Underrated / Overrated: 1 QB, RB, WR, and TE (1 Viewer)

[KCC]

Underrated

QB: Chris Simms - Gruden's QBs thrive.

RB: Ron Dayne - As it stands now, but he's on a lot of underrated lists, so it could change by the start of the season.

WR: Eddie Kennison - Another year, another underrated listing for Kennison.

TE: Heath Miller - Lots of talent at the TE position this year, but more experience and Randle El's departure bump him up my draft board.

Overrated

QB: Drew Brees - He's on a new offense....and it's the Saints. Also, I'm not sold on the whole Reggie-Bush-as-savior thing.

RB: Tatum Bell - He's a big reason I have Dayne listed above.

WR: Terrel Owens - 1) I don't think Parcells will tolerate him as long as Reid did, and 2) I think both the running game and Glenn will cut into his numbers more than most people think.

TE: Tony Gonzalez - I'm a huge Gonzo fan, but the name-recognition factor has him overvalued this year.

 

[Davej626]

Great, but what does this have to do with Bush again?

 

[KCC]

Great, but what does this have to do with Bush again?

Underrated

QB: Chris Simms - Gruden's QBs thrive.

RB: Ron Dayne - As it stands now, but he's on a lot of underrated lists, so it could change by the start of the season.

WR: Eddie Kennison - Another year, another underrated listing for Kennison.

TE: Heath Miller - Lots of talent at the TE position this year, but more experience and Randle El's departure bump him up my draft board.

Overrated

QB: Drew Brees - He's on a new offense....and it's the Saints. Also, I'm not sold on the whole Reggie-Bush-as-savior thing.

RB: Tatum Bell - He's a big reason I have Dayne listed above.

WR: Terrel Owens - 1) I don't think Parcells will tolerate him as long as Reid did, and 2) I think both the running game and Glenn will cut into his numbers more than most people think.

TE: Tony Gonzalez - I'm a huge Gonzo fan, but the name-recognition factor has him overvalued this year.

 

[Bankerguy]

Under

QB-Delhomme

RB- Dunn

WR-T. Glenn

TE- Stevens

Over

QB- Vick

RB- S. Jackson

WR- R. Moss

TE- Shockey

 

[Purpulhippo999]

Under

QB - Delhomme

RB - Domanick Davis/Willie Parker

WR - Justin McCaerins

TE - Heath Miller

Over

QB - Michael Vick

RB - Larry Johnson

WR - Randy Moss/Chad Johnson

TE - Jeremy Shockey

yeaaaah

 

[joffer]

Underrated

RB - Marion Barber

WR - Donte Stallworth

TE - Jeremy Stevens

QB - Trent Green

Overrated

RB - Edgerrin James

WR - Javon Walker

TE - Vernon Davis

QB - Carson Palmer

 

[Byron_nyc]

Overrated:

QB: Brooks (Collins redux)

RB: LJ (not enough track record to go #1 overall .. this year's K, J Jones)

WR: Randy (maybe he should play for the Argonauts?)

TE: Gonzo (a great warrior who's day has passed)

Underrated

QB: Delhomme (who else?)

RB: Dayne (if he were a rookie Heisman winner going to Denver, his ADP would be higher than it is -- this is nuts)

WR: Javon (this year's Steve Smith)

TE: Erron Kinney (I just believe... I will always beleve)

 

[aDingoAteMyBaby]

Underrated

QB: David Carr - #24 QB in the projections. His WR, TE and coaching have all been upgraded in the off season. He won't make top 10, but could be 10 spots higher than where he is.

RB: Jamal Lewis - #28 in the projections. What a dive he's taken. Besides returning healthy, he comes back with what boils down to a 1 year contract, so he should be motivated. Thrown in a guy like McNair at QB, and this guy could have a very good year. Even without McNair, Boller looked a lot better in the last few games of the year, so an improved passing game should help him. Also, the loss of Chestor and return of Ray Lewis are factors.

WR: Nate Burleson - #73 in the projections. Nate will take the #2 WR spot in SEA. With Jacksons injury history, this could be the #1 spot for half the season. Hasselbeck will get the ball to his receivers and is pegged as the #5 QB in the projections. Nate will walk away with stats that resemble his 2004 season with the Vikings more than the 2005 season.

TE: Marcedes Lewis - #39 in the projections. I don't expect Gonzo-like results from this guy in year 1, but I do expect more than 18 receptions now that Jimmy Smith is gone. I wouldn't be suprised to see him at ~#15.

Overrated

QB: Carson Palmer - I suppose he'd be #2 instead of #5 if he was healthy. Still, #5 is quite high for a guy who's knee was crushed. Besides the physical issues, Carson will need to get over the metal aspect of getting nailed. It can't be easy seeing 300lb men around your knees after his experience.

RB: Reuben Droughns - #12 in the projections. This strikes me as a guy who should be drafted as a #3 RB for a team. At #12, I fully expect a guy who is a solid #2, maybe a weak #1. This team has a sophomore QB, not much in the way of WR's and a "rookie" TE. The offense may not be in a position to run much.

WR: Terrel Owens - #2 in the projections. I don't see 81 receptions for any receiver in Dallas this year. Add the 2 TE set as the base offense, and you have yet another receiver to take away from Owens totals.

TE: Antonio Gates - #1 in the projections. He's a stud, but he also had something special with Brees that he doesn't yet have with Rivers. Expecting that he'll produce similar numbers may be a reach. This guy is getting drafted in many FF drafts before #2 RB's and #1 WR's.

 

[mbuehner]

Underrated:

QB: Daunte Culpepper- if he starts the season (as is starting to seem likely) Culp will be a huge value. Lets not forget all those QB1 seasons. He may not have Randy Moss, but Chambers, McMichael, and Brown may be a better supporting cast than he has seen in years.

RB: Mike Anderson- You dont go out and get a thousand yard rusher if you feel confident in your starter. Something is wrong with Jamal Lewis's lower body, and its not something that has gotten any better. Anderson will end up carrying plenty of the load this season for another thousand yards (but not another 12 TDs).

WR: Darrell Jackson- just based on talent alone its a crime he isnt cracking the top 10. Hasselbeck is in his prime, Burleson will take off some pressure, and Alexander will keep the nickel and dime backs on the sideline. Guys like Driver and Ward have no business in front of D-Jax.

TE: Randy McMichael- see Culpepper. Culp uses his TEs and i dont see him diving into end zones too much these days. Look for a career year from McMichael.

