Super Bowl Odds (1 Viewer)

[Jojo the circus boy]

NFC 8-5 Packers

AFC 7-2 Patriots

NFC 5-1 Saints

AFC 6-1 Ravens

AFC 10-1 Steelers

NFC 12-1 49er's

NFC 12-1 Giants

NFC 40-1 Falcons

AFC 40-1 Texans

NFC 60-1 Lions

AFC 70-1 Bengals

AFC 70-1 Broncos

Saints looking strong

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-02/broncos-texans-host-nfl-first-round-playoff-games-after-losing-streaks?category=%2Fsports%2Fworld%2F

 

[Snickers]

I agree that the Saints look like the best team but most likely they will have to win on the road against the 49ers and the Packers. Both games will be outdoors on grass, seems like a tall task.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Are these odds to win it or just get there?

 

[cheese]

At these odds, I'd take the Lions. Sure, NO then GB is a tough draw. But they are going to get 2 straight shootouts and I think they can hang with anyone in that type of game.

 

[Snickers]

49ers, Giants and Falcons seem the best value bets

 

[Jojo the circus boy]

Are these odds to win it or just get there?

To win

 

[rizzler]

As an avid gambler, 5:1 on the Saints makes me salivate.

Someone is baking pies for us cheddar spreaders this football season.

5:1. bets about to go down.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Saints at 5:1 is too high. Even if you think they're a 50-50 shot to beat SF and GB, they'd have to be 80% likely to beat the AFC Champ and Detroit to make that a good bet. 5:1 is crazy when they have to win 4 games. If you thought there was a 99% chance they'd beat DET, this would be an even bet if they had a 55% chance of beating SF, GB and the AFC Champ. Just too high.

70-1 Bengals is good just by sheer numbers. Put it this way, their game with the Texans is way too even to have Houston at 40:1 and Cincy at 70:1. I like the 12:1 49ers, and it's hard for me not to like either 10:1 Steelers since I think they're the best team in the league. If I knew Houston was going to win this weekend, I could get on board with Baltimore at 6:1. Those odds look good if it's PIT@NE and Hou@Bal in round two, but not so hot if it's Pit @ Bal and Cin @ NE.

 

[gethugefast1]

NFC 8-5 Packers

AFC 7-2 Patriots

NFC 5-1 Saints

AFC 6-1 Ravens

AFC 10-1 Steelers

NFC 12-1 49er's

NFC 12-1 Giants

NFC 40-1 Falcons

AFC 40-1 Texans

NFC 60-1 Lions

AFC 70-1 Bengals

AFC 70-1 Broncos

Saints looking strong

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-02/broncos-texans-host-nfl-first-round-playoff-games-after-losing-streaks?category=%2Fsports%2Fworld%2F

Same odds Giants had in 2007

 

[Workhorse]

I don't like the Steelers at 10:1 at all. That line is assuming that a win in Denver is a near lock, even though Big Ben is banged up, Mendenhall is out and Clark might not play. I could easily see a low-scoring affair in Mile High with a few Praterbombs being the difference in an ugly game.

I don't particularly like any of the bets on the board but the Niners represent the best value IMO.

 

[goldenchild]

I agree that the Saints look like the best team but most likely they will have to win on the road against the 49ers and the Packers. Both games will be outdoors on grass, seems like a tall task.

Agreed. Also, I thought I heard a stat line from one of the announcers during one of the games this past weekend... something about the Saints averaging 41pts/game at home and only 21pts/game on the road.You can argue that 21 might do it against SF, but it's not going to be enough against GB.

 

[Stewy]

I like the 9'ers and Giants at those odds.

 

[Chase Stuart]

I don't like the Steelers at 10:1 at all. That line is assuming that a win in Denver is a near lock, even though Big Ben is banged up, Mendenhall is out and Clark might not play. I could easily see a low-scoring affair in Mile High with a few Praterbombs being the difference in an ugly game.I don't particularly like any of the bets on the board but the Niners represent the best value IMO.

