First off, interesting post. I haven't seen anyone select Rod Smith, but then again I'm not sure if SSOG has been here yet.
So perhaps this post is getting the contemporaries/era point across that wasn't reaching everyone in the Smith (and McCardell, and Jimmy Smith, and Bruce) HOF threads.
Next, I can't believe the lack of respect for Andre Reed. I expect him to get in this year, which is his first year of eligibility. He is in the top 10 in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving TDs, made 9 Pro Bowls, and played in 4 Super Bowls. Woodrow even chose Jimmy Smith over him.
I think it will be cool if Reed and Thurman Thomas both make it this year in their first year of eligibility.
Moving on, some other thoughts.
According to
Positions - Pro Football Hall of Fame, there are 19 modern era WRs. At least that is the number in parentheses there. But the list below only contains 17 names. Does anyone know if the number is truly 17 or 19, and, if 19, who the missing two players are?
Here are the 17 HOF modern era WRs listed there (incidentally, Modern Era is defined as a majority of a members' career occurring after 1946):
Class of 1968
Elroy (Crazylegs) Hirsch
- last year played 1957
- inducted 6th year eligible*
- also played HB (but only 74/317/2 rushing)
Class of 1970
Tom Fears
- last year played 1956
- inducted 9th year eligible
- 1 time finalist*
Pete Pihos
- last year played 1955
- inducted 10th year eligible
- 1 time finalist*
Class of 1973
Raymond Berry
- last year played 1967
- inducted 1st year eligible
Class of 1975
Dante Lavelli
- last year played 1956
- inducted 14th year eligible
- 6 time finalist*
Class of 1978
Lance Alworth
- last year played 1972
- inducted 1st year eligible
Class of 1983
Paul Warfield
- last year played 1977
- inducted 1st year eligible
Bobby Mitchell
- last year played 1968
- inducted 10th year eligible
- also played HB (513/2735/18 rushing)
- 1 time finalist
Class of 1984
Charley Taylor
- last year played 1977
- inducted 2nd year eligible
- 2 time finalist
Class of 1987
Don Maynard
- last year played 1973
- inducted 9th year eligible
- 8 time finalist
Class of 1988
Fred Biletnikoff
- last year played 1978
- inducted 5th year eligible
- 5 time finalist
Class of 1995
Steve Largent
- last year played 1989
- inducted 1st year eligible
Class of 1996
Charlie Joiner
- last year played 1986
- inducted 5th year eligible
- 5 time finalist
Class of 1998
Tommy McDonald
- last year played 1968
- inducted 25th year eligible
- Old-timer/senior nominee
- 2 time finalist
Class of 2001
Lynn Swann
- last year played 1982
- inducted 14th year eligible
- 14 time finalist
Class of 2002
John Stallworth
- last year played 1987
- inducted 10th year eligible
- 8 time finalist
Class of 2003
James Lofton
- last year played 1993
- inducted 5th year eligible
- 3 time finalist
Notes:
- * designates finalists whose careers ended before 1964. Finalists were not tracked before 1970, so we can't tell how many times these players were finalists
- Art Monk has been a finalist every year since he became eligible
- Michael Irvin was a finalist last year in his first year of eligibility
- Bob Hayes was a finalist in 2004, his only year as a finalist (he has been eligible since 1981)
- No other WRs have been finalists in recent years that have not been inducted
- For the class of 2006, Monk, Irvin, and Reed are the WRs among the 25 semifinalists
Observations/thoughts:
1. 17 modern era WRs have been inducted since 1968. That is 17 in 38 classes, or about 1 every 2.2 classes.
2. 6 WRs have been inducted in the past 11 classes, which may indicate a slight acceleration in the rate. This is reasonable, given the rule changes from 1974 to 1978 that opened up the passing game. However, one of those players was an Old-timer committee nominee, not sure if or how much that matters. Regardless, it is hard for me to see more than 5-6 WRs being inducted within any given 10 year period... I can't see that much of an acceleration of the WR rate.
3. I'm less familiar with the players in the early 1970s, so I'm not sure of this, but I believe Hayes, Irvin, and Monk are the only finalist WRs in the past 25 years or so not yet inducted. I doubt Hayes will make it, and it is a bit odd that he suddenly appeared as a finalist for one year, but I think this probably bodes well for Monk and Irvin.
4. As noted, this is Reed's first year of eligibility. Carter will be eligible in 2008. Tim Brown & Rice will both be eligible in 2010. IMO all of these guys will (and should) make it, and I could see these 4 plus Irvin and Monk making it over the next 10 years. I think this amazing set of WRs pretty much eliminates any chance for any other guys like (e.g., Fryar, Sharpe, or Rison) to sneak in there during that span.
5. It will presumably be another 7+ years before Harrison, Owens, Moss, Rod Smith, Jimmy Smith, McCardell, Bruce are eligible, depending on when they retire. Personally, I would expect Harrison, Owens, and Moss to ultimately make it, and none of these others. But it's just too hard to see 7-15 years into the future how players will measure up against each other and against history.
6. I have too much time on my hands!