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Player Spotlight: Reggie Brown (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2008 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Reggie Brown, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Player Page Link: Reggie Brown Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
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A successful fantasy player is comprised of one part talent and one part opportunity. Reggie Brown is rather weak on the talent, but his opportunity has been good and growing. I am still in the camp that Brown is overrated as a WR and when (not if) he is supplanted as a key cog in Philly's offense he will disappear. It possibly could still happen in 08, but it is less likely than I thought during the offseason. I think that Curtis grows in his second year in the system and other players play a larger role and Brown sees his share decrease.

Reggie Brown 100 targets 52 receptions 676 yards 13.0 ypc and 5 TDs

 
I don't know why I'm not a Reggie Brown fan, he has every right to improve. He's only going into his 4th year but I feel like we've already seen what he has, that he may not be the type of player who will bust out. I don't think we see anything more out of Reggie this year than we've seen in the past.

60 reception for 750 yards and 5 td's

 
Reggie is a freakish talent who hasn't been able to put it together, but I believe he is the WR1 in Philly and finally putting things together. Over the last six weeks last season in standard scoring he was WR21. A viable WR2 on your fantasy team and hopefully a very solid WR3. He was key to a messy team I had actually worming it's way into the championship game. During those six weeks Brown outproduced TJ Houshmandzadeh, Steve Smith, Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe, LeeEvans, Jericho Cotchery, Calvin Johnson, and Santana Moss; all of whom I expect to be drafted before him (rightfully so in many cases). Still, Reggie Brown is a nice value play at his ADP. Philly's receivers will go as McNabb goes and he also seemed to get on a roll late last season. I think the Eagles will field a solid, well-rounded passing attack with Reggie Brown finally emerging as legit WR1.

Puts it all together.80/1150/8
Concur.
 
Going into last season, Brown looked like he could cement the #1 WR spot after Stallworth left. The fact is that Curtis came in, a perennial #3 WR in St. Louis, and outperformed him in every category. Curtis is faster which makes him the deep threat, while Westbrook and Smith get the dinks and dunks.

He's a modest possesion receiver:

55/700/5

 
At times in 2006, Brown looked like a pro-bowler in waiting. If you look at his 2007 numbers, you'd guess he regressed. It's worth noting that in 06, he caught 17 passes for 274 Yards and 3 Touchdowns when Mcnabb didn't play. That's 37% of his receptions, 1/3 of his yards, and 38% of his touchdowns coming in only 5 games--without Mcnabb. He had more success without him.

However, to me, the telling stat is his Yards per reception. In 2006, he averaged nearly 17.7 per catch, only 12.8 in 2007--while Curtis had 14.4. Curtis is seeing the deep balls while Brown worked the underneath, which just isn't his specialty. I can't see them changing his role in 2008, so I don't see a return to the 2006 Brown

56 Receptions

773 Yards

5 Touchdowns.

 
At times in 2006, Brown looked like a pro-bowler in waiting. If you look at his 2007 numbers, you'd guess he regressed. It's worth noting that in 06, he caught 17 passes for 274 Yards and 3 Touchdowns when Mcnabb didn't play. That's 37% of his receptions, 1/3 of his yards, and 38% of his touchdowns coming in only 5 games--without Mcnabb. He had more success without him. However, to me, the telling stat is his Yards per reception. In 2006, he averaged nearly 17.7 per catch, only 12.8 in 2007--while Curtis had 14.4. Curtis is seeing the deep balls while Brown worked the underneath, which just isn't his specialty. I can't see them changing his role in 2008, so I don't see a return to the 2006 Brown56 Receptions773 Yards5 Touchdowns.
Wasnt McNabb hurt at the end of 06, making last year his return from injury? If so, I like Reggie Brown to improve on last years stats big time, and even on 06's stats. As stated above, he came on late last year, and I would think at least part of that had to be McNabbgetting more comfortable with things... 70/900/6
 
