FreeBaGeL
Footballguy
Every year there are guys that come off the waiver wire and play huge roles in leading teams to FF glory. Likewise, every year we see guys being drafted in the top 5 rounds who were waiver wire pickups the year before. We also see plenty of flashes in the pan that tease us for a week or two, make us burn our waiver priority, and then fade away.
Since most of the WW gems typically stem from the first few weeks of the season, I'm a big believer in getting in on the battle for these guys right off the bat. Some folks prefer to save their waiver priority or bidding dollars and end up with nothing to spend it on by week 4.
The next few weeks of WW pickups could decide your season. Time to separate the pretenders from the next big thing. My $0.02 below...
Spend it
Andrew Hawkins
The NFL's version of American Idol's Justin Thatguywiththebighairthatfinished2ndbutstillgotfamous, Hawkins actually finished as the runner up to an NFL reality show that granted the winner with a roster spot on the Dallas Cowboys. Now, he's playing the slot for the Bengals and he looks like the real deal. Quick and seemingly always open in week 1, he's got natural hands and doesn't fight the ball, and is exciting after the catch. Hawkins was actually 4th on the depth chart headed into the game, but received the 2nd most targets behind AJ Green and put up a super sexy 88.8% catch rate. Dalton is no uber stud, but he's good enough to support multiple fantasy wide receivers and Hawkins looks to have the beeline on the 2nd one. His upside is somewhat limited by his role, but I think he'll do more with that role than several other guys on this list.
Kevin Ogletree
Along with Hawkins, Ogletree was the other WW wide receiver that actually looked good out on the field in addition to hauling in some solid fantasy points. Yes, 19th string corner backs make you look better, but I was still impressed by what I saw. His upside is somewhat limited to around what Laurent Robinson put up last year, due to all the other options in Dallas, but when was the last time all those other options in Dallas actually stayed healthy together for more than 36 minutes in a row?
Stephen Hill
Despite an inept preseason, as last year and week 1 of this year showed us, there are still points to go around in New York. Ladainian Tomlinson is gone and he leaves 450 receiving yards to be divied up elsewhere. Plaxico Burress is gone and he drops 600 yards and 8 TDs behind. Dustin Keller is nursing one of those nagging hamstring injuries that seem to hang around all year, which could leave a lot more yards up for grabs. I've never been a huge buyer into Santonio Holmes and I don't think he's the kind of guy that's going to just mop up all that extra work himself. Hill may not be the type of guy to rack up a bunch of catches with precise route running, but in non-ppr leagues he's worth a look.
Alred Morris
"Avoid the Washington running back headache." A lot of people are oversharking themselves with the idea that the Washington running back carousel is a situation that should just be avoided. When we're talking about the cost of waiver wire pickups, it's worth getting involved. Morris will already be gone in a lot of leagues but in leagues where he's not, he's absolutely worth burning that waiver priority or blind bid dollars on. Shanahan has been nuts with his running backs lately, but his running backs have also had a lot of injuries lately. If one can stay healthy and perform admirably, there's every chance that he can hold onto the job. Do I expect we won't see big games out of Royster and/or Helu this year? No. But the possibility is there, and the production is worth taking the chance. While you're at it, if you miss out on Morris don't hesitate to grab Royster or Helu if someone gets frustrated and gives up. Running backs are too valuable this year to just ignore top production out of the position because you don't want to deal with the "headache".
Save it
Cecil Shorts
Blaine Gabbert may have looked a little better this week, but he still sucks. Shorts isn't the lead option on this team and Jacksonville doesn't have the firepower to support multiple fantasy options. Shorts led the Jags in targets this week, but I'm not expecting many more weeks where that's the case.
Dexter McCluster
I tentatively put McCluster down here because I'm a bonified PPR hater, and hence don't play in PPR leagues. In those leagues, however, he may have some value as a guy who's going to get some targets underneath. He's moved to more of a pure slot receiver role this year which could make him more than a gadget player for FF purposes. I don't see KC being in many games where they have to play from this far behind very much (their defense is typically pretty solid when they're not missing all these guys), but the encouraging thing is that only two of McCluster's catches came when the game was out of hand.
Jeremy Kerley
Ok, so the Jets have an offense, but not THAT much of an offense. They don't have enough to support three wide receivers and I see Kerley as the odd man out. It's a shame, because I love guys like him who have very little physical advantage but are just good football players.
Sneaky Grabs
Mike Goodson
Michael Bush played a key role in many team's stretch runs last year. With McFadden averaging 542 touches per game and likely taking over long-snapper duties in Oakland, it seems only a matter of time before he gets dinged up again. The question this year, with Bush gone, was whether his replacement would be Goodson or Taiwan Jones. Something quiet but telling happened in last night's game. While Taiwan Jones came in for a few gadget plays, when McFadden got gassed and needed a breather it was Goodson who came in and ran with Oakland's normal offense. While I doubt he'd get a Bush-like workload if McFadden goes down again, I believe he'll be the main beneficiary. The really nice part? You can probably wait until waivers end and pick him up without spending any waiver priority (or blind bid the minimum amount) and have him ready, if you have the space.
