Player Spotlight: Jerricho Cotchery (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Jerricho Cotchery, WR, New York Jets

Player Page Link: Jerricho Cotchery Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 

[mlball77]

With Coles now in Cinci, I like Cotchery's odd's of putting up solid numbers. While it is true that a rookie QB (Sanchez) might lead to some inconsistencies in the passing game, I think that if Sanchez gets the nod this season, he might lock onto Cotchery as his main weapon in the air. So I don't see a rookie QB as being a big negative for Cotchery necessarily. My bigger concern is NYJ's potential shift to a more run dominant offense... this is more limitting to Cotchery, in my view.

Recs: 78

Yds: 975

TDs: 5

 

[dmac37]

Even though the Jets look to be a run first team I think Cotchery will get plenty of looks as the rookie Sanchez should lean on Cotchery as the first read go to guy. He may not be a true top #1 WR but he seems to be a complete WR with strong possession skills and the ability to work deep as a receiver.

82 rec

1000 yds

7 TD's

 

[Kiddnets]

Cotchery is now the #1 WR - he has great hands and runs good routes. I think he will be a security blanket for either Sanchez or Kellen - I see lots of catches and a decent number of yards - problem is even with an experienced QB he failed to get in the endzone enough to justify anything more than a #2 WR fantasy wise - expect more of the same this year.

85 rec 1,150 yds 6 TDs

 

[fightingillini]

Not as high on Cotchery as I have been in the past. A lot will depend on his chemistry with Sanchez. NYJ will be a run first team, and I expect some growing pains with Sanchez at QB. Could be a guy that you can trade for on the cheap after a few games.

68 rec, 875 yds, 6 TD

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

Not as high on Cotchery as I have been in the past. A lot will depend on his chemistry with Sanchez. NYJ will be a run first team, and I expect some growing pains with Sanchez at QB. Could be a guy that you can trade for on the cheap after a few games.68 rec, 875 yds, 6 TD

Why do you feel that he will have his lowest reception total in the past 4 years? I think Cotchery won't have a great YPC, but he is going to see a lot of targets as the only proven WR on this roster and Sanchez will lean on him a lot. He will be the first read in the passing game, and as seen last year with Flacco to Mason, and Ryan to White, rookie QB's and WR 1 guys can put up good numbers.

 

[TheFanatic]

Not as high on Cotchery as I have been in the past. A lot will depend on his chemistry with Sanchez. NYJ will be a run first team, and I expect some growing pains with Sanchez at QB. Could be a guy that you can trade for on the cheap after a few games.

68 rec, 875 yds, 6 TD

Why do you feel that he will have his lowest reception total in the past 4 years? I think Cotchery won't have a great YPC, but he is going to see a lot of targets as the only proven WR on this roster and Sanchez will lean on him a lot. He will be the first read in the passing game, and as seen last year with Flacco to Mason, and Ryan to White, rookie QB's and WR 1 guys can put up good numbers.

I own Cotch in a couple of leagues and I feel that he is going to have a down year. Next year I feel he will rebound nicely but the new QB, Coach, OC, Offense is going to pull the guy down for a year IMO

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

Not as high on Cotchery as I have been in the past. A lot will depend on his chemistry with Sanchez. NYJ will be a run first team, and I expect some growing pains with Sanchez at QB. Could be a guy that you can trade for on the cheap after a few games.

68 rec, 875 yds, 6 TD

Why do you feel that he will have his lowest reception total in the past 4 years? I think Cotchery won't have a great YPC, but he is going to see a lot of targets as the only proven WR on this roster and Sanchez will lean on him a lot. He will be the first read in the passing game, and as seen last year with Flacco to Mason, and Ryan to White, rookie QB's and WR 1 guys can put up good numbers.

I own Cotch in a couple of leagues and I feel that he is going to have a down year. Next year I feel he will rebound nicely but the new QB, Coach, OC, Offense is going to pull the guy down for a year IMO

I realize there will be some transition but he is easily the teams best WR and somebody will have to be trusted to catch balls. Its not as if the Jets offense was dynamic the last few seasons while he was catching 82,82 and 71 balls. My concern is he not an elite WR, he is a very good one but not elite and when teams start to roll coverages his way with out another guy like Coles to take some pressure off, will he be good enough to continue to make plays? My guess is he catches around 80 balls again this season.

