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PBS Frontline : The Retirement Gamble, sorta Must See (2 Viewers)

I am trying.  I know it is easy to criticize but every situation different.  While I am more than happy to try and save some money, money is not a huge concern for us.

My daughter has some personal issues that we also have to deal with when thinking of what type of school she could survive at which is part of why we are looking at the quieter smaller schools near us.

The money is not our issue, the major she wants is.  I come from a family of engineers (as does my wife) so I really only understand the math and science based majors.  The fact that she wants to be a writer and/or editor is hard for me to wrap my head around in terms of what it means for job prospects some day.

But she is such a good writer (has won multiple awards in high school) and spends 99% of her free time either writing her own stories or editing others stories it is hard for me to crush something that she loves.  She is going to try and get her first novella published next year.
All of this makes sense.  Everyone is different and this is a far cry for shelling out this money for some marginal student who has know idea what they really want.  You've obviously planned for this a long time ago.

Hopefully you can find what works at the margins to reduce that $80k gap.

 
I'm sure a lot of people "make it" in writing but don't have the financial gains to show from it anywhere near immediately. 
She doesn't need to make the gains per se if she isn't saddled with debt and has a good financial head on her shoulders.  Not everyone's path to success and happiness needs to end up in the Otis vacation home in the Hamptons thread.

 
. If she was taking on $265K in debt to pursue this I'm guessing it would be a different situation.. 
it is kind of a catch 22.  If we could not afford to pay for her, she might be able to get some good financial aid which would lower the total cost a bit.

But yeah, to your more general point, I could never stomach seeing my kid with so much debt coming out of school, no matter what there major was.

 
She doesn't need to make the gains per se if she isn't saddled with debt and has a good financial head on her shoulders.  Not everyone's path to success and happiness needs to end up in the Otis vacation home in the Hamptons thread.
she won't have any debt and she will always look to me for general financial advice.  

I figure worse comes to worst, she does not get married (due to her personal issues) and she stays with us and will inherit everything as our only child.  So even if she just gets by in what ever career she lands in, she should be ok.

 
All I know for a fact is this.  If my kid works her butt off and gets into an Ivy or another top tier like Duke, MIT, Stanford, etc and that's where she wants to go, that's where she'll be going.   The starting salary differential alone justifies those schools.   I would agree that paying prestigious school money for a non-prestigious school is a big waste of money if that's part of the point that's trying to be made.  As much as the frugal SOB likes to think that 2 years of CC is a good approach, I have to think that being successful going that route is a gigantic roll of the dice.  What I will offer my daughters is the opportunity to work their tails off and graduate a semester or 2 early and I'll give them a bulk of the cost savings.

 
A few hundred, I'd say.   Again, maybe the comm. colleges here suck and are great in your area.

But kid after kid says they are going to comm. college.   I see them years later, and 95+% of them never made it to that back 2 years to get a degree... they ended up just working and then getting promoted to some dead end job at "insert big box store here" and are condemned to a 30K/yr existence.

Here, comm. college is free for two years...  so with the "get what you pay for" component.. maybe it's the comm. college as much as the student... that part I don't know.

No question sitting in freshman chem and physics in a lecture hall was terrible.   But the value came when I was studying/interacting with those students who were dialed in to pass the class to move on to dental school/med school/pharm school, etc. 
I started college at 23, went to Community College for the first 2 years and transferred to the Univeristy after that. It was a great decision for me, as I had no money and had to find a way to get to college.

I think your view of Community Colleges is way off. I learned a ton, and it was a great way to get me back into school without spending too much money. I would recommend it to anyone who might be financially strapped or just not ready for a big school.

I'd say things turned out OK for me... 

 
I always read these threads about people paying for their kids' college educations and it makes me jealous.  It's such a great way to give a kid a leg-up in the world these days and kudos to you who can afford to do it.  Like Slapdash, I learned a lot about money when making my college decision and ended up turning down acceptances to 2 schools (an Ivy and a top engineering school) partially because of their cost.  I'm happy with how it turned out but always wonder what would've happened if my parents had paid for my educations at one of those schools.  If you have the means to provide that level of education for your kids, it is a tremendous help when they're starting their independent lives.

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?

 
Let's first acknowledge that you did not track a few hundred students, and using terms like 95% is ridiculous.
I've been practicing nearly 15 years,   about 30 kids a year I talk to end up going to the CC's,  so that definitely amounts to at least a couple hundred.

