I went back through and I was highest at 275 carries which is a 46 carry decline from last year. I predicted 8 tds, (big deal) my gut tells me the 2 tds of last year were the anomaly. Willie has the ability to score from anywhere on the field and thats what I'm predicting. So as you can see nobody has predicted more touches.
I was wondering about that myself. Who in here is predicting an increase in production?If Parker got those 18 carries per game he'd still be clearing nearly 290 carries. I don't see that happening. I think they're going to want him in the 250-260 area. Mendenhall in the 160-ish area. The rest of the RB stable likely won't get many carries at all combined, unless injury strikes, regardless of how much they "like Gary Russell." I see Moore snaking catches from BOTH Parker and Mendenhall, at least while Mendenhall picks up blocking/blitz assignments.
As for Faneca leaving, there will certainly be a downgrade of some sort at least for a while, but Faneca had regressed for two straight seasons. He's not the Alan Faneca from 2005 anymore. He didn't exactly have a banner year in 2007(nor did any of their OLineman) and the Steelers still had the league leader in rushing yardage when Parker got hurt. The play of their OC was HORRID, which probably had an effect on Faneca last season, so if they can even get "league average" play at C the downgrade at LG may not be as large of a drop as you'd think. A drop off, yes. A fall into the abyss? Maybe not.
Basically, Parker will be getting his. Mendenhall will be getting his too, though. The rub with Parker is that drafting him basically forces you to consider taking Mendenhall early enough to be able to lock down the Steeler running game. And that's a high price to potentially have to pay for a guy who's likely going to score like a RB2.
Still, that running game should still be too good to ignore and if either Parker or Mendenhall gets hurt the other's value shoots up immediately.