Overrated:

QB:Eli Manning- Last season was a dangerous year to look down the fantasy QB top finishers and draw conclusions based on position, too many perrineal top guys got hurt. Eli ranked highly largely because he played 16 games. 24-17 TD-INT, those are not bad, but hardly elite numbers. Here's the problem, Manning threw 10 tds and 12 Ints in the second half of the season, plus 3 more ints in their playoff loss. Young QBs are supposed to improve with age, not regress. Has Manning been figured out? Probably not, but his second half stats are as valid as his first and without any help at WR, this Manning falls out of the Top 10.

RB: Ron Dayne- Kids.. its Ron Dayne. Hopefully Maurice Clarrett is looking for a roommate so at least he wont be out on the street come October.

WR: Santana Moss- Not the only game in town anymore. What part of Joe Gibbs, Clinton Portis, Randle El, Cooley, and Brandon Lloyd adds up to more looks for Moss? Back to earth this season.

TE: Todd Heap: Just hasnt taken that next step. Dont let Crump or McMichael get away by getting straddled with this guy.

 

[WhoDat]

In terms specific to redraft format...

Under

QB-Brooks. Despite the fact the Raiders new OC last coached in the previous century and has more recent experience running a bed and breakfast versus an offense, I like Brooks in the new digs. He is a better athlete than Collins and is a nice FF fit for Oakland. As an NFL QB, he is the last person I would want under center. For the purspose of this upcoming season I like his chances. He'll play with a solid cast of offensive players and what should be an improved line and on a team with little to no defense, which will be behind early and often. Sounds pretty familiar to his years in New Orleans. Plus, he has Moss. If Brooks could lock on and help Horn look that good, I like the #2 to #18 combo all season.

RB-W. Parker. The team had plenty of chances to add that thumping RB in the offseason. I do not think it was an action item forgotten in the Superbowl celebration hangover. Parker will be a decent option at RB all season long.

WR-R. Moss. He has been written completely written off way, way, way too early. He is another player, like Brooks, I would not want on my NFL team but I will gladly take him this year for FF purposes.

TE-Putzier, Hilton or Winslow. I like grabbing a TE late with plenty of upside. Hilton and Winslow each fit the qualification. Putzier is the only player on the Texans' that already knows the offensive playbook. He'll have a decent year with Carr.

Over

QB-C'Pep. A knee injury cannot get much worse than what he suffered. I wish him the best of luck but I do not see the guy playing more than a few games this coming season, if he plays at all.

RB-L. Johnson. The Chiefs have many old bodies at skill positions on offense, as well as a couple on the OL. Talent and age have a nasty habit of catching up with one another at or past the age of 30 in football. My feeling is that it starts to happen this season. While he has obscene talent, Johnson's season will be negatively impacted by father time's knock on the doors of Green, Kennison, Gonzo, Roaf and Shields. I do not see Johnson doing what FF owners are expecting. He will have a solid NFL season but I do not see the 20 plus touchdowns and assault on 1,700-2,000 plus rushing yards.

WR- S. Moss. As was mentioned, more weapons on offense and a TE/H Back in Cooley that is one year smarter. TE requires a knack to play and a higher level of football experience and acumen than most would admit. He'll get open and be utilized more this season. There is no way Moss delivers as expected for the FF owner. S. Smith, as much as I dig the guy, is a close second. The Panthers have D. Williams to augment Foster and have added K. Johnson. D. Carter appears to be developing and it would seem Colbert comes back around. Smith is another player that will fall short of what the typical FF player expects. Moss really comes back to reality, while Smith has a solid not All World year at WR.

TE-Gonzo. As was mentioned above, age catches up with him this year and S. Parker emerges in the offense.

 

[by_the_sea_wannabe]

underrated

qb - Brad Johnson

i have #20, adp #25

rb - Warrick Dunn

I have him at #14, adp #22

wr - Eddie Kennision

I have him #19 adp #34

TE - Ben Watson

I have him #11. adp # #16

Overrated

qb - Daunte Culpepper

I have him #16 adp #8

rb - Julius Jones

I have him #21 adp #16

wr - Nate Burleson

I have him #44 adp #28

TE - Leonard Pope

I have him #26, adp #17

 

[David Yudkin]

Subject to change the closer we get to the season, but based on today's ADP as posted by Dodds . . .

UNDER

QB Jon Kitna QB26

When was the last time a healthy QB in a Martz system ranked out of the Top 10?

RB Chester Taylor RB21

I think he will be this year's Lamont Jordan and will be Top 10.

WR Isaac Bruce WR46

He's 33 yet people think he is almost 40. Other WR near or older include Joey Galloway, Marvin Harrison, Rod Smith, Keenan McCardell, Eddie Kennison, Keyshawn Johnson, Terrell Owens, Eric Moulds, Muhsin Muhammad, Bobby Engram, and Joe Horn. IMO, Curtis was "filling in" not taking over" for Bruce.

TE Jermaine Wiggine TE18

He's averaged 70 receptions over the past two seasons with a team that has a mess at WR.

OVER

QB Carson Palmer QB2

I can't believe he A) doesn't miss any time or B) won't suffer some productivity wise.

RB Edgerrin James RB5

He could still be Top 10, but the difference in scoring from the RB5 to the RB10 is a huge amount.

WR Fitzgerald/Boldin (WR4 & WR8)

Neither one of these guys has had to worry about a real RB getting serious touches in the past. If Edge stays healthy, both of these guys will see a dropoff in targets with Edge around.

TE Vernon Davis TE9

Rookies normally do not score well at TE and SF has not shown much offense of late.

 

[Rounders]

Under

QB - Mike Vick - His time to shine. I'm thinking top 5 QB this year.

RB - Jamal Lewis - IF he can stay heathly he'll should be top 10-15.

WR - Lee Evans - I think this is his year to break out big time

TE - Randy McMichael - Top 5 TE this year, book it.

Over

QB - Eli Manning - not quite there and brutal schedule

RB - Tiki Barber - His # of touches scare me

WR - Javon Walker - knee injury and in a new system, I'll pass

TE - Vernon Davis - Rookie TE's usually don't make an impact

 

[LHUCKS]

Give me the ADP or are we talking FBG consensus.

 

[hollaatyaboy]

Give me the ADP or are we talking FBG consensus.

new ADPs:http://www.footballguys.com/06dodds_adp.php

 

[diesel7982]

Under:

QB- Ben Rothlisberger(QB15)- Cant begin to understand this ranking, unless the masses figure him to get hurt again.

RB- Ruben Droughns(RB19)- 1600 total yards last year are getting overlooked by the lack of TDs. Shaffer and Bentley and an improved team will get that TD total up.

TE- Alex Smith(TE19) - 40 catches as a rookie, will only get better.

