roar_lions
Footballguy
NASA took it back down to 1.5%
Lots of reports today that the odds have increased to 3.1 percent.
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Odds of asteroid YR4 2024 hitting Earth in 2032 go up, then down again, in latest NASA analysis
The asteroid 2024 YR4 has a very small chance of striking Earth when its orbit briefly intersects our planet's in December 2032.www.cbsnews.com
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Planetary Defense Archives - NASA Science
blogs.nasa.gov
If I’m understanding the science here - they’ll be able to see this asteroid for roughly another 2 months - at which point it will be outside our view until 2028 or so. That means the potential impact timeline when we’re able to view it again will only be 4 years out. That’s a bit unnerving.
The latest report puts the chance of hitting Earth at 1 in 59,000, leading astronomers to conclude we are no longer in danger.