most would be on the AJG side (and you/they would not be wrong). I just won this league with a fairly young overall core (Goff/Cousins, Kamara, Gurley, Damien Williams, Diggs, Ebron...) but other than Diggs my starting WRs were all on the wrong side of 30 (AJG, Edelman, Sanders, Baldwin) so I wanted to retool a bit (not rebuild but try to add some young pieces to mix in while moving some age).I guess I'm more bearish on Anderson & Callaway. Both those guys IMO are solid WR2 upside. AJ as you said has upside of 3 more years of WR1, plus name value if he puts in a great 2019.
But we're still just talking about upside. Wide receivers tend to drop off a little at age 32 and really drop off around 34. The last time Green played 16 games was his age 29 season and he was only WR13 on a ppg basis. It is very possible his WR1 days are over. So you might get a high-end WR2 for 3 years or whatever Robby can be for 6 years/Callaway for 10 years.I guess I'm more bearish on Anderson & Callaway. Both those guys IMO are solid WR2 upside. AJ as you said has upside of 3 more years of WR1, plus name value if he puts in a great 2019.