None of the lines are great because of the vig. Still, the vig is often north of 40%, and here it's only 25%:If you remove the vig, you get the following odds to make the playoffs:

NFC     8       5       Packers         38.5%   30.7%AFC     7       2       Patriots        22.2%   17.7%NFC     5       1       Saints          16.7%   13.3%AFC     6       1       Ravens          14.3%   11.4%AFC     10      1       Steelers         9.1%    7.2%NFC     12      1       49er's           7.7%    6.1%NFC     12      1       Giants           7.7%    6.1%NFC     40      1       Falcons          2.4%    1.9%AFC     40      1       Texans           2.4%    1.9%NFC     60      1       Lions            1.6%    1.3%AFC     70      1       Bengals          1.4%    1.1%AFC     70      1       Broncos          1.4%    1.1%                                       125.4%  100.0%

To me, the fact that 7 teams make up 13/14ths of the pot is pretty crazy. The Lions and Bengals are 6 seeds, and the Falcons are a 5 seed, but you've also got 2 home teams in there. Throwing 100 on each of those five teams is probably a good bet. If nothing else, you know one team will make it to round 2.

 

[SaintsInDome2006]

I agree that the Saints look like the best team but most likely they will have to win on the road against the 49ers and the Packers. Both games will be outdoors on grass, seems like a tall task.

Agreed. Also, I thought I heard a stat line from one of the announcers during one of the games this past weekend... something about the Saints averaging 41pts/game at home and only 21pts/game on the road.You can argue that 21 might do it against SF, but it's not going to be enough against GB.

NO = 218 on the road, nearly 28 per game, plus 34 and a yard from 40 in Green Bay.SF has scored 221 all year at home.

 

[SaintsInDome2006]

Just curious, but any estimate the Giants beating both the Falcons and Packers?

 

[goldenchild]

I agree that the Saints look like the best team but most likely they will have to win on the road against the 49ers and the Packers. Both games will be outdoors on grass, seems like a tall task.

Agreed. Also, I thought I heard a stat line from one of the announcers during one of the games this past weekend... something about the Saints averaging 41pts/game at home and only 21pts/game on the road.You can argue that 21 might do it against SF, but it's not going to be enough against GB.

NO = 218 on the road, nearly 28 per game, plus 34 and a yard from 40 in Green Bay.SF has scored 221 all year at home.

True, but SF is not known for a powerhouse offense like NO is. The number for SF @ home that plays a huge role is 87 which the total number of points they have allowed all year (11pts/game)With that said, I would still want no part of NO in the post-season, which is why I will be rooting for DET this weekend so that we could face the winner of ATL/NYG.

 

[Godsbrother]

I don't like the Steelers at 10:1 at all. That line is assuming that a win in Denver is a near lock, even though Big Ben is banged up, Mendenhall is out and Clark might not play. I could easily see a low-scoring affair in Mile High with a few Praterbombs being the difference in an ugly game.

I don't particularly like any of the bets on the board but the Niners represent the best value IMO.

Clark has been ruled out for this week's game against the Broncos.

 

[gmbacm]

 

[eaglezzz]

Atlanta at 40-1 seems decent. Lots of talent on that offense, they could surprise in the playoffs

 

[mijatra]

Atlanta at 40-1 seems decent. Lots of talent on that offense, they could surprise in the playoffs

Exactly what I was thinking. They have better offensive skill players than the Giants, and can put points on anyone. They didnt lose to crappy teams this year like the Giants (except an early loss to the Bucs). No reason that NYG is 12-1 and Atlanta is 40-1. Maybe the odds are based a little on Eli and Couglin's playoff experience and success....

