Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Let’s run down the AFC and NFC and talk about who has a chance and who is about D.O.A. when the playoffs start.
AFC
Indianapolis 10-1…look like they can finish about 14-2 at this point. Probably good enough to earn them the home filed but that doesn’t mean a whole lot. It can get loud in there but the Colts’ homefield advantage IMO is one of the least weighing factors when judging whether they can make it to the Super Bowl.
Baltimore 9-2...They have the same record as San Diego but beat them in the regular season. Tough defense right now. The offense is still pretty iffy IMO. I think they will finish 12-4 and actually not get the 1st round bye…that will be their undoing when they have to play the 1st week of the playoffs and then hit the road. They close @ Cinci, @KC…I think they lose 1 of those 2 games…CLE, @Pitt(Payback), BUFF to close the season.
San Diego 9-2…I think they will finish 13-3. @Buff, DEN, KC, @Sea, AZ…they will win 4 of 5 down the stretch. Seattle on the road may be the toughest of these. They get a rookie QB in 2 weeks…things are setting up nicely for them. Merriman back. I feel if they can get the 1st round bye, and then host Baltimore or even New England in the 2nd round, they have a pretty good shot.
New England 8-3…Seems like they will finish around 12-4. They are solid. They will win the 1st home playoff game but I think when they head out the 2nd week against either Indy or San Diego with 2 weeks off…too much for them without weapons. The run game they have might cut it against Indy but not San Diego who will put a stop to that quickly.
Wildcards…KC is 7-4, Denver too, Cinci 6-5 , Jax 6-5, NY Jets 6-5…mix and match as you see fit. I will take KC and Cinci sneaking into the playoffs and both getting beat down hard in the 1st round of the playoffs.
NFC
Chicago 9-2…I think they are showing why they will not go too far. They have a big lead though and 12-4 seems like a safe bet. I just don’t think the Bears will have it come playoff time. Bears’ fans can chuckle but Rex Grossman is a liability on offense…they should at least explore Brian Griese who took the Bucs to 11-5 and they didn’t have the same talent that Chicago has. The best thing that could happen to the Bears right now is Grossman to pull up gimpy…that may not be the popular consensus but IMO it’s the truth.
Dallas 7-4…On their way to 11-5 and a 1st round bye in the playoffs. I won’t puff them up too much but I would like to lay some coin on them making the Super Bowl. I think it could be a Dallas/San Diego match up in the Super Bowl come January. They have a nice dup at RB, speed at WR, a rock solid TE, a QB that fits well with the OL they have in place. The defense is pretty solid too…although Roy Williams is a liability against the pass…could haunt them in the playoffs, we’ll see.
New Orleans 7-4…Will make the playoffs and win the division at 10-6. Probably not going to make it far in the playoffs but a feel good story for the fans in New Orleans.
Seattle 6-4…Going to win the division with a 10-6 or 9-7 record. They have some pieces in place when they get healthy…probably win the 1st round of the playoffs but then they have to face either Dallas or Chicago and the dance will be over for them at that point. They just have not played up to potential…they went 5 or 6 weeks in a row where they allowed 30+ points form the defense…you just can’t do that and make it the Super Bowl. They make the playoffs but they are not going to repeat as NFC Champs this season.
Wildcards: Carolina and New York will make it in with the mark of 9-7…maybe 10-6 but these 2 clubs will not make it all that far in the playoffs. Giants for sure will exit quickly and Barber will be left wondering why he called it quits…the Panthers are good enough to upset Seattle or NO in the 1st round. But they are not a Super bowl team this season.
Chime in.
AFC
Indianapolis 10-1…look like they can finish about 14-2 at this point. Probably good enough to earn them the home filed but that doesn’t mean a whole lot. It can get loud in there but the Colts’ homefield advantage IMO is one of the least weighing factors when judging whether they can make it to the Super Bowl.
Baltimore 9-2...They have the same record as San Diego but beat them in the regular season. Tough defense right now. The offense is still pretty iffy IMO. I think they will finish 12-4 and actually not get the 1st round bye…that will be their undoing when they have to play the 1st week of the playoffs and then hit the road. They close @ Cinci, @KC…I think they lose 1 of those 2 games…CLE, @Pitt(Payback), BUFF to close the season.
San Diego 9-2…I think they will finish 13-3. @Buff, DEN, KC, @Sea, AZ…they will win 4 of 5 down the stretch. Seattle on the road may be the toughest of these. They get a rookie QB in 2 weeks…things are setting up nicely for them. Merriman back. I feel if they can get the 1st round bye, and then host Baltimore or even New England in the 2nd round, they have a pretty good shot.
New England 8-3…Seems like they will finish around 12-4. They are solid. They will win the 1st home playoff game but I think when they head out the 2nd week against either Indy or San Diego with 2 weeks off…too much for them without weapons. The run game they have might cut it against Indy but not San Diego who will put a stop to that quickly.
Wildcards…KC is 7-4, Denver too, Cinci 6-5 , Jax 6-5, NY Jets 6-5…mix and match as you see fit. I will take KC and Cinci sneaking into the playoffs and both getting beat down hard in the 1st round of the playoffs.
NFC
Chicago 9-2…I think they are showing why they will not go too far. They have a big lead though and 12-4 seems like a safe bet. I just don’t think the Bears will have it come playoff time. Bears’ fans can chuckle but Rex Grossman is a liability on offense…they should at least explore Brian Griese who took the Bucs to 11-5 and they didn’t have the same talent that Chicago has. The best thing that could happen to the Bears right now is Grossman to pull up gimpy…that may not be the popular consensus but IMO it’s the truth.
Dallas 7-4…On their way to 11-5 and a 1st round bye in the playoffs. I won’t puff them up too much but I would like to lay some coin on them making the Super Bowl. I think it could be a Dallas/San Diego match up in the Super Bowl come January. They have a nice dup at RB, speed at WR, a rock solid TE, a QB that fits well with the OL they have in place. The defense is pretty solid too…although Roy Williams is a liability against the pass…could haunt them in the playoffs, we’ll see.
New Orleans 7-4…Will make the playoffs and win the division at 10-6. Probably not going to make it far in the playoffs but a feel good story for the fans in New Orleans.
Seattle 6-4…Going to win the division with a 10-6 or 9-7 record. They have some pieces in place when they get healthy…probably win the 1st round of the playoffs but then they have to face either Dallas or Chicago and the dance will be over for them at that point. They just have not played up to potential…they went 5 or 6 weeks in a row where they allowed 30+ points form the defense…you just can’t do that and make it the Super Bowl. They make the playoffs but they are not going to repeat as NFC Champs this season.
Wildcards: Carolina and New York will make it in with the mark of 9-7…maybe 10-6 but these 2 clubs will not make it all that far in the playoffs. Giants for sure will exit quickly and Barber will be left wondering why he called it quits…the Panthers are good enough to upset Seattle or NO in the 1st round. But they are not a Super bowl team this season.
Chime in.