TheIronSheik
SUPER ELITE UPPER TIER
Probably promoted to Website Design Czar.Is Sibelius going to resign?
Probably promoted to Website Design Czar.Is Sibelius going to resign?
I've been saying that for months. That's what happens when you go to a guaranteed issue no pre-ex situation. It's happened in each and every state that has gone guaranteed issue, including Rhode Island years ago which is why the rates Flying Elvis was complaining about have been so high for him. If RI didn't go GI years ago, his premiums would be much less. That's now happening in every state across the country.Wow, just checked out e-health and the plans for 2014 are about double 2013.
I wasn't bent out of shape. The comments & tone read the way they read, if you get me. I'll let it go as comments & tone being easy to misconstrue online.I've been saying that for months. That's what happens when you go to a guaranteed issue no pre-ex situation. It's happened in each and every state that has gone guaranteed issue, including Rhode Island years ago which is why the rates Flying Elvis was complaining about have been so high for him. If RI didn't go GI years ago, his premiums would be much less. That's now happening in every state across the country.Wow, just checked out e-health and the plans for 2014 are about double 2013.
This makes sense. I was a little confused by the earlier interaction as well.Why are you getting so bent out of shape here? I posted to you why the rates in Rhode Island are as high as they are, and the list of states that you posted shows it quite well. States like New York, Mass, New Jersey, Vermont and Rhode Island are "guaranteed issue" states - they can't deny anyone coverage. That is why they are, by far, the most expensive states on average on the list you posted. If everything else about you were the same, but you lived in a different state your insurance options would cost you less than half of what they do currently. Guaranteed issue is the reason your cheapest option is as high as it is. Next year, this will be the case nationwide and everyone will be dealing the the high rates you've been seeing for years in RI.Well thank goodness it's just as you thought. For a bit there I was certain the actual costs that I was actually paying were made up, or that perhaps I was too stupid to price shop for health insurance.Just as I thought. Rhode Island (along with a few other states in the Northeast) is a guaranteed issue state (which the ACA now mandates) and that comes with higher premiums.Actually, disregard that last post. I'll simply disprove the "Like under half that, easily" part, instead.
Individual market premium average was $344 per month in 2010. Add the annual 20-30% bump I mentioned and we get to roughly $410 per month in 2011.
Source for 2010 figure: http://kff.org/other/state-indicator/individual-premiums/
EDIT: Sorry - I didn't realize it wasn't a unique URL. Scroll down and select Rhode Island.
I posted you exact list a week ago to show just how expensive Massachusetts is, as they are by far the most expensive state on that list. Mass operates under the "Romneycare" system, which the ACA is based on. That's where the premiums will go in the other 44 or so non guaranteed issue states very quickly.
For reference, if you lived here in Virginia where I do, a healthy male 37 year old could buy a plan with BCBS with a $750 deductible for only $121 a month.
The rates are so high for you only because you live in a guaranteed issue state, no real other reason. In truth, the best thing for you would be if Rhode Island did away with things like Guaranteed issue and went back to underwriting, your premiums would drop in half or more.
"People like you" . . . That explains a lot. I can only hope you know BassNBrew well enough to make such a statement. However, considering you don't know me at all and were quite willing to call me a liar and/or stupid, I'll just assume the worst and discontinue conversing with "people like you."As I've been saying for months, I'm not so sure this ACA will end up with a whole lot more people being insured than we have now. People like you will just drop all of it and be charged a penalty that's not really collectable.It's just been a huge increase over the last several years. At the rate it's increasing, we're all going to be poor eventually or just go w/o insurance.
I'm sorry you're so upset about it, I'm just trying to be the voice of reason in these discussions. You told me your age, approximate health and where you live. That's enough to tell me that your options currently are limited to guaranteed issue only pricing which everyone will face going forward. So if you've been upset about those high rates....well now the rest of the country will be as well.
I'm curious as to what you mean by "had far less coverage and payout by the provider". Did the insurance carrier change plans on you, or did you change your group plan?I wasn't bent out of shape. The comments & tone read the way they read, if you get me. I'll let it go as comments & tone being easy to misconstrue online.I've been saying that for months. That's what happens when you go to a guaranteed issue no pre-ex situation. It's happened in each and every state that has gone guaranteed issue, including Rhode Island years ago which is why the rates Flying Elvis was complaining about have been so high for him. If RI didn't go GI years ago, his premiums would be much less. That's now happening in every state across the country.Wow, just checked out e-health and the plans for 2014 are about double 2013.
