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So who is breaking out this year? (1 Viewer)

ceo3west

Footballguy
Just starting to prep for 14 tm auction in 3 weeks, need some guys to add to my must-buy list. Whatcha got?

 
Like breakout as in young mid rounder becomes early rounder and young early rounder becomes 1st rounder?

Jason Heyward

Andrew McCutchen

Jay Bruce

Pedro Alvarez

Carlos Santana

Gordon Beckham

Tommy Hanson

Max Scherzer

 
Starlin Castro

Ike Davis

and I think Matt LaPorta finally puts it together.

Colby Lewis makes a big jump too.

 
Some guys that I think are undervalued:

Dexter Fowler - needs to be more efficient stealing bases, but could be amazing this year hitting leadoff

Prince Fielder - back over 40 HR and 115 RBI

Adam Dunn - 45 HR looking inevitable at U.S. Cellular

Neftali Feliz - I'd rank him my #1 closer if that's his settled role

Adam Jones - you realize he's 25, right?

Joel Hanrahan - elite power arm on a much improved team

Kyle Drabek - love the pedigree and the curve; super consistent in the minors

Tommy Hanson - makes the jump into the top 10 with enough innings

Matt Thornton - coasts to top 10 closer status, if not top 5; no one believes for some reason (Sale? C'mon..)

Jay Bruce - few in baseball have his power skills, and hits in a lineup with Votto

Jhoulys Chacin - 23 years old and getting his control in order

Aroldis Chapman - just get that heater anywhere near the zone

Matt Joyce - plenty of playing time and good power potential

Ricky Nolasco - the outcomes have to match the skills eventually

Jed Lowrie - OPS stud in need of an opportunity; destroys lefties, but isn't dreadful against righties

Buster Posey - unflappable demeanor and no telling how good he can be; I rank him #2 at catcher behind Mauer

 
Some guys that I think are undervalued:Dexter Fowler - needs to be more efficient stealing bases, but could be amazing this year hitting leadoffPrince Fielder - back over 40 HR and 115 RBIAdam Dunn - 45 HR looking inevitable at U.S. CellularNeftali Feliz - I'd rank him my #1 closer if that's his settled roleAdam Jones - you realize he's 25, right?Joel Hanrahan - elite power arm on a much improved teamKyle Drabek - love the pedigree and the curve; super consistent in the minorsTommy Hanson - makes the jump into the top 10 with enough inningsMatt Thornton - coasts to top 10 closer status, if not top 5; no one believes for some reason (Sale? C'mon..)Jay Bruce - few in baseball have his power skills, and hits in a lineup with VottoJhoulys Chacin - 23 years old and getting his control in orderAroldis Chapman - just get that heater anywhere near the zoneMatt Joyce - plenty of playing time and good power potentialRicky Nolasco - the outcomes have to match the skills eventuallyJed Lowrie - OPS stud in need of an opportunity; destroys lefties, but isn't dreadful against rightiesBuster Posey - unflappable demeanor and no telling how good he can be; I rank him #2 at catcher behind Mauer
nice list. maybe a little too optimistic on lowrie and hanrahan.like your moxie, kid
 
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Matt Thornton - coasts to top 10 closer status, if not top 5; no one believes for some reason (Sale? C'mon..)
Every year there is a stud setup man that lands into a closer role and thrives. Think guys like Heath Bell and JJ Putz. This year that guy is Thornton. I agree top 5.
 
Matt Thornton - coasts to top 10 closer status, if not top 5; no one believes for some reason (Sale? C'mon..)
Every year there is a stud setup man that lands into a closer role and thrives. Think guys like Heath Bell and JJ Putz. This year that guy is Thornton. I agree top 5.
ozzie was extremely loyal to the crap pile that was bobby jenks, so thornton could have some job security too...
 
