Value in ATL? (1 Viewer)

[RamMan]

Bobby Petrino is considered one of the brighter offensive minds in the game. Tremendous, high octane offenses at Louiville and, before that, QB coach and OC at Jacksonville during Brunell's very productive years and AFC Championship game. I realize that the Vick fiasco has probably cast a pall over the organization (that pall perhaps being Joey Harrington!) but I'm wondering if we're missing a bit of value in the ATL offense. Latest drafting resuts show ADP for ATL's offense as:

Harrington = QB#29

Norwood = RB#28

Dunn = RB#40

Horn = WR#44

Jenkins = WR#62

R. White = WR#70

I'm thinking that Dunn and Horn have good chances to outplay their ADP's - perhaps by a surprising marign. Horn is only 2 years removed from a Top 5 WR fantasy finish. Yes, Dunn is recovering from surgery but I understand Petrino has all but named him as the starter. Last year Dunn finished the year #RB17 - do you really think he'll fall 23 spots this year, especially with Petrino schmeing the offense? I also have to think that Harrington (yes, that Harrington) will put up significantly better passing numbers than Vick, meaning that all of the receivers should be getting bump up (except perhaps Crumpler, who might suffer as a former Vick/Mora favorite target). There are those who will argue that not having Vick on the field will pull defenders into the box to focus more on a traditional offense (instead of trying to contain Vick on the edges and lanes), but 8 in the box means that Harrington will have a chance to make some plays down field, which, if just marginally successful, will in turn open up the running game. I'm not an expert on ATL's offensive line, but I have to believe they're better than what Joey had in DET or MIA.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not predicting an Indy or Cincy offense here - I'm simply stating that one or more of these guys HAS to outperfom their ADP. I'm guessing Dunn and/or Horn...

 

[Pittsburgh United]

I took Dunn late in my draft. I have a feeling he will have a very nice year. Here's my reasoning: Dunn is a solid character guy. In the midst of all the negativity and dirtiness hanging around Atlanta this year, I think he will put the club on his shoulders and put up stellar numbers in the process. Just my own dumb gut feeling, but I think it's a good hunch.

 

[RamMan]

I took Dunn late in my draft. I have a feeling he will have a very nice year. Here's my reasoning: Dunn is a solid character guy. In the midst of all the negativity and dirtiness hanging around Atlanta this year, I think he will put the club on his shoulders and put up stellar numbers in the process. Just my own dumb gut feeling, but I think it's a good hunch.

I can buy that. Not sure it translates to performance on the field, but there's no doubt that the Falcons will have to rally behind guys like Dunn, and perhaps even Horn who seemed to have been a pretty solid guy after Katrina. The Vick "matter" might even bring this team together - depending on how much of motivator Petrino is. Nontheless, I like this offense for fantasy purposes better this year than last.

 

[PatytonsGhost]

Bobby Petrino is considered one of the brighter offensive minds in the game. Tremendous, high octane offenses at Louiville and, before that, QB coach and OC at Jacksonville during Brunell's very productive years and AFC Championship game. I realize that the Vick fiasco has probably cast a pall over the organization (that pall perhaps being Joey Harrington!) but I'm wondering if we're missing a bit of value in the ATL offense. Latest drafting resuts show ADP for ATL's offense as:

Harrington = QB#29

Norwood = RB#28

Dunn = RB#40

Horn = WR#44

Jenkins = WR#62

R. White = WR#70

I'm thinking that Dunn and Horn have good chances to outplay their ADP's - perhaps by a surprising marign. Horn is only 2 years removed from a Top 5 WR fantasy finish. Yes, Dunn is recovering from surgery but I understand Petrino has all but named him as the starter. Last year Dunn finished the year #RB17 - do you really think he'll fall 23 spots this year, especially with Petrino schmeing the offense? I also have to think that Harrington (yes, that Harrington) will put up significantly better passing numbers than Vick, meaning that all of the receivers should be getting bump up (except perhaps Crumpler, who might suffer as a former Vick/Mora favorite target). There are those who will argue that not having Vick on the field will pull defenders into the box to focus more on a traditional offense (instead of trying to contain Vick on the edges and lanes), but 8 in the box means that Harrington will have a chance to make some plays down field, which, if just marginally successful, will in turn open up the running game. I'm not an expert on ATL's offensive line, but I have to believe they're better than what Joey had in DET or MIA.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not predicting an Indy or Cincy offense here - I'm simply stating that one or more of these guys HAS to outperfom their ADP. I'm guessing Dunn and/or Horn...

Its funny because I'm thinking the complete opposite, Alge will be Joey's safety valve, a reliable over the middle big target as well as end zone fave. 8 in the box for me means quick routes which Alge is very good at.

 

[RamMan]

Bobby Petrino is considered one of the brighter offensive minds in the game. Tremendous, high octane offenses at Louiville and, before that, QB coach and OC at Jacksonville during Brunell's very productive years and AFC Championship game. I realize that the Vick fiasco has probably cast a pall over the organization (that pall perhaps being Joey Harrington!) but I'm wondering if we're missing a bit of value in the ATL offense. Latest drafting resuts show ADP for ATL's offense as:

Harrington = QB#29

Norwood = RB#28

Dunn = RB#40

Horn = WR#44

Jenkins = WR#62

R. White = WR#70

I'm thinking that Dunn and Horn have good chances to outplay their ADP's - perhaps by a surprising marign. Horn is only 2 years removed from a Top 5 WR fantasy finish. Yes, Dunn is recovering from surgery but I understand Petrino has all but named him as the starter. Last year Dunn finished the year #RB17 - do you really think he'll fall 23 spots this year, especially with Petrino schmeing the offense? I also have to think that Harrington (yes, that Harrington) will put up significantly better passing numbers than Vick, meaning that all of the receivers should be getting bump up (except perhaps Crumpler, who might suffer as a former Vick/Mora favorite target). There are those who will argue that not having Vick on the field will pull defenders into the box to focus more on a traditional offense (instead of trying to contain Vick on the edges and lanes), but 8 in the box means that Harrington will have a chance to make some plays down field, which, if just marginally successful, will in turn open up the running game. I'm not an expert on ATL's offensive line, but I have to believe they're better than what Joey had in DET or MIA.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not predicting an Indy or Cincy offense here - I'm simply stating that one or more of these guys HAS to outperfom their ADP. I'm guessing Dunn and/or Horn...

Its funny because I'm thinking the complete opposite, Alge will be Joey's safety valve, a reliable over the middle big target as well as end zone fave. 8 in the box for me means quick routes which Alge is very good at.

I'm thinking opposite. Loading the box should open opportunties on the edges where speedy receivers should be able to run by the congestion in the middle. If Joey can sell play-action, he should be able to exploit down field. Of course, this IS Joey we're talking about, so temper all expectations. It would be useful to know if the tight end is featured much in Petrino's offense. That should give us a clue whether or not Alge stays a focus or not. If not, I'm even more intrugued with Horn and Jenkins.