What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

****OFFICIAL DYNASTY TRADES**** (37 Viewers)

Ok... it has been a busy morning....  Another deal....  

He gave up Mayfield, Baker CLE QB; Rivers, Philip LAC QB; Smith, Tre'Quan NOS WR; Year 2020 Round 1 Draft Pick 

I gave up Mahomes, Patrick KCC QB
I think Baker and a random 2020 #1, so long as it's not a lead pipe late first lock, is equitable for Mahomes right now and as ChuckLiddel was referencing if Hill is suspended or Chiefs elect to not extend him after this season I'd take Baker and any 2020#1 for him. Mahomes is pretty special but I'm surprised in all the Tyreek Hill talk that more focus has not been put on the impact his potential absence would have on Mahomes, as if it's just an issue for Tyreek Hill owners if he is not playing with the Chiefs next year or long term. I think it's debatable which one helps the other more but the pairing is a match made in heaven.

 
So tell me if I did ok?  FWIW- I am happy.  2 upgrades for the 1.03 was worth it in my book.   I wanted to upgrade my WR corp. 12 Team Startup PPR  (1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/2Flex)

Rest of Roster ==> QB: Mahomes, J Allen  RB: Bell, Chubb, La Murray  WR: AJG, M Lee, J Washington, Sanu, Tyrell Williams, Foster  TE: Cook, Hurst, Olsen 

He gave up Woods, Robert LAR WR; Njoku, David CLE TE

I gave up Shepard, Sterling NYG WR; Burton, Trey CHI TE; Year 2019 Draft Pick 1.03
Again, prefer getting the better players.  Give me Woods and Njoku for essentially nothing and a draft dart throw every single time.

 
Ok... it has been a busy morning....  Another deal....  

He gave up Mayfield, Baker CLE QB; Rivers, Philip LAC QB; Smith, Tre'Quan NOS WR; Year 2020 Round 1 Draft Pick 

I gave up Mahomes, Patrick KCC QB
Small league or large league?  If it's 12 or under, I think that's an amazing get for Mahomes, and I don't even like Baker very much.

 
Hate to take one comment out and pick on it but I don't really get this one.  I mean every player needs volume to some degree of course but when I think of the kind of player who needs volume I think of someone like Jarvis Landry who does not get much YPR or TD's and thus averages about 1.5 fantasy points per target in his career.  A guy like Edelman who catches a ton of short passes and is around 1.6 fantasy points per target. Those are volume based WR's. On the strength of over 14 yards a catch and a fairly high TD rate Kupp actually is elite in points per target  at 2.07 for his career. If you take his last 16 games he's at about 118 targets/80/1200/10. He is almost the opposite of a volume based WR to me.
In 2017 according to playerprofiler Kupp was #47 in air yards and #50 in target depth.  The reason he did well is because of his quickness where he was #12 in YAC and #3 in Red Zone receptions.  All of that points to a security blanket of underneath routes for Goff.  Nothing wrong with that, but yes the Jarvis Landry comp is accurate.

He's a pumped up Jarvis Landry to me so yes I think of him when I think of Landry and put them in the "volume based" category in my mind.  He's a more efficient player than Landry is but that is what he is.  A glorified #2 who will come down to earth.  Buy him if you want, but I don't see longevity here.  I see solid production and an eventual downfall in a few years time.  He'll have his moments to be a top WR but it won't last.  

 
will Shepard work with him or be more like Kelvin Benjamin?  I don't see him putting in the work now that he got his $$.  
What are you basing that on? I guess you could end up being right but Shepard has never come across that way - seems like a pretty level-headed and humble kid.

 
What are you basing that on? I guess you could end up being right but Shepard has never come across that way - seems like a pretty level-headed and humble kid.
Based on him getting paid already.  He got more $ than was necessary.  If the NYG are not looking like contenders in next 2-3 years, or even have winning records....  he does not have to excel or put himself out there more than necessary. No sacrifice of the body necessary for team going no where.  Yes, he does appear to be a level headed kid, but when you change the key person in your position (OBJ), and the key Def (L Collins), you cannot expect hims to show long term loyalty or commitment to the organization.  He got paid.  What does he do when Eli is replaced?  I don't expect much... not much more than minimum anyway.  

 
This went down in my league today: 12 team 25 man roster ppr

team A gave TY Hilton and 2020 2nd round pick

team B gave CKupp, LMiller, and E St. Brown

 
who u trying to get w those picks
Felt my team needed WRs more than Henry (although I do like Henry) so trying to keep an open mind come draft time but leading towards WRs. Current Roster (we start 1qb, 2rb, 3wr, 1te, 1flex) 

Big Ben, Wentz, Darnold 
Barkley, Guice, Lindsay, Gio, Lewis 
AB, Mike Williams, Sutton, Pettis, Crowder, Samuel, Quinn 
Howard, Cook, Gesicki 
Picks 1.8, 1.10, 1.11, 2.2, 2.8

 
12 team PPR.  Start 1 QB, 1-3 RB, 1-3 WR, 1-2 TE (Total of 5 between RB, WR, TE), Kicker, Defense.  20 man rosters.

Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Startup was 1 month ago so hard to know where the 2020 picks will end up.

 
12 team PPR.  Start 1 QB, 1-3 RB, 1-3 WR, 1-2 TE (Total of 5 between RB, WR, TE), Kicker, Defense.  20 man rosters.

Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Startup was 1 month ago so hard to know where the 2020 picks will end up.
I'll take the players over the picks by a lot.  

 
12 team PPR.  Start 1 QB, 1-3 RB, 1-3 WR, 1-2 TE (Total of 5 between RB, WR, TE), Kicker, Defense.  20 man rosters.

Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Startup was 1 month ago so hard to know where the 2020 picks will end up.
That's a lot of picks for those players...some pretty nice picks too. It would depend what the rest of my roster is- if I needed wr and could afford to lose Michel. 

I'd probably take the players

 
12 team PPR.  Start 1 QB, 1-3 RB, 1-3 WR, 1-2 TE (Total of 5 between RB, WR, TE), Kicker, Defense.  20 man rosters.

Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Startup was 1 month ago so hard to know where the 2020 picks will end up.
As lopsided a trade as I've seen posted here recently.

 
With 2 people already in this thread stating they prefer the players I am not sure why you would just assume everyone "knows" the picks win and leave your post as ambiguous as possible.
Why you getting so snippy? I'm not a group think person and did not know I had to read other posts before responding.  You asked me for clarification and I gave it, time to let it go.

 
Why you getting so snippy? I'm not a group think person and did not know I had to read other posts before responding.  You asked me for clarification and I gave it, time to let it go.
Didn't mean to get snippy. Just wanted to know your opinion.

It is ironic though that you don't subject yourself to group think, but you leave a post ambiguous because you think everyone will know which way you are thinking.  I am not sure I understand.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
12 team PPR.  Start 1 QB, 1-3 RB, 1-3 WR, 1-2 TE (Total of 5 between RB, WR, TE), Kicker, Defense.  20 man rosters.

Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Startup was 1 month ago so hard to know where the 2020 picks will end up.
Easy win for the team getting picks. 

 
As lopsided a trade as I've seen posted here recently.
Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Michel and Watson are picks 30 and 31 in mfl adps, and 28 and 51 in fantasypros consensus rankings. Michel is rb13 in both, and Watson iis qb2.  

We just had a discussion in which you said Jacobs was roughly rb20 in your estimation.  https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/773469-josh-jacobs-dynasty-rb/?do=findComment&comment=21834873

So i think - by your valuation - michel is worth significantly more than 1.2, because Jacobs may not even be available at 1.2. 

You won't be able to easily replace Watson with a random first round pick next year. You might get a highly regarded young qb but replacing the number 2 dynasty qb with a pick next year isn't something you should assume is possible. 

Call burkhead the 2020 3rd. 

So you're getting 2.1, 2.11 and a future 2nd to downgrade from rb13 to rb20 and from qb2 to a random future first.  

That's not nearly enough.  I think you either are low on Michel and Watson, or you've got rookie fever.  

 
Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Michel and Watson are picks 30 and 31 in mfl adps, and 28 and 51 in fantasypros consensus rankings. Michel is rb13 in both, and Watson iis qb2.  

We just had a discussion in which you said Jacobs was roughly rb20 in your estimation.  https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/773469-josh-jacobs-dynasty-rb/?do=findComment&comment=21834873

So i think - by your valuation - michel is worth significantly more than 1.2, because Jacobs may not even be available at 1.2. 

You won't be able to easily replace Watson with a random first round pick next year. You might get a highly regarded young qb but replacing the number 2 dynasty qb with a pick next year isn't something you should assume is possible. 

Call burkhead the 2020 3rd. 

So you're getting 2.1, 2.11 and a future 2nd to downgrade from rb13 to rb20 and from qb2 to a random future first.  

That's not nearly enough.  I think you either are low on Michel and Watson, or you've got rookie fever.  
this was how i looked at it. I am low on Watson and Michel but overall they have known value. The rookie picks are shots in the dark. And I'm very much a draft pick person. I also don't understand trading 2 players you can build a dynasty team around for draft picks... unless this team completely blew it at the start up draft and is going into rebuild mode right off the start

 
Last edited by a moderator:
this was how i looked at it. I am low on Watson and Michel but overall they have known value. The rookie picks are shots in the dark. And I'm very much a draft pick person. I also don't understand trading 2 players you can build a dynasty team around for draft picks... unless this team completely blew it at the start up draft and is going into rebuild mode right off the start
The team that traded the players roster looks like this after the trade:

QB: Goff

RB: Kamara, Carson, Miller, I. Smith

WR: Cooper, DJ Moore, E. Sanders, D. Cain, R. Switzer

TE: H. Henry, J. Witten

Picks: 1.2, 1.07, 1.12, 2.01, 2.06, 2.11

 (2) 2020 1sts, (2) 2020 2nds, (2) 2020 3rds

So I would say you are right in your assessment that they may have been playing for the future or screwed up the startup draft.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
this was how i looked at it. I am low on Watson and Michel but overall they have known value. The rookie picks are shots in the dark. And I'm very much a draft pick person. I also don't understand trading 2 players you can build a dynasty team around for draft picks... unless this team completely blew it at the start up draft and is going into rebuild mode right off the start
Watson is a strange guy to be low on. He is young and has performed extremely well when on the field. Last year he was missing Fuller the majority of the time and Coutee struggled with injury as well. They have a mediocre cast at TE and RB and their online has been terrible. Against these hurdles he played pretty darn well. I would be interested in what you see that you don’t like.

