Morton Muffley
Footballguy
Every year I spend countless hours studying fantasy stats/situations, scouring the waiver wire, evaluating the strengths/weaknesses of my opponents rosters. I develop a very good understanding of who is performing and who isn't; who I want to trade for and who I wouldn't touch with a ten foot pole. I make many WW pick-ups, I inquire about countless trade opportunities, I even manage to execute a few trades every year. And then once the trade deadline has passed...or I've been ousted from the playoffs, I only pay attention to the SB-contending teams. I lose track of what's going on in the rest of the NFL for the last 4 weeks of the season.
Fast-forward 8 months and I begin my draft prep by examining last year's stats for all players and INVARIABLY I am stopped cold by at least one player....I read his year-end stat line and say:
"That can't be right....there's NO way he ended the year as top 15 WR, he SUCKED last year!"
In an effort to prove that I am correct about this player's suckage (and that I am not crazy), I grab the week-by-week stats only to find this player absolutely WENT OFF over the last 4-5 weeks of the prior NFL season (i.e. exactly when I had made my mind up about this guy and I was no longer paying attention).
This year, THAT player will be Steve Smith (Car) and here's why:
Newton has been coming on after a poor start, Smith has one of the lowest TD ratio of any top 30 WR (so there's plenty of upside), Smith has just posted two 100+ yard games over the last two weeks, and his last 3 games are against SD, Oak, and NO.
Nothing for you to do, just wanted to let you know that you won't be surprised next year, BECAUSE YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST!
As always, just my opinion*
*All predictions guranteed to be wrong.
Fast-forward 8 months and I begin my draft prep by examining last year's stats for all players and INVARIABLY I am stopped cold by at least one player....I read his year-end stat line and say:
"That can't be right....there's NO way he ended the year as top 15 WR, he SUCKED last year!"
In an effort to prove that I am correct about this player's suckage (and that I am not crazy), I grab the week-by-week stats only to find this player absolutely WENT OFF over the last 4-5 weeks of the prior NFL season (i.e. exactly when I had made my mind up about this guy and I was no longer paying attention).
This year, THAT player will be Steve Smith (Car) and here's why:
Newton has been coming on after a poor start, Smith has one of the lowest TD ratio of any top 30 WR (so there's plenty of upside), Smith has just posted two 100+ yard games over the last two weeks, and his last 3 games are against SD, Oak, and NO.
Nothing for you to do, just wanted to let you know that you won't be surprised next year, BECAUSE YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST!
As always, just my opinion*
*All predictions guranteed to be wrong.
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Me too, in three leagues somehow...
