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Their numbers from last year were based on 16 games at full strength. Those guys are getting drafted in the second/third because people feel like they will be hard pressed to stay healthy, and even if they do, that they will be hard pressed to repeat last year's numbers.
Agreed.
I thought you meant my RB1 and RB2 were average, which I couldn't see. But if you want to give heavy weight to my considerably below average RB3 and RB4, then I can see your point.
The FP/G numbers aren't based on 16 games. Neither of them are being drafted in the third. I don't know anyone who thinks Curtis Martin will be hard pressed to stay healthy, and Westbrook has missed between 0-2 games due to injury the past two seasons.I know we normally see eye to eye BF, but I'm not sure where you're coming from. Westbrook seems like an obvious stud in PPR leagues, and Martin has been top ten in five of seven years with the Jets. The two exceptions being his 261 carry season (which no one would reasonably project for this year following his 400+ touch season last year) and the year the Jets went 6-10, which even the strongest Jets-haters don't predict for this year.
from our Staff Value article:why?
History is working against him at this point. His body has to wear down eventually, and I think last year's heavy workload will take a toll. Expecting similar numbers from him this year is just asking for trouble. Last year's numbers by Martin, Bettis and company were a fluke, IMO.
Curtis is going 20th, and Westbrook 22nd, on average. I've seen both go in the third, but mostly in the second. Martin's 32 years old. While he doesn't miss games due to injury, his penchant for playing through injury is both a pro and a con, as evidenced by his 2002 season, when he didn't break 100 yards until his fifth game due to an ankle injury. Without Jordan to take the hard carries, he could take a pounding this year. He's coming off a career high in carries, yards per rush, and yards, which would be difficult to repeat. He had 38 more regular season carries last year than he had in any season in this millennium.
Team Rudnicki Carr, David HOU QB 3 9.05
Team Smith...Culpepper, Daunte MIN QB 5 3.06
I don't disagree with your pick with Fred Taylor at 4.11, he was great value there. However, after that pick there was nothing I really liked at the RB spot.As you pointed out, I had 2 of my Rb's (Lt2 and R Johnson) with bye week 10's, so I had to make a stand and take a shot at a guy I think could/may make a difference and be a starter.I had a choice of LJ or Fragile Freddie at 4.11. In a regular league, I would have taken Johnson there, but not wanting to create a bye week nightmare, I took the guy with a great chance at a 1,500 yard total season if he plays (which he should).I didn't think Cowboy would have taken Johnson between my picks, as the sole purpose would be to disrupt my team. I don't really think LJ would have helped Cowboy's team all that much at that spot, as he had his two stud RB with the same bye week (Week 10). If Cowboy gets that far, he better hope Rickey and LJ are playing a lot by then.What happened to your LJ handcuff?
If you remove Taylor and give me Johnson at that pick, I'm not sure my team would be that much better.
Well, if you should happen to win it................................IWBC should get invited back next year just for pancaking Yudkin.
The problem I forsee with this is that you have two guys with half a loaf. Heiden had one huge game and two ok ones--the rest were marginal at best. Shea had TD in a few games and a couple of above average games. Most of the time, they will vulture from each other, so you would need one of them to have a great game and the other to do next to nothing to get a high score and have one of them count in the scoring.It's had to get excited about two guys that basically each had 25 receptions playing on the same team. Who knows, maybe one will sit and the other will prosper.
Thanks for the write up Tick. I agree with you. The WR group is a bit suspect but I think there are a couple of guys that will surprise, namely Rogers, as I have him top 15. I found myself scrambling at the RB spot after taking Manning in the 2nd. But all in all I think if health prevails this team could surprise.
Because either one really isn't a starter or a backup. It's kind of a 2 for 1 deal. I know if a TD is thrown in Cleveland to a TE, I'll get it. If one gets hurt, I'll still have a starter. I'll see how it works out........it was the 20 and 22nd round pick. I bet you those picks outscore Pollard, that's the sad part.
Exactly..........who's backup TE is going to score 9 Td's?? Yep, it took me 2 picks........but they were also 20 and 22nd. I don't know, we'll see. Dilfer just looks like the kind of guy who likes his Te's too.If I remember correct, he loved throwing to Shannon Sharpe that year they won the Super Bowl. I wouldn't be surprised if the TE was one of his favorite options again this year too. Shea and Heiden baby, you got to love it.
I think it's a solid play if you wait until the 20th round to do it, but I think you can get similar production using one less roster spot.I did it with Troupe/Kinney so I understand the logic, but I was guarding against Troupe's injury to an extent and I believe the Titans are going to use their TEs a bit more.
Here you go:Bulger, Marc STL QB 9 5.08
I always love a good flogging . . .Collins, Kerry OAK QB - 5 6.11 Vick, Michael ATL QB - 8 7.02 Warner, Kurt ARI QB - 6 10.11 Anderson, Mike DEN RB - 9 9.02 Holmes, Priest KCC RB - 5 1.02 Moats, Ryan PHI RB - 6 21.02 Moore, Mewelde MIN RB - 5 8.11 Pearman, Alvin JAC RB - 7 22.11 Taylor, Fred JAC RB - 7 4.11 Boston, David MIA WR - 4 16.11 Clayton, Mark BAL WR - 3 15.02 Edwards, Braylon CLE WR - 4 14.11 Glenn, Terry DAL WR - 9 12.11 Harrison, Marvin IND WR - 8 2.11 Owens, Terrell PHI WR - 6 3.02 Williams, Roy DET WR - 3 5.02 Watson, Ben NEP TE - 7 18.11 Wiggins, Jermaine MIN TE - 5 11.02 Brown, Josh SEA PK - 8 17.02 Scobee, Josh JAC PK - 7 20.11 Bengals, Cincinnati CIN Def - 10 19.02 Patriots, New England NEP Def - 7 13.02
I'll trade you teams straight up. I'm not going to break this one down as you're loaded everywhere. You should probably submit this to Dodds for his perfect draft article. Hopefully immunity can't be won in back to back weeks otherwise no one else in the league will sniff it. In addition to a lot of astute drafting, you were the beneficery of some major gifts. Cowboy should have snagged Owens at the turn. I would have taken him before you but I'm already Owens heavy in several leagues and can't risk a mental breaksown killing my entire fantasy year...plus based on the previous staff draft I thought he might slide back to me. Someone should have grabbed Taylor a bit earlier based on some of the running attacks I see in this league. Really the messageboard's best hope at stopping you is a collection of injuries during the year. Hopefully 2 of the Priest/Anderson/Taylor combo go down and Bennett retains the RB position in Minny. No LJ is your only achilles heel. Even then your WRs could carry your team.
Q&A is all we were responsible for this year.
League 1 > League 2 