I don't see guaranteed issue as such an obvious cause of rate increases, though. RI went to small group market guaranteed issue in 2000. My rates were relatively unaffected and, across the 2 small firms where I was employed, the premiums were between $120 per month (1998) and $220 per month in 2008 and they skyrocketed from there. Adding women to the "group" had an impact on that, but the point remains that for nearly a decade of GI, the premiums were still stable. The annual leaps of 20% or more started in 2009 and, with no change to the group from 2009-2012, the premiums doubled.
Basically, in one decade the prices didn't quite double. Then in a quarter decade they more than doubled and had far less coverage & payout by the provider. The race to the deductible was on!
And isn't that $430 per month from a group policy?My rates are dropping from $430 per month (2011 cost) to $204 per month via RI's exchange. Very similar plan - race to the deductible. $4000 / $6000 max oop.
I think I get you - but since your coverage is with a group it doesn't matter (all groups policies are "guaranteed issue"). If NJ is like my state (and it may not be, I know New York is a total disaster for insurance), then your group plan's rate is based on the health of people in your employer group. If you have a 10 person group and 5 of them are in very bad health, your rates will be really high. If you have a 10 person group of all young and healthy folks, your rates for the exact same plan could be half or even lower than that.Question for you Mattyl, my employer is based out of NJ (a guaranteed issue state), but I live in a non-guarenteed issue state. My health care is through BCBS of NJ. Would the rates for my company issued policy be more similar to the ACA rates than if I had a carrier in my home state? Did I explain that ok?
Yes. My employer has been draggin' ### on actually getting quotes so I can't give you the difference between the two.And isn't that $430 per month from a group policy?My rates are dropping from $430 per month (2011 cost) to $204 per month via RI's exchange. Very similar plan - race to the deductible. $4000 / $6000 max oop.
We just have to hope one of the 6 people who could sign up on day 1 are FBGs.Is anyone going to report their experience getting insurance via the ACA?
It's my understanding that it's your choice, but that could depend on the carrier. I've heard that if your premium is $400, and you qualify for a $200 subsidy, that you can choose to have it paid directly to the company and you get billed for the other $200. I've also heard you'll have the option of paying the entire $400 and getting the $2,400 back as a "tax refund" of sorts.I have a couple of friends wondering how the subsidy is applied. Does anyone know if it reduces your premium payment, is credited on tax reurn, etc?
Personally, I'd choose to get it all in one lump sum in my tax return if I were them. If nothing else, should they end up not being eligible for the subsidy after all (they ended up making more than they claimed), they won't get a huge bill - they will just get less of a tax return.Thanks, matty. I'll pass that along.
This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
It will all depend on the makeup of the 3 million or 7 million or however many people enroll. It was widely assumed (and obvious when you think about it) the the first people to enroll on these exchanges were going to be people who previously couldn't obtain coverage because of being sick or older folks. If those are the only people who sign up, and there are lets say 2 million of them, the claims per person in that group will be extraordinary (the insurance companies will go out of business trying to support those claims). They have to be "diluted" by healthy people - people who pay premiums and don't have claims which exceed them (which are technically most people).Questions for matttyl(or anyone else in the know).
I keep hearing this 7 million healthy people number of people they need to enroll to make this system work properly so I have a few questions regarding this.
How do you see this working out(premium levels)if they don't meet that number the first year?
So let's say they only get 3 million to sign up what does this do to everyone's premiums the following year and in years past that?
And also the opposite.
If the number goes over the 7 million what does that do for premiums?
Just doing a little sloppy math it seems they would need around 30k users a day until the end of enrollment to reach this goal.
Thanks in advance and I do appreciate all of your(and others)input into this as this hits home for me and my family.
What's your issue with it? That's the system that's in place that you've been raving about for months here, but apparently don't know much about.This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
Thanks for the reply and your explanation.It will all depend on the makeup of the 3 million or 7 million or however many people enroll. It was widely assumed (and obvious when you think about it) the the first people to enroll on these exchanges were going to be people who previously couldn't obtain coverage because of being sick or older folks. If those are the only people who sign up, and there are lets say 2 million of them, the claims per person in that group will be extraordinary (the insurance companies will go out of business trying to support those claims). They have to be "diluted" by healthy people - people who pay premiums and don't have claims which exceed them (which are technically most people).Questions for matttyl(or anyone else in the know).