WR- Roddy White(WR57) - White produced on a pace of about 800/6 as a starter during his rookie season. By all accounts he's had a fantastic offseason working with Vick, and hes ready to take off. He won't be a top 10 guy, but he'll be a top 30 WR, making him startable in 12 team leagues.

Overrated:

Carson Palmer(QB2)- Kidding right? If he was 100% healthy, had had a full offseason, and hadnt lost his #3/4 WR threats, hed still be a questionable top 3 QB. This is just craziness.

Edgerrin James(RB5)- Should be selfexplanatory. Looks like hes being drafted by last year's #s.

Antonio Gates(TE1) - Will he be the #1 TE? Perhaps. Will he be worth drafting in the late 2nd early 3rd round? Not at all. TE depth is too deep this year, and with Rivers learning his way, he won't be the far and away #1 guy like last year.

Steve Smith(WR1) - Awesome, AWESOME player, but the Panthers have more legit recieving targets, along with a slew of healthy runners, and an improved defense. He will not see last years numbers. Id expect a drop of 15%.

 

[Keg]

Subject to change the closer we get to the season, but based on today's ADP as posted by Dodds . . .

UNDER

RB Chester Taylor RB21

I think he will be this year's Lamont Jordan and will be Top 10.

Minn will not be RBBC ...if that perception continues Chester is gonna be a great value for his owners

 

[diesel7982]

Subject to change the closer we get to the season, but based on today's ADP as posted by Dodds . . .

UNDER

RB Chester Taylor RB21

I think he will be this year's Lamont Jordan and will be Top 10.

Agreed. Also a very good one. Hoping he stays undertheradar.

 

[Keg]

Overrated:

Steve Smith(WR1) - Awesome, AWESOME player, but the Panthers have more legit recieving targets, along with a slew of healthy runners, and an improved defense. He will not see last years numbers. Id expect a drop of 15%.

if you reduce Smith's numbers by 15% they would look like:88 catches

1328yds

11TDs

in my .5ppr league that equals 242.8 pts and that would have ranked 3rd overall @ WR

 

[diesel7982]

Overrated:

Steve Smith(WR1) - Awesome, AWESOME player, but the Panthers have more legit recieving targets, along with a slew of healthy runners, and an improved defense.  He will not see last years numbers.  Id expect a drop of 15%.

if you reduce Smith's numbers by 15% they would look like:88 catches

1328yds

11TDs

in my .5ppr league that equals 242.8 pts and that would have ranked 3rd overall @ WR

I really expect the TD #s to fall by a bit more, but yes, that is about the rec and rec yardage I was thinking. 90/1300. Expecting around 8-9 TDs.

 

[BoltBacker]

Under:

QB - Carr(HOU) Last season was a debacle to be sure, but he's already proven he can play much better than that. The new offense can't possibly be worse than the old one was. Being ranked in the mid 20's but he's more like 10-15 imo. Possible platoon starter or very good backup QB fantasy wise.

RB - Williams(TB) He'll get the carries and TB has taken steps to improve the OL. Being ranked 10-15 but I think there's a real chance at top 5.

WR - Smith(DEN) As usual. Never been able to figure out why. Guys with big "?"s are always supposed to cut into his production. They come and go every year, while Smith produces every year.

TE - Hilton(NO) I'm shocked there hasn't been a groundswell of hype around this guy and I was sure he'd be on the "over" list at this time, but he's being ranked down around #20 TE? If you're trying to decide between Putzier, Anderson, Kinney, Pope and Hilton it's not even close which one you take. Hilton will produce much closer to #10 than #20.

Over:

QB - Warner(ARZ) When's the last time Kurt played anything close to a full season? Back in '01 was the last time he played in more than 10 games. Leinart is more ready than most rookie QB's. If ARZ isn't in the playoff hunt(are they ever really?) why wouldn't they let Leinart play towards the end of the season. NYG redux.

RB - Edge(ARZ) Been discussed to death but I can't help but think there will be a drop in the # of carries, ypc(and therefore yards) and a big drop in the # of TD's. Will have good receiving #'s as usual but it wouldn't surprise me at all if he's asked to stay in and block a lot for Warner/Leinart. Too many people have him ranked in the middle of the first round ahead of young ascending guys in better situations.

WR - Owens(DAL) Too many weapons to share the production and an offense that doesn't revolve around only one player. I don't understand how people are taking him in the top 3.

TE - Gates(SD) Even under the best circumstances he can't duplicate last seasons phenomenal performence. If you think SD's defense will be better this season(and I do) then they may not need to pass as often. Furthermore, if you think Rivers allows SD to pass downfield more(and I do) then the need for short dump-off passes all game long decreases. Shockey/Heap/Gonzales have solid shots at beating his #'s this season.

 

[BoltBacker]

Overrated:

Steve Smith(WR1) - Awesome, AWESOME player, but the Panthers have more legit recieving targets, along with a slew of healthy runners, and an improved defense. He will not see last years numbers. Id expect a drop of 15%.

if you reduce Smith's numbers by 15% they would look like:88 catches

1328yds

11TDs

in my .5ppr league that equals 242.8 pts and that would have ranked 3rd overall @ WR

I really expect the TD #s to fall by a bit more, but yes, that is about the rec and rec yardage I was thinking. 90/1300. Expecting around 8-9 TDs.

I agree with diesel, but I think he's still being a bit generous in regards to those projections. I think CAR has a better season and leans on Smith even less than that.Actually, looking at diesels over's I have to agree with all of them. Almost took Alex Smith(TB) and on my under list as well. Not much buzz about that guy from some reason.

 

[Jon_Moore]

Undervalued:

QB-Kitna-DET

Martz offense is very fantasy friendly.

(Mcnair could be really nice value as well, provided he goes to Baltimore)

RB-Ahman Green

There are injury concerns, but upside and history, he could be top 10.

WR-Darrell Jackson. Was killing it last year before he got hurt. Could be a top 5 receiver.

TE-McMichael. Culpepper seemed to like Wiggins. McMichaels been a great receiving option for them with the horrible qb situation of the past.

Overvalued:

QB-Mcnabb-I don't like him at all without Owens

RB-Chestor Taylor. People want to look like they've made the sexy savvy pick. No doubt the upside here is impressive, but don't be the guy that drafts him too soon or trades too much.

WR-Santana Moss. More Talent at WR=less touches? TDs came in bunches.

TE-Vernon Davis. I really like this guy's upside. Could be a phenom. But again, the sexy pick thing.

 

[FunkyPlutos]

Overvalued:

QB - Culpepper - I love the guy but his game is built on mobility and that injury was scary. If he has full mobility then I think he does well, I just don't know if it happens this season.

