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Re: Cooley projection discussion and Saunders (1 Viewer)

Bri

Footballguy
How come Cooley goes from playing in a TE lovin' offense to having a new Offensive Cooridinator that loves the TE and "everyone" predicts an improvement?

It's not like he went from the Raiders or Rams (that don't often throw to the TE) to replacing Gonzo on KC.

I don't get it.

(to attempt to give another comparison)Seems more like he went from KC to the Titans.

Plus he had some gaudy stats for a TE. Isn't it an accomplishment to repeat them?

 
I'm with you, Bri. The idea that Saunders is going to elevate Cooley's game is a ridiculous one.

Look at Saunders' career with TEs before Gonzo. Nothing.

Look at Gonzo's career before Saunders. About the same.

To give Saunders credit for being a TE guru is pure nonsense.

 
Perhaps the difference is that we may see less Sellers around the goaline and such and a more spread offense. I think it's bad for Santana and good for Cooley.

 
How come Cooley goes from playing in a TE lovin' offense to having a new Offensive Cooridinator that loves the TE and "everyone" predicts an improvement?

It's not like he went from the Raiders or Rams (that don't often throw to the TE) to replacing Gonzo on KC.

I don't get it.

(to attempt to give another comparison)Seems more like he went from KC to the Titans.

Plus he had some gaudy stats for a TE. Isn't it an accomplishment to repeat them?
I think the majority of people have him projected way to high. I've seen numbers like 1200 yds just on this board. He will do well, comparable to last year IMO, but not ridiculously higher, or lower.
 
Cooley has improved both years in ther NFL so far w/o Saunders anyway. I think the better question should be what reason do you have for that trend to not continue? Cooley is still young and learning. The O and personal around him is only getting better as well as Cooley himself is getting better. I agree that some of the projections we have seen are outlandish, but a regression seems unlikely to me. Minor improvement would be my guess. Portis will likely see the greatest bump from Saunders, but you can not overlook the additions at WR to help create more space for Cooley to work with. Along with that, there are no signs that he will have a Sellers vulture this year.

Right now I have my projections for Cooley at:

68 rec, 795 yds, 8 TDs

Not far from last years, with minor improvement. BTW, FBG has a regression projected for Cooley this year and I would love to hear some rational for it. :popcorn:

 
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I'm with you, Bri. The idea that Saunders is going to elevate Cooley's game is a ridiculous one.

Look at Saunders' career with TEs before Gonzo. Nothing.

Look at Gonzo's career before Saunders. About the same.

To give Saunders credit for being a TE guru is pure nonsense.
the reality is that Saunders is an extremely good OC. Since he joined the Chiefs in 2001 his offenses have never ranked below 5th in total offense and led the league in each of the past two seasons..He was an assistant under Don Coryell , joining SD in 1983..that year, Winslow caught 88 balls ..now I know it wasn't directly because of Saunders coaching that Winslow caught the 88 balls that year, but he has a history of working in an offensive system that utilizes the TE position, he had been exposed to it in SD...

Cooley caught 71 balls for 774 yards and 7 tds last year, with a more conservative offense that the one the Redskins will put on the field in 2006..

so I think its not unrealistic to see him catching perhaps 80+ balls this year, which is only 9 more receptions than in 2005...that works out to less than an extra .5 catch per game, which should EASILY be accomplished with Al Saunders calling the plays ( if he uses the same play-calling he used in KC)..

Even 85 catches for Cooley is realistic, since it is less than one more catch per game over the course of the season than 2005...

I'm not saying he WILL do this, I'm saying I understand how people could rank him as highly as they do.Perhaps some people have him too high in your opinion..

I guess the theory is that this offense has more weapons than KC did, better WRs, and a solid O-line with a comparably great RB ...Cooley can't possibly be covered as well as he was last year since DB's will be occupied with the WR's and all of their speed..Cooley should see more man-to-man coverage and can exploit that..

I don't see him as a 100 catch TE, but 85-900-9 isn't that far off, is it? that is only 14 more catches, 126 more yards and 2 more TDs than last year...

those stats would make him an elite top 5 TE behind Gates,Gonzo, Heap,Shockey..

who knows, Gates' numbers could take a dive with Rivers at QB ( he will struggle in his first year as a starter no doubt), Gonzo could see his numbers slip with a new OC out there..so you never know, he could wind up as a top 3 TE even..time will tell..

 
good response nygiants

I suppose adding .5 catches per game, your projections/predictions make you not the type person I was referring to in the original or on the low end of that.

