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TE Juwan Johnson, NO (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Faust
- Start date
dipandglide
Footballguy
Moreau time!
JohnnyU
Footballguy
We’ve already been to that rodeo. No thanks. He is what he is.
My overreaction is JJ had a 99% snap count in a Kellen Moore offense who ran a route on every single pass play (46) + lead the team with 2 redzone targets.
Factors deflating my overreaction:
1. Spencer Rattler - Poor efficiency. Inability to complete drives. Low efficiency in redzone/goaline situations. Changing of QB.
2. Unsustainability - JJ isn't going to continue a 99% snap count week to week.
3. Injury history - Recurring groin/muscle strains throughout his career. Flared up in July.
4. Industry expects NO to land the #1 pick to draft Archie Manning. Are there any behind the curtain vibes to lose games? Limiting upside.
Factors deflating my overreaction:
1. Spencer Rattler - Poor efficiency. Inability to complete drives. Low efficiency in redzone/goaline situations. Changing of QB.
2. Unsustainability - JJ isn't going to continue a 99% snap count week to week.
3. Injury history - Recurring groin/muscle strains throughout his career. Flared up in July.
4. Industry expects NO to land the #1 pick to draft Archie Manning. Are there any behind the curtain vibes to lose games? Limiting upside.
He is also just not that good. Even with this big boxscore, he still graded mediocre.
Opportunity for huge volume mostly outweighs this for fantasy.
I went into my FFPC leagues waivers last night thinking I was aggressive going into the $200's(out of 1,000) for him. Ha. I don't even think I had a runner up bid. Average winning bid in the Main Events was $420, $327 in their junior contest.
I'm not comfortable going that high on him but I'm not snickering at those winning bids either. I mainly went lower on notion people would just see him as a journeyman and dismiss him but I think that thought process is wrong and I'd give credit to those who did not see it that way.
They paid him very well, fairly close to Evan Engram money on a team that lacks a lot of bigger bodied receivers with new addition Vele really the only other receiving option of size. It's probably injury related as much as staff change that he went from a 65% type player to close to a 100% type but those other TE's that are hurt are not expected back anytime soon.
So we got a naturally talented receiving TE, who just got paid well, new staff, he's an every down TE right now when that's becoming increasingly rare and just left week one as the TE target leader. It all checks.
If anything I'm feeling right now I should have got more aggressive in leagues I need a TE then thinking people went to high on him.
I'm not comfortable going that high on him but I'm not snickering at those winning bids either. I mainly went lower on notion people would just see him as a journeyman and dismiss him but I think that thought process is wrong and I'd give credit to those who did not see it that way.
They paid him very well, fairly close to Evan Engram money on a team that lacks a lot of bigger bodied receivers with new addition Vele really the only other receiving option of size. It's probably injury related as much as staff change that he went from a 65% type player to close to a 100% type but those other TE's that are hurt are not expected back anytime soon.
So we got a naturally talented receiving TE, who just got paid well, new staff, he's an every down TE right now when that's becoming increasingly rare and just left week one as the TE target leader. It all checks.
If anything I'm feeling right now I should have got more aggressive in leagues I need a TE then thinking people went to high on him.