I don't play fantasy baseball, so I'm not sure how these Nats are viewed. Depending on playing time, there are four guys to look out for: Ian Desmond, Danny Espinosa, Roger Bernadina, and Mike Morse. There should be plenty of ABs for Desmond and Espinosa, but Bernadina and Morse may get lost in an OF rotation. Morse could be used in the OF and 1B. If Nyjer Morgan can play himself out of the starting lineup, then Bernadina becomes the regular CF (and probably the leadoff man). If Morgan stays as the regular CF, that's going to hurt their playing time as those two rotate in LF based on the pitcher.

I think Espinosa could surpass 20 HRs. Morse hit 15 last year in 266 ABs and Bernadina hit 11 in 414 ABs (also stole 16 bases). If either of those guys can get regular ABs, they could do some damage.

 
For the price (OF63), it's worth a shot to see if Tyler Colvin's legit.

He was a 1st round pick, slugged .480 his last season in the minors and essentially put the exact same numbers as Mike Stanton as a rookie.

Plenty of flaws (got lucky with the HR/FB rate, strikes out too much like Stanton, and needs the Cubs to give up on ####udome), but unless last year was a total fluke, he'll be a top 30 OF next year.

 
For the price (OF63), it's worth a shot to see if Tyler Colvin's legit.He was a 1st round pick, slugged .480 his last season in the minors and essentially put the exact same numbers as Mike Stanton as a rookie. Plenty of flaws (got lucky with the HR/FB rate, strikes out too much like Stanton, and needs the Cubs to give up on ####udome), but unless last year was a total fluke, he'll be a top 30 OF next year.
Playing time is a huge issue here. Otherwise you're probably right.
 
Matt Joyce

Seth Smith

Jason Hammel

Frank Francisco

Edwin Encarnacion.....hits 30 bombs this year. Book it, done.

 
My auction strategy hasn't changed much over the years and has served me well.

1. I refuse to punt any position. Ill pay full price for stud MI's and stud SP's, and then dumpster-dive for CI, OF, Backend SP, and Closers where its easier to find low-priced guys that can still contribute.

2. I always try to buy low and sell (trade or keep) high. In other words, I never target a guy at the draft unless I believe his ceiling is higher than the stats he posted the previous season. This eliminates a lot of (but not all of) the top-dollar players, and gives you a better chance at drafting great keepers at low contracts. Some of the guys Im keeping from last years draft include Hamilton, Weeks, Liriano, Price, and Sanchez. These are definitely not the kind of guys I would be targeting at this year's draft, but Im happy to have them as keepers with contracts well below market value. Im usually looking at guys coming off injury or a disappointing season, or late bloomers (prospects who may be taking a little longer than expected to develop).

3. I tend to avoid old guys. Sure, i miss out on a few good ones here and there, but these guys typically dont come at a huge discount and rarely make good keepers because no one believes they can "do it again" anyway.

I haven't done all my research yet, but these are the guys I'm targeting at each position because I expect them to outproduce their projections. Also, important to note that my league uses obp instead of avg which factors heavily into my thinking.

1B - bargain shopping

Morneau - can't really say Im targeting him at this point, but definitely watching. when some people hear his name they think "old and breaking down". the guy is only 29. thats just one year older than Adrian Gonzalez and 2 years younger than Ryan Howard (hell, its only 5 years older than "prospect" Ike Davis). he was injured at the end of '09 (still had a 30/100/85/363 season) and a question mark coming into '10. he only lasted half a season (concussion), but if you projected his stats over a full season he would have had a line of 36/112/106/437! its very concerning that they're still babying him from a concussion received 8 months ago, but if he's healthy, it could be just what you need to get an incredible discount on a proven stud.

Moreland - never had an OPS below .833 at any level. only thing keeping him from being discussed among other top prospects is his lack of pedigree (drafted in the 17th round). slated as the primary 1B in a great lineup and having a nice spring already.

Ka'aihue - great plate discipline and high % of hits for XB. also having a nice spring so far.