I understand Michel to a degree. NE is historically a massive split and Michel has some knee issues coming into the league.

 
So i think - by your valuation - michel is worth significantly more than 1.2, because Jacobs may not even be available at 1.2. 
No I value 1.2 over Michel

Michel and Watson are picks 30 and 31 in mfl adps, and 28 and 51 in fantasypros consensus rankings. Michel is rb13 in both, and Watson iis qb2.  
I don't value QB's that that highly and in a league I only need to start one RB I put even less value on Michel and I would suspect his overall value would also be less.

You won't be able to easily replace Watson with a random first round pick next year. You might get a highly regarded young qb but replacing the number 2 dynasty qb with a pick next year isn't something you should assume is possible. 
I don't think like this. I would not think I have to use that 2020#1 to replace Watson. I put that value of the 2020#1 on par with Watson, but does not mean that's what I need to replace him.

Call burkhead the 2020 3rd. 
You can but I won't, I'd put his value as more like a 7th.

I answered all of your questions and comments I believe. Now I'll say how I saw the trade was this:

1.2/2020#1 slightly over Michel, Watson, Burkhead. Sligthly, would have graded that as a fairly even trade but would prefer the 1.2 and 2020#1 myself.

So for me it was free 2.1, 2.11, 2020#2 and 2020#3.

 
Watson is a strange guy to be low on. He is young and has performed extremely well when on the field. Last year he was missing Fuller the majority of the time and Coutee struggled with injury as well. They have a mediocre cast at TE and RB and their online has been terrible. Against these hurdles he played pretty darn well. I would be interested in what you see that you don’t like.

I understand Michel to a degree. NE is historically a massive split and Michel has some knee issues coming into the league.
I think Watson is a bit overvalued for a few reasons, especially if this is a 1qb league. I'd be glad to talk about it elsewhere 

 
Team A gave: Sony Michel, R. Burkhead, D. Watson

Team B gave: 1.2, 2.01, 2.11, 2020 1st, 2020 2nd, 2020 3rd

Michel and Watson are picks 30 and 31 in mfl adps, and 28 and 51 in fantasypros consensus rankings. Michel is rb13 in both, and Watson iis qb2.  

We just had a discussion in which you said Jacobs was roughly rb20 in your estimation.  https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/773469-josh-jacobs-dynasty-rb/?do=findComment&comment=21834873

So i think - by your valuation - michel is worth significantly more than 1.2, because Jacobs may not even be available at 1.2. 

You won't be able to easily replace Watson with a random first round pick next year. You might get a highly regarded young qb but replacing the number 2 dynasty qb with a pick next year isn't something you should assume is possible. 

Call burkhead the 2020 3rd. 

So you're getting 2.1, 2.11 and a future 2nd to downgrade from rb13 to rb20 and from qb2 to a random future first.  

That's not nearly enough.  I think you either are low on Michel and Watson, or you've got rookie fever.  
Why would he be trying to replace Watson with the 2020 pick, especially in a one QB league?

If he's moving Watson I assume he has another competent QB (looks like he actually has Goff).

I also would take the picks but largely because I am not high on Sony.  We saw how bad knees and lack of pass catching acumen quickly tanked the value of guys like Ajayi and Jordan Howard, and Sony has both of those issues before we even start talking about the Pats running game circus. 

It's not like they just didn't use Sony as a receiver either, they tried multiple times and he was just really really bad at it.  Between the college and NFL the dude now has 14 catches in his last 26 games.  A lot of his value comes from a big playoff finish with an unsustainable pace in carries even for a guy without bad knees.  I think he is a classic sell high right now.

Watson is a nice enough player but he's a non-transcendent QB in a one QB league.  I'm not sure what the difference is in value between him and Wentz but just as an example I offered up Wentz for basically any 1st round pick in my league (I have Luck as well) and there wasn't even a shred of interest from anyone.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
kittenmittens said:
12 team superflex tiered ppr qrrwwwtsfff:

Nick Chubb

For

Godwin, Royce Freeman, 1. 09
That’s pretty brutal value for Chubb.  Can’t wait for the panic to set in for all the Godwin truthers when the Bucs land a name WR on the first 2-3 rounds.  Not that I dislike Godwin, but he’s a risky buy at his current valuation IMO. 

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top