95% is anecdotal...  it could have been as low as 80%,  but it felt like almost never.

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?
Any more details on the latter? How much would the match be, any change in salary, etc? Also as I'm sure you know, with all the healthcare reform there are a lot of mergers/acquisitions taking place...how safe would the job at the private hospital be?

 
it is kind of a catch 22.  If we could not afford to pay for her, she might be able to get some good financial aid which would lower the total cost a bit.

But yeah, to your more general point, I could never stomach seeing my kid with so much debt coming out of school, no matter what there major was.
265K seems excessive. 

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?
As much as you can't get blood from a stone, per se, I really just don't think government agencies will #### with established pensions.  Here in NY state, they keep making the pensions worse...it went from Tier 4 to Tier 7 very quickly with benefits/payouts getting significantly worse.  It's a valid concern but until we start seeing actual frequent defaults in US pensions, I probably wouldn't be terribly worried.  It's not you who'll get screwed, it's the people starting after you.

 
As much as you can't get blood from a stone, per se, I really just don't think government agencies will #### with established pensions.  Here in NY state, they keep making the pensions worse...it went from Tier 4 to Tier 7 very quickly with benefits/payouts getting significantly worse.  It's a valid concern but until we start seeing actual frequent defaults in US pensions, I probably wouldn't be terribly worried.  It's not you who'll get screwed, it's the people starting after you.
I don't generally disagree but if any place can screw people sooner, it would probably be California. And 33 years is still a long time frame.

 
I am trying.  I know it is easy to criticize but every situation different.  While I am more than happy to try and save some money, money is not a huge concern for us.

My daughter has some personal issues that we also have to deal with when thinking of what type of school she could survive at which is part of why we are looking at the quieter smaller schools near us.

The money is not our issue, the major she wants is.  I come from a family of engineers (as does my wife) so I really only understand the math and science based majors.  The fact that she wants to be a writer and/or editor is hard for me to wrap my head around in terms of what it means for job prospects some day.

But she is such a good writer (has won multiple awards in high school) and spends 99% of her free time either writing her own stories or editing others stories it is hard for me to crush something that she loves.  She is going to try and get her first novella published next year.
Frankly, it seems you should be the one advising us.  It sounds like she's doing awesome in an area she enjoys, keep that going.  No reason she couldn't do well in editing or writing, you might be raising the next Stephanie King or JK Rowling.  But I'd bet that life would be a lot easier if she had a good education and a paid for house instead of a quarter million dollar education.

 
Does anyone have any recommendations for sources I can reference to start to educate myself on college grants that fall outside of the school merit's or financial aid program? 

I have read that there are many smaller grants that kids can apply for that can help out a bit financially. 

Have any of you guys who have been through this process used these types of grants for your kids?
Check with her school guidance department regarding local scholarships. There should be a bunch out there but they are competitive. Problem with a lot of them is they do not stack. Meaning if she got $5k in merit aid, then received a $1k scholarship from say the Rotary Club, the colleges deduct her scholarship from the merit making it only $4k. It's a racket although some of the scholarships are set up to be able to stack.

Also check out the fafsa forecaster. I'll warn you though, anything over poverty level basically gets you the 3500 subsidized and 2500 unsubsidized loans. One has interest the other doesn't. Plus they take out a small fee for using these loans. I have triplets going into soph year at different colleges. I'm a firefighter, wife is a teacher and we only qualified for the 5500- in loans, even with 3 at once. I'm also in Mass but all 3 are out of state. Very sore subject with me cause it's costing 85k a year, and that's with merit aid and scholarships.

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?
I'd look at options but you're happy and probably paid moderately well.  Let's pretend for a second that the retirement pension was not there.  Would you change jobs, all else staying the same? 

 
The Community College vs big money college debate again?  Goes without saying this should be a very individualized thing for numerous reasons.

Also, when you talk to people who didn't amount to much after going to community college, did they "choose" to go to community college or was that their only option?  Big difference.  I have met plenty of people who failed miserably at big schools, and also met plenty of people who went the CC route (by choice) and did just fine.

