I don't know how Clayton projects . looking at the numbers, I would guess . Use ff points allowed with tweaks, see above replies.
Projections can include many variables.
My goals of SOS- is to guess-
1) Which low ADP Players will make a good . QBBC/WrBC, RBBC. DefBC (opp ).
2) Help? choose between two closely projected players
3) Try to see 3 or 4 game stretch when a player will face "good" opp... Yes. the playoff run of week 13 up
Things I include when making my "rank" ( I use a ranking system, rather than importing last years ff points allowed)
I rank 0-10, 0 being the bye,,haha,,,,also no team ranks a 10 thou.
The whole team is considered. off , def. coach. players.
The home Field is used
The weather is used, indoor teams.
A lot of tweaks, or gut used , Looking at how the schedule plays.
Using last years stats,, I don't try to . But yea, like all projections the 07 stats do creep in.
If you look at-
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff.php
The def ranks last year % has Tenn as the toughest def, but you will also notice the % difference last year was not so great.
Meaning to me. The SOS means even less ,,,and the value of SOS is not very high to start with.
But who cares. I want to use it anyway.
Current rank SOS
NFL PASS NFL RUSH
MIN 100 NE 91
TB 100 SD 91
SD 99 BUF 86
NE 98 BAL 85
TEN 98 NYJ 85
BUF 97 DEN 84
CAR 97 SF 84
NYJ 97 KC 83
CHI 96 TB 82
NO 96 SEA 81
DET 95 STL 81
GB 95 ARZ 80
JAX 95 NO 80
DEN 94 WAS 80
OAK 94 CAR 79
SEA 94 MIA 79
SF 94 OAK 79
STL 94 PHI 79
ATL 93 MIN 78
HOU 93 ATL 77
MIA 93 TEN 77
ARZ 92 GB 75
KC 92 JAX 75
PHI 91 CHI 74
BAL 90 HOU 74
WAS 89 NYG 74
IND 87 DAL 73
PIT 86 CIN 72
DAL 85 CLE 72
NYG 85 PIT 69
CLE 84 DET 67
CIN 83 IND 66
I do like Minn qb/wr possibilities but not because of the rank.
I do look at odd ball stuff.
I like minn passing game for the weather conditions... haha
week
1- early @GB
2- indoors
3-indoors
4- no good matchup
5- indoors
6- indoors
7- not good
8-bye
9-indoors
10-indoors
11-Florida
12-Florida
13-indoors
14-indoors
15-indoors, @ARZ,
16-indoors
17-indoors
It has to be easier to pass with AD and the Oline, And.... when the weather is almost perfect.. doesn't it?
As to the question. adding a "better" QB most likely increases the Jets points base. against the baseline NFL def. thus increasing the points scored against the schedule.
