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Rookie Pick Value (1 Viewer)

Zimm

Footballguy
I have seen posted all over sites that ask questions what player has what rookie pick value and it is highly and often debated throughout Footballguys and other sites. So i took the time to create my own list that everyone can see to get an idea of what the market value is or use it in leverage in trades. So below i have listed a number of debated players. (Please note that is is just my opinion and i am not saying i am right)

Player Database

 
I have seen posted all over sites that ask questions what player has what rookie pick value and it is highly and often debated throughout Footballguys and other sites. So i took the time to create my own list that everyone can see to get an idea of what the market value is or use it in leverage in trades. So below i have listed a number of debated players. (Please note that is is just my opinion and i am not saying i am right)

Player Database
Nice work. I was thinking of doing something like this for a dynasty league I'm in. It's nice because Rookie picks are the universal currency. I don't agree with all of you valuations but nice work and good idea.
 
I have seen posted all over sites that ask questions what player has what rookie pick value and it is highly and often debated throughout Footballguys and other sites. So i took the time to create my own list that everyone can see to get an idea of what the market value is or use it in leverage in trades. So below i have listed a number of debated players. (Please note that is is just my opinion and i am not saying i am right)

Player Database
Nice work. I was thinking of doing something like this for a dynasty league I'm in. It's nice because Rookie picks are the universal currency. I don't agree with all of you valuations but nice work and good idea.
I agree it was great work!
 
Its not easy finding many people that agree on dynasty value/Rankings so i do hope this hopes! And i am glad you guys like it.

 
I have seen posted all over sites that ask questions what player has what rookie pick value and it is highly and often debated throughout Footballguys and other sites. So i took the time to create my own list that everyone can see to get an idea of what the market value is or use it in leverage in trades. So below i have listed a number of debated players. (Please note that is is just my opinion and i am not saying i am right)

Player Database
Hey Zimm, really nice work. This is an interesting and different way of looking at it. :thumbup: :thumbup: :thumbup:
 
thanks for doing this man :thumbup: Been struggling to gauge current player values and draft picks, this definitely helps to a give a good ballpark figure.

 
Awesome job. The only one I really gave me trouble was Antonio Brown between 1.8 and 1.11. IMO it should be 1.4-1.6 for him.

 
I don't see Bradshaw's value as high as most in dynasty.

High: 1.6

Low: 1.10
I would easily give pick 6 for Bradshaw, EASILY
If I was offered the sixth pick for Bradshaw I would accept it immediately.
without hesitation.
guess his assessment was spot on.
Exactly. Not sure what they are trying to say here.
That maybe 1.6 is an easy selection and his "high" is thus a touch higher?If 1.6 is immediate.

Then 1.5 has to be at least a strong consideration, probably around 50/50 at worst.

 
I don't see Bradshaw's value as high as most in dynasty.

High: 1.6

Low: 1.10
I would easily give pick 6 for Bradshaw, EASILY
If I was offered the sixth pick for Bradshaw I would accept it immediately.
without hesitation.
guess his assessment was spot on.
Exactly. Not sure what they are trying to say here.
That maybe 1.6 is an easy selection and his "high" is thus a touch higher?If 1.6 is immediate.

Then 1.5 has to be at least a strong consideration, probably around 50/50 at worst.
Got it. Well, as you well know this is all open to bias and preference. I personally don't care for Bradshaw and his bowed legs. He's not going to have a long career. So if I had the choice of Bradshaw and say Doug Martin (if he goes to a favorable spot), I'd prefer the latter. Of course another variable is also whether you are a loaded team or in a rebuilding mode.
 
I don't see Bradshaw's value as high as most in dynasty.

High: 1.6

Low: 1.10
I would easily give pick 6 for Bradshaw, EASILY
If I was offered the sixth pick for Bradshaw I would accept it immediately.
without hesitation.
guess his assessment was spot on.
Exactly. Not sure what they are trying to say here.
That maybe 1.6 is an easy selection and his "high" is thus a touch higher?If 1.6 is immediate.

Then 1.5 has to be at least a strong consideration, probably around 50/50 at worst.
Got it. Well, as you well know this is all open to bias and preference. I personally don't care for Bradshaw and his bowed legs. He's not going to have a long career. So if I had the choice of Bradshaw and say Doug Martin (if he goes to a favorable spot), I'd prefer the latter. Of course another variable is also whether you are a loaded team or in a rebuilding mode.
I agree i don't think Bradshaw has high dynasty value and would rather take a chance on hitting on a sure stud, and that is my preference in dynasty.
 
I added Bradshaw,Lynch, and DHB to the database....If you would like anyone else added let me know and i will add them.

