Quarters (.25) bracket # 4:sporthenry hates money (1 Viewer)

[Detroit Fan 365]

Waited all that time for you to swipe my pick!

5.03 Georgetown

Sorry man was in class and then was driving home.

 

[sporthenry]

5.04 Iowa (7)

 

[This_Guy]

5.05 Providence (6)

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

5.06 -- Villanova (1)

 

[Orange44]

5.07 West Virginia

 

[Donkey Derp]

I'm here, give me a minute

 

[Donkey Derp]

Oklahoma St

Louisiana St

 

[Donkey Derp]

Albany (14)

Belmont (15)

Cincinnati (8)

Coastal Carolina (16)

Georgia (10)

Georgia State (14)

Hampton (16)

Harvard (13)

Indiana (10)

Lafayette (16)

New Mexico State (15)

North Dakota State (15)

North Florida / Robert Morris (16)

Northeastern (14)

Oregon (8)

Purdue (9)

St. John's (9)

Texas Southern (15)

UAB (14)

UC Irvine (13)

VCU (7)

Wofford (12)

Wyoming (12)

That is who I see is left.

 

[Donkey Derp]

Orange44.... wait!!

 

[Orange44]

6.02 Indiana

 

[Donkey Derp]

Teams remaining included in original post so it doesn't get lost in picks.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Albany (14)

Belmont (15)

Cincinnati (8)

Coastal Carolina (16)

Georgia (10)

Georgia State (14)

Hampton (16)

Harvard (13)

Indiana (10)

Lafayette (16)

New Mexico State (15)

North Dakota State (15)

North Florida / Robert Morris (16)

Northeastern (14)

Oregon (8)

Purdue (9)

St. John's (9)

Texas Southern (15)

UAB (14)

UC Irvine (13)

VCU (7)

Wofford (12)

Wyoming (12)

6.03 -- Wyoming (12)

 

[This_Guy]

6.04 Virginia Commonwealth (7)

 

[sporthenry]

6.05 UC Irvine (13)

 

[Trey]

6.06 Wofford

Hoping the SEC is as bad as I think it is..

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

6.06 Wofford

Hoping the SEC is as bad as I think it is..

I've watched it all year. Can't believe the committee put Ole Miss and LSU in. It's abysmal.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

6.07 Georgia

 

[BroadwayG]

I didn't see the normal guys make the spreadsheet so I copied it and updated for this year. Double check your team and seeds.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/105IYfiFE5ORS4DllcejxLw7rmwRlcdlzcuejGWHPqlg/edit?usp=sharing

 

[Donkey Derp]

Penguin had Wofford #1 on his list who was taken so he takes Oregon and Purdue.

 

[This_Guy]

I didn't see the normal guys make the spreadsheet so I copied it and updated for this year. Double check your team and seeds.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/105IYfiFE5ORS4DllcejxLw7rmwRlcdlzcuejGWHPqlg/edit?usp=sharing

Thanks BroadwayG! You rock!

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

7.02 Cincinnati

 

[Donkey Derp]

PMed Trey

 

[Trey]

Saint John's

 

[sporthenry]

Georgia State (14)

 

[This_Guy]

7.05 UAB (14)

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

7.06 -- Belmont (15)

 

[Orange44]

7.7 New Mexico State

 

[Donkey Derp]

7.7 New Mexico State

I would have taken them beginning of the 7th round if I had the chance.

Give me a few min

 

[Orange44]

7.7 New Mexico State

I would have taken them beginning of the 7th round if I had the chance.

Give me a few min

It's just adds to the enjoyment of rooting against Kansas

 

[Donkey Derp]

A 15 seed that opened as only a +674 dog is pretty sweet.

For me:

Harvard

Albany

 

[Orange44]

8.02 Northeastern

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

8.03 -- Texas Southern.

 

[This_Guy]

8.04 North Dakota State (15)

 

[sporthenry]

Coastal Carolina (16)

 

[Trey]

Lafayette

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

8.7 Robert Morris

 

[Penguin]

Can't wait to tell my grandkids 20 years from now that I had Hampton in a capture pool the year they pulled the greatest upset in history.

