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POLL: Potential Contract Extension Parameters For LA To Extend Tavon Austin? (1 Viewer)

for LA to extend Tavon Austin?

  • $10 million or more

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $9 million

    Votes: 1 2.8%
  • $8 million

    Votes: 4 11.1%
  • $7 million

    Votes: 6 16.7%
  • $6 million

    Votes: 12 33.3%
  • $5 million or less

    Votes: 13 36.1%

  • Total voters
    36
I haven't found any WR since the merger that reached the rushing criteria noted. I've only found two prior, Ollie Matson and Lenny Moore, both Hall of Famers. I find your characterization as exaggerated, exaggerated. Kind of like the Gordon example, to quote you, invoking him is crazy talk. Whatever you want to call it, I'm uninterested in semantic nitpicking. I'll stand by rare and historically good rushing production for a WR. I'd characterize it as recognizing what happened, as opposed to your pattern of repeatedly pretending it didn't happen.

The repeated, "He had 500 yards as a WR, he isn't that good." If you want to summarily dismiss the rushing yards and pretend they didn't happen, that is up to you. I choose to acknowledge them, since, well, you know, they did happen. By arbitrarily subtracting out a huge chunk of his 2015 production, is a far different prospect than whether LT had a few passing TDs. Subtracting them out wouldn't have the same kind of negative impact on his OVERALL stats. Invoking LT is a better example of exaggeration, to use your term. Anti-pimping? :)

If I'm right, and Austin is historically rare as a rusher from the WR position, than everything you are saying above is missing the point and meaningless. Just because you can't point to a lot of people that haven't done it in the past, doesn't necessarily mean he won't continue to be used in that capacity, it just speaks more to your belief, which may be spurious, that the way things have been done in the past is how they must always be done in the future.

I think your use of language is revealing, and the very fact that you refer to his rushing ability as a "secondary attribute" betrays the fact that you continue to be unable/unwilling to consider the possibility he could have success, not as a "WR1", but as a *MULTI-PURPOSE* weapon, and a complete inability to frame potentially new data in any way but the old conventions (which may not be well suited for descriptive and explanatory purposes in this case). Its part of the same pattern as pretending the rushing stats didn't happen, conflating receiving yards with TOTAL, combined yards, ignoring combined scoring, etc.

What if rushing isn't a "secondary attribute" for Austin? Was it for Harvin at Florida? He started at RB and WR. What was he in college, a RB or a WR? Why does Harvin have to be one position in college, when he was both? Your entitled to your opinion, but I find the insistence on old nomenclature in this context rigid and pedantic. What if Austin was DRAFTED as a multi-purpose weapon, but it took a new OC (who is the incumbent OC, incidentally, the first one that used him competently, a fact you seem to be completely ignoring, but you did admit to not following the team closely - if you take a hard stance on NE, I'm probably not going to use the phrase "crazy talk" :) ) to unlock that potential? Austin was a record shattering RB at Dunbar High in Maryland. One of the few times he played RB at West Virginia, he had 344 yards against Oklahoma (and may have had a historically good game all purpose yards-wise, without referencing). During that game, should we have subtracted out those yards and pretend they didn't happen, too?

What if Austin IS what history could be suggesting he is, one of the best rushers from the WR position, EVER? What would the implications be from a coaching standpoint? Because I'm impressed and you aren't, we would act very differently, accordingly. I recognize greatness in that attribute, and would develop, nourish and amplify it. As a coach, with as much rushing success as he had in 2015, I think it would be, to quote you again, crazy talk to suggest not using him at least as much if not more in that capacity. If as the OC you couldn't find creative ways to use a key strength in his arsenal, as the HC, I would have to fire you for gross incompetence. Nothing personal, just business.  :)  

I think Austin will get paid more on what he did in 2015 than what he did in underwhelming rookie and soph seasons when the team was in complete disarray with the starting QB suffering torn ACLs TWICE. Just like Marvin Jones was probably paid based more on the potential of his best work (10 TD season) than his poor rookie season. Another case of missing the point, and a continued pattern of emphasizing numbers that highlight the negative.

Again, imo saying Rams should offer him $5 million is tantamount to saying he won't be a Ram in 2017. Just because you may be unable/unwilling to distinguish between a pure WR and a multi-purpose weapon with the potential for rushing greatness from the position, unable to account for upside on that basis or the Rams having upside from *DEAD LAST* in some 2015 passing metrics, as well as conflating "not as good as Josh Gordon" with mediocre, doesn't mean that he can't be a good signing at more than $5 million per year.

 
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Bob, you don't get it. Having a non running back get 400 rushing yards is not that big a deal. It just isn't. It's in the same vane as a shortstop setting a record for most unassisted double plays in a season. Sure, it might be a record, but it's not that big a deal.

Give me a receiver that is not setting historic levels catching the football. You know, like ONLY 1,400 yards receiving in a season. That would way trump what Austin has done.

Austin had one good year running the ball. Good for him. But he also had two other years where his rushing totals were only decent. If he were able to mount a season with 1100-1200 receiving yards, 600-700 rushing yards, and returned kicks like Devin Hester, then we'd be on to something.

As for "emphasizing the negative," well yeah. That IS the point. Once players have been in the league for 3-4 years, they start getting paid for their performance. Sure, they still get paid on their potential, but that evaluation is based off of their production.

