That is all fair. I know a couple of these trades in here have been mine, and also
@menobrown. We have both acknowledged the risk and yeah it really could be a crash and burn but I think we love the upside enough to take that shot. And I really don't think Jones is the guy either but I am betting on talent over situation here. As situation goes, at *present* he has no impendiment to being the #1 target and combined with his talent, it is well within the margin of possibilities that he is extremely *underpriced* right now. But your concerns are super valid and at least according to market you are probably right about these being overpays, even if just a little.
Sidenote I took Toney in two back to back TriFlex startups this past week. Once at 9.03 and again at 8.07. Other WRs in that area included Aiyuk, G Davis, Mooney, Juju, Renfrow. Bateman came off one before. Sutton, Claypool, Nuk, nearby. *shrugs*