Elliot.Muldoon
Footballguy
I started reading the Week 3 Fanduel Million recap last night and thought something seemed a little odd...so I went back and checked the previous weeks' recaps and wow. Not even trying. FBG and the DFS industry in general must have a really low opinion of the intelligence of its users. I've spent the last several weeks trying to convince my programmer, math-infested mind that Fanduel is not as full of cheating bots as it appears to be, but this just takes the cake. Just take a look at these paragraphs from the recaps from Weeks 3, 2 and 1...
odd impossible coincidence. This is not the result of a real human picking a lineup they think will win the contest. In a contest with hundreds of thousands of entries with most users likely to pick similar cores of players even while diversifying at other positions, you would almost always see a very low margin of victory, which you see for yourself even in smaller contests. If these were real human winners we would see margins of victory < 1 point on a regular basis, like we see separating positions 3 and lower every week. But somehow there is always 1 boringly-named user who magically manages to pull far, far ahead with a lineup no one in their right mind would put money on unless they were so rich they could afford to diversify through hundreds of different rosters...
or unless they were usinghouse your money to fund the entry. There is literally nothing stopping Fanduel from creating thousands and thousands of bot users for big GPPs and having them set lineups on Monday night to pick the best, least-owned players from Sunday plus a wide array of potential stars from the Monday night game. Literally nothing. No one is checking 229,885 rosters to make sure they don't change after Sunday. No one possibly could.
I invite Fanduel and/or FBG to explain this deeply improbable occurrence and offer any proof whatsoever that real human people win the Fanduel Million or any other high-value prize on a regular basis. And no, transcripted interviews on a website are not proof, especially when the lessons they appear to teach amount to "pour your money into lots of different crazy lineups that have 0.0000001% chance of hitting, so all your money will belong to us!". I would gladly welcome being proven wrong on this matter because I would like to be able to invest money into DFS with a clear heart, but at this point I doubt that's possible. It's more likely this thread will be removed and/or my account will be deleted.
And just to reply to the inevitable "you're just mad because you didn't win"-type comment, I was not in this contest...I am primarily a player of the other kind of fantasy football and have basically only dabbled in 50/50 leagues up to this point. Even there I saw some things that just don't pass the smell test in regards to everything from statistical patterns to bizarre username homogeny. And the more I look into it, the worse it gets. Feel free to keep buying into the dream if it makes you happy, but please be aware there's a very real possibility that all you're buying into is the furthered wealth of some very clever bastards.
Yeah, it's "hard to believe" because it's statistically impossible that these big win margins would happen on a regular basis, but apparently FBG (or perhaps the representative from their premium advertising partner Fanduel sending them this copy?) is so convinced it will always happen this way that they are just copying and pasting the same analysis every week and not even bothering to remark upon this
or unless they were using
I invite Fanduel and/or FBG to explain this deeply improbable occurrence and offer any proof whatsoever that real human people win the Fanduel Million or any other high-value prize on a regular basis. And no, transcripted interviews on a website are not proof, especially when the lessons they appear to teach amount to "pour your money into lots of different crazy lineups that have 0.0000001% chance of hitting, so all your money will belong to us!". I would gladly welcome being proven wrong on this matter because I would like to be able to invest money into DFS with a clear heart, but at this point I doubt that's possible. It's more likely this thread will be removed and/or my account will be deleted.
And just to reply to the inevitable "you're just mad because you didn't win"-type comment, I was not in this contest...I am primarily a player of the other kind of fantasy football and have basically only dabbled in 50/50 leagues up to this point. Even there I saw some things that just don't pass the smell test in regards to everything from statistical patterns to bizarre username homogeny. And the more I look into it, the worse it gets. Feel free to keep buying into the dream if it makes you happy, but please be aware there's a very real possibility that all you're buying into is the furthered wealth of some very clever bastards.