Reply to last paragraph first-Gates is more likely to take a dive than improve right? Wasn't that a record setting year for him? 1101 yards is awesome for a TE and, top of my head guess, that's a top 5-10 all time TE yardage total. 10 TDs, OK. 89 catches is high but still I'd be OK with that because he is great. Discussing the yards, wouldn't you say it's tough for any player to stay at that very very high level of production?

Gates, too, is young and relatively inexperienced as a TE probably less than Cooley having been a hoops player but what's a ceiling for those yards?

Gonzo(IMO a HOF or on pace to be a first ballot TE) got 1200 yards twice but in the 3 seasons between those he didn't even get a K. 102 and 93 catch seasons but between them were 63, 72, and 71...not even close to 90-100. My point is it's very hard to achieve an especially great season. I'm not saying Tony G was bad between those seasons, one of those years was 71 916 yards and 10TDs, who wouldn't like that TE production in FF? But it's very hard to match that top top level of production.

Gates "only" had 10 TDs last year but 13 the year before. 3 is a somewhat big drop in a way. Avg per game is small .3 or .4 per game but it's also roughly a 30% drop. I'd say 2 years ago his TD total was super and last year he was excellent. (Not insulting not bashing a player, bear with me) He just found it difficult to repeat on one of the best TD totals for a TE ever. Which IMO is expected and my point here.

Back to cooley-

You bring up Coryell and to be candid, that's laughable and a common prob/issue I have with people's projections. Gibbs too credits Coryell as a major influence. To compare the two as if Saunders is better is what I find laughable. Saunders has coached in the NFL for a long long time. Gibbs has won Supes and is a HOF coach. Gibbs is eons better at coaching than Saunders.

If you want to compare Vermeil's offenses and Gibbs' then we've got a good debate. Saunders, however, has a ton of years coaching in the NFL and his O's did not perform as well without Vermeil. #### Lebeau's Ds weren't as good without Cowher around and he too has a zillion years experience coaching Ds in the NFL. Saunders is an ol' dog that knows some tricks, he's not some young coaching prospect like a young Martz or Mariucci or Shanahan.

Back to Gibbs/Saunders-

see this WR production

http://www.profootballreference.com/teams/was1989.htm

with Randel-El and Lloyd coming to town, what's to say Saunders isn't at Gibbs' side asking him how he did that?

I could "see" that discussion taking place. Saunders' WRs weren't anywhere near as productive in KC. Why wouldn't he want to learn how Gibbs pulled that off? He is a pretty good at sponging(which is a compliment) off his HC as evidenced throughout his career.

a HOF coach allowing Saunders to call plays this year is no guarantee that this O improves upon what a HOF coach got out of it. Before Saunders, last year, the Skins had 2000+ yards rushing out of their backs and Portis had 1500. Moss had almost 1500 yards receiving plus Cooley's stats. I can't recall Saunders ever coaching a WR with as high production as Moss.

 
I'm with you, Bri. The idea that Saunders is going to elevate Cooley's game is a ridiculous one.

Look at Saunders' career with TEs before Gonzo. Nothing.

Look at Gonzo's career before Saunders. About the same.

To give Saunders credit for being a TE guru is pure nonsense.
the reality is that Saunders is an extremely good OC. Since he joined the Chiefs in 2001 his offenses have never ranked below 5th in total offense and led the league in each of the past two seasons..He was an assistant under Don Coryell , joining SD in 1983..that year, Winslow caught 88 balls ..now I know it wasn't directly because of Saunders coaching that Winslow caught the 88 balls that year, but he has a history of working in an offensive system that utilizes the TE position, he had been exposed to it in SD...
I never disputed that Saunders is a good OC, just poo-pooing the idea that he is a miraculous TE guru. The fact that you had to go back more than 23 years to find the last guy that Saunders MIGHT have helped improve proves my point.As far as his history in an offensive system that utilizes TEs, can you name another guy besides Gonzales and Winslow Sr. that have been the focus of a Saunders offense? After all, in nearly a quarter century, there ought to be more than two. Can anybody name even one of the TEs in the Rams' system when he was there?