RB - Kevin Jones - I own him and hope this Martz thing works out, but last year was ugly and Calhoun is good.

WR - Boldin - I see Fitz as the main guy and the injury bug always seems to bite. Also has Warner and then a rookie to get him the ball. Hello Edge!

TE - Crumpler - I see Jenkins and White maturing and giving Vick some legit targets on the outside (it hasn't all been Vick's fault you haters!!).

Undervalued:

QB - Leftwich - if healthy he will have a monster year. He has a talented tight end and some good young WRs and won't have to force to the star vet this year.

RB - Ahman Green - You can have him as your third RB and he will give you high end RB2 production. He will have a BIG year this year. I've always been a fan of his (problem is he was a Husker and then a Packer - ).

WR - Roddy White - I think he is going to have a solid year and is WR57 right now. He won't be your WR1, but could give decent WR2 numbers for a VERY cheap price.

TE - McMichael - Like I said before, the Culpepper injury scares me and (like someone else said) Culpepper used Wiggins a TON for dump offs. I see the injury as a reason for him not to run and the dump off will be there.

 

[FUBAR]

UNDER

QB - Leftwich. losing Smith hurts, but he's been thrown under the bus by some, viable starter, just not elite

RB - I would say Ahman Green, but if everyone lists him, he's not undervalued. Droughns

WR - Randy Moss. Brooks will lock on.

TE - I like the Putzier pick, hadn't considered him. I was going to say Hilton, but again, he's everyone's pick.

OVER

QB - Peyton. I would love to have him on my team, but won't take him in the 1st round.

RB - SA

WR - Santana Moss

TE - Vernon Davis

 

[Gravity]

Over

----------

QB: Eli Manning - don't let last year fool you - he had an Aaron Brooks type year. Very up and down, too many top QB's above him got injured, and actually regressed in the 2nd half. Stay away.

RB: Caddy Williams - I'm not sold. He had some just awful games last year. Throw in the fact that he has a solid backup in Pittman and a TD vulture in Alstott as well as the fact that when given the load he got injured and you've got over-rated written all over him. He's the 2006 version of McGahee

WR: Owens. Parcells is already tempering expectations and Dallas has a bunch of catching options.

TE: Zach Hilton. You guys pimping him have got to be kidding me. He may not even be the starting TE on his own team. Don't buy into this crazy sleeper hype.

----------

Under

----------

QB: Brooks. Throw out last years wasted year. He's a top FFL QB. Throw in Moss, et al and a bad defense and you've got top 8 numbers.

RB: CTaylor. Don't let past Minny history scare you. The new administration wanted him and he will deliver. Agreed - he is the Lamont Jordan of 2006

WR: Randy Moss. A healthy moss is gonna be top 3 again. Esp with Brooks throwing (just look at how well Joe Horn did under Brooks with less talent)

TE: Gonzo - still a top 3 TE. Peeps scared based solely on poor TD numbers from last year.

 

[nygiants56]

Undervalued:

QB-Kitna-DET

Martz offense is very fantasy friendly.

(Mcnair could be really nice value as well, provided he goes to Baltimore)

RB-Ahman Green

There are injury concerns, but upside and history, he could be top 10.

WR-Darrell Jackson. Was killing it last year before he got hurt. Could be a top 5 receiver.

TE-McMichael. Culpepper seemed to like Wiggins. McMichaels been a great receiving option for them with the horrible qb situation of the past.

Overvalued:

QB-Mcnabb-I don't like him at all without Owens

RB-Chestor Taylor. People want to look like they've made the sexy savvy pick. No doubt the upside here is impressive, but don't be the guy that drafts him too soon or trades too much.

WR-Santana Moss. More Talent at WR=less touches? TDs came in bunches.

TE-Vernon Davis. I really like this guy's upside. Could be a phenom. But again, the sexy pick thing.

 

[Gatorman]

Underrated:

QB -- Jake Plummer - The picking of a QB by Denver has many thinking that this spells trouble for Plummer now. I believe the addition of Walker and the fact that he has someone behind him makes plummer a better player this year.

RB -- Warrick Dunn -- much like tiki barber, everyone thinks that dunn is not a solid player.

WR -- TJ Housmanzada (sp) -- guy can flat out play and is a less flashy wersion of the guy he plays opposite. The Reggie wayne to Chad being Marvin Harrison.

TE -- Heath Miller

Overrated:

QB -- McNabb and Mike Vick -- not to take anything away from them as NFL QBs, but as fantasy QBs they are Meh. Give me a pocket passer any day over these guys. (kitna for instance will out point them this year)

RB -- Edge -- I love edge, but he is in a totally different situation with a totally different team. Expecting him to be top 5 without any dropoff as he gets aclimated to the arizona sun, heat, and playbook is foolish. It took a year and a half for clinton prtis to figure out his style in Washington.

WR -- Chris Chambers. Being touted as a top 10 WR when he only catches around 50% of the balls thrown his way. He was underachieveing until week 10 when he took off. With Culpepper's return in the air, who knows what will happen.

TE -- any TE you would consider taking in the top 3 rounds. The next TE (#4 or #5) could easily out produce him.

 

[jurb26]

Underrated:

QB - Lefty, I know he has lost his WR1 in Smith. Thi guy has an ADP of mid 10th round right now though. Jack still have a slew of talented pass catchers we just don't know who will step up.

RB - L.White, Very little stands in the way of WHite starting this year IMO yet we see him being taken as RB39 in the mid 8th round of drafts.

WR - R.Moss, Moss is the very reason I want to be at the top of drafts this year. You can land him as an ealry 3rd round pick (3.02 ADP) and if healthy he will perform like a late 1st.

TE - H.Miller, For this guy to be going in the mid 10th is simply mind boggeling. HE was TE11 last year as a rookie and should improve, not regress back to TE12.

Overrated:

QB - Palmer, He's currently going as the #2 QB off the board and we aren't even sure when he will play. With guys like Hassy, Brady, Bulger, McNabb around later I'll wait.

RB - Edge, Has an ADP of 1.05 right now. I'm seeing some struggles in Arz along with some very good RBs being drafted behind him.

WR - Walker, just not fully trusting a lot of things with Walker this year. He is coming off knee surgery and will be on a new team. He has typically struggled to pick up playbooks and I don't see Den beign any exception.

TE - V.Davis, I just can't see any reaosn to take him ahead of Miller, LJ.Smith, Stevens or Clark. He is goin ahead of al of them right now as TE9.

 

[Baracuda]

For a dynasty league:

Underrated:

QB - Ben Roethislberger. Young and productive, but seems ranked lower than he should be by most people. And Pitt seems to be evolving slowly into more of a passing offense. That should bode well for Big Ben.