2B - ive already got my keepers here and am only looking for 1 low end guy. the fact that both these guys are ranked with the OFs greatly increases their value.

Zobrist - lineup not quite the same w/o crawford, but he's still the #3 hitter. coming off a disappointing season (this is a good thing). potential 20/20 and strong obp makes him a great gamble

Raburn - will finally have a FT job, but how will he handle righties? if he plays a full season, 20+ hrs are a good bet. not bad for an end-game 2B.

will post some thoughts on other positions when i have some more time... gimme your feedback and tell me what other players i should be considering at these positions...

:popcorn:

 
Some guys that I think are undervalued:

Buster Posey - unflappable demeanor and no telling how good he can be; I rank him #2 at catcher behind Mauer
That looks to be what the average fantasy baseball fan also ranks him.
I've yet to see a draft where Posey went second at catcher.
For reference, ADP from NFBC satellite leagues shows Posey as the #3 catcher off the board with an ADP of 38.77. Ahead of him are Joe Mauer (23.62) and Victor Martinez (34.54). Honestly, I think most people see Posey as the 2nd best talent, but the DH role for V-Mart might put him a notch above Posey for 2011 value.
 
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I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
 
I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
His value won't come from a 110 OPS+. His value MAY come from finally getting the chance to play every and putting up that .970 OPS that he did over the last two months of last year (the only months where he had 100+ PA).
 
My auction strategy hasn't changed much over the years and has served me well.

1. I refuse to punt any position. Ill pay full price for stud MI's and stud SP's, and then dumpster-dive for CI, OF, Backend SP, and Closers where its easier to find low-priced guys that can still contribute.

2. I always try to buy low and sell (trade or keep) high. In other words, I never target a guy at the draft unless I believe his ceiling is higher than the stats he posted the previous season. This eliminates a lot of (but not all of) the top-dollar players, and gives you a better chance at drafting great keepers at low contracts. Some of the guys Im keeping from last years draft include Hamilton, Weeks, Liriano, Price, and Sanchez. These are definitely not the kind of guys I would be targeting at this year's draft, but Im happy to have them as keepers with contracts well below market value. Im usually looking at guys coming off injury or a disappointing season, or late bloomers (prospects who may be taking a little longer than expected to develop).

3. I tend to avoid old guys. Sure, i miss out on a few good ones here and there, but these guys typically dont come at a huge discount and rarely make good keepers because no one believes they can "do it again" anyway.

I haven't done all my research yet, but these are the guys I'm targeting at each position because I expect them to outproduce their projections. Also, important to note that my league uses obp instead of avg which factors heavily into my thinking.

1B - bargain shopping

Morneau - can't really say Im targeting him at this point, but definitely watching. when some people hear his name they think "old and breaking down". the guy is only 29. thats just one year older than Adrian Gonzalez and 2 years younger than Ryan Howard (hell, its only 5 years older than "prospect" Ike Davis). he was injured at the end of '09 (still had a 30/100/85/363 season) and a question mark coming into '10. he only lasted half a season (concussion), but if you projected his stats over a full season he would have had a line of 36/112/106/437! its very concerning that they're still babying him from a concussion received 8 months ago, but if he's healthy, it could be just what you need to get an incredible discount on a proven stud.

Moreland - never had an OPS below .833 at any level. only thing keeping him from being discussed among other top prospects is his lack of pedigree (drafted in the 17th round). slated as the primary 1B in a great lineup and having a nice spring already.

Ka'aihue - great plate discipline and high % of hits for XB. also having a nice spring so far.

2B - ive already got my keepers here and am only looking for 1 low end guy. the fact that both these guys are ranked with the OFs greatly increases their value.