 
Cooley has improved both years in ther NFL so far w/o Saunders anyway. I think the better question should be what reason do you have for that trend to not continue? Cooley is still young and learning. The O and personal around him is only getting better as well as Cooley himself is getting better. I agree that some of the projections we have seen are outlandish, but a regression seems unlikely to me. Minor improvement would be my guess. Portis will likely see the greatest bump from Saunders, but you can not overlook the additions at WR to help create more space for Cooley to work with. Along with that, there are no signs that he will have a Sellers vulture this year.

Right now I have my projections for Cooley at:

68 rec, 795 yds, 8 TDs

Not far from last years, with minor improvement. BTW, FBG has a regression projected for Cooley this year and I would love to hear some rational for it. :popcorn:
I don't really see this projection as even a "minor improvement." You're predicting 3 less receptions, 20 more yards, and 1 more TD.
 
3 reasons Cooley will see fewer targets in '06...

Brandon Lloyd

Antwaan Randle El

and forgettably...

Christian Fauria (will no doubt take a few endzone looks away)

 
3 reasons Cooley will see fewer targets in '06...

Brandon Lloyd

Antwaan Randle El

and forgettably...

Christian Fauria (will no doubt take a few endzone looks away)
Fauria was signed more as a blocking TE. And to be able to run out of the 2 TE sets that have started to become a bit more popular.
 
The one thing I read that I don't like is that they want Cooly to run more deep routes. He is not fast enough to do this, and I see his receptions dropping. I like him just the way he is. H-Back/TE. Not TE/flanked out. If they use him the way they say, he may struggle to get to 70 balls.

 
3 reasons Cooley will see fewer targets in '06...

Brandon Lloyd

Antwaan Randle El

and forgettably...

Christian Fauria (will no doubt take a few endzone looks away)
Fauria was signed more as a blocking TE. And to be able to run out of the 2 TE sets that have started to become a bit more popular.
coming from someone who has seen Fauria play alot in the past few years with the Pats, trust me, this guy is a redzone special.
 
Cooley has improved both years in ther NFL so far w/o Saunders anyway. I think the better question should be what reason do you have for that trend to not continue? Cooley is still young and learning. The O and personal around him is only getting better as well as Cooley himself is getting better. I agree that some of the projections we have seen are outlandish, but a regression seems unlikely to me. Minor improvement would be my guess. Portis will likely see the greatest bump from Saunders, but you can not overlook the additions at WR to help create more space for Cooley to work with. Along with that, there are no signs that he will have a Sellers vulture this year.

Right now I have my projections for Cooley at:

68 rec, 795 yds, 8 TDs

Not far from last years, with minor improvement. BTW, FBG has a regression projected for Cooley this year and I would love to hear some rational for it. :popcorn:
I think his stats will go down a bit. The team now has capable WR2 and WR3. His TDs might stay the same but I don't think his receptions and yards will. I'd predict something more like :47 rec. 630 yards 7 TDs

 
I think his stats will go down a bit. The team now has capable WR2 and WR3. His TDs might stay the same but I don't think his receptions and yards will. I'd predict something more like :

47 rec. 630 yards 7 TDs
And #4 with Patten returning from playing only about half the games last year. They've got some depth
 
Maybe this discussion could be changed to:

"Al Saunders and his impact on Clinton Portis.."

I'm thinking Portis is the one the benefit the most from having Al Saunders as the Redskins OC..

:thumbup:

 
Maybe this discussion could be changed to:

"Al Saunders and his impact on Clinton Portis.."

I'm thinking Portis is the one the benefit the most from having Al Saunders as the Redskins OC..

:thumbup:
Another guy that will have a hard time improving on some already impressive stats IMO. TDs maybe/probably but otherwise I think he+ the team would be happy repeating last year's stats
 
Maybe this discussion could be changed to:

"Al Saunders and his impact on Clinton Portis.."

I'm thinking Portis is the one the benefit the most from having Al Saunders as the Redskins OC..

