GoBears84
Footballguy
Ultimate Strength of Schedule has been posted. I'm trying to figure out if there is anything there that can be truly be utilized - especially for Defense. In season, I find it insightful for week-to-week matchups, but I'm generally not going to base my draft on SOS. While I usually stream during the season, I like to see if I can hit on my draft before I resort to it.
For example, Atlanta, Houston and TB had some of the highest SoS numbers last year, and all finished in the back half of the league. Thoug, it should be noted, Chicago had the worst SoS and finished DFL.
I took the top 25% of SOS and noticed that though some of the SOS values were high, there were some differences in the number of Good Weeks vs. Bad weeks. If you only have 4 or 5 good weeks out of 18, does SoS matter? And if you have a number of Bad weeks, will that offset the Good weeks?
I added in my Rankings. While New Orleans and SF are both ranked high, NO has 6/4 and SF has 4/3 Good weeks/Bad weeks. Cleveland, in comparison is Top 10 rated and has 7 good weeks vs. 4 Bad weeks.
I'm wondering if anyone has any other approaches or thoughts on mine. Cleveland was a rising DEF last year and should be better this year and this is one argument for considering them a late pick once DEF's start going off the board.
For example, Atlanta, Houston and TB had some of the highest SoS numbers last year, and all finished in the back half of the league. Thoug, it should be noted, Chicago had the worst SoS and finished DFL.
I took the top 25% of SOS and noticed that though some of the SOS values were high, there were some differences in the number of Good Weeks vs. Bad weeks. If you only have 4 or 5 good weeks out of 18, does SoS matter? And if you have a number of Bad weeks, will that offset the Good weeks?
I added in my Rankings. While New Orleans and SF are both ranked high, NO has 6/4 and SF has 4/3 Good weeks/Bad weeks. Cleveland, in comparison is Top 10 rated and has 7 good weeks vs. 4 Bad weeks.
TEAM | DEF SOS | Rank | Good Weeks | Bad Weeks | Δ |
Atlanta | 6.20 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
Houston | 5.97 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
New Orleans | 5.95 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Jacksonville | 5.93 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Tampa Bay | 5.92 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Cleveland | 5.91 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Tennessee | 5.87 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
San Francisco | 5.81 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
I'm wondering if anyone has any other approaches or thoughts on mine. Cleveland was a rising DEF last year and should be better this year and this is one argument for considering them a late pick once DEF's start going off the board.
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