Zobrist - lineup not quite the same w/o crawford, but he's still the #3 hitter. coming off a disappointing season (this is a good thing). potential 20/20 and strong obp makes him a great gamble

Raburn - will finally have a FT job, but how will he handle righties? if he plays a full season, 20+ hrs are a good bet. not bad for an end-game 2B.

will post some thoughts on other positions when i have some more time... gimme your feedback and tell me what other players i should be considering at these positions...

:popcorn:
Wow, I was going to call you crazy on Morneau, but you may have flipped me :thumbup:

NOW what to do!

 
I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
His value won't come from a 110 OPS+. His value MAY come from finally getting the chance to play every and putting up that .970 OPS that he did over the last two months of last year (the only months where he had 100+ PA).
Overemphasizing September splits from a 30 year old utilityman isn't the shark move
 
I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
His value won't come from a 110 OPS+. His value MAY come from finally getting the chance to play every and putting up that .970 OPS that he did over the last two months of last year (the only months where he had 100+ PA).
Overemphasizing September splits from a 30 year old utilityman isn't the shark move
That's why I emphasized the MAY. I'm not trying to sell him, though I am high on him from a Tigers fan perspective, but I am pointing out that any value won't come from what he is, but from what people hope he just might be.
 
I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
CBS has him eligible at OF only to start the year. Not sure I'd peg him as a starting OF in a 12 or 14 teamer starting 3 OF's at this point.
 
I think the hype on Raburn is getting extreme. No longer a value, IMO.
His value is heavily dependent on position eligibility and doesn't have a ton of upside at age 30. If he spends all year in the OF, he's no great shakes in fantasy. But a utilityman with a career OPS+ of 110 has value in real-life. He's obviously worked hard to get where he's got and it'll be nice to see him get rewarded with a contact (hopefully not from the Giants).
CBS has him eligible at OF only to start the year. Not sure I'd peg him as a starting OF in a 12 or 14 teamer starting 3 OF's at this point.
Depends on your league. I don't think he's draftable as an OF in mixed leagues. But if he gets 2B eligibility and is still getting starter PAs, he may be worth a flyer. Either way, I don't think he meets the definition of a breakout.
 
My auction strategy hasn't changed much over the years and has served me well.

1. I refuse to punt any position. Ill pay full price for stud MI's and stud SP's, and then dumpster-dive for CI, OF, Backend SP, and Closers where its easier to find low-priced guys that can still contribute.

2. I always try to buy low and sell (trade or keep) high. In other words, I never target a guy at the draft unless I believe his ceiling is higher than the stats he posted the previous season. This eliminates a lot of (but not all of) the top-dollar players, and gives you a better chance at drafting great keepers at low contracts. Some of the guys Im keeping from last years draft include Hamilton, Weeks, Liriano, Price, and Sanchez. These are definitely not the kind of guys I would be targeting at this year's draft, but Im happy to have them as keepers with contracts well below market value. Im usually looking at guys coming off injury or a disappointing season, or late bloomers (prospects who may be taking a little longer than expected to develop).

3. I tend to avoid old guys. Sure, i miss out on a few good ones here and there, but these guys typically dont come at a huge discount and rarely make good keepers because no one believes they can "do it again" anyway.

I haven't done all my research yet, but these are the guys I'm targeting at each position because I expect them to outproduce their projections. Also, important to note that my league uses obp instead of avg which factors heavily into my thinking.

1B - bargain shopping

Morneau - can't really say Im targeting him at this point, but definitely watching. when some people hear his name they think "old and breaking down". the guy is only 29. thats just one year older than Adrian Gonzalez and 2 years younger than Ryan Howard (hell, its only 5 years older than "prospect" Ike Davis). he was injured at the end of '09 (still had a 30/100/85/363 season) and a question mark coming into '10. he only lasted half a season (concussion), but if you projected his stats over a full season he would have had a line of 36/112/106/437! its very concerning that they're still babying him from a concussion received 8 months ago, but if he's healthy, it could be just what you need to get an incredible discount on a proven stud.