 

[jon_mx]

NFC 8-5 PackersAFC 7-2 PatriotsNFC 5-1 SaintsAFC 6-1 RavensAFC 10-1 SteelersNFC 12-1 49er'sNFC 12-1 GiantsNFC 40-1 FalconsAFC 40-1 TexansNFC 60-1 LionsAFC 70-1 BengalsAFC 70-1 BroncosSaints looking stronghttp://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-02/broncos-texans-host-nfl-first-round-playoff-games-after-losing-streaks?category=%2Fsports%2Fworld%2F

I would put $100 on the Saints. $100 on the Ravens. $100 on the Falcons. $100 on the Lions. Those are the best value picks. Broncos would have to be 500 to 1 to get interesting.

 

[cstu]

Liking the Pats at +350. Likely home field vs. the Bengals and then the Ravens. Steelers would an even easier draw IMO.

In the SB the Packers would probably be favored by 4 but Brady will go in knowing he doesn't have many more shots at a SB win.

 

[Ghost Rider]

Atlanta at 40-1 seems decent. Lots of talent on that offense, they could surprise in the playoffs

I don't know, man. It is hard to imagine the Falcons winning three games outside to even get to the Super Bowl. Dome teams usually don't do well outside in January, and are the Falcons good enough to win three straight?

 

[cstu]

I agree that the Saints look like the best team but most likely they will have to win on the road against the 49ers and the Packers. Both games will be outdoors on grass, seems like a tall task.

Agreed. Also, I thought I heard a stat line from one of the announcers during one of the games this past weekend... something about the Saints averaging 41pts/game at home and only 21pts/game on the road.You can argue that 21 might do it against SF, but it's not going to be enough against GB.

NO = 218 on the road, nearly 28 per game, plus 34 and a yard from 40 in Green Bay.SF has scored 221 all year at home.

True, but SF is not known for a powerhouse offense like NO is. The number for SF @ home that plays a huge role is 87 which the total number of points they have allowed all year (11pts/game)With that said, I would still want no part of NO in the post-season, which is why I will be rooting for DET this weekend so that we could face the winner of ATL/NYG.

On the road against SF and GB then likely the Pats in the SB should be more than 5:1.

 

[cstu]

Atlanta at 40-1 seems decent. Lots of talent on that offense, they could surprise in the playoffs

I don't know, man. It is hard to imagine the Falcons winning three games outside to even get to the Super Bowl. Dome teams usually don't do well outside in January, and are the Falcons good enough to win three straight?

I had my hopes up for them, but after looking at how poorly Michael Turner played outside of a dome this year I'm not very optimistic.

 

[TimTebow]

NFC 8-5 Packers

AFC 7-2 Patriots

NFC 5-1 Saints

AFC 6-1 Ravens

AFC 10-1 Steelers

NFC 12-1 49er's

NFC 12-1 Giants

NFC 40-1 Falcons

AFC 40-1 Texans

NFC 60-1 Lions

AFC 70-1 Bengals

AFC 70-1 Broncos

Saints looking strong

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-02/broncos-texans-host-nfl-first-round-playoff-games-after-losing-streaks?category=%2Fsports%2Fworld%2F

Same odds Giants had in 2007

I bet on the Giants that year at this point that year and got 15-1. I was proud of myself but I did some figuring. The Giants were the underdog in every game that playoff season and if I had bet the money line every game and parlayed(winnings + original bet) it to the moneyline on each succeeding game,it would have paid 18-1 odds overall. So, someone already said it above to some extent, any future bet with "low" odds, like the Saints at 5-1, is really a sucker bet. I promise, you bet the money line and parlay it over the next four games, odds will be AT LEAST 5-1, chances are, significantly higher.

In conclusion, I only bet futures with really high odds. Lower odds are for suckers. No offense as I can be one too.

 

[Tanner9919]

Liking the Pats at +350. Likely home field vs. the Bengals and then the Ravens. Steelers would an even easier draw IMO.

In the SB the Packers would probably be favored by 4 but Brady will go in knowing he doesn't have many more shots at a SB win.