 

[Donkey Derp]

Can't wait to tell my grandkids 20 years from now that I had Hampton in a capture pool the year they pulled the greatest upset in history.

Clicks *Dislike This*

 

[Donkey Derp]

Good luck all! Please remember this game is for money and honor all debts at the end of the tournament. I will post updates on W/L $ as often as possible and final payouts when it is done.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

 

[Orange44]

Can't wait to tell my grandkids 20 years from now that I had Hampton in a capture pool the year they pulled the greatest upset in history.

I'd gladly cough up $4 for this...

 

[Donkey Derp]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Can't wait to tell my grandkids 20 years from now that I had Hampton in a capture pool the year they pulled the greatest upset in history.

I'd gladly cough up $4 for this...

I live just south of the Kentucky state line. I'd pay $100 easy, $200 if Louisville also makes a deep run. The Blue Bloods would lose their minds.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

Or when FGC went on that crazy run.

 

[Penguin]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

Or when FGC went on that crazy run.

They bailed me out in a .50 & .25 last year

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

I totally get that it's impossible to say who made the "right" picks. I'm just wondering from the standpoint of gameplay strategy.

For example of my approaches was to avoid 8/9 seeds completely since those games seem like crapshoots and then you draw a #1 in the 2nd, just seems like a low upside. I shied away from those 10-13 seeds too, since they historically have a low win probability even if the payout is nice. #4 seeds seemed like a sweet spot to me -- a S16 run = a F4 run for a #1.

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

Or when FGC went on that crazy run.

They bailed me out in a .50 & .25 last year

Hard to believe, but it's been two years.

 

[Orange44]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

Or when FGC went on that crazy run.

They bailed me out in a .50 & .25 last year

Hard to believe, but it's been two years.

This is my 3rd year doing this. Cashed out first year because I had La Salle as a 13 make the Sweet 16. Last year everyone got hammered except for those who had UConn & Kentucky, because a 7 & an 8 played for the title. My strategy is to try and land the 3-7 seeds that can make a run, grab a 1 or a 2 that can keep making you money and hope you have a double-digit seed that can win a couple of games.

 

[Donkey Derp]

Ok, someone with nollege critique my approach on my selections. I'm curious to get some feedback from those who have done this before. Thanks in advance.

Honestly, it's impossible to say. It takes both skill and luck to come out ahead. Mercer, for example, was a late pick last year who upset Duke. Most people who drafted them probably did so because of luck not skill. UConn and Kentucky made for some expensive payouts because of their 7th and 8th seeds making the finals. If all #1/2 seeds win most of their games and there are few upsets, even the worst draft won't lose much (and the best draft won't win much). Don't worry too much about it and enjoy the games.

I totally get that it's impossible to say who made the "right" picks. I'm just wondering from the standpoint of gameplay strategy.

For example of my approaches was to avoid 8/9 seeds completely since those games seem like crapshoots and then you draw a #1 in the 2nd, just seems like a low upside. I shied away from those 10-13 seeds too, since they historically have a low win probability even if the payout is nice. #4 seeds seemed like a sweet spot to me -- a S16 run = a F4 run for a #1.

Your strategy was perfectly fine. It makes the game fun because everyone picks differently. I basically used calculated expected values to determine my picks. While Kentucky doesn't have a very high upside, probability wise, they are so strong to actually cash. They are a historical anomaly in that I wouldn't consider taking a #1 in the first round for the reasons you stated. But I (along with most people) see them in a class of their own.

Yeah, if you get a #4 seed to make a run, that is definitely some good value. Even a team like Texas Southern that people (including Vegas) don't give a very good chance has a good resume and a win or two from them would be a big score.

When I said you could lose up to $200 earlier, that was probably high as last year was tough. I would guess normal years the biggest losers pay out closer to a max of $100.

 

[Donkey Derp]

Looks like last year

UCONN $257.25

Kentucky $210.00

Dayton $115.50

were the big winners. Dayton made the elite 8 as a 11 seed and that first game Ohio St took the lead 59-58 with :17 left, Dayton hit the jumper, and I think Aaron Craft barely missed a buzzer beater. So, that's why it is impossible. If Ohio St hangs on, who knows what they could have done, but one bucket helped make Dayton very profitable.