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The Nnamdi effect (1 Viewer)

Lord Lucan

Footballguy
This is turning into a weekly thread, I know, but for those who haven't yet caught on, Nnamdi Asomugha is continuing to terrorise opposing offensive co-ordinators into throwing anywhere but his way.

His way, of course, is usually on the offense's left side as he lines up on the defense's right almost all of the time. Last week it was comical watching the Jets, who had shown a bias towards throwing towards the left prior to facing Oakland; Favre basically didn't even bother looking towards his left hand side on most plays.

Here are the week-by-week stats of where passes have been directed against the Raiders this season, from week 1 onwards.

Denver 7 left, 3 middle, 14 right

Kansas 11 left, 13 middle, 15 right

Buffalo 10 left, 11 middle, 19 right

San Diego 6 left, 7 middle, 13 right

New Orleans 6 left, 7 middle, 19 right

NY Jets 6 left, 13 middle, 19 right

season so far 46 left, 54 middle, 99 right

The trend is growing, if anything. and what's more quite a few of the passes to the left have been screen passes to the RBs.

What this means for FF is that if we can identify a WR who lines up more on the right than the left, then we have a good chance to see plenty of targets. This is trickier, as most WRs spend plenty of time on both sides, but there are definitely some who seem to line up more on one side than the other.

Happily for us, Derek Mason fits the bill this week. I had a look through his targets and 28 have come on the right hand side, compared with 16 on the left, and 4 over the middle. It therefore seems a fair assumption that the Ravens will be targetting him early and often this week, and I'd have him as one of my top 5 WRs this week.

If you think this seems obvious, here are a couple of articles I found from big-name organisations (yeah, I know) where the author seems not to have clicked...

from the Sporting News...

Derrick Mason, WR, Ravens. Mason has five catches or more in each of Baltimore's last four games, and he finally reached the end zone in Week 7. Mason is Joe Flacco's unquestioned go-to guy, but the veteran receiver will get a day full of Raiders cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha in Week 8. This week you have to sit Mason.

from ESPN...

Week 8 Players I Hate:

(...) Derrick Mason, WR, Ravens: I expect the Raiders to stick Nnamdi Asomugha on Mason

Unless these guys have some information that the Raiders are going to abandon their defensive strategy of keeping Nnamdi on that one side, I reckon they're flat out wrong.

I note that Mason missed practice on Thursday due to illness, but assuming he's good to go on Sunday, I'll be starting him with confidence as I reckon he'll get a bunch of targets.

 
Ok then, here's his remaining schedule. Who will he shutdown each week?

Code:
Week 10 vs CAR - Smith or MuhammadWeek 11 at MIA - Camarillo or GinnWeek 12 at DEN - Marshall or RoyalWeek 13 vs KCC - Bowe or BradleyWeek 14 at SDC - Jackson or ChambersWeek 15 vs NEP - Moss or WelkerWeek 16 vs HOU - Johnson or WalterWeek 17 at TBB - Bryant or Hilliard
 
Was he on Roddy all day?

5-54 not bad.

And I don't think its possible to bench Steve Smith right now.

 
Was he on Roddy all day?5-54 not bad.And I don't think its possible to bench Steve Smith right now.
No, they created a few matchups with Hall, but definitely avoided throwing Aso's way. I couldn't tell you if EVERY ball was thrown towards Hall, but most were. Also, that Falcons CLEARLY targeted Jenkins in the gameplan, assuming that the Raiders would send Aso White's way most of the day.
 
Was he on Roddy all day?5-54 not bad.And I don't think its possible to bench Steve Smith right now.
I think the big lead & 57 rushing attemps is what made Roddy White's game not as good.. 57 rushing attemps.. man that doesn't even look right..
 
Was he on Roddy all day?5-54 not bad.And I don't think its possible to bench Steve Smith right now.
I think the big lead & 57 rushing attemps is what made Roddy White's game not as good.. 57 rushing attemps.. man that doesn't even look right..
That's a good point. Smith took his foot off the gas in the second half a bit, though, to be fair, Oak D played a little better too.
 
carolins post mortem?

and how does this play out vs miami?

while we're at it, how about the revis effect on moss this week?

 

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