RB - Willis McGahee. I'm having trouble trading this guy in my league. He's only 24 and everything went wrong in Buffalo last year. He's too talented not to rebound.

WR - Hines Ward. Solid but not spectacular. Seems like he goes later than he should in my leagues. And is a favorite target of Ben.

TE - Anyone not named Gates, Gonzalez, Shockey, Davis. It's easy to get value on the cheap at this position.

Overrated:

QB - Carson Palmer, but only because of the injury risk. Dynasty league owners of Palmer see him as roughly equivalent to Peyton Manning. I'm one of them and it's probably too high.

RB - Clinton Portis. I can't put my finger on it, but he seems to be slipping to me. Maybe it's his future TD production that I'm worried about? I don't know. He's still really good, but people put him just below the big 3 RBs and that seems high to me.

WR - Roy Williams. Owners are valuing him as if he's Torry Holt already. Take advantage of this and trade him immediately.

TE - Tony Gonzalez and Vernon Davis. You can get a lot for these guys. I'm going to trade Davis for something good (hopefully a WR cause I need one). You should too.

 

[Aaronur]

I am going to have to strongly disagree with the Santana Moss stuff only because his ADP is 12 and I don'[t think he is going to be Top 15 so he seems about right.

Over

QB-Tie McNabb and Palmer; both are coming off injury, McNabb lost Owens, I can see to many other guys that could produce better than them this year.

RB- Tiki Barber, I love Tiki Barber but drafting him in the top 6 just seems like a lot of risk, he could do it but I would rather play it safe.

WR- Owens or Fitz/Boldin, Owens is the best WR in the game but he just wont get the touches to be WR2, Fitz/Boldin the will both produce but they wont both have 100 catches this year.

TE- VD, I love him, I drafted him as the TE3 in a dynasty league but he wont be top ten this year. More like top 15.

Under

QB-Michael Vick, can't stand the guy as a QB but he will be in the Top 5 barring injury

RB-Samkon Gado, the poor mans LJ from last year, Green wont be back to start the season and he wont finish it and Gado gets it done

WR- Rod Smith, its like a broken record with him

TE- Kellen Windslow, He will be top 10 and I hate this guy

 

[joffer]

I am going to have to strongly disagree with the Santana Moss stuff only because his ADP is 12 and I don'[t think he is going to be Top 15 so he seems about right.

no one has him listed as underrated, only overrated. Aren't you agreeing with that?

 

[Aaronur]

I am going to have to strongly disagree with the Santana Moss stuff only because his ADP is 12 and I don'[t think he is going to be Top 15 so he seems about right.

no one has him listed as underrated, only overrated. Aren't you agreeing with that?

Sorry I need to re-read what I ment was that he will be in the Top 15 so I think he is about right not over or under, he was WR3 last year and a drop to about 12-15 sounds about right to me.

 

[pmcdade]

Over:

QB: Carson Palmer - He'll miss enough games and then need enough time to shake the rust off that his seasonal points will be down. Tom Brady a close second.

RB: Reggie Bush - Never taken an NFL snap. Has a solid veteran he's playing behind. Will at best be in an RBBC and he's ahead of C. Taylor, Warrick Dunn, Corey Dillon, Deuce, DeShaun??? Yeah right.

WR: Chad Johnson - See Carson Palmer. Also, toward the end Housh was getting a lot better. The D's in the NFC north are solid, even Cleveland looks to be better.

TE: Vernon Davis - Every year there is a tight-end who's going to take over the world. Even when there is a star rookie tight-end, its never who you think it would be. Plus SF's offense looks to suck this year... how many good fantasy TE's exist on crappy offenses?

Also: Antonio Gates - Anyone else notice that Brees is gone? And he's going 26th overall? There are too many tight-ends out there for any tight end to have this value anymore.

Under:

QB: Drew Bledsoe - Last year he was 8th overall. He adds T.O. And he's now the 13th QB taken? In a 12 team league, that's not even a starter? T.O.'s QB always shines. He's an ####0!& but he even made Garcia a pro-bowler.

RB: Cedric Benson - How is he in a worse position then Reggie Bush? Jones is abdicating his starting roll by whining and not showing up, Benson has a year behind him to learn the system and pro-level and a much better O-line. Jones may not even be on the team come September. This guy was drafted high for a reason and will get his chance.

WR: Eddie Kennison - He was the 17th wide receiver last year, nothing much has changed, and he's being drafted at 34th? He's the new Rod Smith.

TE: Heath Miller - He looked really good last year, and now has some experience. Bettis won't be pounding it in from the 1 and the TE will get more goal-line work.

 

[GECKO]

good stuff here

 

[fightingillini]

Underrated

QB - Kitna (ADP - QB27) - lots of good WRs to throw to and Martz as an OC. Enough said.

RB - W Parker (ADP - RB16) - PIT loves to run the ball, and Parker can go the distance anytime that he touches the ball........plus Bettis isn't around to vulture ALL the goalline TDs.

WR - R Moss (ADP - WR6) - if he stays healthy, Brooks will make him a top WR again. And this year, you may be able to get him in the 3rd round.

TE - McMichael (ADP - TE8) - always seems undervalued.

Overrated

QB - Brady (ADP - QB3) Love him as an NFL QB, but being QB3 is too high. Won't provide enough stats to distance the QB pack and be worthy of an early draft choice.

RB - Edge (ADP - RB5).....agree with many posters on this one. I have him ranked #9 right now.

WR - Steve Smith (ADP - WR1)....coming off a career year, Keyshawn will steal some catches, CAR loves to run the ball and has two capable RBs. Not worth a late 1st-early 2nd round pick to me.

TE - Heap (ADP - TE4)....guy can't stay healthy. Can take Crumpler, Witten, Cooley and McMichael later and get the same weekly production.

 

[MLBrandow]

RB: Caddy Williams - I'm not sold. He had some just awful games last year. Throw in the fact that he has a solid backup in Pittman and a TD vulture in Alstott as well as the fact that when given the load he got injured and you've got over-rated written all over him. He's the 2006 version of McGahee

Welcome to the "I didn't watch a single Buc football game last year but I know more about him than the guys who live and breathe the pewter power." Add 50 receptions to about 90ruypg, Davin Joseph to pull and Alstott shifting to more of an H-Back role, and I don't see how in the hell you find 10 or 15 backs in the NFL that are legitimately better without some gross factual distortion.OVER

QB: Carson Palmer - This guy will go ape #### when it comes playoff time, but who are you going to start until October? 4th/5th round ADP? No thanks.

