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Survivor Pool discussion & strategy for week 9 (1 Viewer)

Raider Nation

Devil's Advocate
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals

N.Y. Giants at New England Patriots

Green Bay Packers at San Diego Chargers

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles

I'm assuming most people have used the Saints and Pats by now, so that leaves five clear cut options this week:

Dallas, Houston, Atlanta, K.C. and Oakland.

Personally, I have used Dallas and Oakland. So I'm deciding from among HOU, ATL and K.C. I was originally thinking Chiefs in this spot, but they are coming off a short week, having just played a physical, emotional game with the Chargers, and Miami was surprisingly competitive against the Giants. Atlanta is far better than Indy, but they have been known to be flat in road games.

That leaves Houston. Cleveland's defense is good, and Andre could still be out, but they have to win this game. They just have to. The Browns offense is pathetic, and if the Texans have serious playoff aspirations, this is the type of game where they have to handle their bidness.

Wanted to save HOU for W16 (@ Indy), but I feel pretty good about the Bengals at home against Arizona that week.

 
I agree. I had Houston in this spot as well. They have some future value left (Week 15 v. CAR, Week 16 @ IND, Week 17 v. TEN) but nothing worth writing home about and Houston doesn't exactly tear it up at the end of seasons. Second game of a long road trip for the Browns + Houston defense = no chance.

I'd stay away from the Raiders until we see what Palmer can do with some time to prep.

Week 16 actually has some decent options including Buffalo (v Denver).

 
I am going KC this week. The short week and big win hangover do have me nervous though. The MIA D is not really the problem, but I don't think that MIA can overcome their putrid O this week.

KC secondary has 8 picks the last two games vs. Matt Moore = 2+ picks

No Daniel Thomas = Reggie Bush leading the ground attack = No rushing TD's

 
I've had Houston pegged for this spot as well and will probably roll with them. It is tempting to take the Falcons over the Colts, but I could see that pick backfiring on a few teams.

 
I'm taking OAK this week. I hate picking against winless teams at this point of the year. Got burned in one pool when I took NO over STL in what I thought was the biggest gimme of the week. I like SF at WAS quite a bit this week as well.

 
If i still had Houston avail, they would 100% be my choice...however i am deciding between Dallas and Atlanta. at this point you really shouldn't look ahead, though Dallas does have one more usable week (thanksgiving home vs Miami) which looks tasty and Atlanta week 15 home vs Jacksonville (and week 12 home vs Minn though not crazy about that one).

Atlanta off bye, Abraham and couple others should be healthy, and Colts lost a starting tackle this past week. scary with indy being winless still at at home, but leaning this way over Dallas.

 
Think I will take Houston as well here. I still have NE left but feel like I can save them here and be better off in a few weeks.

I can't pick Oakland, even against Tebow and co. We still have no clue how Palmer will play and DMC's injury is unknown right now.

Atlanta is a solid pick but I feel like their secondary could be vulnerable and they have been Jekyll and Hyde it seems this season. However, they look to be getting back on track and cannot afford a let down after a big win over the Lions before the bye. I just don't like being on the bandwagon on these types of games.

 
i flip-flopped, going with Dallas. gotta go with home team. not gonna lie the 7 pt spread was lower then i expected to see for Falcons, kinda spooked me. those guys are right more then we are.

 
Question - If you are playing in a pool that allows two strikes how does that alter your strategy? Do you take a little more risk and try to save the stronger teams until you get your first strike or just the opposite and take sure picks and conserve your strikes as much as possible?

 
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Question - If you are playing in a pool that allows two strikes how does that alter your strategy? Do you take a little more risk and try to save the stronger teams until you get your first strike or just the opposite and take sure picks and conserve your strikes as much as possible?
I definitely take future value into heavier consideration.
 
Question: If 2 are remaining and one goes out on Sunday, and the other loses on Monday nights game of the same week, does the person with the Monday night game WIN because technnically he was the last man standing? Or is it the same week, you both lose and tie.

 
Question: If 2 are remaining and one goes out on Sunday, and the other loses on Monday nights game of the same week, does the person with the Monday night game WIN because technnically he was the last man standing? Or is it the same week, you both lose and tie.
Definitely both lose and tie would be my ruling. It's not really a time thing - the winner must have more wins than the next best person to be declared last man standing. What if one picked a 1PM game and the other took a 4:15 or the Sunday night contest?
 
I'd like to take the Raiders this week, but don't trust the Raiders offense at all with Palmer in there yet. I think the Falcons are both safe picks this week, but I'd prefer to use the Falcons at home where they are pretty money, plus they are coming off a bye week, which as I mentioned last week is cause for concern. SO I'll probably take the Texans.

As for those thinking Kansas City, I'd steer clear. As others have mentioned, they're coming off an emotional win in a short week. But another big thing is I don't think the Dolphins are near as bad as their record indicates. The Dolphins have played good enough to win 3 of their last 5 games. They're going to win one of these upcoming weeks imo, and I don't wanna be on the losing end of that one.

 
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders
That's who I'm liking this week.
 
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