 

[Tau837]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.

So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.

Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.

Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

 

[rzrback77]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.

I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.

Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.

Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

 

[Tau837]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

It would be interesting to see your projected number of passing attempts and breakdown of targets for the Jets, if you think Cotchery will only get 110.

 

[Monsters of the Midway]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

Good breakdown JWB, I like the Mason comp and I'm right with you on the projection

 

[dansav]

Cotchery will be on my team and probably as my #3wr. He is going so late in mock drafts its crazy. Guys like Crabtree, Hester, Berrian and Kevin Walter are going ahead of Cotch. A lot of people mention the jets are a run first team and the qb situation is shakey. Bottomline is somebody will catch the ball. He is my value guy this year..

75/825/6

 

[Instinctive]

He is the only option on that team in the air.

A guy who is almost a lock for 150+ targets will produce WR2 numbers....and he is currently being drafted as a WR4.

80-90 rec, 900-1100 yards, 5-7 TD with upside potential for even more

 

[Maven]

Expect a Derrick Mason 08 type year...

 

[JPeso]

He is the only option on that team in the air.

Dustin Keller, my friend.

 

[Cripster]

If he plays 16 games, I could see 80 catches , 900 yards but not many TD's. He never has been a great TD guy. I agree with the above poster about Keller. He could be right there with Cotchery in grabs as a Dallas Clark-lite type player. Keller may be much easier to find for the QB's.

 

[Balco]

Not as high on Cotchery as I have been in the past. A lot will depend on his chemistry with Sanchez. NYJ will be a run first team, and I expect some growing pains with Sanchez at QB. Could be a guy that you can trade for on the cheap after a few games.

68 rec, 875 yds, 6 TD

Why do you feel that he will have his lowest reception total in the past 4 years? I think Cotchery won't have a great YPC, but he is going to see a lot of targets as the only proven WR on this roster and Sanchez will lean on him a lot. He will be the first read in the passing game, and as seen last year with Flacco to Mason, and Ryan to White, rookie QB's and WR 1 guys can put up good numbers.

Was coming on here to post the same thing. Cotchery is a reliable, veteran receiver, and I think Sanchez is going to look his way quite a bit. Touchdowns are so hard to predict, but I think it is safe to say that Cotchery is going to be a big asset in PPR leagues.

 

[The Ref]

If you have the Jets QB's going for ~3000 yards, as Dave Dodds does, 80/875/6 sounds right.

That said, Sanchez looked good this past weekend and he will probably have the job out of the gate. 3000 yards from Sanchez is a little light for my taste. I think ~3400 is a little more like it.

So long story short, if Sanchez continues to look good and has the job out of the gate I think Cotchery might be 86/975/7.

I think there is some real value here and I'll have him on my team more often then not.

 

[gradin123]

I got this guy as my 3rd wide receiver in the 7th Round of my 12 team league draft. I think he slipped in a lot of drafts this year and presented great value.

Obviously he had a nice start and I really think he could have a career year. He had no TD's today but he was great after the catch and Sanchez looks like the real deal.

People forget that this guy had over 1100 yards receiving in 2006 with Pennington at QB. Last year was decent in the first half and was on pace for another 1000 yards but he struggled in the last half(we now know that Favre was hurt during that time).

I had him last year and even though he was disappointing I always liked the way he played. He just wasn't targeted by Favre enough especially in the 2nd Half of the season.

 

[prgromek]

nobody wanted this guy in drafts. Sanchez looking as good as he has certainly bodes well for Cotchery.

Some people definitely got a steal.

 

[MacGruber]

nobody wanted this guy in drafts. Sanchez looking as good as he has certainly bodes well for Cotchery.Some people definitely got a steal.

So who are your other receivers?

 

[TheFanatic]

He started out faster than I expected him to. I have him in two leagues and was sort of regretting having the roster spot locked up on him for what I figured would be at least 8 games before that O got going. I like what I saw week 1. But he's going to ride the pine another week. NE may have issues on D, but they were able to shut down TO pretty good week 1. No catches in the 1st half. Cotch is no TO. If he has a good week this week then he's going to have to be talked about as starting each week, but I need to see a bit more from the kid...