I keep hearing this 7 million healthy people number of people they need to enroll to make this system work properly so I have a few questions regarding this.
How do you see this working out(premium levels)if they don't meet that number the first year?
So let's say they only get 3 million to sign up what does this do to everyone's premiums the following year and in years past that?
And also the opposite.
If the number goes over the 7 million what does that do for premiums?
Just doing a little sloppy math it seems they would need around 30k users a day until the end of enrollment to reach this goal.
Thanks in advance and I do appreciate all of your(and others)input into this as this hits home for me and my family.
The original numbers said that they needed 7 million people at least to enroll so that the pool would be large enough to "dilute" the older/sicker folks they knew would be enrolling first. That's the problem now that the website is really causing - by in large the people dealing with the hours of headaches to enroll and such are those who couldn't obtain coverage previously for medical reasons. Anyone who is relatively healthy and had coverage that's now canceled is too upset about that situation to go through the hours it apparently takes to enroll on the exchange to now pay more.
What this will lead to, I believe, is that the insurance "pool" being created here will be much sicker and definitely older than was initially anticipated. This will lead to drastic increases in premium going forward (larger than the ones that insurance policies have seen in the past). If, though, each and every person who has had their policy canceled already or that will be canceled in the next 14 months (likely tens of millions) and each and every person who previously was without coverage (~48 million) all enroll in time for 1/1/14 coverage this won't be an issue because the pool will be large enough and "diluted" enough to offset the older and sicker folks - but I don't see that happening at all. Also, if the only people who enroll are younger and healthier (the ones being hit with the highest increases) then this won't be an issue - but I don't see that happening either.
I've been hoping I'd be wrong about this for going on 3 years now, though - and not only have my fears been realized, but ones that I didn't think would be an issue have been; like the website, small employers having their plans canceled in addition to individuals, moronic ways of defining eligibility for subsidies, and the "reshuffling" of insurance networks to keep prices at least somewhat competitive.Thanks for the reply and your explanation.It will all depend on the makeup of the 3 million or 7 million or however many people enroll. It was widely assumed (and obvious when you think about it) the the first people to enroll on these exchanges were going to be people who previously couldn't obtain coverage because of being sick or older folks. If those are the only people who sign up, and there are lets say 2 million of them, the claims per person in that group will be extraordinary (the insurance companies will go out of business trying to support those claims). They have to be "diluted" by healthy people - people who pay premiums and don't have claims which exceed them (which are technically most people).Questions for matttyl(or anyone else in the know).
I keep hearing this 7 million healthy people number of people they need to enroll to make this system work properly so I have a few questions regarding this.
How do you see this working out(premium levels)if they don't meet that number the first year?
So let's say they only get 3 million to sign up what does this do to everyone's premiums the following year and in years past that?
And also the opposite.
If the number goes over the 7 million what does that do for premiums?
Just doing a little sloppy math it seems they would need around 30k users a day until the end of enrollment to reach this goal.
Thanks in advance and I do appreciate all of your(and others)input into this as this hits home for me and my family.
The original numbers said that they needed 7 million people at least to enroll so that the pool would be large enough to "dilute" the older/sicker folks they knew would be enrolling first. That's the problem now that the website is really causing - by in large the people dealing with the hours of headaches to enroll and such are those who couldn't obtain coverage previously for medical reasons. Anyone who is relatively healthy and had coverage that's now canceled is too upset about that situation to go through the hours it apparently takes to enroll on the exchange to now pay more.
What this will lead to, I believe, is that the insurance "pool" being created here will be much sicker and definitely older than was initially anticipated. This will lead to drastic increases in premium going forward (larger than the ones that insurance policies have seen in the past). If, though, each and every person who has had their policy canceled already or that will be canceled in the next 14 months (likely tens of millions) and each and every person who previously was without coverage (~48 million) all enroll in time for 1/1/14 coverage this won't be an issue because the pool will be large enough and "diluted" enough to offset the older and sicker folks - but I don't see that happening at all. Also, if the only people who enroll are younger and healthier (the ones being hit with the highest increases) then this won't be an issue - but I don't see that happening either.
We share a lot of the same fears it seems and I hope we're both wrong.
I don't deal with the security aspects much. I see if I can figure out a way to raise this. Thanks,Paging Foos!
Didn't want to drop this into the other ACA thread since it is focusing on the law and policies more than the site. Also I have no idea which section of the development you are involved with though I know it is nontechnical but figured you could probably make this suggestion to someone in the security side of things.