Using any data point of someone who did not get accepted to a bigger school is quite a mistake for this convo

 
I always read these threads about people paying for their kids' college educations and it makes me jealous.  It's such a great way to give a kid a leg-up in the world these days and kudos to you who can afford to do it.  Like Slapdash, I learned a lot about money when making my college decision and ended up turning down acceptances to 2 schools (an Ivy and a top engineering school) partially because of their cost.  I'm happy with how it turned out but always wonder what would've happened if my parents had paid for my educations at one of those schools.  If you have the means to provide that level of education for your kids, it is a tremendous help when they're starting their independent lives.
 Yeah, this is something I think about a lot.  It was never on the table for me to be paid for.  Meanwhile, my wife's parents are loaded but refused to pay for her to even do cost of attendance at the school her dad taught (she ended up living at home most of the time).

Will be interesting to see which way we go when/if we have kids.  Hopefully in 25 years society has figured out college is more about signaling than education and it will be easier.

 
You hate spending money though right?

Get it.  It's great.  Worth the money, and will probably save you money in the long run
:yes:   got PRK back in 2002, haven't needed glasses since. 

I always read these threads about people paying for their kids' college educations and it makes me jealous.  It's such a great way to give a kid a leg-up in the world these days and kudos to you who can afford to do it.  Like Slapdash, I learned a lot about money when making my college decision and ended up turning down acceptances to 2 schools (an Ivy and a top engineering school) partially because of their cost.  I'm happy with how it turned out but always wonder what would've happened if my parents had paid for my educations at one of those schools.  If you have the means to provide that level of education for your kids, it is a tremendous help when they're starting their independent lives.
:yes:   I went to a far lesser school than I could have gotten into if my parents had paid or if I were willing to take oodles of debt.  Instead, I went to a cheaper school and then pursued a scholarship.  Things turned out great, but I do wonder what would be different had I attended Notre Dame or Michigan instead.

 
So am I being paranoid to think the pension I am promised might not be there?
probably.  But I just mean that if you would stay where you are without the pension, you shouldn't leave because the pension is at some risk.

I think it will be there, but California might fall into the ocean...

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?
Are these your only savings for retirement?  State pension concerns are a worry and a haircut of benefits down the line isn't out of the question....but I wouldn't expect anything drastic.  You should still be doing as much in IRAs as possible.  If CalPers is doing just fine, you can retire earlier or have a better retirement lifestyle.  

 
Are these your only savings for retirement?  State pension concerns are a worry and a haircut of benefits down the line isn't out of the question....but I wouldn't expect anything drastic.  You should still be doing as much in IRAs as possible.  If CalPers is doing just fine, you can retire earlier or have a better retirement lifestyle.  
I have been maxing out my Roth IRA the past 3 years and plan on doing so. I also plan to start contributing to a deferred comp plan (457) in a year or two after a few more raises.

 
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I enjoy reading this thread.

So what's the max you can stash away each year and how much do you expect the account to be when you retire?

And why is there a limit on contributions?

 
What would you guys do if you were me?

31 yo RN.

Currently working for government hospital....so my retirement is pension linked to CalPers. 2% x years of service after 5 years. Can retire at 62 so that would be 33 years of service for a pension 66% of my last 3 years pay. Sounds great....but it's linked to CalPers and the whole pension thing being reformed and/underfunded worries me.

Other than retirement, I'm completely happy where I work.

You think I'll have pension around when I'm older or should I jump ship now to a private hospital with 401k?
Then stay where you are and take advantage of anything offered.  You should not depend on pension as the only income stream in retirement, but you're doing the Roth so that's a great support vehicle.  As far as the pension expecting some restructuring is obligatory, however a reduction in pension benefits can offer opportunities in payouts in money you've contributed and tax-deferred and Roth options.  We can't predict the future but doing what you can now to prepare for it is the goal, you're young enough to have a ton of options going forward so do work that makes you happy.  You can't place a price on that, trust me. 

 
I enjoy reading this thread.

So what's the max you can stash away each year and how much do you expect the account to be when you retire?

And why is there a limit on contributions?
457s have the same limits as 401k plans, $18k <50 and $24k>50. 

I'm guessing he doesn't have a match so contributing to the Roth in lieu of the 457 is fine, although using both is ideal. 

 
I started college at 23, went to Community College for the first 2 years and transferred to the University after that. It was a great decision for me, as I had no money and had to find a way to get to college.

I think your view of Community Colleges is way off. I learned a ton, and it was a great way to get me back into school without spending too much money. I would recommend it to anyone who might be financially strapped or just not ready for a big school.

