Possible tropical weather for this weekend (1 Viewer)

[Tom Servo]

Tropical weather for the east coast - map

I work for an electric utility and as such need to have updates on severe weather from thunderstorms to hurricanes (due to outages). I got this e-mail at work this morning concerning weather along the Atlantic seaboard:

An area of low pressure was located 600 miles SE of Wilmington, NC. This system has developed along the tail end of an old frontal boundary. Strong thunderstorms have been persistent on the eastern side of the circulation for the past 24 hours. Wind shear is currently preventing the convection from wrapping around the center. An aircraft recon investigating the system found a circulation and strong winds but it does not have tropical characteristics.

A ridge of high pressure located over the Mid-Atlantic is forecast to build south of New England Thursday-Friday. The ridge will allow a more favorable environment for intensification and force the disturbance to move westward. As the system moves into the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, it will likely intensify rather quickly. There is data to support at least a Category 1 hurricane.

By later Friday-Saturday, the ridge will shift toward the east and a frontal boundary will approach the Ohio/Tennessee valley. This will allow the storm to turn more north and eventually northeastward. The dynamics of how these steering features evolve will determine how soon the northward motion develops. There is significant disagreement in the computer model guidance as to how this potential tropical cyclone tracks over the weekend. The consensus of the most reliable computer models is to track the storm along the coast of North Carolina Saturday evening...with landfall possibly between Wilmington and Cape Hatteras then back offshore east of the Mid-Atlantic Sunday-Monday.

A second e-mail on this subject came through just now:

Tropical Disturbance 45, located in the Atlantic, has the potential to move northwest and then northeast over the weekend. This has impacted our chance of thunderstorm greatly. In addition the path has not been well defined and the different models are all projecting different paths. Our weather service is indicating, as mentioned above, this tropical depression turning into a hurricane.

From what I can see, the only games that would be affected by this storm track are Miami at Washington and New England at the Jets. This may be nothing, but I just wanted to pass this along for its possible fantasy impact.HTH

 

[Bri]

thanks for the post/headsup

 

[Deuce'sWild]

May be the last straw for Randy Moss owners on the fence.

 

[JMJ]

I live 10 minutes from the Meadowlands (as a Jets' fan I refuse to call it "Giants Stadium").

Anyway, when Chad Pennington is your QB, the strength of wind and etc is something that as a fan you have just learned to check on a daily basis leading up to a game. Someone who posts at a Jets' board I do actually works in the weather-related field and said that if NJ/NY is affected at all by this, it wouldn't be until late night on Sunday and the Jets-Pats game is being played at 1pm.

He said that the only place in NJ that has a real chance of feeling the effects of this would be as far south as Cape May and that is over 2 hours from the stadium.

The Jets-Pats game should not be impacted at all but I will keep you updated if he says any of that changes.

 

[ack34]

I live 10 minutes from the Meadowlands (as a Jets' fan I refuse to call it "Giants Stadium").

It's on the sign! Have you seen the plans for the new stadium? They are pretty sweet!

 

[Tom Baker]

Thanks. Please keep us updated on this.

 

[Bri]

I live 10 minutes from the Meadowlands (as a Jets' fan I refuse to call it "Giants Stadium").

Me too. It should be called Patriots stadium so at least you fans can feel like a winner plays there.

 

[Anthony Borbely]

Thanks for posting this.

 

[RowdyDude]

This is exactly the type of information that makes footballguys the premier FF site.

Thanks for the info

 

[KellysHeroes]

Haven't they played a couple of games early 2 years in a row because of this....

might has well make it 3.... come on; untelevised NFL Football on Saturday afternoon... lets hear ya.

 

[Tom Servo]

10:20 AM update:

A tropical disturbance persists mid-way between Florida and Bermuda. Early morning satellite imagery shows that a low level center can be detected about 750 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville FL. Strong westerly wind shear continues to impact the system, confining associated thunderstorm activity to the east of the center. No change in intensity is expected today.

High pressure is forecast to build to the north of the system, forcing a southward drift, which is forecast to begin this afternoon. On Friday, as a trough begins to enter the Great Lakes and high pressure continues to builds north and east of the low, steering winds are expected to force the low to the westward. By Saturday the low is forecast to be tracking towards the North Carolina Coast. On Sunday the low, which could be a tropical storm or possibly a minimal hurricane,is forecast to move northwest and either come ashore between Wilmington and Cape Hatteras NC, or brush the Outerbanks of NC. A landfall along the Carolina coast would result in the low tracking northeast along or just off the DELMARVA coast. If this were to occur, the impacts would generally be locally heavy rains over the Mid-Atlantic States, with any strong winds confined to immediate coastal locations. This would take place mostly Sunday night and Monday.

The remnants of the tropical system would then either pass out to sea south of New England or possibly track across coastal Southern New England.

Looks like minimal impact.