 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
Little will be 23 to start the year and with Colt McCoy as his QB and no other talent as a rookie he put up 61 catches and 709 yards as a rookie. With that said being a dynasty and the Browns end up being a top 10 pick again next year and get a QB like M.Barkley(USC),T.Bray(Tenn),A.Murray(GA),T.Wilson(Arkansas) and having 2 1st round picks this year i think the team could be heavily improved going in Greg Little's 3rd year aka When WR's really break out.
 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
Little will be 23 to start the year and with Colt McCoy as his QB and no other talent as a rookie he put up 61 catches and 709 yards as a rookie. With that said being a dynasty and the Browns end up being a top 10 pick again next year and get a QB like M.Barkley(USC),T.Bray(Tenn),A.Murray(GA),T.Wilson(Arkansas) and having 2 1st round picks this year i think the team could be heavily improved going in Greg Little's 3rd year aka When WR's really break out.
Little was the 5th pick in a couple of my dynasties, and the owners aren't parting with him for a discount. I could see someone giving up the 1.04 if they were a Little believer - I think his value to me is around 1.05/1.06, which is pretty close.
 
Awesome stuff, thanks!

I remember there being a "database" on here (for lack of a better term) that gave a point value to a few hundred players (max of 100, minimum of 16 as that's what an empty roster spot is worth) and it also would give the "value" of rookie picks.

It was like a year or two ago, and Adrian Peterson would have a value of "100", and the top rookie pick was valued at "64" if I recall. Anyone seen anything like that?

Also, does anyone have a good rule of thumb for the value of future rookie draft picks (2013 or 2014)? I've always thought that a 3rd round pick this year should be worth a 2nd round pick next, and so on.

 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
you're going to take Little over RG3 and Luck?? come on.
 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
you're going to take Little over RG3 and Luck?? come on.
He's talking about the 1.04. I would easily pick 4 non-QB's over Little.
 
I will add Welker and yes i value V.Brown higher then A.Brown. Brown gets as many looks and draws single coverage because most defenses bracket Wallace.

 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
you're going to take Little over RG3 and Luck?? come on.
Depends on the makeup of my team. I don't understand why QBs are all of a sudden top 3 dynasty picks. It's easier to find a startable fantasy QB than it is a stud WR IMO (I'm talking start 1 QB, 3-4 WR leagues, yours may vary). I'd be fine with Ben, Matt Ryan, Eli Manning etc if the rest of my team was good. There are a decent number of QBs that will get the job done. I think Little has top 10 potential - he had a decent rookie season for someone so raw and I look for him to improve a lot in the coming season(s). Just my opinion but I value WR/RBs over QBs in general. :shrug:
 
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Guys I'd like to see

Josh Freeman

Some TE's if you get the chance. :thumbup:
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
you're going to take Little over RG3 and Luck?? come on.
Depends on the makeup of my team. I don't understand why QBs are all of a sudden top 3 dynasty picks. It's easier to find a startable fantasy QB than it is a stud WR IMO (I'm talking start 1 QB, 3-4 WR leagues, yours may vary). I'd be fine with Ben, Matt Ryan, Eli Manning etc if the rest of my team was good. There are a decent number of QBs that will get the job done. I think Little has top 10 potential - he had a decent rookie season for someone so raw and I look for him to improve a lot in the coming season(s).

Just my opinion but I value WR/RBs over QBs in general. :shrug:
I agree with Little does have top 10 potential and he is more of a possession WR so he should draw higher praise in PPR leagues. I also agree with going WR/RB over a QB in the top 5 depending on rosters. I would take Luck pick 2 though because his potential is too high to pass up on, but with that said if he came out last year and i had to choose between Green,Jones and Luck i would have taken Luck at 3. I will add Freeman (I don't see his value too high) and TE's are hard to put a value on, but i have been working on them.
 
Also I don't think anyone's giving pick 4 for Greg Little.
agreed. no one will take him in front of RG3, Luck, Richardson, and even Blackmon.
QBs aren't as valuable in some leagues. I know Cam Newton has made it vogue to draft a QB very early, but before this season it was rare to see a QB go in the first 8-10 picks, at least from my experience. If I needed a QB, yeah, maybe, but if I'm okay no way do I draft a QB in the top 4 picks.
you're going to take Little over RG3 and Luck?? come on.
Depends on the makeup of my team. I don't understand why QBs are all of a sudden top 3 dynasty picks. It's easier to find a startable fantasy QB than it is a stud WR IMO (I'm talking start 1 QB, 3-4 WR leagues, yours may vary). I'd be fine with Ben, Matt Ryan, Eli Manning etc if the rest of my team was good. There are a decent number of QBs that will get the job done. I think Little has top 10 potential - he had a decent rookie season for someone so raw and I look for him to improve a lot in the coming season(s). Just my opinion but I value WR/RBs over QBs in general. :shrug:
As do I. The key phrase is in general. Luck and RG3 are not typical QBs. For all we know, Little is just another receiver. I can't see giving up a 1.4 for him at this time. We agree to disagree.
 

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