 

[gradin123]

He started out faster than I expected him to. I have him in two leagues and was sort of regretting having the roster spot locked up on him for what I figured would be at least 8 games before that O got going. I like what I saw week 1. But he's going to ride the pine another week. NE may have issues on D, but they were able to shut down TO pretty good week 1. No catches in the 1st half. Cotch is no TO. If he has a good week this week then he's going to have to be talked about as starting each week, but I need to see a bit more from the kid...

You are right. He is way better than TO right now.Have you seen enough now?

I have started him all 3 weeks and he is my team MVP right now. #3 in NFL yards through 3 weeks and he got his first score today.

Last year was a down year for him but the 1130 yards he got in 2007 seems well within reach.

 

[prgromek]

He didn't practice today (hamstring)

 

[Fiddles]

"I'm definitely not ruling him out," Ryan said. "He's not 100 percent right now... I'm expecting him to play."

http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2009/10/r...ny_jets_wr.html

 

[Tau837]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

Cotchery had 57/821/3 in 14 games, which scales to 65/938/3 in 16 games. Definitely overestimated here.Of course, the Edwards trade was a factor... Cotchery averaged 8.5 targets per game in the 4 games before the Edwards trade, and only 6.2 targets per game afterwards. And Edwards had more red zone targets than Cotchery for the Jets, even though he played in 2 fewer games. And next year he'll get the benefit of offseason/training camp/preseason with Sanchez, so I doubt Cotchery's value will ever rise much barring injuries to other players.

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

Cotchery had 57/821/3 in 14 games, which scales to 65/938/3 in 16 games. Definitely overestimated here.Of course, the Edwards trade was a factor... Cotchery averaged 8.5 targets per game in the 4 games before the Edwards trade, and only 6.2 targets per game afterwards. And Edwards had more red zone targets than Cotchery for the Jets, even though he played in 2 fewer games. And next year he'll get the benefit of offseason/training camp/preseason with Sanchez, so I doubt Cotchery's value will ever rise much barring injuries to other players.

It is extremely difficult to draw much conclusion at this stage of the game in what will take place with the Jets passing game going forward. The Jets will again be a running team next season, but at some stage Sanchez is going to have to be able to throw the ball. Sanchez was very inconsistent this season.Cotchery although he averaged 6.2 targets a game you have to take things into perspective.... Sanchez only had 24.2 attempts a game. That was one of the bottom in the league. In fact the only QB's on average that Sanchez threw more passes then, were Young, Russel, and Fitzpatrick. For comparison sake Stafford lead the league with 37.7 pass attemps per game, Schuab was at 36.4 and Manning was at 35.7 attempts per game.If you look at what percentage of passes go a WR's way you have to be a little bit encouraged by the percentage of passes Cotchery was getting from his QB indicating that he is often the first read in Sanchez's mind. AJ and Fitz who I view as the two best WR's in the game see 27% of their QB's passes. AJ averaged 10 targets a game and with Schuab throwing 36.4 attempts per game you get 27%. Fitz saw 9.5 targets a game and with Warner throwing 34.2 passes a game you would 27%.Cotchery's 6.2 targets a game with Sanchez 24.4 attempts bring him to 25%. There were 23 QB's who averaged over 30 passing attempts per game this season while starting. I am assuming Sanchez gets to 30 attempts a game by next year which would increase Cothcery's targets, and receptions next year. Just something to keep in mind.

 

[Tau837]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

Cotchery had 57/821/3 in 14 games, which scales to 65/938/3 in 16 games. Definitely overestimated here.Of course, the Edwards trade was a factor... Cotchery averaged 8.5 targets per game in the 4 games before the Edwards trade, and only 6.2 targets per game afterwards. And Edwards had more red zone targets than Cotchery for the Jets, even though he played in 2 fewer games. And next year he'll get the benefit of offseason/training camp/preseason with Sanchez, so I doubt Cotchery's value will ever rise much barring injuries to other players.