RB: Ronnie Brown. - Don't even get me started on a guy who's backup RB carried his team to a winning-out record. Sure he hits like a Hummer, but in reality he's about as durable as the H2. I laughed pretty hard in a redraft mock when this guy went 1.12 and the drafter had the gall to call it a "steal".

WR: Randy Moss - can we say damaged goods?

UNDER

QB: Brett Favre - if you honestly believe that his level of talent and not his supporting cast was the reason for his dismal failure as a QB1 last year, I pity the fool who scoffs at the HOFer to be.

RB: Deuce McAllister - explain to me how giving the saints a 3DB and a WR2 makes him a 4th round value. Jeez... guy gets injured and everyone forgets about him. I'm sure hardcore Saints fans are drueling over his 4th round ADP.

WR: Santana Moss - I'm not sure that you can underrate a guy who performed so well last year, but everyone seems to think that by putting out more 3WR sets with better receivers that eliminate his triple coverages is bad....

 

[3nOut]

UNDER

QB: Bulger. QB7 is low IMO. He has the skills and tools around him this year to be a top 3 QB.

RB: Benson RB30. Its still too early but with Jones' whining, I think Benson will get a chance and show why he was drafted this high.

WR: DJax. WR13?

TE: With TO gone, LJ Smith is the best and safest option for McNabb this year. Top 5 this year is possible.

OVER

QB: Palmer at QB2 at this stage is way too high. How many games will he miss? If his ADP drops closer to the season, McNabb at 5 is my next choice.

RB: Lamont Jordan. Still not completely sold on him. With the Raiders bringing in Brooks, I think they will try to get Moss more invloved and gets his numbers back to where they used to be. I think he will get more goal line looks. For Moss' numbers to go up, Jordan's numbers will have to drop.

WR: Fitz. Not enough ctaches to go around between him, Boldin, and now Edge and Pope. The Cards are getting better but theyre still the Cards. Warner will get yanked sooner than later (when they start losing or Warner gets hurt) and all their receptions will drop.

TE: Shockey. Was #2 TE in my league last year and he won't be #1 this year. Eli is still learning and their schedule is tough. He can only go down. Maybe not much but still down.

 

[Warpig]

Over:

QB - Eli Manning - people seem to think he's as good as his brother

RB - Larry Johnson - I'm in the minority here, but I think he is gonna be

a let down this year.

WR - Chad Jackson - He's a NE receiver...Brady shares the wealth...that's why I drafted Dave Thomas.

TE - Vernon Davis - He's a rookie on a crappy team that won't be scoring many points. Is the main scorer gonna be Gore or Davis?

Under:

QB - Rex Grossman (because I own him ) - Seriously, that Bears offense is a different beast when he is in there winging the ball around. Needs to stay healthy

RB - Deshaun Foster - again, if this guy can stay healthy he is a slashing/power runner on a team that loves to run the ball

WR - Donald Driver - has been the man in GB even when JW was there. The guy is consistent.

TE - Eric Johnson/Alex Smith (TB) - People just expect Johnson to disappear now that Davis is in and Alex Smith should be primed for a big year.

 

[Keepers]

Underrated

QB: Cpep - depends on health but even if misses a few weeks, will be a stud in the Miami offense in the second half of the year with guys like Chambers and McMicheal, and Ronnie Brown out of the backfield.

RB: Kevin Jones - by far the most talented RB on Detroit’s roster, and the O will be much improved under Martz. KJ will see more passes out of the backfield and more goal line opportunities.

WR: Horn - no one is talking about him after last year but Brees is much better than Brooks and more weapons at RB will open things up for Horn.

TE: McMicheal - with better QBs, McMicheal will be back to his form of 2 and 3 years ago.

Overrated

QB: Bledsoe - Parcell loves to pound the ball and that won’t change even with TO in town.

RB: Edge - great RB but Arizona may have the worst running O line in the league.

WR: Boldin - Edge is going to struggle but Denny Green has stated he wants a more balanced attack, so that means fewer balls to receivers and Boldin will be more affected than Fitz as Fitz is Denny’s guy.

TE: Witten - Parcell is a run first coach, and TO in town means fewer balls to go around.

 

[David Yudkin]

OverratedQB: Bledsoe - Parcell loves to pound the ball and that won’t change even with TO in town.

There are a lot of posts that I would comment on in this thread if I had time, but this one had to be addressed.Here are the Top 5 seasons all-time in terms of passing attempts by a QB:1 Drew Bledsoe 1994 691 2 Warren Moon 1991 655 3 Drew Bledsoe 1995 636 4 Drew Bledsoe 1996 623 4 Dan Marino 1986 623 Bill Parcells was the coach of the Patriots with Bledsoe. IMO, Parcells is not a coach that only runs the ball, and history has proven this to be urban legend. Parcells coached teams have ranked:Top 10 in passing attempts 7 timesTop 10 in passing yards 8 timesTop 10 in passing TD 7 timesI'm not saying that the Cowboys will turn into the 94 Patriots, but they will not turn into the 04 Steelers either.

 

[rzrback77]

In only 41 posts, with many replying to other comments, we already have 15 QBs nominted as undervalued or bargain opportunities. One of the most basic rules is to wait on a QB, but in smaller leagues (12 teams or less) has this mantra ever been more true?

Nobody has mentioned any of FBGs top five projeected QBs so that brings the total to 20. I would also think that there are folks who will expect Volek, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Brunell, and of course McNair, none of whom have been listed.

Also surprised that with Palmer projected at 18, nobody has mentioned him.

Without a doubt, unless there is strange QB scoring, this is most definitely the year to wait and wait and wait and wait!

 

[MLBrandow]

In only 41 posts, with many replying to other comments, we already have 15 QBs nominted as undervalued or bargain opportunities. One of the most basic rules is to wait on a QB, but in smaller leagues (12 teams or less) has this mantra ever been more true?

Nobody has mentioned any of FBGs top five projeected QBs so that brings the total to 20. I would also think that there are folks who will expect Volek, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Brunell, and of course McNair, none of whom have been listed.

Also surprised that with Palmer projected at 18, nobody has mentioned him.

Without a doubt, unless there is strange QB scoring, this is most definitely the year to wait and wait and wait and wait!

I think 18 is right around where Palmer belongs. I put him at overrated because in the mocks I've participated in thus far, he still goes among the first five taken, and that's just way too high. Of course, it could just be a lucky string of idiots.

 

[-OZ-]

In only 41 posts, with many replying to other comments, we already have 15 QBs nominted as undervalued or bargain opportunities. One of the most basic rules is to wait on a QB, but in smaller leagues (12 teams or less) has this mantra ever been more true?