I'd say things turned out OK for me... 
Just had this discussion with one of my best friends who has kids about 10 years younger than mine.  Mine are all through college - he is just starting college tours with his high school junior.  We started thinking of our group of amigos, many very successful, and the majority were Cal State scrapper types like me who paid their own way.  There are all sorts of ways to be successful, but there are tiers.  To further explain - my 2 girls had their hearts set on going to UC Santa Barbara.  Extremely competitive.  Didn't get in.  Choice was to go out of state at University of Colorado and pay 3X, go to a lower level state school like I did, or to a CC first.  They wanted a full college experience, so what they settled on was to go to Santa Barbara CC for 2 years and get the grades needed for automatic transfer into UCSB.  They loved in dorms the first year and in apartments in Isla Vista the other 3 years.  They both did very well, loved their college experience, graduated, and saved me cake at the same time.  I think the key is to have a degree so you have options.  Schools matter, but only really for certain really big time career tracks or to get entry into top tier grad/law/med schools.  My really smart friends in high school (hated being graded on a curve with them) went to the likes of Occidental/Princeton for undergrads, Stanford or Harvard for MBA's, etc.  Those guys got paths that I wasn't going to get.  Big private equity, big consulting which fast tracked them to C-Suites, etc.  Different tier for those jobs.  But other than that, it's what you do after getting a degree that determines your success.  My successful friends have waved past plenty of people from much more expensive, prestigious schools, from wealthy families, etc.  Something to be said for being scrappy with no entitlement.  Work ethic.

 
I enjoy reading this thread.

So what's the max you can stash away each year and how much do you expect the account to be when you retire?

And why is there a limit on contributions?
Roth ira 5500 (plus 1000 if over 50)

401k  18000 (plus 6k if over 50) plus match.

Hsa about 6400 for a family if everyone has high deductible plans.

Your second question has too many variables to even speculate on an answer

 
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looking at the backdoor Roth, or the equivalent... tell me where my logic fails.

Forecasting ahead to our 60s, I expect to have two pensions worth roughly $60k / year at age 62 (in today's money).  I'll wait until 67 to take SS.  That gives me 5 years of getting the pensions but not SS.  Right now, I have a substantial amount in the traditional TSP but have stopped putting money into the traditional - 100% is now going into the Roth TSP.  I'd consider moving the traditional into Roth now but don't like the tax implications.  Would it make sense to leave it as is now and withdraw substantial amounts from the traditional before we receive SS but after full time retirement? 

We're currently in the 15% tax bracket (due to credits), and it looks like I could move around $15k without bumping up into the next tax bracket.  Would it be wiser to move the max we can while staying in the 15% bracket?  This would be a long process.

 
Roth ira 5500 (plus 1000 if over 50)

401k  18000 (plus 6k if over 50) plus match.

Hsa about 6400 for a family if everyone has high deductible plans.

Your second question has too many variables to even speculate on an answer
The "limit" is only for tax deferred money correct ?

 
looking at the backdoor Roth, or the equivalent... tell me where my logic fails.

Forecasting ahead to our 60s, I expect to have two pensions worth roughly $60k / year at age 62 (in today's money).  I'll wait until 67 to take SS.  That gives me 5 years of getting the pensions but not SS.  Right now, I have a substantial amount in the traditional TSP but have stopped putting money into the traditional - 100% is now going into the Roth TSP.  I'd consider moving the traditional into Roth now but don't like the tax implications.  Would it make sense to leave it as is now and withdraw substantial amounts from the traditional before we receive SS but after full time retirement? 

We're currently in the 15% tax bracket (due to credits), and it looks like I could move around $15k without bumping up into the next tax bracket.  Would it be wiser to move the max we can while staying in the 15% bracket?  This would be a long process.
I'm in a similar boat. I've been moving 5K per year from pre-tax to Roth status, paying 15% on the conversion. A more precise method would be to file amended returns to get right up to the top of the bracket but I don't want to pay a big tax bill each year so it is a slow process, yes, even slower for me than you.

My assumption is that taxes come 2035 will be the same or higher (probably higher) than 15%. Seems a safe bet with the debt as high as it is. But paying taxes now is no fun, that's for sure.

 
I'm in a similar boat. I've been moving 5K per year from pre-tax to Roth status, paying 15% on the conversion. A more precise method would be to file amended returns to get right up to the top of the bracket but I don't want to pay a big tax bill each year so it is a slow process, yes, even slower for me than you.

My assumption is that taxes come 2035 will be the same or higher (probably higher) than 15%. Seems a safe bet with the debt as high as it is. But paying taxes now is no fun, that's for sure.
I like the plan but if we moved $5k / year we'd never be done (assuming 3% growth).

