I agree-I probably would put him behind Fitz especially if the Cardinals sign Kolb.A reunion with Orton would put Marshall squarely in the top 10 at WR, wouldn't it?Curious whether you guys think it would move Marshall ahead of guys like V-Jax, D-Jax, Wayne and Fitz in redraft leagues. I'd be tempted to move Marshall ahead of all of the above except maybe Fitz, the one guy in that group with raw talent equal to or greater than Marshall. Thoughts?
Are you guys assuming McD will be calling the plays, and Miami's D will be horrible?
But can we assume that Miami is keeping the status quo for the offense? That seems unlikely given their attempted acquisitions (Orton, Bush). You don't go after Reggie Bush unless you plan to open up your passing game.Are you guys assuming McD will be calling the plays, and Miami's D will be horrible?Same players, but not the same system and coaches. I would temper expectations of a 100+catch 10+TD season.
why? he was on a 100 catch pace last year and he caught 100 the 3 prior years. 10 tds is likely high (I'd say 708) but I'd expect him to catch around 100 balls.Are you guys assuming McD will be calling the plays, and Miami's D will be horrible?Same players, but not the same system and coaches. I would temper expectations of a 100+catch 10+TD season.
But, why are we predicting near career high numbers for Bush, and near career low numbers for Marshall? Marshall is the more talented of the two, and he's more vocal about "getting his." I'd say its more likely that Marshall gets to 100 catches than it is Bush catches 70 passes. Of course, both could happen.As others have said, this isn't an analog. The Dolphins are going to have a different offense in place, different play caller, and should have a respectable enough defense that their run/pass ratio will be different from the 2009 Broncos. Now that said, the Dolphins cupboard is bare outside of Marshall and Reggie Bush right now. I would think if they make no other moves, Bush could catch 70+ balls and Marshall would be 85+ in a 16-game tilt.
In 2009, Denver passed the ball 34.9 times per game.In 2010, Miami passed the ball 34.8 times per game.I'm not sure there is reason to believe that their run game will be more effective this coming year, but I do see good reason to believe the passing game could be better with an Orton, Marshall, Bess, Bush combo.Some other Marshall stats:Year Att/gm Rec/gm 16gm QB2007 32.2 6.375 102 Cutler2008 38.8 6.933 111 Cutler2009 34.9 6.733 108 Orton2010 34.8 6.143 98 HenneAs others have said, this isn't an analog. The Dolphins are going to have a different offense in place, different play caller, and should have a respectable enough defense that their run/pass ratio will be different from the 2009 Broncos. Now that said, the Dolphins cupboard is bare outside of Marshall and Reggie Bush right now. I would think if they make no other moves, Bush could catch 70+ balls and Marshall would be 85+ in a 16-game tilt.
I think the "X-factor" in all of this, who everyone is forgetting, is Davone Bess. Nifty player, who has 209 receptions in 3 years in the NFL (just for perspective, Marshall had 226 his first three years). I think his numbers will be effected by Bush's prescence, but unles his does a "Lance Moore" like disappearing act when Bush is on the field (and I don't think he will), he will take away from Bush. I also think that there are enough guys on the team (the Hartlines of the world), that projecting Marshall at 85 catches is fair (especially when you consider he has four games against the jets and pats, plus their NFC schedule is against the East and a game against Tampa).As others have said, this isn't an analog. The Dolphins are going to have a different offense in place, different play caller, and should have a respectable enough defense that their run/pass ratio will be different from the 2009 Broncos. Now that said, the Dolphins cupboard is bare outside of Marshall and Reggie Bush right now. I would think if they make no other moves, Bush could catch 70+ balls and Marshall would be 85+ in a 16-game tilt.
I dont expect his Denver #'s either. But you have to admit, compared to Henne, Orton is AllPro.And Sporano better step up this year, he's on the hottest of hot seats.Until Tony Sparano shows he is halfway decent, I am really nervous about any Miami players. If Orton goes there, is it good news for Marshall? Sure. But I am not expecting Orton's Denver numbers to follow him to MIA.Also: Bess, Bush, and Marshall all catch balls in the same area. That's not great for any of them.
Sometimes people post things off the cuff. I don't thnk that was an official Jason Wood "Projection 2011" type post...'mcintyre1 said:But, why are we predicting near career high numbers for Bush, and near career low numbers for Marshall? Marshall is the more talented of the two, and he's more vocal about "getting his." I'd say its more likely that Marshall gets to 100 catches than it is Bush catches 70 passes. Of course, both could happen.'Jason Wood said:As others have said, this isn't an analog. The Dolphins are going to have a different offense in place, different play caller, and should have a respectable enough defense that their run/pass ratio will be different from the 2009 Broncos. Now that said, the Dolphins cupboard is bare outside of Marshall and Reggie Bush right now. I would think if they make no other moves, Bush could catch 70+ balls and Marshall would be 85+ in a 16-game tilt.