The backend communication channels of healthcare.gov, it's attached databases, and links between the state exchanges need to be using a whitelisting scheme. The data handoff from the non-public facing side is a huge and vulnerable attack surface and does not appear to be getting the attention it deserves at this time and I think it would be in everyones best interest to really put it on lock scorched earth style for now. Just my professional opinion.
Schlzm
Is he wrong? I have no idea what my bonus is going to be for the year. It can be anywhere from $5K to $50K depending on company performance. My bonus could easily disqualify me from the subsidy.This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
Does your company offer you health benefits? If so, you're likely already disqualified from getting a subsidy.Is he wrong? I have no idea what my bonus is going to be for the year. It can be anywhere from $5K to $50K depending on company performance. My bonus could easily disqualify me from the subsidy.This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
You tell me. If you're making $40k, and your boss offers you a $25k raise so that you're now making $65k, would you turn down that raise due to the fact that you would lose the $5k health insurance subsidy?Is he wrong? I have no idea what my bonus is going to be for the year. It can be anywhere from $5K to $50K depending on company performance. My bonus could easily disqualify me from the subsidy.This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
So what would be the outcome in that scenario? Instead of a raise, let's say you estimate you will make 40K in sales/commissions but you have a great year or a big sale and it's really 65K.You tell me. If you're making $40k, and your boss offers you a $25k raise so that you're now making $65k, would you turn down that raise due to the fact that you would lose the $5k health insurance subsidy?Is he wrong? I have no idea what my bonus is going to be for the year. It can be anywhere from $5K to $50K depending on company performance. My bonus could easily disqualify me from the subsidy.This is the kinda of logic we've all grown to know and love mattyl.Keep in mind, though, that subsidy amount is based off of your 2014 income (and I doubt many people here know exactly what their 2013 "Modified Adjusted Gross Income" or MAGI will be, much less next year's). If you "claim" that your household will make $40k, and then get a subsidy of lets say $5k or whatever, but you actually end up making $65k (and thus shouldn't have been eligible for a subsidy), that you will owe that $5k subsidy that they paid on your behalf back (I believe via your taxes when you file). I guess you got to hope you don't get a raise!
That was mattyl's example, and his advice was "better hope you don't get that raise".
No, you owe it back. Unfortunately for them, it's only as collectable as the individual mandate is. I would assume you'd lose it the following year.So what would be the outcome in that scenario? Instead of a raise, let's say you estimate you will make 40K in sales/commissions but you have a great year or a big sale and it's really 65K.
What happens to the subsidy you received? Do you get to keep it? If so do you lose it next year?
You're welcome. Also found two more forward facing exploit paths launchable from the landing page. I'm not going to post any details here in the open but if you are interested shoot me a pm and I can provide what I have. I will say however that this is pretty much webserver security 101 and it is embarassing that these vulnerailities exist.SchlzmI don't deal with the security aspects much. I see if I can figure out a way to raise this. Thanks,Paging Foos!
Didn't want to drop this into the other ACA thread since it is focusing on the law and policies more than the site. Also I have no idea which section of the development you are involved with though I know it is nontechnical but figured you could probably make this suggestion to someone in the security side of things.
The backend communication channels of healthcare.gov, it's attached databases, and links between the state exchanges need to be using a whitelisting scheme. The data handoff from the non-public facing side is a huge and vulnerable attack surface and does not appear to be getting the attention it deserves at this time and I think it would be in everyones best interest to really put it on lock scorched earth style for now. Just my professional opinion.
Schlzm
I asked the same thing. I don't see it happening. As for the second part of your question, reports out today are saying the numbers are south of 100,000. They had projected 800,000. Of course, there are a lot of numbers "south of 100,000."What are the chances the website is going to be in working order come the end of the month?You got any inside info on this Foos?
When do we learn the total of people that have gotten insurance so far?
Did a little digging and found thisI asked the same thing. I don't see it happening. As for the second part of your question, reports out today are saying the numbers are south of 100,000. They had projected 800,000. Of course, there are a lot of numbers "south of 100,000."What are the chances the website is going to be in working order come the end of the month?You got any inside info on this Foos?
When do we learn the total of people that have gotten insurance so far?