 
I think the government only allows individuals to save $50,000 on a given year.  Anything additional is subject to forfeiture per CFR 2.3.42
What the hell. So between 401k and profit sharing my wife has at work we are at 48k last year. 

So I have to let it sit in my savings? Can I do a 529? I must be missing something. 

 
What the hell. So between 401k and profit sharing my wife has at work we are at 48k last year. 

So I have to let it sit in my savings? Can I do a 529? I must be missing something. 


You should be able to defer 18 in yours,  18 in hers,  6400 in HSA,  11K in Roth, you can put a bunch in 529,  if your children work you could fund a Roth IRA for them.

I mean unless you're a big time baller I can find a way to use up your money on savings.

 
You should be able to defer 18 in yours,  18 in hers,  6400 in HSA,  11K in Roth, you can put a bunch in 529,  if your children work you could fund a Roth IRA for them.

I mean unless you're a big time baller I can find a way to use up your money on savings.
Well one detail I left out is I stay home with our kids. I have no income. We are in the 35% bracket if that matters. 

Don't have a HSA and kids are 2 years old. 

 
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Well one detail I left out is I stay home with our kids. I have no income. We are in the 35% bracket if that matters. 
You married well. Nice.

Are you opposed to simply piling money in a taxable account? You could always move it later to pay off your mortgage, buy a rental property, etc.

 
You married well. Nice.

Are you opposed to simply piling money in a taxable account? You could always move it later to pay off your mortgage, buy a rental property, etc.
No not at all. 

With mortgage rate so low I hesitate to pay it off. But we are getting close to 100k in savings. We have thought about rental property but would like to wait for the kids to be in school so I can matain it. 

Im worried that that all of our investments are pre tax.  It's going to be a tax nightmare in 30 years. 

 
With mortgage rate so low I hesitate to pay it off. But we are getting close to 100k in savings. We have thought about rental property but would like to wait for the kids to be in school so I can matain it. 

Im worried that that all of our investments are pre tax.  It's going to be a tax nightmare in 30 years. 
I wouldn't pay off the mortgage if you have a good rate.  Stay liquid.  If you itemize your real rate is even lower - very safe leverage on investments made with your liquid stash.

On your comments about pre-tax investments - tax nightmare?  You're doing exactly the right thing.  It's unlikely that your tax rate in retirement will get anywhere near where it is now.  Right now you are taking monies that otherwise would have 35% lopped off of them and putting them in a vehicle where, when you take them out, you're likely looking at 15-25% tax rates.  Those monies you defer come off the top of the marginal scale - so the most precious to protect, if you can.  And, if you live in a high tax state, you're doing even better since you can move upon retirement and save a bundle on those.   States like CA and NY are ridiculous.

If you retire early there's the opportunity to move monies from tax deferred to tax free at low/no federal taxes, as well.  So don't sweat this, just keep packing it away.

 
I wouldn't pay off the mortgage if you have a good rate.  Stay liquid.  If you itemize your real rate is even lower - very safe leverage on investments made with your liquid stash.

On your comments about pre-tax investments - tax nightmare?  You're doing exactly the right thing.  It's unlikely that your tax rate in retirement will get anywhere near where it is now.  Right now you are taking monies that otherwise would have 35% lopped off of them and putting them in a vehicle where, when you take them out, you're likely looking at 15-25% tax rates.  Those monies you defer come off the top of the marginal scale - so the most precious to protect, if you can.  And, if you live in a high tax state, you're doing even better since you can move upon retirement and save a bundle on those.   States like CA and NY are ridiculous.

If you retire early there's the opportunity to move monies from tax deferred to tax free at low/no federal taxes, as well.  So don't sweat this, just keep packing it away.
Thanks live in CA and not opposed to moving for retirement at all. 

I guess your right it's not a nightmare just thought it was always a better idea to have a mix of taxed and untaxed money at retirement. 

 
I guess a 529 would be my next move. 

So That 50k max per year only applies to retiremt accounts ?  I could do a 529, CD's , buy stock correct ?

 
Wooderson said:
But we are getting close to 100k in savings.
Oh..  i thought you had a ton of money on the sidelines, not just your standard 12 month emergency fund.

You married well...  nyce

 
Oh..  i thought you had a ton of money on the sidelines, not just your standard 12 month emergency fund.

You married well...  nyce
Right the 100k was the initial goal for an emergency fund. Then I started reading and thought maybe I was over doing with 100k. 

 

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