WOW...let's not get ahead of ourselves here..please stop drinking the Kool-Aid, pull off the blinders, son....the Pats are one-n-done this postseason..do you really think they'd beat the Ravens?! the Steelers blew their doors off earlier in the year, the Pats can't stop the 3WR sets with the speed the Steelers have in Brown and Wallace..nor can they stop the run at all..and odn't look now, but Redman is a better RB than Mendenhall..addition by subtraction..Ray Rice will chew them to bits..I doubt they beat Cincy, either, and Houston would blow their doors off because they couldn't stop Foster..

NE is the worst team in the postseason not named Denver Broncos..a Paper Tiger, they haven't beaten a team with a wining record all year, suddenly they're going to beat everyone?!

but they're not alone.the Saints are'nt going anywhere, either..they're a lousy road team, they have no defense, and don't play well on grass , (SF or GB)- if they make it to the next round,that is....

if you're going to make other-wordly predictions, I'll make a more down-to-earth one..

for the NFC I like the Giants.playing great football right now..

Giants > Atl

Saints > Lions

Saints got to SF and lose..Giants go to GB and win!

NY/SF Championship Game.NY wins..shades of 1990 when Leonard Marshall killed Montana..

for the AFC, I like Pitt.

Pitt > Denver

Cincy > Houston ( Cincy nearly beat them a few weeks ago, and with Delhomme at QB, you know he's good for 3-4 turnovers)

then what, Cincy v. NE and Pitt v. Baltimore? Pitt finds a way to squeak out a win, and Cincy beats NE.

Pitt hosts the AFC Championship Game, and wins.

NY/Pitt SB.

Rooney v. Mara

 

[Tanner9919]

Liking the Pats at +350. Likely home field vs. the Bengals and then the Ravens. Steelers would an even easier draw IMO.

In the SB the Packers would probably be favored by 4 but Brady will go in knowing he doesn't have many more shots at a SB win.

WOW...let's not get ahead of ourselves here..please stop drinking the Kool-Aid, pull off the blinders, son....the Pats are one-n-done this postseason..do you really think they'd beat the Ravens, Steelers, Houston or Cincy?! Buffalo blew their doors off...Buffalo..the Steelers beat the snot out of them, the Pats can't stop the 3WR sets with the speed the Steelers have in Brown and Wallace..nor can they stop the run at all..and don't look now, but Redman is a better RB than Mendenhall..addition by subtraction..

Ray Rice will chew them to bits..I doubt they beat Cincy, either, and Houston would blow their doors off because they can't stop Foster..

NE is the worst team in the postseason not named Denver Broncos..a Paper Tiger, they haven't beaten a team with a wining record all year, suddenly they're going to beat everyone?!

but they're not alone.the Saints are'nt going anywhere, either..they're a lousy road team, they have no defense, and don't play well on grass , (SF or GB)- if they make it to the next round,that is....

if you're going to make other-wordly predictions, I'll make a more down-to-earth one..

for the NFC I like the Giants.playing great football right now..

Giants > Atl

Saints > Lions

Saints got to SF and lose..Giants go to GB and win!

NY/SF Championship Game.NY wins..shades of 1990 when Leonard Marshall killed Montana..

for the AFC, I like Pitt.

Pitt > Denver

Cincy > Houston ( Cincy nearly beat them a few weeks ago, and with Delhomme at QB, you know he's good for 3-4 turnovers)

then what, Cincy v. NE and Pitt v. Baltimore? Pitt finds a way to squeak out a win, and Cincy beats NE.

Pitt hosts the AFC Championship Game, and wins.

NY/Pitt SB.

