I'm really not knowing what to expect from McGahee, and see many of the views in this thread are from over a month ago. His preseason was ugly IMO, and was hoping to see a bit more out of him (and the Ravens). With the season a week away, just want to gauge what McGahee owners/non owners are thinking/feeling about him??
I drafted McGahee with my 2nd pick after Maroney in the 1st round. I had been targeting him pre-draft for a few reasons.Baltimore's schedule - 1st 7 games are vs. CIN, NYJ, ARI, CLE, SF. STL, BUF.All of those teams are weak against the run, and in most cases among the worst in the league. McGahee has always torn up the Jets because his good buddy and fellow Miami Hurricane Jonathan Vilma plays for them (bragging rights), and he also will be returning to Buffalo, where he will be forced to back up months of trash talking his former team. I am expecting almost all of McGahee's production to come in the first 7 games of the season. The Ravens have a bye in week 8 and then the schedule becomes substantially harder, with PIT, SD, NE and MIA on the schedule. But in the first 7 games, if I get the production I am expecting, I should be at least 5-2 and be well on my way to the playoffs riding the stats of McGahee. Then I can trade him or continue to play him, just with lesser expectations.The Ravens are a ball-control offense. Even in low-scoring games dominated by defense, I expect McGahee to be the deciding factor in close games in the 4th quarter, with 3-yard carries becoming 7-yard carries against a tired defense. With the Bills, their offense was almost always battling through the air to come back from a deficit and keep the chains moving. Not so with Baltimore. McGahee will be expected to carry the load late in games and punish a defense into submission.Jamal Lewis averaged only 3.6 ypc with the Ravens last year, yet he still amassed 1,200 yards and 9 TDs because of his number of touches. We know that Lewis is not a threat receiving out of the backfield - and neither is McGahee. But we should at least assume that McGahee will get more screen passes thrown his way than Lewis ever did. Also, McGahee, a younger, faster and more explosive back than Lewis at this point in his career, should very easily average close to or more than his career 3.8 ypc with the Bills, which would translate to well over 1,300 yards and double-digit TDs with Baltimore's commitment to the run. If McGahee's health is spectacular, he could be among the league leaders in rushing attempts and yards.With J.P. Losman developing his game while McGahee was playing in Buffalo, opposing teams did not fear the Bills' passing game very much. The Bills did do well in the 2nd half of last season, with WR Lee Evans posting career numbers and Losman playing at a high level. McGahee had been dinged up all season and never really got going. Still, Buffalo's offense is still limited to the big-play capability of Evans and the ability of Losman to deliver the ball to him. There is no other WR or TE that is much of a threat on the Bills.Baltimore has a veteran #2 WR in Derrick Mason, with whom QB Steve McNair has excellent rapport back to their days together at Tennessee. WR Mark Clayton had a breakout year for Baltimore last year, and they also have an elite TE in Todd Heap. Willis McGahee likes to say that getting 900 yards rushing facing "9 in the box" was a "Godsend" at Buffalo. At Baltimore, with the weapons surrounding him, including a Super Bowl and MVP QB, ensures that McGahee can not be the only offensive weapon taken away by a defense. McGahee should should get plenty of red-zone chances and ultimately, touchdowns.