Since most of the WW gems typically stem from the first few weeks of the season, I'm a big believer in getting in on the battle for these guys right off the bat. Some folks prefer to save their waiver priority or bidding dollars and end up with nothing to spend it on by week 4.
The next few weeks of WW pickups could decide your season. Time to separate the pretenders from the next big thing. My $0.02 below...
Spend it
Andrew Hawkins
The NFL's version of American Idol's Justin Thatguywiththebighairthatfinished2ndbutstillgotfamous, Hawkins actually finished as the runner up to an NFL reality show that granted the winner with a roster spot on the Dallas Cowboys. Now, he's playing the slot for the Bengals and he looks like the real deal. Quick and seemingly always open in week 1, he's got natural hands and doesn't fight the ball, and is exciting after the catch. Hawkins was actually 4th on the depth chart headed into the game, but received the 2nd most targets behind AJ Green and put up a super sexy 88.8% catch rate. Dalton is no uber stud, but he's good enough to support multiple fantasy wide receivers and Hawkins looks to have the beeline on the 2nd one. His upside is somewhat limited by his role, but I think he'll do more with that role than several other guys on this list.
Kevin Ogletree
Along with Hawkins, Ogletree was the other WW wide receiver that actually looked good out on the field in addition to hauling in some solid fantasy points. Yes, 19th string corner backs make you look better, but I was still impressed by what I saw. His upside is somewhat limited to around what Laurent Robinson put up last year, due to all the other options in Dallas, but when was the last time all those other options in Dallas actually stayed healthy together for more than 36 minutes in a row?
Stephen Hill
Despite an inept preseason, as last year and week 1 of this year showed us, there are still points to go around in New York. Ladainian Tomlinson is gone and he leaves 450 receiving yards to be divied up elsewhere. Plaxico Burress is gone and he drops 600 yards and 8 TDs behind. Dustin Keller is nursing one of those nagging hamstring injuries that seem to hang around all year, which could leave a lot more yards up for grabs. I've never been a huge buyer into Santonio Holmes and I don't think he's the kind of guy that's going to just mop up all that extra work himself. Hill may not be the type of guy to rack up a bunch of catches with precise route running, but in non-ppr leagues he's worth a look.
Alred Morris
"Avoid the Washington running back headache." A lot of people are oversharking themselves with the idea that the Washington running back carousel is a situation that should just be avoided. When we're talking about the cost of waiver wire pickups, it's worth getting involved. Morris will already be gone in a lot of leagues but in leagues where he's not, he's absolutely worth burning that waiver priority or blind bid dollars on. Shanahan has been nuts with his running backs lately, but his running backs have also had a lot of injuries lately. If one can stay healthy and perform admirably, there's every chance that he can hold onto the job. Do I expect we won't see big games out of Royster and/or Helu this year? No. But the possibility is there, and the production is worth taking the chance. While you're at it, if you miss out on Morris don't hesitate to grab Royster or Helu if someone gets frustrated and gives up. Running backs are too valuable this year to just ignore top production out of the position because you don't want to deal with the "headache".
Save it
Cecil Shorts
Blaine Gabbert may have looked a little better this week, but he still sucks. Shorts isn't the lead option on this team and Jacksonville doesn't have the firepower to support multiple fantasy options. Shorts led the Jags in targets this week, but I'm not expecting many more weeks where that's the case.
Dexter McCluster
I tentatively put McCluster down here because I'm a bonified PPR hater, and hence don't play in PPR leagues. In those leagues, however, he may have some value as a guy who's going to get some targets underneath. He's moved to more of a pure slot receiver role this year which could make him more than a gadget player for FF purposes. I don't see KC being in many games where they have to play from this far behind very much (their defense is typically pretty solid when they're not missing all these guys), but the encouraging thing is that only two of McCluster's catches came when the game was out of hand.
Jeremy Kerley
Ok, so the Jets have an offense, but not THAT much of an offense. They don't have enough to support three wide receivers and I see Kerley as the odd man out. It's a shame, because I love guys like him who have very little physical advantage but are just good football players.
Sneaky Grabs
Mike Goodson
Michael Bush played a key role in many team's stretch runs last year. With McFadden averaging 542 touches per game and likely taking over long-snapper duties in Oakland, it seems only a matter of time before he gets dinged up again. The question this year, with Bush gone, was whether his replacement would be Goodson or Taiwan Jones. Something quiet but telling happened in last night's game. While Taiwan Jones came in for a few gadget plays, when McFadden got gassed and needed a breather it was Goodson who came in and ran with Oakland's normal offense. While I doubt he'd get a Bush-like workload if McFadden goes down again, I believe he'll be the main beneficiary. The really nice part? You can probably wait until waivers end and pick him up without spending any waiver priority (or blind bid the minimum amount) and have him ready, if you have the space.
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