Rooney v. Mara

 

[Leroy Hoard]

The Giants were the underdog in every game that playoff season and if I had bet the money line every game and parlayed(winnings + original bet) it to the moneyline on each succeeding game,it would have paid 18-1 odds overall. So, someone already said it above to some extent, any future bet with "low" odds, like the Saints at 5-1, is really a sucker bet. I promise, you bet the money line and parlay it over the next four games, odds will be AT LEAST 5-1, chances are, significantly higher.In conclusion, I only bet futures with really high odds. Lower odds are for suckers. No offense as I can be one too.

In addition, you can opt out at any time if you quit liking your chances along the way (injuries, etc.)

 

[sihaokills]

I would take the Giants in a heartbeat. There defense when clicking could be monstrous. They have to offense to have a shootout too.

 

[rizzler]

BWIN, who I always use to bet, has some incredible odds ATM... I had to lay some money down.

OP has the Giants at 12-1, BWIN has Giants at 21-1. BET MADE. that's huge.

Was also tempted to lay some on the Falcons at 36-1, but held off... for now, as I took the Saints at 5.5-1

 

[goldenchild]

Liking the Pats at +350. Likely home field vs. the Bengals and then the Ravens. Steelers would an even easier draw IMO.

In the SB the Packers would probably be favored by 4 but Brady will go in knowing he doesn't have many more shots at a SB win.

WOW...let's not get ahead of ourselves here..please stop drinking the Kool-Aid, pull off the blinders, son....the Pats are one-n-done this postseason..do you really think they'd beat the Ravens?! the Steelers blew their doors off earlier in the year, the Pats can't stop the 3WR sets with the speed the Steelers have in Brown and Wallace..nor can they stop the run at all..and odn't look now, but Redman is a better RB than Mendenhall..addition by subtraction..Ray Rice will chew them to bits..I doubt they beat Cincy, either, and Houston would blow their doors off because they couldn't stop Foster..

NE is the worst team in the postseason not named Denver Broncos..a Paper Tiger, they haven't beaten a team with a wining record all year, suddenly they're going to beat everyone?!

but they're not alone.the Saints are'nt going anywhere, either..they're a lousy road team, they have no defense, and don't play well on grass , (SF or GB)- if they make it to the next round,that is....

if you're going to make other-wordly predictions, I'll make a more down-to-earth one..

for the NFC I like the Giants.playing great football right now..

Giants > Atl

Saints > Lions

Saints got to SF and lose..Giants go to GB and win!

NY/SF Championship Game.NY wins..shades of 1990 when Leonard Marshall killed Montana..

for the AFC, I like Pitt.

Pitt > Denver

Cincy > Houston ( Cincy nearly beat them a few weeks ago, and with Delhomme at QB, you know he's good for 3-4 turnovers)

then what, Cincy v. NE and Pitt v. Baltimore? Pitt finds a way to squeak out a win, and Cincy beats NE.

Pitt hosts the AFC Championship Game, and wins.

NY/Pitt SB.

Rooney v. Mara

I like your style, buddy... lolBy the way, if your NFC Championship matchup prediction comes true (and I hope to goodness that it does!), then no way is SF losing at home to NYG. Eli will turn the ball over and they won't be able to run the rock.

I think the road to the Superbowl on the NFC side will go through GB.

On the AFC side, I think BAL handles PITT and makes it to Indy.

 

[cstu]

NE is the worst team in the postseason not named Denver Broncos..a Paper Tiger, they haven't beaten a team with a wining record all year, suddenly they're going to beat everyone?!

I think beating the Jets twice had something to do with that. Their only home loss was to the Giants in the last 15 seconds of the game.

Here's a list of the Bengals road wins:

Browns

Jags

Seahawks

Titans

Rams

They lost on the road against the Ravens, Steelers and Broncos. Yes, they can beat the Texans, but it's a stretch to think they can beat NE after giving BB two weeks to prepare.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

NE is the worst team in the postseason not named Denver Broncos..a Paper Tiger, they haven't beaten a team with a wining record all year, suddenly they're going to beat everyone?!

I think beating the Jets twice had something to do with that.

That's what they get for beating them twice, should have let them win one.