Moreland - never had an OPS below .833 at any level. only thing keeping him from being discussed among other top prospects is his lack of pedigree (drafted in the 17th round). slated as the primary 1B in a great lineup and having a nice spring already.

Ka'aihue - great plate discipline and high % of hits for XB. also having a nice spring so far.

2B - ive already got my keepers here and am only looking for 1 low end guy. the fact that both these guys are ranked with the OFs greatly increases their value.

Zobrist - lineup not quite the same w/o crawford, but he's still the #3 hitter. coming off a disappointing season (this is a good thing). potential 20/20 and strong obp makes him a great gamble

Raburn - will finally have a FT job, but how will he handle righties? if he plays a full season, 20+ hrs are a good bet. not bad for an end-game 2B.

will post some thoughts on other positions when i have some more time... gimme your feedback and tell me what other players i should be considering at these positions...

:popcorn:
Guess I should have also mentioned that my targets only include players available at my draft so Im working with a pretty limited field. As much as I love guys like Heyward, Snider, Brett Anderson, etc to breakout, they're unavailable to me, so I wont be including him in my target list.SS - 1 HanRam please.

Ramirez - Despite the fact that they're practically the same age, Tulo has become the sexy pick. HanRam had a down year after an early season benching had him feuding with his manager, and then he won the dreaded HR contest (and didnt hit another until Aug 1st). Early reports are good out of ST and at age 27, Im looking for a huge rebound. On the flipside, Tulo had the most ridiculous month in baseball history with his 15 HR's in September. He's good, but no way he does that again. I have HanRam down for the same R/RBI/HR as Tulo, and HanRam with the higher OBP and at least 20 extra SBs. Thats worth a lot of $$$, yet I expect them to go pretty close in price. One of the best hitters in baseball at such a premium position makes him easily the most valuable player in fantasy baseball to me.

3B

Ian Stewart - an extreme flyball hitter with huge power turning 25 this year and finally getting a full season of ABs, I like Stewart to top 30 and maybe even approach 40 HRs. With the guys hitting ahead of him, im expecting more RBIs than projected as well. Potential top 5 material, IMO.

OF

Shin-Soo Choo - one of the best hitters in baseball you rarely hear about thanks to ineptitude of the Indians. a thumb injury cost him nearly a month or he would have easily been 25/25/400obp... yes please.

Angel Pagen - purely speculation, but I think this guy goes ignored at my draft despite his 11/69/89/37/340obp statline last year. Yahoo drafts show Beltran and Bay both going ahead of him. Should get more ABs this year, so while I dont expect a repeat, I dont expect a huge dropoff either. 10/30 at a cheap price?

Coco Crisp - a poor man's Carl Crawford. think Im kidding? He only played half a season last year, but double his numbers and you get 16/76/102/64/340obp. look it up.

Alex Gordon - if I find myself at the end of the draft with a dollar in my pocket, I will undoubtedly take a flier once again. such a premier prospect who consistently pummels minor league pitching just cant be this bad. its rumored that other teams are asking about him, so a return to 3B isnt out of the question (Philly anyone?).

Pete Bourjos - more a guy Im watching at this point. if he could somehow make his way to the leadoff spot in that Angels lineup, he would be running a lot. looks like he has power too. obp skills look to be severely lacking though which obviously isnt a good sign for a leadoff hitter.

 
3B

Ian Stewart - an extreme flyball hitter with huge power turning 25 this year and finally getting a full season of ABs, I like Stewart to top 30 and maybe even approach 40 HRs. With the guys hitting ahead of him, im expecting more RBIs than projected as well. Potential top 5 material, IMO.
He's a .240 hitter that strikes out over 30% of his PAs. He's already gotten nearly 1300 PAs in the majors. Even if he tops 30 HRs, he's a liability in average, and no great shakes in SB, runs or RBI, especially when he'll hit no higher than 6th.
 
I could see Edwin Jackson being an outstanding value and being a bit of a breakout. People don't really care about him, I guess, because he already had a breakout of sorts, then slid back.