It appears fewer than 50,000 people successfully signed up for health coverage through the federally run Obamacare website during the first five weeks of open enrollment, falling well short of expectations for the period, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday.
http://newday.blogs.cnn.com/2013/11/12/obamacare-enrollment-number-reportedly-well-under-administrations-goal/
I also asked. The only answer I got was that if everything was running perfect at 3AM on 12/1, the GOP would still say "Obama missed the deadline". But no one wants to chime in and say that 11/30 is completely unreasonable. I don't think it's fully correct before 1/1/14.I asked the same thing. I don't see it happening. As for the second part of your question, reports out today are saying the numbers are south of 100,000. They had projected 800,000. Of course, there are a lot of numbers "south of 100,000."What are the chances the website is going to be in working order come the end of the month?You got any inside info on this Foos?
When do we learn the total of people that have gotten insurance so far?
I agree. I also would say that putting the deadline to Spring of 2014 might be tough to meet.I also asked. The only answer I got was that if everything was running perfect at 3AM on 12/1, the GOP would still say "Obama missed the deadline". But no one wants to chime in and say that 11/30 is completely unreasonable. I don't think it's fully correct before 1/1/14.I asked the same thing. I don't see it happening. As for the second part of your question, reports out today are saying the numbers are south of 100,000. They had projected 800,000. Of course, there are a lot of numbers "south of 100,000."What are the chances the website is going to be in working order come the end of the month?You got any inside info on this Foos?
When do we learn the total of people that have gotten insurance so far?
As far as the second part of the question, something I want to see at the end of the year is number of signups vs. number of people who lost insurance due to ObamaCare. The ratio is going to be staggering.
I'm assuming he got a decent subsidy- do you know how much it would have been without that (what the actual cost of that plan is)?Godsbrother said:My son finally enrolled -- here are the details: 27 year old in PA with preexisting condition. He is a homeowner with a salary around $30-$32K
2014 Obamacare: $175/mo, $1200 Deductable, $3,700 OOP max, $20 copay. $30 specialist copay, $8 generic drugs
(Highmark)
2013 Individual plan:$324/mo, $2750 Deductable, $5,000 OOP max, $25 copay, $50 specialist copay, $14 generic drugs
(UPMC)
He ends up with better coverage with less than half of the deductible at almost half the cost so things worked out well for him.
I'm glad to hear things worked out well for him, I really am. Is the $175 his subsidized rate?Godsbrother said:My son finally enrolled -- here are the details: 27 year old in PA with preexisting condition. He is a homeowner with a salary around $30-$32K
2014 Obamacare: $175/mo, $1200 Deductable, $3,700 OOP max, $20 copay. $30 specialist copay, $8 generic drugs
(Highmark)
2013 Individual plan:$324/mo, $2750 Deductable, $5,000 OOP max, $25 copay, $50 specialist copay, $14 generic drugs
(UPMC)
He ends up with better coverage with less than half of the deductible at almost half the cost so things worked out well for him.
But isn't this the case with all health insurance? At least that has been my experience over 30+ years of paying for insurance.As open enrollment approaches, I was interested in others experiences on rate and coverage changes for 2015. I was prepared for a rate increase, but Anthem is also implementing additional back door increases by raising out of pocket max and all deductibles (exc generic drugs which actually went down). More for less. Yay ACA.
Where are you from? In my area, that carrier (technically Blue Cross Blue Shield) isn't raising their rates too much (mostly under 10%), but they are doing the higher max OOP as well as shifting around their drug formulary to get people paying more out of pocket.Mystery Achiever said:As open enrollment approaches, I was interested in others experiences on rate and coverage changes for 2015. I was prepared for a rate increase, but Anthem is also implementing additional back door increases by raising out of pocket max and all deductibles (exc generic drugs which actually went down). More for less. Yay ACA.
Again curious, what state? But damn, 19% is rough.My plan with BC/BS is going up from $411/mo to $489/mo
CT, but seems similar. It is only 8% rate increase (They filed for 12% IIRC). Copay changes: Primary doc +$10, Specialist +5, Tier 2 Drug +20, Emergency Room +50. Mental health hospitalization (both in/outpatient) have $500 copay (zero before), PET scan from 75 to 400Where are you from? In my area, that carrier (technically Blue Cross Blue Shield) isn't raising their rates too much (mostly under 10%), but they are doing the higher max OOP as well as shifting around their drug formulary to get people paying more out of pocket.Mystery Achiever said:As open enrollment approaches, I was interested in others experiences on rate and coverage changes for 2015. I was prepared for a rate increase, but Anthem is also implementing additional back door increases by raising out of pocket max and all deductibles (exc generic drugs which actually went down). More for less. Yay ACA.