It is extremely difficult to draw much conclusion at this stage of the game in what will take place with the Jets passing game going forward. The Jets will again be a running team next season, but at some stage Sanchez is going to have to be able to throw the ball. Sanchez was very inconsistent this season.Cotchery although he averaged 6.2 targets a game you have to take things into perspective.... Sanchez only had 24.2 attempts a game. That was one of the bottom in the league. In fact the only QB's on average that Sanchez threw more passes then, were Young, Russel, and Fitzpatrick. For comparison sake Stafford lead the league with 37.7 pass attemps per game, Schuab was at 36.4 and Manning was at 35.7 attempts per game.If you look at what percentage of passes go a WR's way you have to be a little bit encouraged by the percentage of passes Cotchery was getting from his QB indicating that he is often the first read in Sanchez's mind. AJ and Fitz who I view as the two best WR's in the game see 27% of their QB's passes. AJ averaged 10 targets a game and with Schuab throwing 36.4 attempts per game you get 27%. Fitz saw 9.5 targets a game and with Warner throwing 34.2 passes a game you would 27%.Cotchery's 6.2 targets a game with Sanchez 24.4 attempts bring him to 25%. There were 23 QB's who averaged over 30 passing attempts per game this season while starting. I am assuming Sanchez gets to 30 attempts a game by next year which would increase Cothcery's targets, and receptions next year. Just something to keep in mind.

Good post. You should bring this into the appropriate Spotlight threads this summer.

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

It seems that the Jets may try to emulate what Baltimore did last year, at least to some degree. Three talented RBs, a run first offense, a rookie QB, and a strong defense make for a number of apparent similarities.So Derrick Mason might be a good comparison. Prior to last season, Mason had been starting in Baltimore for 3 seasons. He had 257/2910/10 receiving in 47 games over that span, which averages to 87/985/3 (11.3 ypr) over 16 games. Enter rookie QB Flacco last season, and Mason had 80/1037/5 (13.0 ypr) in a resurgent performance at age 34, even though Baltimore was #30 in pass attempts and there was no other strong receiving threat on the team.Cotchery has been starting for 3 seasons, during which time he had 235/2949/13 (12.5 ypr) in 47 games, very similar to Mason's first 3 years in Baltimore. Could Cotchery have a similarly improved performance this year? I think so.Projection: 80 receptions, 1050 receiving yards, 5 receiving TDs

Cotchery had 57/821/3 in 14 games, which scales to 65/938/3 in 16 games. Definitely overestimated here.Of course, the Edwards trade was a factor... Cotchery averaged 8.5 targets per game in the 4 games before the Edwards trade, and only 6.2 targets per game afterwards. And Edwards had more red zone targets than Cotchery for the Jets, even though he played in 2 fewer games. And next year he'll get the benefit of offseason/training camp/preseason with Sanchez, so I doubt Cotchery's value will ever rise much barring injuries to other players.

It is extremely difficult to draw much conclusion at this stage of the game in what will take place with the Jets passing game going forward. The Jets will again be a running team next season, but at some stage Sanchez is going to have to be able to throw the ball. Sanchez was very inconsistent this season.Cotchery although he averaged 6.2 targets a game you have to take things into perspective.... Sanchez only had 24.2 attempts a game. That was one of the bottom in the league. In fact the only QB's on average that Sanchez threw more passes then, were Young, Russel, and Fitzpatrick. For comparison sake Stafford lead the league with 37.7 pass attemps per game, Schuab was at 36.4 and Manning was at 35.7 attempts per game.If you look at what percentage of passes go a WR's way you have to be a little bit encouraged by the percentage of passes Cotchery was getting from his QB indicating that he is often the first read in Sanchez's mind. AJ and Fitz who I view as the two best WR's in the game see 27% of their QB's passes. AJ averaged 10 targets a game and with Schuab throwing 36.4 attempts per game you get 27%. Fitz saw 9.5 targets a game and with Warner throwing 34.2 passes a game you would 27%.Cotchery's 6.2 targets a game with Sanchez 24.4 attempts bring him to 25%. There were 23 QB's who averaged over 30 passing attempts per game this season while starting. I am assuming Sanchez gets to 30 attempts a game by next year which would increase Cothcery's targets, and receptions next year. Just something to keep in mind.

Good post. You should bring this into the appropriate Spotlight threads this summer.