He's going in the 23rd round, SP69(ESPN).

He's still got the great stuff. His K/9 and K/BB have increased each of the past 3 seasons. He started getting more ground balls last season. He's back in the AL Central, where he's been outstanding. He's still just 27 and still learning.

Great value for a guy with a great chance to be a top 30 SP.

 
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3B

Ian Stewart - an extreme flyball hitter with huge power turning 25 this year and finally getting a full season of ABs, I like Stewart to top 30 and maybe even approach 40 HRs. With the guys hitting ahead of him, im expecting more RBIs than projected as well. Potential top 5 material, IMO.
He's a .240 hitter that strikes out over 30% of his PAs. He's already gotten nearly 1300 PAs in the majors. Even if he tops 30 HRs, he's a liability in average, and no great shakes in SB, runs or RBI, especially when he'll hit no higher than 6th.
Yeah, I don't see a ton of value with I-Stew. He's being drafted right around the guy who he might someday be (Reynolds). He's Reynolds without the track record.
 
'pollardsvision said:
'RnR said:
'pollardsvision said:
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
 
'pollardsvision said:
'RnR said:
'pollardsvision said:
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
Love all the comparisons to Reynolds! I see Alvarez as a better comparison though (fewer HR's, better OBP). According to Yahoo Reynolds is going for $11.2, Alvarez is going for $11.8 and Stewart is going for $1.9. That's exactly the type of risk/reward Im looking for.
 
uh-oh... red flag (or perhaps even better value for the gambling types).

Rockies manager Jim Tracy hinted Thursday that Ian Stewart (knee) may open the year on the disabled list.Stewart has been sidelined since late February with an MCL sprain. "He's only played three innings and it's the 11th of March, so am I a little concerned?" Tracy said. "I'll tell you this: I do not want to feel compelled to think we have taken anybody and tried to rush him to the finish line to try to throw him out there. You're asking for trouble." If Stewart is not ready, Ty Wigginton will probably patrol third base for Colorado on Opening Day.
 
'pollardsvision said:
'RnR said:
'pollardsvision said:
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
I agree with you. I was just making a poor attempt at sarcasm. I was originally saying that Stewart isn't a great value if he's going around the same spot as Reynolds.Because of that, I was assuming that RnR was saying that Stewart is better than Reynolds. I could've been wrong on that.Anyway, I like Stewart well enough, but if the price is close, I'd much rather have Reynolds.
 
'pollardsvision said:
'RnR said:
'pollardsvision said:
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
Love all the comparisons to Reynolds! I see Alvarez as a better comparison though (fewer HR's, better OBP). According to Yahoo Reynolds is going for $11.2, Alvarez is going for $11.8 and Stewart is going for $1.9. That's exactly the type of risk/reward Im looking for.
It's crazy how much different the values at ESPN are. Apparently, ESPN drafters absolutely hate Reynolds.On ESPN, Reynolds is only going 5 picks before Stewart and their price is virtually identical ($4.6 and $4).

I guess that's because the ESPN experts have them ranked almost identical. Both $7, Stewart 3B13, Reynolds 3B14.

 
'pollardsvision said:
'RnR said:
'pollardsvision said:
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
Love all the comparisons to Reynolds! I see Alvarez as a better comparison though (fewer HR's, better OBP). According to Yahoo Reynolds is going for $11.2, Alvarez is going for $11.8 and Stewart is going for $1.9. That's exactly the type of risk/reward Im looking for.
It's crazy how much different the values at ESPN are. Apparently, ESPN drafters absolutely hate Reynolds.On ESPN, Reynolds is only going 5 picks before Stewart and their price is virtually identical ($4.6 and $4).