All this is likely a moot discussion anyway, as we still have another season to go to see where Austin stands at the end of his rookie deal. If he has a season like 2014, then people will not be all that gung ho to give him $7-8 million. If he has a much better season than last year, than that changes things quite a bit.

Let's see what happens this year. I think 10 TD and 400 rushing yards will be difficult to attain again. Without the TD and the rushing yards, posting a 9.1 yards per catch total is not going to wow anyone.

But, like you said, it only takes one team to want to over pay him. And for Rams fans, you should hope it's not the Rams.

 
And I think you don't get it. It looks like nobody has done it since the merger. You can dismiss that and pretend it didn't happen, which has been part of your pattern. I chose to recognize that it happened, since it did. You are really making several arguments in a kind of shotgun style. One is, he isn't likely to replicate it. If that assumption is wrong, than some of your other downstream points that follow from that could also be. If he bumps his receiving to 800 yards with better OC, QB & OL, that could be the difference between 800 yards and 1,200 yards, WITH the rushing production factored in. It just is. :)   Which is a massive difference. Its just part of the same dismissive, pretending it didn't happen pattern, and conflating receiving with total yards.

How many WRs get 1,400 yards per year. Who are you pimping to do that? Why are we even talking about 1,400 yards, Austin could do less than that and still be worth extending. Did Jones do 1,400 yards? Its like Josh Gordon "crazy talk". Like saying a RB isn't even worth a few million because he didn't have 2,000 yards rushing like Eric Dickerson. Your trying too hard to make this point, and for me it is counterproductive and undermining other things you have said.

What you seem to be having difficulty wrapping your head around, and again, it could be from not following the team (to reiterate, if you took a hard stance on something Pats related, I probably wouldn't be using phrases like "crazy talk"), is that when they didn't use Austin as much, he did bad. Than when they used him more, he did better (its not a detonator, we don't need a schematic). If I was Fisher, I would insist they play to one of Austin's greatest strengths and use him more in that capacity to better maximize his talents and position him for success. If you were the OC and proved as incompetent as the OCs in his first two years at finding ways to put the ball in the hands of one of their best playmakers more often, than I would fire you like the other OCs. Unlike you, I think incumbent OC Boras "gets it" with Austin.

In saying unless he has 1,700-1,900 combined yards he can't be worth more than $5 million is a position I have difficulty taking seriously and is imo completely untenable. Trying too hard again. If you have a neighborhood coyote problem, do you deal with it by rolling in tanks and employing B52 carpet bombing?

It ISN'T the point, if Fisher recognizes his stats were suppressed by incompetent OCs, and is of the opinion that more competent OCs (like Boras, who he now employs) can bring more out of him, such that 2015 more accurately reflects his potential than 2013 and 2014. They know it, Austin knows it, most people know it that follow the team. There isn't just one MONOLITHIC way to view this that 100% of the NFL GMs do, such that yours is the only possible way to view it, and all others are wrong.

2016 is big. We both said that. If he does bad, that is bad. If he does good, that is good. Not exactly revelatory. That pretty much falls into the category of information we already possess.

Replicating 400 yards and 4 TDs rushing won't be easy. It depends a lot on usage. We just differ on the likelihood of his being used differently from other WRs before him (rushing volume-wise), since imo, he is different from other WRs before him, and I have an expectation they will recognize that, too (since they drafted him and helped him to break out in 2015). On the flip side, his 5 receiving TDs aren't a very high bar to pass. If he gets 7 receiving TDs, another punt return TD, than he would "just" need 2 rushing TDs. Latter unusual for almost all WRs, but coming off of a 4 rushing TD campaign last year, getting half his production from that stat category in 2016 (and going forward) doesn't seem to me fantastically unattainable.

If you are selling Austin short, and I think you are, Rams fans should hope they do sign him (like you said, lets see what happens this year before taking categorical stances without all the evidence in).                  

 
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Percy Harvin had 345 yards rushing in 2011, along with 967 yards receiving--in other words, a way better season than Austin had in 2015. It's totally silly to call 434 yards rushing "historic", paired with 473 yards receiving. He averaged 6 rushing yards per game more than Harvin did in 2011, and 31 yards per game less receiving.

And Harvin, who just turned 28 years old, is currently not on a roster.

It's also silly to exclude similar players based on how they're listed on the roster. Darren Sproles plays more or less the same position as Austin, has been more productive, and makes less than $5M.

 
I don't have anything to add here, I take leave of your fascinating and inimitable conversational stylings. Good luck this season. And next season. And the season after that.  

 
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What is he worth?  Maybe $4 million, but seeing Sanu and Jones get paid this year I fee like he'll probably take in $7-$8 million.  He's a gadget player who can never be a #1 WR.  Drafting him at 8 overall was a colossal mistake but he should be paid like a WR 2-3 on a mediocre team (aka what the Rams will be as long as they have Fisher, the king of mediocrity).

 
I see the contract parameters similarly.

BTW, I think Fisher is only about a handful of losses from "leading" the NFL all time most losses list?

Also think he is higher than top 20 in the winningest list counterpart? When I looked at a list sequenced or sorted by most wins total (career, not season) in descending order, and I checked his winning % vs. his peers, he was something like one of the two worst ON A PERCENTAGE BASIS of the top 50 winningest NFL HCs. He homething like 6 playoff seasons in at least two decades.     

 
I don't have anything to add here, I take leave of your fascinating and inimitable conversational stylings. Good luck this season. And next season. And the season after that.  

 

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