:thumbup:
Another guy that will have a hard time improving on some already impressive stats IMO. TDs maybe/probably but otherwise I think he+ the team would be happy repeating last year's stats
His ypc and TD's should improve. He's never had the ypc I thought he should with the 'Skins. Not saying it will be a repeat of his gaudy Denver #'s for a variety of reasons, but he could improve that ypc by as much as .5 with Saunders IMHO.
 
Maybe this discussion could be changed to:

"Al Saunders and his impact on Clinton Portis.."

I'm thinking Portis is the one the benefit the most from having Al Saunders as the Redskins OC..

:thumbup:
Another guy that will have a hard time improving on some already impressive stats IMO. TDs maybe/probably but otherwise I think he+ the team would be happy repeating last year's stats
His ypc and TD's should improve. He's never had the ypc I thought he should with the 'Skins. Not saying it will be a repeat of his gaudy Denver #'s for a variety of reasons, but he could improve that ypc by as much as .5 with Saunders IMHO.
could be, seems like a fair guess.My gripe is just these lofty expectations and people not thinking it's OK to simply expect the same very very good stats from these players. You don't seem to be doing that

 
From Joe's e-mail - may be good for Cooley (assuming Portis doesn't get all the 1-yd TDs).

WAS - TE/FB Sellers Moving Back to Fullback

Source: Gary Fitzgerald, Redskins.com

FB Mike Sellers is back where he belongs. The 6-3, 275-pounder has moved back to the fullback position in OC Al Saunders's offense. For the last two years, Sellers has played H-back for the Redskins. The H-back position a hybrid of the tight end and fullback positions. This offseason, Sellers has switched meeting rooms and is back with the running backs. Saunders has always used fullbacks in prominent roles in his offenses.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

This is very important news. If you've been eyeing Sellers' 7 TDs last year and thinking that will carry over to 2006, you probably should reconsider. He'll have a different role this season that likely won't involve scoring as much. "I think I'll be a lot more involved in this offense than I was in the past," Sellers said. "I'll be doing a lot more blocking--and that's fine with me. I've always said that I'd rather lay someone out [with a hard block] than score a touchdown."

 
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From Joe's e-mail - may be good for Cooley (assuming Portis doesn't get all the 1-yd TDs).

WAS - TE/FB Sellers Moving Back to Fullback

Source: Gary Fitzgerald, Redskins.com

FB Mike Sellers is back where he belongs. The 6-3, 275-pounder has moved back to the fullback position in OC Al Saunders's offense. For the last two years, Sellers has played H-back for the Redskins. The H-back position a hybrid of the tight end and fullback positions. This offseason, Sellers has switched meeting rooms and is back with the running backs. Saunders has always used fullbacks in prominent roles in his offenses.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ OUR VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

This is very important news. If you've been eyeing Sellers' 7 TDs last year and thinking that will carry over to 2006, you probably should reconsider. He'll have a different role this season that likely won't involve scoring as much. "I think I'll be a lot more involved in this offense than I was in the past," Sellers said. "I'll be doing a lot more blocking--and that's fine with me. I've always said that I'd rather lay someone out [with a hard block] than score a touchdown."
This amounts to an accounting phenomenon. Sellers was effectively a FB last year most of the time, just like Cooley was mostly a TE already. They were both H-backs, but now Saunders favors using TE's and FB's designated (full time) as such, so you get an article like this. Sellers' TD's are going elsewhere, and don't underestimate the notion that a good portion may go to Portis due to an improved running game - the 'Skins have been miserable running inside the 5-yard line the last two years under Gibbs.

 
IMO, the biggest impact Saunders will have is on Jason Campbell. Maybe not this year, but for his career.

 
3 reasons Cooley will see fewer targets in '06...

Brandon Lloyd

Antwaan Randle El

and forgettably...

Christian Fauria (will no doubt take a few endzone looks away)
:goodposting: With these two WR's, the Washington receivers are going to get more targets and catches this year than they did last year. I fully expect Portis & company to see at least the same amount of carries as did they last year. Not that Fauria is a big deal, but he will probably steal a couple goaline looks out of two TE sets.

So unless you think the Redkins offense is going to be that much more prolific, i cant see how anyone thinks Cooley will improve this year, much less equal last years production.

45 catches, 570 yards, 5 TD's

 

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