I guess that's because the ESPN experts have them ranked almost identical. Both $7, Stewart 3B13, Reynolds 3B14.
The consensus over at rotojunkie (or whatever it is now) is that the Yahoo rankings/values were much closer to reality. :shrug:
 
Possible Mets breakouts:

Ike Davis will continue to improve.

Lucas Duda if Beltran misses significant time again.

Brad Emaus if Castillo/Murphy can't hold onto the job at 2B

Dillon Gee if Young/Capuano can't stay healthy.

 
He's Reynolds without the track record.
No.
I wouldn't sell Stewart short. He's taking a bit longer to display it, but he could develop Reynolds-type power one day.
Stewart is entering his age 26 year in 2011, Reynolds his age 27 year. Aside from one year in the launching pad of Colorado Springs, all of Stewart's minor and major league ISOs have been lower than Reynolds major league average.Stewart could be a savvy late rounder in NL only leagues but chances are slim to none that he'll ever deliver the HRs like Reynolds. Reynolds in spite of his obvious SOs and defensive shortcomings, is a guy with over 100 HRs over the past three years.
Love all the comparisons to Reynolds! I see Alvarez as a better comparison though (fewer HR's, better OBP). According to Yahoo Reynolds is going for $11.2, Alvarez is going for $11.8 and Stewart is going for $1.9. That's exactly the type of risk/reward Im looking for.
It's crazy how much different the values at ESPN are. Apparently, ESPN drafters absolutely hate Reynolds.On ESPN, Reynolds is only going 5 picks before Stewart and their price is virtually identical ($4.6 and $4).

I guess that's because the ESPN experts have them ranked almost identical. Both $7, Stewart 3B13, Reynolds 3B14.
The consensus over at rotojunkie (or whatever it is now) is that the Yahoo rankings/values were much closer to reality. :shrug:
RotoJunkieFix/RJ Bullpen :)

Yahoo is closer -- ESPN does a great job with their pitching projections but the hitting ones are a bit scattered this season, IMO

 
Some guys that I think are undervalued:Dexter Fowler - needs to be more efficient stealing bases, but could be amazing this year hitting leadoffPrince Fielder - back over 40 HR and 115 RBIAdam Dunn - 45 HR looking inevitable at U.S. CellularNeftali Feliz - I'd rank him my #1 closer if that's his settled roleAdam Jones - you realize he's 25, right?Joel Hanrahan - elite power arm on a much improved teamKyle Drabek - love the pedigree and the curve; super consistent in the minorsTommy Hanson - makes the jump into the top 10 with enough inningsMatt Thornton - coasts to top 10 closer status, if not top 5; no one believes for some reason (Sale? C'mon..)Jay Bruce - few in baseball have his power skills, and hits in a lineup with VottoJhoulys Chacin - 23 years old and getting his control in orderAroldis Chapman - just get that heater anywhere near the zoneMatt Joyce - plenty of playing time and good power potentialRicky Nolasco - the outcomes have to match the skills eventuallyJed Lowrie - OPS stud in need of an opportunity; destroys lefties, but isn't dreadful against rightiesBuster Posey - unflappable demeanor and no telling how good he can be; I rank him #2 at catcher behind Mauer
Good list. Love Adam Jones since he's been forgotten already by most.Victorino is undervalued imo. With Utley's issues Victorino is virtually assured of batting in the top 3.So many late pitchers could get into the top 20 or higher. Volquez, Gio Gonzalez, D Hudson, Stauffer, Chacin, Kennedy. And there's the consistent old underrateds who find their way onto my team every year....Lilly and Kuroda.WW gems....any SD starter when pitching at Petco.
 
Ka'aihue - great plate discipline and high % of hits for XB. also having a nice spring so far.
Kila Ka'aihue stayed hot on Sunday, going 2-for-3 against the Brewers.

He's now hitting .370 through his first 27 at-bats this spring, collecting three home runs and eight RBI in the process. His hot spring probably doesn't mean much, but should at least guarantee the Royals will give him a steady diet of at-bats in April.
 

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