Thanks, I will try to do so. It is/will be easier with teams that have not had significant personal changes. The Jets should be semi easy to make some sort of projections for. However, there is of course questions that will have to be monitored along the way. You previously mentioned one of the bigger questions which is the amount of raport that Edwards could/should gain from an off season with Sanchez. I still see Cotchery as being the safety guy for Sanchez who will look to him often as the numbers show that Cotchery's percentages stack up pretty good to other wr ones in the league, and he should continue to lead the Jets, in targets, and receptions going forward. Cotchery is also much more sure handed than Edwards, and runs much cleaner routes as well.

 

[rzrback77]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

It would be interesting to see your projected number of passing attempts and breakdown of targets for the Jets, if you think Cotchery will only get 110.

Only noticed this because it was bumped.....Cotchery actual 14 gms 96 targets 57 catches 821 yards 3 TDsCotchery (my projections) 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 5 TDstargets almost dead on

 

[Tau837]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

It would be interesting to see your projected number of passing attempts and breakdown of targets for the Jets, if you think Cotchery will only get 110.

Only noticed this because it was bumped.....Cotchery actual 14 gms 96 targets 57 catches 821 yards 3 TDsCotchery (my projections) 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 5 TDstargets almost dead on

I didn't notice that you projected the Jets would trade for Edwards after 4 games... (Cotchery had 34 targets in the first 4 games before the trade, which projects to 136 over 16 games.)

 

[Carter_Can_Fly]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

It would be interesting to see your projected number of passing attempts and breakdown of targets for the Jets, if you think Cotchery will only get 110.

Only noticed this because it was bumped.....Cotchery actual 14 gms 96 targets 57 catches 821 yards 3 TDsCotchery (my projections) 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 5 TDstargets almost dead on

I didn't notice that you projected the Jets would trade for Edwards after 4 games... (Cotchery had 34 targets in the first 4 games before the trade, which projects to 136 over 16 games.)

Or that he would get hurt and essentially miss 3 full games.

 

[gradin123]

I see several warning flags for Jerricho Cotchery in 09. There is the fact that he is now the #1 WR for the Jets and he has previously been the complementary WR or at best the 1B option. Will he be capable of getting separation facing the top CB and potentially occassional double teams. He is similar to TJ Housh in this situation, except he is staying with the same team. Or is he? The Jets have a new head coach, a new OC, a new QB, and three capable running backs. Yikes, that seems to be several additional question marks.I think that all of these factors will play a role in a likely decrease of opportunities for Cotchery and I think the new and possibly rookie QB will play the biggest role. Ryan and Flacco's successful rookie years have caused most to forget the lack of production by rookie QBs, especially those that left college after only one year of starting.Had not noticed, but in reviewing Cotchery's past three years, he finished WR23, WR25, and WR30. I am surprised that his ADP is WR30, as I expected higher. However, I still think that he will struggle to perform to that level.Cotchery 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 11.0 ypc and 5 TDs

It would be interesting to see your projected number of passing attempts and breakdown of targets for the Jets, if you think Cotchery will only get 110.

Only noticed this because it was bumped.....Cotchery actual 14 gms 96 targets 57 catches 821 yards 3 TDsCotchery (my projections) 110 targets 65 catches 715 yards 5 TDstargets almost dead on

I didn't notice that you projected the Jets would trade for Edwards after 4 games... (Cotchery had 34 targets in the first 4 games before the trade, which projects to 136 over 16 games.)

Or that he would get hurt and essentially miss 3 full games.

Without the injury he gets 1000 yards. I still think picking up Edwards was a bad move by the Jets. Cotchery without a doubt is the much better receiver but they seem to design most of their deep play action plays to Edwards now and he usually responds with a drop or poorly timed jump.Honestly if I was starting a real team and I could choose any 3 receivers in the league I think I'd go with Andre Johnson, Wes Welker and Jerricho Cotchery.He is a truly underrated receiver in real terms.A lot of people will say the best receiver in the game this week is Ocho Cinco. I don't believe that for a second. Cotchery is better. He runs good routes, he blocks well, he has good hands and he has decent speed.Btw, I fully expect Cotchery to raise him game to another level in the playoffs because he has clutch written all over him. In his only playoff game up to this point he had 4 catches for 100 yards and a TD.