Nobody has mentioned any of FBGs top five projeected QBs so that brings the total to 20. I would also think that there are folks who will expect Volek, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Brunell, and of course McNair, none of whom have been listed.

Also surprised that with Palmer projected at 18, nobody has mentioned him.

Without a doubt, unless there is strange QB scoring, this is most definitely the year to wait and wait and wait and wait!

I think 18 is right around where Palmer belongs. I put him at overrated because in the mocks I've participated in thus far, he still goes among the first five taken, and that's just way too high. Of course, it could just be a lucky string of idiots.

Palmer as a top 5 QB, redraft, with the injury is too high. #18, IMO is a great value. If I could draft a guy like Volek (or someone else who will go late and start for the 1st half at least) to pair with Palmer , I'd be all over it.My (going by the staff's redraft rankings)

UNDER:

QB: (2 stand out IMO) 14 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT; 18 Byron Leftwich, JAX (but this might be because I'm a "MAC guy"), conservative offenses, but great values

RB: 24 Deuce McAllister, NO - I like Reggie Bush, but Deuce will start this year

WR: 38 Matt Jones, JAX RISK, but he will be given every opportunity to succeed. At the price of a WR3 spot, I'll gladly take the risk. for a more conservative play 47 Amani Toomer, NYG

TE: 15 Ben Troupe, TEN - one of my favorite TEs.

OVER:

QB: 2 Tom Brady, NE - I won't argue against the ranking, but I see him slipping some with a healthy Dillon and Maroney getting carries

RB: 18 Reuben Droughns, CLE

WR: 2 Steve Smith, CAR - another ranking I can't disagree with, but with Keyshawn, a possibly healthy Foster, D-Will... perhaps a better D if Jenkins stays healthy, top 5, but I won't take him #2

TE: 4 Todd Heap, BAL - not so much overrated because of the #4 ranking, but if people are seeing McNair as being a huge help to Heap's value, I disagree. He's more likely to help Mason and Clayton.

 

[nygiants56]

Underrated

QB: Chris Simms - Gruden's QBs thrive.

RB: Ron Dayne - As it stands now, but he's on a lot of underrated lists, so it could change by the start of the season.

WR: Eddie Kennison - Another year, another underrated listing for Kennison.

TE: Heath Miller - Lots of talent at the TE position this year, but more experience and Randle El's departure bump him up my draft board.

Overrated

QB: Drew Brees - He's on a new offense....and it's the Saints. Also, I'm not sold on the whole Reggie-Bush-as-savior thing.

RB: Tatum Bell - He's a big reason I have Dayne listed above.

WR: Terrel Owens - 1) I don't think Parcells will tolerate him as long as Reid did, and 2) I think both the running game and Glenn will cut into his numbers more than most people think.

TE: Tony Gonzalez -   I'm a huge Gonzo fan, but the name-recognition factor has him overvalued this year.

except for the Dayne part..lol

Under Rated:

Derrick Mason

Trent Green

Warrick Dunn - what does the guy have to do get some recognition?!

Ben Troupe - injured thru most of 2005, grabbed 55 balls...in the history of the NFL, only the 1983 SD Chargers threw more passes to the TE's than the '05 Titans..and Troupe was just a second year player in 2005..the sky is the limit with this kid!

Over Rated:

Philip Rivers - many people think you can take Drew Brees out of SD and plug the hole with Rivers and you'll still have a Pro Bowl QB and so on..it almost NEVER happens like that. Rivers will struggle mightily in his first year as a starting QB..with NFL history as an indicator, most first year starters at QB, have averaged somewhere around 18 TD's and 12-15 ints ( even guys who sat for 2-3 years like Rivers has) So maybe Rivers will toss 18-20 TDs, tops...and even that might be a reach..

Antonio Gates - good luck if you think Gates will duplicate last year's numbers with a first year starting QB at the helm. Big dropoff in receptions and TD's ahead, IMO.

TJ - had a career best season in 2005, it only took him 3 teams and what, 6 years to do it?! Benson starts by opening day. TJ has Rosenhaus as an agent, which can only mean a lengthy holdout and/or trade demands..they don't pay Benson $10 mil this year to sit on the bench..The coaching staff loves the kid...

Drew Bennett - MR. Injury meets the emergency room all too often...the

"injury risk" poster boy..

 

[santo71]

UNDER:

QB- Alex Smith- will be better than most people think with Bryant and VD

RB- LenDale White- SOD

WR- Michael Jenkins- I have a good feeling about this kid

TE- Bo Scaife- especially if Vince gets the nod

OVER:

QB- McNabb- Gaffney, Lewis, Brown

RB- LJ- not to say the guy isn't good, but top 3is a bit too high in my opinion

WR- Lil Stevie- no way he gets anywhere near what he did last year.

TE- Gates- maybe, but probably not

 

[BoltBacker]

Philip Rivers - many people think you can take Drew Brees out of SD and plug the hole with Rivers and you'll still have a Pro Bowl QB and so on..

They do? Then why is his ADP QB #21?FBG projects him @ #20 behind Warner.

 

[jerseys finest]

In only 41 posts, with many replying to other comments, we already have 15 QBs nominted as undervalued or bargain opportunities.  One of the most basic rules is to wait on a QB, but in smaller leagues (12 teams or less) has this mantra ever been more true?

Nobody has mentioned any of FBGs top five projeected QBs so that brings the total to 20.  I would also think that there are folks who will expect Volek, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Brunell, and of course McNair, none of whom have been listed.

Also surprised that with Palmer projected at 18, nobody has mentioned him.

Without a doubt, unless there is strange QB scoring, this is most definitely the year to wait and wait and wait and wait!

I think 18 is right around where Palmer belongs. I put him at overrated because in the mocks I've participated in thus far, he still goes among the first five taken, and that's just way too high. Of course, it could just be a lucky string of idiots.

Palmer as a top 5 QB, redraft, with the injury is too high. #18, IMO is a great value. If I could draft a guy like Volek (or someone else who will go late and start for the 1st half at least) to pair with Palmer , I'd be all over it.My (going by the staff's redraft rankings)

UNDER:

QB: (2 stand out IMO) 14 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT; 18 Byron Leftwich, JAX (but this might be because I'm a "MAC guy"), conservative offenses, but great values

RB: 24 Deuce McAllister, NO - I like Reggie Bush, but Deuce will start this year

WR: 38 Matt Jones, JAX RISK, but he will be given every opportunity to succeed. At the price of a WR3 spot, I'll gladly take the risk. for a more conservative play 47 Amani Toomer, NYG

TE: 15 Ben Troupe, TEN - one of my favorite TEs.