At times in 2006, Brown looked like a pro-bowler in waiting. If you look at his 2007 numbers, you'd guess he regressed. It's worth noting that in 06, he caught 17 passes for 274 Yards and 3 Touchdowns when Mcnabb didn't play. That's 37% of his receptions, 1/3 of his yards, and 38% of his touchdowns coming in only 5 games--without Mcnabb. He had more success without him. However, to me, the telling stat is his Yards per reception. In 2006, he averaged nearly 17.7 per catch, only 12.8 in 2007--while Curtis had 14.4. Curtis is seeing the deep balls while Brown worked the underneath, which just isn't his specialty. I can't see them changing his role in 2008, so I don't see a return to the 2006 Brown56 Receptions773 Yards5 Touchdowns.
Wasnt McNabb hurt at the end of 06, making last year his return from injury? If so, I like Reggie Brown to improve on last years stats big time, and even on 06's stats. As stated above, he came on late last year, and I would think at least part of that had to be McNabbgetting more comfortable with things... 70/900/6
Right you are. But my point was without Mcnabb he posted most of his numbers. In 07, with Mcnabb, his numbers seemed to decline. Obviously there's some issues to consider with Mcnabb's injury, it seems he hasn't faired as well with him.
 
Chaos Commish said:
Reggie is a freakish talent who hasn't been able to put it together, but I believe he is the WR1 in Philly and finally putting things together. Over the last six weeks last season in standard scoring he was WR21. A viable WR2 on your fantasy team and hopefully a very solid WR3. He was key to a messy team I had actually worming it's way into the championship game. During those six weeks Brown outproduced TJ Houshmandzadeh, Steve Smith, Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe, LeeEvans, Jericho Cotchery, Calvin Johnson, and Santana Moss; all of whom I expect to be drafted before him (rightfully so in many cases). Still, Reggie Brown is a nice value play at his ADP. Philly's receivers will go as McNabb goes and he also seemed to get on a roll late last season. I think the Eagles will field a solid, well-rounded passing attack with Reggie Brown finally emerging as legit WR1.

wdcrob said:
Puts it all together.80/1150/8
Concur.
As a Eagles homer I can safely say Reggie Brown is not a "freakish talent". The Bird's west coast offense is all about spreading the ball around and Reggie Brown will never be more then one of many options. He benefits from being part of a pass first offense, but he will never be the go to receiver. He and Curtis are in a 1A 1B situation with Westbrook being the straw that stirs the drink in that offense. An improving Avant or the rookie Jackson might eat into his potential receptions as well. I see 70/ 900/ 5.
 
Brown had a really forgettable September last year, 8 receptions in his first 4 games. Take those four games out and extrapolate over 16, and his stats would have been 71-932-5, which resembles a slight improvement over his 2006 #s, 46-816-8.

The drop in TD production is a little troubling, but he did score twice in his last three games of 2007. I don't think he'll ever truly have that breakout season given he lacks the elite talent, but I look for continued improvement in 2008.

80-1050-8

 
I don't know why I'm not a Reggie Brown fan, he has every right to improve. He's only going into his 4th year but I feel like we've already seen what he has, that he may not be the type of player who will bust out. I don't think we see anything more out of Reggie this year than we've seen in the past.60 reception for 750 yards and 5 td's
:bag: Three years of heavy PT and he's never done squat. Sell sell sell.
 
Reggie is a freakish talent who hasn't been able to put it together, but I believe he is the WR1 in Philly and finally putting things together. Over the last six weeks last season in standard scoring he was WR21. A viable WR2 on your fantasy team and hopefully a very solid WR3. He was key to a messy team I had actually worming it's way into the championship game. During those six weeks Brown outproduced TJ Houshmandzadeh, Steve Smith, Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe, LeeEvans, Jericho Cotchery, Calvin Johnson, and Santana Moss; all of whom I expect to be drafted before him (rightfully so in many cases). Still, Reggie Brown is a nice value play at his ADP. Philly's receivers will go as McNabb goes and he also seemed to get on a roll late last season. I think the Eagles will field a solid, well-rounded passing attack with Reggie Brown finally emerging as legit WR1.

Puts it all together.80/1150/8
Concur.
Being my #4(S Smith, B Marshall, D Driver) in a 16 team league that makes me feel good. I hope he finally puts it together.
 

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