For projection purposes, what type of offense can we expect?? heavy pass or run?
Since you asked, here is a high level breakdown of run/pass splits, and position targets. I expect a run heavy offense with one RB and WR having significant production in the pass game. Gruden's system has supported two WRs in the past.
Tm Scr Ply Pass Att Rush Att Run% Pass% RB Tar WR Tar TE Tar QB
Eagles 1,004 496 508 51% 49% 26% 64% 10% Roodney Peete
Eagles 1,037 548 489 47% 53% 27% 63% 10% Ty Detmer
Eagles 1,052 587 465 44% 56% 32% 58% 10% Ty Detmer
Raiders 968 519 449 46% 54% 25% 58% 17% Donald Hollis
Raiders 1,008 520 488 48% 52% 30% 56% 14% Rich Gannon
Raiders 995 475 520 52% 48% 30% 55% 15% Rich Gannon
Raiders 1,003 553 450 45% 55% 30% 57% 13% Rich Gannon
Buccs 981 567 414 42% 58% 33% 57% 10% Brad Johnson
Buccs 1,013 592 421 42% 58% 35% 53% 12% Brad Johnson
Buccs 905 512 393 43% 57% 29% 55% 16% Brian Griese
Buccs 944 487 457 48% 52% 25% 57% 18% Chris Simms
Buccs 957 553 404 42% 58% 30% 54% 16% Bruce Gradkowski
Buccs 939 490 449 48% 52% 32% 51% 17% Jeff Garcia
Buccs 1,013 562 451 45% 55% 25% 54% 21% Jeff Garcia
Avg 987 533 454 46% 54% 29% 57% 14%
Some conclusions:
Gruden's system is above the league average (44%) in rush attempts (46%).
Gruden's system is above the league average (21%) in RB targets (29%).
Gruden's system is below the league average (21%) in TE targets (14%)
I am skeptical that Lynch provides the receiving skills to lead the RB group in targets. I think someone else will emerge to claim that role.
Cook better get his resumé updated, he doesn't appear to be a fit in Gruden's approach.
Some notes on this table:
Scr plys = total pass att + rush att (profootballreference stats includes other plays in their totals.)
QB column indicates the QB that attempted the most passes that season.