OVER:

QB: 2 Tom Brady, NE - I won't argue against the ranking, but I see him slipping some with a healthy Dillon and Maroney getting carries

RB: 18 Reuben Droughns, CLE

WR: 2 Steve Smith, CAR - another ranking I can't disagree with, but with Keyshawn, a possibly healthy Foster, D-Will... perhaps a better D if Jenkins stays healthy, top 5, but I won't take him #2

TE: 4 Todd Heap, BAL - not so much overrated because of the #4 ranking, but if people are seeing McNair as being a huge help to Heap's value, I disagree. He's more likely to help Mason and Clayton.

no reason why droughns is overrated? RB18 is just about right, if not underrated a tad. Assuming he gets off scott-free from this lil legal dispute (NFL players have gotten away with much worse then shovin your wife out the front door) He is a lock for at least 1200 yards again, improved offensive line that will help his TD #'s, Frye has some experience now, KWII will be back.. Receivers are as good as last year (edwards will be back towards middle/end of season AKA right before FF playoff time) there isn't anyone behind him to threaten the starting spot (green is a backup at best, suggs cant stay healthy, harrison is a small rook)

 

[Blackjacks]

Overrated

Qb I'm not buying D. McNabb as a top 5 qb. I know he has done it in the past without much at wr but he always threw alot to Westbrook. The news this year is they plan on running Westbrook alot more with a new O-Coordinator in town. I see him more in the 11 to 14 status.

Rb I'm definetly seeing "The Edge" in Arizona. He might still be okay in yardage league or in reception leagues but for combined scoring (-catches) I see him out of the top ten. I wouldn't be surprised if he had 5 or less td's this year.

Wr Chris Chambers, I love his talent and once Dante is in there full time I might change my mind on this one but as for now I don't want my first wr picked getting balls thrown to him by Joey Harrington. He also lost Linnehan as his O-coordinator which is going to hurt him to. Linnehan has a history for getting his #1 alot of targets. Again, I like Chambers talent but I think people are remembering his last couple of games instead of his trouble with consistency the last couple of years.

Te Vernon Davis- I saw this guys #'s in college and they were nice but not dominating. He might have all the tools but let's give him a year or 2 before we put him in th e top ten at his position. I do think he'll be a nice pro just not a big fan of putting rookies in the top ten at any postion.

Underrated

Qb So let's get this straight last year Drew Bledsoe was a top 5 qb right, since then he has gotten one of the better wr's in the league in TO and for some reason he is getting drafted in the teens (13 in footballguys avg draft spots.) I think that is a crazy low #. He should be getting in the top 5 again this year.

Rb Cedric Benson at the #30 spot = value. You have a good line there in Chicago going against weak divisional teams and this is going to be the guy in Chi-town especially with the show T. Jones is putting on in this offseason, I think Benson has a good chance to jump into the top ten this year.

Wr I like 2 different one's here so I'll put them both. 1) is Roy Williams. I think he takes off this year with Mad Mike calling his plays plus it sounds like he's the only wr with skill on the team that gives a ----. History shows Martz knows how to get an offensive going and I think Roy will be the main target for this team. 2) The other is Deion Branch. While I don't see him being a top 5, like Williams could be guy, I think he'll easily be in the top 15 if not break the top ten while he's getting drafted around #20 right now. He is definetly the main target for the team this year and Brady's always ranked in the top 5 and he is in a contract year so those little nagging injuries from years' past he might have to play throught his year.

Te I got to put my boy in here...Mr. Winslow come on down. I really want to see what he can do if he isn't hurt for the year. He's building a rapport with his qb and saying and doing all the right things this year. Young qb's usually turn to their te and Kellen has the skill to be a top 5 guy this year. I think this Cle. team has been built around him for the last 2 years and he'll have alot of targets come his way. I think what has happened to him has been given him an ego check and I think this year we'll get to see what he is all about.

 

[-OZ-]

In only 41 posts, with many replying to other comments, we already have 15 QBs nominted as undervalued or bargain opportunities. One of the most basic rules is to wait on a QB, but in smaller leagues (12 teams or less) has this mantra ever been more true?

Nobody has mentioned any of FBGs top five projeected QBs so that brings the total to 20. I would also think that there are folks who will expect Volek, Brees, Warner, Rivers, Brunell, and of course McNair, none of whom have been listed.

Also surprised that with Palmer projected at 18, nobody has mentioned him.

Without a doubt, unless there is strange QB scoring, this is most definitely the year to wait and wait and wait and wait!

I think 18 is right around where Palmer belongs. I put him at overrated because in the mocks I've participated in thus far, he still goes among the first five taken, and that's just way too high. Of course, it could just be a lucky string of idiots.

Palmer as a top 5 QB, redraft, with the injury is too high. #18, IMO is a great value. If I could draft a guy like Volek (or someone else who will go late and start for the 1st half at least) to pair with Palmer , I'd be all over it.My (going by the staff's redraft rankings)

UNDER:

QB: (2 stand out IMO) 14 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT; 18 Byron Leftwich, JAX (but this might be because I'm a "MAC guy"), conservative offenses, but great values

RB: 24 Deuce McAllister, NO - I like Reggie Bush, but Deuce will start this year

WR: 38 Matt Jones, JAX RISK, but he will be given every opportunity to succeed. At the price of a WR3 spot, I'll gladly take the risk. for a more conservative play 47 Amani Toomer, NYG

TE: 15 Ben Troupe, TEN - one of my favorite TEs.

OVER:

QB: 2 Tom Brady, NE - I won't argue against the ranking, but I see him slipping some with a healthy Dillon and Maroney getting carries

RB: 18 Reuben Droughns, CLE

WR: 2 Steve Smith, CAR - another ranking I can't disagree with, but with Keyshawn, a possibly healthy Foster, D-Will... perhaps a better D if Jenkins stays healthy, top 5, but I won't take him #2

TE: 4 Todd Heap, BAL - not so much overrated because of the #4 ranking, but if people are seeing McNair as being a huge help to Heap's value, I disagree. He's more likely to help Mason and Clayton.

no reason why droughns is overrated? RB18 is just about right, if not underrated a tad. Assuming he gets off scott-free from this lil legal dispute (NFL players have gotten away with much worse then shovin your wife out the front door) He is a lock for at least 1200 yards again, improved offensive line that will help his TD #'s, Frye has some experience now, KWII will be back.. Receivers are as good as last year (edwards will be back towards middle/end of season AKA right before FF playoff time) there isn't anyone behind him to threaten the starting spot (green is a backup at best, suggs cant stay healthy, harrison is a small rook)

It's probably right, there just wasn't any other RB in the top 20 that jumped out at me and said "overrated", the legal concerns are why he's here for now.